Derisking Real Estate in China’s Hybrid Economy

Wei Xiong

No 31118, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: This article examines the risks faced by China's real estate sector within its distinct hybrid economy, which combines market mechanisms with comprehensive state planning and government intervention. The real estate sector holds particular importance as land sale revenues are a crucial source of funding for local governments, enabling them to finance infrastructure projects and stimulate economic growth. Banks are highly exposed to debt secured by real estate properties, not only involving real estate firms and households but also extending to local governments and affiliated companies. The hybrid structure gives the government a strong commitment and the ability to delay a real estate crisis. However, China’s real estate risk is ultimately tied to the country’s overall economic growth and remains susceptible to policy-related risks.

JEL-codes: O18 O2 R0 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ban, nep-cna, nep-fdg and nep-ure
Note: AP CF DEV EFG IFM
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