NBER Working Papers

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5371: Real Versus Pseudo-International Systemic Risk: Some Lessons from History

Michael Bordo, Bruce Mizrach and Anna Schwartz

5370: The Effect of Increased Tax Rates on Taxable Income and Economic Efficiency: A Preliminary Analysis of the 1993 Tax Rate Increases

Martin Feldstein and Daniel Feenberg

5369: Education Finance Reform and Investment in Human Capital: Lessons from California

Raquel Fernandez and Richard Rogerson

5368: Strikes and the Law in the U.S., 1881-1894: New Evidence on the Origins of American Exceptionalism

Janet Currie and Joseph Ferrie

5367: Why Do Companies Go Public? An Empirical Analysis

Marco Pagano, Fabio Panetta and Luigi Zingales

5366: Beauty, Productivity and Discrimination: Lawyers' Looks and Lucre

Jeff Biddle and Daniel Hamermesh

5365: Large Countries, Small Countries, and the Enlargement of Trade Blocs

Alessandra Casella

5364: Investment Creation and Investment Diversion: Simulation Analysis of theSingle Market Programme

Richard Baldwin, Rikard Forslid and Jan Haaland

5363: The Effects of Irreversibility and Uncertainty on Capital Accumulation

Andrew Abel and Janice Eberly

5362: Privatizing Social Security: First Round Effects of a Generic, VoluntaryPrivatized U.S. Social Security System

Alan Gustman and Thomas L. Steinmeier

5361: Optimal Buffer Stocks and Precautionary Savings with Disappointment Aversion

Joshua Aizenman

5360: HMOs and Fee-For-Service Health Care Expenditures: Evidence from Medicare

Laurence C. Baker

5359: Causes and Consequences of the Export Enhancement Program for Wheat

Pinelopi Goldberg and Michael M. Knetter

5358: Explaining Asset Bubbles in Japan

Takatoshi Ito and Tokuo Iwaisako

5357: Predation and Accumulation

Herschel Grossman and Minseong Kim

5356: The Effects of HMOs on Conventional Insurance Premiums: Theory and Evidence

Laurence C. Baker and Kenneth Corts

5355: Technology, Trade, and Factor Prices

Paul Krugman

5354: State Reproductive Policies and Adolescent Pregnancy Resolution: The Case of Parental Involvement Laws

Ted Joyce and Robert Kaestner

5353: The Effect of Catholic Secondary Schooling on Educational Attainment

Derek Neal

5352: A Survey of Academic Literature on Controls over International Capital Transactions

Michael Dooley

5351: Nonparametric Estimation of State-Price Densities Implicit in Financial Asset Prices

Yacine Ait-Sahalia and Andrew Lo

5350: Humps and Bumps in Lifetime Consumption

Orazio Attanasio, James Banks, Costas Meghir and Guglielmo Weber

5349: CARWARS: Trying to Make Sense of U.S.-Japan Trade Frictions in the Automobile and Automobile Parts Markets

James Levinsohn

5348: The Discovery of the Residual: An Historical Note

Zvi Griliches

5347: Financial Repression and Capital Mobility: Why Capital Flows and Covered Interest Rate Differentials Fail to Measure Capital Market Integration

Michael Dooley and Menzie Chinn

5346: Testing Continuous-Time Models of the Spot Interest Rate

Yacine Ait-Sahalia

5345: Nonparametric Pricing of Interest Rate Derivative Securities

Yacine Ait-Sahalia

5344: Expectations and the Effects of Monetary Policy

Laurence Ball and Dean Croushore

5343: Long-Term Effects of Job Displacement: Evidence from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics

Ann Stevens

5342: Virtuous Circles of Productivity: Star Bioscientists and the Institutional Transformation of Industry

Lynne Zucker and Michael Darby

5341: Economics and Politics of Rice Policy in Japan: A Perspective on the Uruguay Round

Yujiro Hayami and Yoshihisa Godo

5340: The Gold Standard as a `Good Housekeeping Seal of Approval'

Michael Bordo

5339: Trade Strategy, Investment, and Exports: Another Look at East Asia

Dani Rodrik

5338: The Impact of Inflation on Budgetary Discipline

Joshua Aizenman and Ricardo Hausmann

5337: Non-Walrasian Unemployment Fluctuations

Jordi Galí

5336: Procyclical Productivity: Increasing Returns or Cyclical Utilization?

Susanto Basu

5335: Social Insurance, Incentives, and Risk Taking

Hans-Werner Sinn

5334: Hiring Risky Workers

Edward Lazear

5333: The Effects of Human Resource Management Practices on Productivity

Casey Ichniowski, Kathryn Shaw and Giovanna Prennushi

5332: Non-Keynesian Effects of Fiscal Policy Changes: International Evidence and the Swedish Experience

Francesco Giavazzi and Marco Pagano

5331: The Effect of Measured School Inputs on Academic Achievement: Evidence from the 1920s, 1930s and 1940s Birth Cohorts

Susanna Loeb and John Bound

5330: Privatization of Social Security: How It Works and Why It Matters

Laurence Kotlikoff

5329: The Balance of Payments and Borrowing Constraints: An Alternative View of the Mexican Crisis

Andrew Atkeson and José-Víctor Ríos-Rull

5328: The Political Economy of State Provided Health Insurance in the Progressive Era: Evidence from California

Dora Costa

5327: Optimal Debt Management

Robert Barro

5326: Inflation and Economic Growth

Robert Barro

5325: EU, NAFTA, and Asian Responses: A Perspective from the Calculus of Participation

Junichi Goto and Koichi Hamada

5324: Bilateral Negotiations and Multilateral Trade: The Case of Taiwan-U.S. Trade Talks

Tain-Jy Chen and Meng-chun Liu

5323: Exchange Rate Variability and the Riskiness of U.S. Multinational Firms:Evidence from the Breakdown of the Bretton Woods System

Eli Bartov, Gordon Bodnar and Aditya Kaul

5322: The Political Economy of Mexico's Entry to NAFTA

Aaron Tornell and Gerardo Esquivel

5321: Research and Productivity

Boyan Jovanovic and Yaw Nyarko

5320: Social Networks, Learning, and Flexibility: Sourcing Scientific Knowledge in New Biotechnology Firms

Julia Porter Liebeskind, Amalya Lumerman Oliver, Lynne Zucker and Marilynn B. Brewer

5319: The Impact of Price, Availability, and Alcohol Control Policies on Binge Drinking in College

Frank Chaloupka and Henry Wechsler

5318: Collapsing Exchange Rate Regimes: Another Linear Example

Robert Flood, Peter Garber and Charles Kramer

5317: Growth Effects of Income and Consumption Taxes: Positive and Normative Analysis

Gian Maria Milesi-Ferrett and Nouriel Roubini

5316: The Implicit Taxes from College Financial Aid

Andrew W. Dick and Aaron Edlin

5315: Unemployment Insurance and Household Welfare: Microeconomic Evidence 1980-93

Daniel Hamermesh and Daniel T. Slesnick

5314: Validating the Conjectural Variation Method: The Sugar Industry, 1890- 1914

David Genesove and Wallace P. Mullin

5313: Liquidity Models in Open Economies: Theory and Empirical Evidence

Nouriel Roubini and Vittorio Grilli

5312: The Forward Discount Anomaly and the Risk Premium: A Survey of Recent Evidence

Charles Engel

5311: Good News for Value Stocks: Further Evidence on Market Efficiency

Rafael La Porta, Josef Lakonishok, Andrei Shleifer and Robert Vishny

5310: International Cycles

Stephen Cecchetti and Anil Kashyap

5309: Politics and Trade Policy

Elhanan Helpman

5308: Politics and the Effectiveness of Foreign Aid

Peter Boone

5307: Emerging Equity Market Volatility

Geert Bekaert and Campbell Harvey

5306: Generic Entry and the Pricing of Pharmaceuticals

Richard G. Frank and David Salkever

5305: Complementarities and Comovements

John Shea

5304: Comovement in Cities

John Shea

5303: The Antebellum Transportation Revolution and Factor-Price Convergence

Matthew J. Slaughter

5302: Labor Market Effects of Spinal Cord Injuries in the Dawn of the Computer Age

Alan Krueger and Douglas Kruse

5301: Saving and Growth: Evidence from Micro Data

Christina Paxson

5300: Money-Based versus Exchange Rate-Based Stabilization with Endogenous Fiscal Policy

Aaron Tornell and Andres Velasco

5299: The Underrepresentation of Women in Economics: A Study of Undergraduate Economics Students

Karen E. Dynan and Cecilia Elena Rouse

5298: Lump-Sum Distributions from Retirement Saving Plans: Receipt and Utilization

James Poterba, Steven Venti and David Wise

5297: Evaluating Mental Health Capitation Treatment: Lessons from Panel Data

Debra Dwyer, Olivia Mitchell, Robert Cole and Sylvia K. Reed

5296: Measuring Poverty Among the Elderly

Angus Deaton and Christina Paxson

5295: Scale Economies, Returns to Variety, and the Productivity of Public Infrastructure

Douglas Holtz-Eakin and Mary Lovely

5294: Where the Money Goes: Medical Expenditures in a Large Corporation

Mark B. McClellan and David Wise

5293: The Child Care Industry: Cost Functions, Efficiency, and Quality

Naci Mocan

5292: Tobin's q and Asset Returns: Implications for Business Cycle Analysis

Lawrence Christiano and Jonas Fisher

5291: Discrete Choice with Social Interactions I: Theory

William Brock and Steven Durlauf

5290: Consumption Taxes: Some Fundamental Transition Issues

David Bradford

5289: Stochastic Regime Switching and Stabilizing Policies within Regimes

Karen Lewis

5288: The Schooling Quality-Earnings Relationship: Using Economic Theory to Interpret Functional Forms Consistent with the Evidence

James Heckman, Anne Layne-Farrar and Petra Todd

5287: The Effects of Special Saving Programs on Saving and Wealth

James Poterba, Steven Venti and David Wise

5286: Sectoral Solow Residuals

Craig Burnside, Martin Eichenbaum and Sergio Rebelo

5285: Models of Currency Crises with Self-Fulfilling Features

Maurice Obstfeld

5284: Macroeconomics Forecasts and Microeconomic Forecasters

Owen Lamont

5283: Is Regionalism Simply a Diversion? Evidence From the Evolution of the EC and EFTA

Tamim Bayoumi and Barry Eichengreen

5282: Consumer Durables and Inertial Behavior: Estimation and Aggregation of (S,s) Rules

Orazio Attanasio

5281: Would Privatizing Social Security Raise Economic Welfare?

Martin Feldstein

5280: Asia-Pacific Capital Markets: Measurement of Integration and the Implications for Economic Activity

Menzie Chinn and Michael Dooley

5279: The Term Structure of Interest Rates and Its Role in Monetary Policy for The European Central Bank

Arturo Estrella and Frederic Mishkin

5278: Supplier Relations and Adoption of New Technology: Results of Survey Research in the U.S. Auto Industry

Susan Helper

5277: Employee Ownership, Employee Attitudes, and Firm Performance

Douglas Kruse and Joseph Blasi

5276: Growth and Convergence in the Asia-Pacific Region: On the Role of Openness, Trade and Migration

Alan Taylor

5275: Rate Regulation and the Industrial Organization of Automobile Insurance

Susan J. Suponcic and Sharon Tennyson

5274: Does Measured School Quality Really Matter? An Examination of the Earnings-Quality Relationship

James Heckman, Anne Layne-Farrar and Petra Todd

5273: The Effects of Low Birthweight and Other Medical Risk Factors on Resource Utilization in the Pre-School Years

Hope Corman

5272: Open Regionalism in a World of Continental Trade Blocs

Shang-Jin Wei and Jeffrey Frankel