NBER Working Papers

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22946: How Large Are the Gains from Economic Integration? Theory and Evidence from U.S. Agriculture, 1880-1997

Arnaud Costinot and Dave Donaldson

22945: Distributional National Accounts: Methods and Estimates for the United States

Thomas Piketty, Emmanuel Saez and Gabriel Zucman

22944: Globalization and Wage Inequality

Elhanan Helpman

22943: Dominant Currency Paradigm

Gita Gopinath, Emine Boz, Camila Casas, Federico Diez, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas and Mikkel Plagborg-Moller

22942: Older Peoples’ Willingness to Delay Social Security Claiming

Raimond Maurer and Olivia Mitchell

22941: Business Cycles, Investment Shocks, and the "Barro-King" Curse

Guido Ascari, Louis Phaneuf and Eric Sims

22940: Sanitation, Disease Externalities, and Anemia: Evidence From Nepal

Diane Coffey, Michael Geruso and Dean Spears

22939: Asymmetric Effects of Non-Pecuniary Signals on Search and Purchase Behavior for Energy-Efficient Durable Goods

J Holladay, Jacob LaRiviere, David Novgorodsky and Michael Price

22938: Improving the Measurement of Earnings Dynamics

Moira Daly, Dmytro Hryshko and Iourii Manovskii

22937: A Tale of Two Tails: Commuting and the Fuel Price Response in Driving

Kenneth Gillingham and Anders Munk-Nielsen

22936: Commitment vs. Flexibility with Costly Verification

Marina Halac and Pierre Yared

22935: Recent Flattening in the Higher Education Wage Premium: Polarization, Skill Downgrading, or Both?

Robert Valletta

22934: Meet the Oligarchs: Business Legitimacy, State Capacity and Taxation

Rafael Di Tella, Juan Dubra and Alejandro Luis Lagomarsino

22933: Projections and Uncertainties About Climate Change in an Era of Minimal Climate Policies

William Nordhaus

22932: Elections, Ideology, and Turnover in the U.S. Federal Government

Alexander Bolton, John M. de Figueiredo and David E. Lewis

22931: From Proof of Concept to Scalable Policies: Challenges and Solutions, with an Application

Abhijit Banerjee, Rukmini Banerji, James Berry, Esther Duflo, Harini Kannan, Shobhini Mukherji, Marc Shotland and Michael Walton

22930: FDI and Inequality in Vietnam: An Approach with Census Data

John McLaren and Myunghwan Yoo

22929: Locked in by Leverage: Job Search during the Housing Crisis

Jennifer Brown and David A. Matsa

22928: Books or Laptops? The Cost-Effectiveness of Shifting from Printed to Digital Delivery of Educational Content

Rosangela Bando, Francisco Gallego, Paul Gertler and Dario Romero

22927: Educational Homogamy and Assortative Mating Have Not Increased

Rania Gihleb and Kevin Lang

22926: High-Skilled Migration and Agglomeration

Sari Pekkala Kerr, William Kerr, Caglar Ozden and Christopher Parsons

22925: Are Fuel Economy Standards Regressive?

Lucas Davis and Christopher Knittel

22924: Why Does Capital No Longer Flow More to the Industries with the Best Growth Opportunities?

Dong Lee, Han Shin and René Stulz

22923: Disrupting Education? Experimental Evidence on Technology-Aided Instruction in India

Karthik Muralidharan, Abhijeet Singh and Alejandro Ganimian

22922: Automated Economic Reasoning with Quantifier Elimination

Casey Mulligan

22921: Coal Smoke and the Costs of the Industrial Revolution

W Hanlon

22920: Labor Supply Elasticities: Overcoming Nonclassical Measurement Error Using More Accurate Hours Data

Garry Barrett and Daniel Hamermesh

22919: A Poor Means Test? Econometric Targeting in Africa

Caitlin Brown, Martin Ravallion and Dominique van de Walle

22918: Disappearing Routine Jobs: Who, How, and Why?

Guido Matias Cortes, Nir Jaimovich and Henry Siu

22917: Improving the Quality of Choices in Health Insurance Markets

Jason Abaluck and Jonathan Gruber

22916: The Demand for Bad Policy when Voters Underappreciate Equilibrium Effects

Ernesto Dal Bó, Pedro Dal Bó and Erik Eyster

22915: Evidence on the Relationship between Recruiting and Starting Wage

Jason Faberman and Guido Menzio

22914: Fracking, Drilling, and Asset Pricing: Estimating the Economic Benefits of the Shale Revolution

Erik Gilje, Robert Ready and Nikolai Roussanov

22913: The New Lifecycle of Women’s Employment: Disappearing Humps, Sagging Middles, Expanding Tops

Claudia Goldin and Joshua Mitchell

22912: Drug Shortages, Pricing, and Regulatory Activity

Christopher Stomberg

22911: Corrective Policy and Goodhart's Law: The Case of Carbon Emissions from Automobiles

Mathias Reynaert and James Sallee

22910: The Fading American Dream: Trends in Absolute Income Mobility Since 1940

Raj Chetty, David Grusky, Maximilian Hell, Nathaniel Hendren, Robert Manduca and Jimmy Narang

22909: Bombs and Babies: US Navy Bombing Activity and Infant Health in Vieques, Puerto Rico

Gustavo Bobonis, Mark Stabile and Leonardo Tovar

22908: Optimal Taxation and R&D Policies

Ufuk Akcigit, Douglas Hanley and Stefanie Stantcheva

22907: The Effects of Computers on Children’s Social Development and School Participation: Evidence from a Randomized Control Experiment

Robert Fairlie and Ariel Kalil

22906: Regional Distribution and Dynamics of Human Capital in China 1985-2014: Education, Urbanization, and Aging of the Population

Haizheng Li, Junzi He, Qinyi Liu, Barbara M. Fraumeni and Xiang Zheng

22905: Leverage

Tano Santos and Pietro Veronesi

22904: Estimating the Productivity of Community Colleges in Paving the Road to Four-Year Success

Scott Carrell and Michal Kurlaender

22903: Stimulating Housing Markets

David Berger, Nick Turner and Eric Zwick

22902: The Great Recession and Charitable Giving

Jonathan Meer, David H. Miller and Elisa Wulfsberg

22901: Price Regulation, Price Discrimination, and Equality of Opportunity in Higher Education: Evidence from Texas

Rodney Andrews and Kevin Stange

22900: Elite Colleges and Upward Mobility to Top Jobs and Top Incomes

Seth Zimmerman

22899: The Long-Run Effects of Childhood Insurance Coverage: Medicaid Implementation, Adult Health, and Labor Market Outcomes

Andrew Goodman-Bacon

22898: The Effect of Early Education on Social Preferences

Alexander Cappelen, John List, Anya Samek and Bertil Tungodden

22897: Investment-less Growth: An Empirical Investigation

German Gutierrez and Thomas Philippon

22896: Purchasing Power Disparity before 1914

Peter Lindert

22895: Charging Ahead: Prepaid Electricity Metering in South Africa

B. Kelsey Jack and Grant Smith

22894: The History of the Cross Section of Stock Returns

Juhani T. Linnainmaa and Michael Roberts

22893: Activism, Strategic Trading, and Liquidity

Kerry Back, Pierre Collin-Dufresne, Vyacheslav Fos, Tao Li and Alexander Ljungqvist

22892: Bounds on Treatment Effects in Regression Discontinuity Designs with a Manipulated Running Variable

Francois Gerard, Miikka Rokkanen and Christoph Rothe

22891: Relationship Lending and the Great Depression

Jon Cohen, Kinda Hachem and G Gary Richardson

22890: Climate Risks and Market Efficiency

Harrison Hong, Frank Weikai Li and Jiangmin Xu

22889: Economic Transformation in Africa from the Bottom Up: Evidence from Tanzania

Xinshen Diao, Josaphat Kweka and Margaret McMillan

22888: Accounting for Business Income in Measuring Top Income Shares: Integrated Accrual Approach Using Individual and Firm Data from Norway

Annette Alstadsæter, Martin Jacob, Wojciech Kopczuk and Kjetil Telle

22887: Health, Human Capital and Domestic Violence

Nicholas Papageorge, Gwyn C. Pauley, Mardge Cohen, Tracey E. Wilson, Barton Hamilton and Robert Pollak

22886: The Behavioralist as Policy Designer: The Need to Test Multiple Treatments to Meet Multiple Targets

Robert Hahn, Robert Metcalfe, David Novgorodsky and Michael Price

22885: Population Growth and Carbon Emissions

Gregory Casey and Oded Galor

22884: Measuring “Schmeduling”

Alex Rees-Jones and Dmitry Taubinsky

22883: Portfolio Choices, Firm Shocks and Uninsurable Wage Risk

Andreas Fagereng, Luigi Guiso and Luigi Pistaferri

22882: Identifying the Benefits from Homeownership: A Swedish Experiment

Paolo Sodini, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, Roine Vestman and Ulf von Lilienfeld-Toal

22881: Performance Information and Personnel Decisions in the Public Sector: The Case of School Principals

Julie Cullen, Eric Hanushek, Gregory Phelan and Steven Rivkin

22880: Labor Market Outcomes and Postsecondary Accountability: Are Imperfect Metrics Better than None?

Veronica Minaya and Judith Scott-Clayton

22879: Foreign Competition and Domestic Innovation: Evidence from U.S. Patents

David Autor, David Dorn, Gordon Hanson, Gary Pisano and Pian Shu

22878: Accelerator or Brake? Cash for Clunkers, Household Liquidity, and Aggregate Demand

Daniel Green, Brian Melzer, Jonathan Parker and Arcenis Rojas

22877: Do Female Executives Make a Difference? The Impact of Female Leadership on Gender Gaps and Firm Performance

Luca Flabbi, Mario Macis, Andrea Moro and Fabiano Schivardi

22876: Insurers' Response to Selection Risk: Evidence from Medicare Enrollment Reforms

Francesco Decarolis and Andrea Guglielmo

22875: The Impact of Increased Cost-sharing on Utilization of Low Value Services: Evidence from the State of Oregon

Jonathan Gruber, Johanna Maclean, Bill J. Wright, Eric S. Wilkinson and Kevin Volpp

22874: Cross-Border Prudential Policy Spillovers: How Much? How Important? Evidence from the International Banking Research Network

Claudia Buch and Linda Goldberg

22873: How do Hospitals Respond to Payment Incentives?

Gautam Gowrisankaran, Keith A. Joiner and Jianjing Lin

22872: The Interest Rate Effect on Private Saving: Alternative Perspectives

Joshua Aizenman, Yin-Wong Cheung and Hiro Ito

22871: Sustaining Impacts When Transfers End: Women Leaders, Aspirations, and Investment in Children

Karen Macours and Renos Vakis

22870: Ambiguity and the Tradeoff Theory of Capital Structure

Yehuda Izhakian, David Yermack and Jaime F. Zender

22869: The Surprising Instability of Export Specializations

Diego Daruich, William Easterly and Ariell Reshef

22868: Macroprudential Policy: Promise and Challenges

Enrique Mendoza

22867: It's Not the Thought that Counts: A Field Experiment on Gift Exchange and Giving at a Public University

Catherine Eckel, David H. Herberich and Jonathan Meer

22866: Is The Monetarist Arithmetic Unpleasant?

Martín Uribe

22865: Japan’s Ultimately Unaccursed Natural Resources-Financed Industrialization

Randall Morck and Masao Nakamura

22864: The Welfare Cost of Uncertainty in Policy Outcomes

Edward Schlee and V. Smith

22863: Is it the "How" or the "When" that Matters in Fiscal Adjustments?

Alberto Alesina, Gualtiero Azzalini, Carlo Favero, Francesco Giavazzi and Armando Miano

22862: Distributional Effects of Air Pollution from Electric Vehicle Adoption

Stephen Holland, Erin Mansur, Nicholas Muller and Andrew Yates

22861: Geographical Distribution of Emergency Department Closures and Consequences on Heart Attack Patients

Yu-Chu Shen and Renee Y. Hsia

22860: Transforming Cities: Does Urbanization Promote Democratic Change?

Edward Glaeser and Bryce Steinberg

22859: Fear of Fracking? The Impact of the Shale Gas Exploration on House Prices in Britain

Stephen Gibbons, Stephan Heblich, Esther Lho and Christopher Timmins

22858: Do Good Reports Mean Higher Prices? The Impact of Hospital Compare Ratings on Cardiac Pricing

Avi Dor, William Encinosa and Kathleen Carey

22857: Is the U.S. public corporation in trouble?

Kathleen Kahle and René Stulz

22856: A Shadow Rate New Keynesian Model

Jing Cynthia Wu and Ji Zhang

22855: Laws, Educational Outcomes, and Returns to Schooling: Evidence from the Full Count 1940 Census

Karen Clay, Jeff Lingwall and Melvin Stephens

22854: From “Made in China” to “Innovated in China”: Necessity, Prospect, and Challenges

Shang-Jin Wei, Zhuan Xie and Xiaobo Zhang

22853: Leaving Big Money on the Table: Arbitrage Opportunities in Delaying Social Security

Gila Bronshtein, Jason Scott, John B. Shoven and Sita Slavov

22852: Immigrants and Firms' Outcomes: Evidence from France

Cristina Mitaritonna, Gianluca Orefice and Giovanni Peri

22851: Prepayment Risk and Expected MBS Returns

Peter Diep, Andrea Eisfeldt and Scott Richardson

22850: Firms and Labor Market Inequality: Evidence and Some Theory

David Card, Ana Rute Cardoso, Jörg Heining and Patrick Kline

22849: Trade Liberalization and Mortality: Evidence from U.S. Counties

Justin Pierce and Peter Schott

22848: Extending Industry Specialization through Cross-Border Acquisitions

Laurent Frésard, Ulrich Hege and Gordon Phillips

22847: Take the Short Route: Equilibrium Default and Debt Maturity

Mark Aguiar, Manuel Amador, Hugo Hopenhayn and Iván Werning