NBER Working Papers

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34862: Expanding Paternity Leave: Effects on Beliefs, Norms, and Gender Gaps

Henrik Kleven, Camille Landais, Anne Sophie S. Lassen, Philip Rosenbaum, Herdis Steingrimsdottir and Jakob Søgaard

34861: Machine Learning Meets Markowitz

Yijie Wang, Hao Gao, Campbell Harvey, Yan Liu and Xinyuan Tao

34860: Disparate Impacts of Teacher Certification Exams

Christa Deneault, Evan Riehl and Jian Zou

34859: Chaining Tasks, Redefining Work: A Theory of AI Automation

Mert Demirer, John Horton, Nicole Immorlica, Brendan Lucier and Peyman Shahidi

34858: The Promise of Microbial Fertilizer for Affordable and Sustainable Food Production in Africa

Tavneet Suri, Petar Madjarac and Robert D. van der Hilst

34857: Great Expectations: Responses to Current and Future Transfers for Low-Income Individuals

Achyuta Adhvaryu, Jean-François Gauthier, Pamela Jakiela and Dean Karlan

34856: Government Funding and the Direction of Academic Energy Research

David Popp, Myriam Gregoire-Zawilski, Lizhen Liang and Daniel Acuna

34855: Trading Goods for Lives: NAFTA’s Mortality Impacts and Implications

Amy Finkelstein, Matthew Notowidigdo and Steven X. Shi

34854: Building Pro-Worker Artificial Intelligence

Daron Acemoglu, David Autor and Simon Johnson

34853: Bank Failures: The Roles of Solvency and Liquidity

Sergio A. Correia, Stephan Luck and Emil Verner

34852: The Macroeconomic Effects of Tariffs: Evidence From U.S. Historical Data

Tamar den Besten and Diego Känzig

34851: Does Generative AI Narrow Education-Based Productivity Gaps? Evidence from a Randomized Experiment

Guillermo Cruces, Diego Fernandez Meijide, Sebastian Galiani, Ramiro Gálvez and Maria Lombardi

34850: Managing the Entrepreneur's Miracle Budget

Joshua Gans

34849: Mimicking Finance

Lauren Cohen, Yiwen Lu and Quoc H. Nguyen

34848: Pricing Protection: Credit Scores, Disaster Risk, and Home Insurance Affordability

Joshua Blonz, Mallick Hossain, Benjamin Keys, Philip Mulder and Joakim A. Weill

34847: The Differential Impacts of Critical Mineral Prices and Oil Prices on the Economy

Adrien Concordel, Phuong Ho and Christopher Knittel

34846: Bidder Pools in Mergers and Acquisitions

Bruce I. Carlin, Tingting Liu, Micah S. Officer, Agathe Pernoud and Danni Tu

34845: Is Teacher Effectiveness Fully Portable? Evidence from the Random Assignment of Transfer Incentives

Matthew Kraft, John Papay, Jessalynn K. James and Manuel Monti-Nussbaum

34844: Liquidity Flows to Bank-Affiliated Broker Dealers: Insights from Volumes and Prices

Jennie Bai, Erik Bostrom, Sebastian Infante and Victoria Ivashina

34843: How Do Workers Think About The Costs and Benefits of Freelance Work? New Evidence From a Survey Experiment

Edward Freeland, Andrew Garin and Dmitri K. Koustas

34842: Nonparametric Identification of Demand without Exogenous Product Characteristics

Kirill Borusyak, Jiafeng Chen, Peter Hull and Lihua Lei

34841: Classrooms as Workplaces: How Student Composition Affects Teacher Health

Krzysztof Karbownik, Helena Svaleryd, Jonas Vlachos and Xuemeng Wang

34840: The Silk Road of Ashes: Exposure to NAFTA and Adult Mortality

Hamid Noghanibehambari and Jason Fletcher

34839: Reconstruction following Destruction: Entrepreneurship in the Aftermath of a Natural Disaster

Richard Lombardo, Elizabeth Frankenberg and Duncan Thomas

34838: R&D Uncertainty and Cycles

Nicolas Crouzet and Janice Eberly

34837: Non-Fungible Tokens as Investment

William Goetzmann, Dong Huang and Milad Nozari

34836: Firm Data on AI

Ivan Yotzov, Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Philip Bunn, Steven Davis, Kevin M. Foster, Aaron Jalca, Brent Meyer, Paul Mizen, Michael A. Navarrete, Pawel Smietanka, Gregory Thwaites and Ben Zhe Wang

34835: Self-assessed Life-Cycle Saving Behavior in the U.S. and Singapore: Procrastination Versus Economic Shocks

Susann Rohwedder, Michael Hurd and Axel H. Börsch-Supan

34834: GPT as a Measurement Tool

Hemanth Asirvatham, Elliott Mokski and Andrei Shleifer

34833: Dynamic Complementarity

James Heckman, Haihan Tian, Zijian Zhang and Jin Zhou

34832: Gender Norms and Development

Erica M. Field, Madeline McKelway and Alessandra Voena

34831: More Hours, More Work: Head Start Expansions Boost Maternal Employment

Chloe Gibbs, Esra Kose and Maria Rosales-Rueda

34830: Using Life Satisfaction Data to Measure Parents' Child Gender Preferences

Anna Barbeta-Margarit, Seema Jayachandran and Suanna Oh

34829: Mass Media and Contraception Use: An Experimental Test of Modernization Theory in Burkina Faso

Rachel Glennerster, Joanna Murray and Victor Pouliquen

34828: Seeing Green: The Effects of Financial Exposures on Support for Climate Action

Michelle Hanlon, Saumitra Jha, Namrata Kala, Nemit Shroff and Chagai Weiss

34827: Threshold Disclosure in Collective Decisions

Luca Braghieri, Leonardo Bursztyn and Jan Fasnacht

34826: A Population Perspective on the Beneficiaries of Public and Private Assistance Immediately and over the Long-term After a Major Disaster

Elizabeth Frankenberg, Nicholas Ingwersen, Cecep Sumantri and Duncan Thomas

34825: Hierarchy and Performance Pay: Experimental Evidence from the Public Sector

Garance Genicot, Zahra Mansoor and Ghazala Mansuri

34824: Interest Rate Pass-Through With Adjustable Rate Mortgages

Manuel Adelino, Miguel Ferreira and Sujiao Zhao

34823: Currency Pegs, Trade Imbalances and Unemployment: A Reevaluation of the China Shock

Bumsoo Kim, Marc De la Barrea and Masao Fukui

34822: Incentives and Prosocial Discomfort: A Laboratory Experiment

Grace E. Steward, Mario Macis, Nicola Lacetera, Jeffrey P. Kahn and Vikram Chib

34821: Marriage and the Intergenerational Mobility of Women: Evidence from Marriage Certificates 1850-1920

Katherine Eriksson, Gregory Niemesh, Myera Rashid and Jacqueline Craig

34820: Are Government Bonds Safe in Times of War and Pandemic?

Zhengyang Jiang, Hanno Lustig, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh and Mindy Xiaolan

34819: Financial Incentives, Health Screening, and Selection into Mental Health Care: Experimental Evidence from College Students in India

Emily Breza, Kevin Carney, Vijaya Raghavan, Kailash Rajah, Thara Rangaswamy, Gautam Rao, Frank Schilbach, Sobia Shadbar and James Stratton

34818: Residential Segregation and Unequal Access to Local Public Services in India: Evidence from 1.5m Neighborhoods

Sam Asher, Kritarth Jha, Paul Novosad, Anjali Adukia and Brandon Tan

34817: International Currency Dominance

Joseph Abadi, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde and Daniel Sanches

34816: Extractive Taxation and the French Revolution

Tommaso Giommoni, Gabriel Loumeau and Marco Tabellini

34815: Screen More, Sell Later: Screening and Dynamic Signaling in the Mortgage Market

Manuel Adelino, Bin Wei and Feng Zhao

34814: Interest Rates and Equity Valuations

Niels Joachim Gormsen and Eben Lazarus

34813: The Politics of AI

Nicholas Bloom and Christos Makridis

34812: Early Learning Across Decades: Advances in Measuring Head Start Effectiveness

Chloe Gibbs

34811: Field Experiments in the Science of Science: Lessons from Peer Review and the Evaluation of New Knowledge

Kevin Boudreau

34810: Searching for Fish in Trees (緣木求魚)? Economic Development when Context Matters

Jacob Moscona, Nathan Nunn and James Robinson

34809: Progress or Backsliding? Changes in the Gender Wage Gap for Business Professionals

Ann Harrison, Laura J. Kray and Noor Sethi

34808: AI Personality Extraction from Faces: Labor Market Implications

Marius Guenzel, Shimon Kogan, Marina Niessner and Kelly Shue

34807: AI, Opinion Ecosystems, and Finance

David Hirshleifer, Lin Peng, Qiguang Wang, Weichen Zhang and Xiaoyan Zhang

34806: Heaven or Earth? The Evolving Role of Global Shocks for Domestic Monetary Policy

Kristin Forbes, Jongrim Ha and Ayhan Kose

34805: School Vaping Bans and Youth E-Cigarette Use

Dhaval Dave, Jooyoung Kim, Nikolaos Prodromidis and Joseph J. Sabia

34804: Aggregate Employment and the Rise of Services across Time and Countries

Margarida Duarte and Diego Restuccia

34803: Inferring Prices from Quantities

David Argente, Chang-Tai Hsieh and Munseob Lee

34802: Competition and Fraud in Health Care

Renuka M. Diwan, Paul Eliason, Riley League, Jetson Leder-Luis, Ryan McDevitt and James W. Roberts

34801: Loan-funded Loans: Equity-like Liabilities inside Bank Holding Companies

Jennie Bai, Murillo Campello and Pradeep Muthukrishnan

34800: Class Mobility in the Era of Rising Inequality: A Synthetic Dynasty Analysis

Geoffrey Wodtke, Weiqi Wang, Kristina Butaeva and Steven Durlauf

34799: The Effect of Exposure: Evidence from Spatial Choices in Nairobi

Joshua T. Dean, Gabriel Kreindler and Oluchi Mbonu

34798: Indebted Supply and Monetary Policy: A Theory of Financial Dominance

Viral Acharya, Guillaume Plantin and Olivier Wang

34797: Contract Design and Insurance Demand

Jing Cai

34796: Clustered Network Connectedness: A New Measurement Framework, with Application to Global Equity Markets

Bastien Buchwalter, Francis Diebold and Kamil Yilmaz

34795: Younger Firms and CEOs Allow More Work from Home

Cevat Giray Aksoy, Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Katelyn Cranney, Steven Davis, Mathias Dolls and Pablo Zárate

34794: ICE Arrests across Trump’s First and Second Terms: Variation in Targeting, Method, and Geography

Chloe East, Caitlin Patler and Elizabeth Cox

34793: The H-1B Wage Gap, Visa Fees, and Employer Demand

George Borjas

34792: American Investment in Chinese Renminbi

Bruno Cavani, Christopher Clayton, Amanda Dos Santos, Matteo Maggiori and Jesse Schreger

34791: Is Immigration Good for Health? The Effect of Immigration on Older Adult Mortality in the United States

David C. Grabowski, Jonathan Gruber and Brian E. McGarry

34790: The Economic Impact of Mass Deportations

Javier Cravino, Andrei Levchenko, Francesc Ortega and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar

34789: Geopolitics in the Evaluation of International Scientific Collaboration

Alexander C. Furnas, Ruixue Jia, Margaret E. Roberts and Dashun Wang

34788: Coca’s Return and the American Overdose Fallout

Xinming Du, Benjamin Hansen, Shan Zhang and Eric Zou

34787: Protest Matters: The Effects of Protests on Economic Redistribution

Belinda Archibong, Chinemelu Okafor, Evans S. Osabuohien and Tom Moerenhout

34786: Well-being Increases in Age Among Workers: Evidence From 103 Countries

David Blanchflower and Alex Bryson

34785: Trade and US Inequality in the Tokyo Round

Andrew Greenland, James Lake and John Lopresti

34784: Changing Culture and Norms in Developing Countries

Eliana La Ferrara and David Yanagizawa-Drott

34783: Banking on Inattention

Xu Lu and Lingxuan Wu

34782: Managers and the Cultural Transmission of Gender Norms

Virginia Minni, Kieu-Trang Nguyen, Heather Sarsons and Carla Srebot

34781: Enhancing Worker Productivity Without Automating Tasks: A Different Approach to AI and the Task-Based Model

Ajay Agrawal, John McHale and Alexander Oettl

34780: Optimal Use of Preferences in Artificial Intelligence Algorithms

Joshua Gans

34779: A.I. and Our Economic Future

Charles Jones

34778: The Effect of Charter Schools on Identification, Service Provision, and Achievement of Students with Disabilities

Scott Imberman and Andrew S. Johnson

34777: AI and the Quantity and Quality of Creative Products: Have LLMs Boosted Creation of Valuable Books?

Imke Reimers and Joel Waldfogel

34776: Audit Centralization and Audit Quality: Evidence from Chinese Cities

Jian Chu, Raymond Fisman, Yongxiang Wang and Maoliang Ye

34775: Immigration Restrictions and Natives' Intergenerational Mobility: Evidence from the 1920s US Quota Acts

James Feigenbaum, Yi-Ju Hung, Marco Tabellini and Monia Tomasella

34774: Estimating Demand Systems with Bidding Data

Jason Allen, Jakub Kastl and Milena Wittwer

34773: How do Foundations Help Charities (Beyond Giving them Money)?

Daniel Hungerman, Teresa Harrison and Sherry X. Li

34772: Stress Relief? Externalities from Specialty Hospital Entry

Daniel R. Arnold, Michael R. Richards and Christopher Whaley

34771: Dynamic Selection and the Puzzle of Slow Climate Change Adaptation in U.S. Agriculture

Robert Huang and Matthew Kahn

34770: The Life-cycle of Concentrated Industries

Martin Beraja and Francisco Buera

34769: Why Does Height Pay? Evidence from the Kenya Life Panel Survey

Wilson King, Edward Miguel and Michael Walker

34768: Welfare Added? Optimal Teacher Assignment with Value-Added Measures

Tanner S. Eastmond, Michael Ricks, Julian Betts and Nathan Mather

34767: Life-Cycle Effects of Women's Education on their Careers and Children

Na'ama Shenhav and Danielle Sandler

34766: Competition, Procurement and Learning-By-Doing in the Space Launch Industry

Ruibing Su, Chenyu Yang and Andrew Sweeting

34765: The Future of Monetarism after Milton Friedman

Michael Bordo

34764: How Does Tort Reform Affect Health Care Delivery?

Charles Courtemanche and Joseph Garuccio

34763: Driving Innovation: The Policy Tools Powering Electric Vehicle Technological Inventions

Jingni Zhang and David Popp