NBER Working Papers

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31880: The Power of Proximity to Coworkers: Training for Tomorrow or Productivity Today?

Natalia Emanuel, Emma Harrington and Amanda Pallais

31879: Supply and Demand and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

Robin Greenwood, Samuel Hanson and Dimitri Vayanos

31878: Recent Developments in Financial Risk and the Real Economy

Ian Dew-Becker and Stefano Giglio

31877: Combinatorial Discrete Choice: Theory and Application to Multinational Production

Costas Arkolakis, Fabian Eckert and Rowan Shi

31876: International Trade Responses to Labor Market Regulations

Mathilde Muñoz

31875: The Economics of Long-Term Care in Canada

Kevin Milligan and Tammy Schirle

31874: Late Bloomers: The Aggregate Implications of Getting Education Later in Life

Zsofia Barany, Moshe Buchinsky and Pauline Corblet

31873: The Environmental Impacts of Protected Area Policy

Mathias Reynaert, Eduardo A. Souza-Rodrigues and Arthur A. van Benthem

31872: A Model of Behavioral Manipulation

Daron Acemoglu, Ali Makhdoumi, Azarakhsh Malekian and Asuman Ozdaglar

31871: Geographic Variation in Cesarean Sections in the United States: Trends, Correlates, and Other Interesting Facts

Sarah Robinson, Heather Royer and David Silver

31870: Long-term Care in Germany

Johannes Geyer, Axel H. Börsch-Supan, Peter Haan and Elsa Perdrix

31869: One Says Goodbye, Another Says Hello: Turnover and Compensation in the Early Care and Education Sector

Flavio Cunha and Marcos Lee

31868: Identification using Revealed Preferences in Linearly Separable Models

Nikhil Agarwal, Pearl Z. Li and Paulo J. Somaini

31867: The Impact of Right-to-Work Laws on Long Hours and Work Schedules

Rania Gihleb, Osea Giuntella and Jian Qi Tan

31866: Job Transitions and Employee Earnings After Acquisitions: Linking Corporate and Worker Outcomes

David Arnold, Kevin Milligan, Terry Moon and Amirhossein Tavakoli

31865: The Deposit Business at Large vs. Small Banks

Adrien d'Avernas, Andrea Eisfeldt, Can Huang, Richard Stanton and Nancy Wallace

31864: Financial Windfalls, Portfolio Allocations, and Risk Preferences

Joseph S. Briggs, David Cesarini, Sean Chanwook Lee, Erik Lindqvist and Robert Östling

31863: When do Treasuries Earn the Convenience Yield? — A Hedging Perspective

Viral Acharya and Toomas Laarits

31862: Are Swedish House Prices Too High? Why the Price-to-Income Ratio Is a Misleading Indicator

Lars Svensson

31861: Long-term Care in Italy

Agar Brugiavini, Ludovico Carrino and Giacomo Pasini

31860: Trade Uncertainty and U.S. Bank Lending

Ricardo Correa, Julian di Giovanni, Linda Goldberg and Camelia Minoiu

31859: What Drives Booms and Busts in Value?

John Campbell, Stefano Giglio and Christopher Polk

31858: The Long-run Effect of Air Pollution on Survival

Tatyana Deryugina and Julian Reif

31857: Forecasting the Impact of Racial Uprisings, Market versus Stakeholders' Expectations

Bocar A. Ba, Roman Rivera and Alexander Whitefield

31856: Who Invests in Crypto? Wealth, Financial Constraints, and Risk Attitudes

Darren Aiello, Scott Baker, Tetyana Balyuk, Marco Di Maggio, Mark J. Johnson and Jason Kotter

31855: Safety Reviews on Airbnb: An Information Tale

Aron Culotta, Ginger Zhe Jin, Yidan Sun and Liad Wagman

31854: Perspectives on the Labor Share

Loukas Karabarbounis

31853: The Long-Term Distributional Impacts of a Full-Year Interleaving Math Program in Nigeria

Lotte van der Haar, Guthrie Gray-Lobe, Michael Kremer and Joost de Laat

31852: A Framework for Geoeconomics

Christopher Clayton, Matteo Maggiori and Jesse Schreger

31851: Implications of Asset Market Data for Equilibrium Models of Exchange Rates

Zhengyang Jiang, Arvind Krishnamurthy and Hanno Lustig

31850: What about Japan?

YiLi Chien, Harold Cole and Hanno Lustig

31849: Policymakers' Uncertainty

Anna Cieslak, Stephen Hansen, Michael McMahon and Song Xiao

31848: The Active Role of the Natural Rate of Unemployment

Robert E. Hall and Marianna Kudlyak

31847: Spillover Effects at School: How Black Teachers affect their White Peers’ Racial Competency

Seth Gershenson, Constance A. Lindsay, Nicholas Papageorge, Romaine A. Campbell and Jessica H. Rendon

31846: Technology and Labor Displacement: Evidence from Linking Patents with Worker-Level Data

Leonid Kogan, Dimitris Papanikolaou, Lawrence Schmidt and Bryan Seegmiller

31845: Differences in How and Why Social Comparison and Real-Time Feedback Impact Resource Use: Evidence from a Field Experiment

Mark Andor, Lorenz Goette, Michael Price, Anna Schulze Tilling and Lukas Tomberg

31844: Do Two Wrongs Make a Right? Measuring the Effect of Publications on Science Careers

Donna Ginther, Carlos Zambrana, Patricia Oslund and Wan-Ying Chang

31843: Life and Death at the Margins of Society: The Mortality of the U.S. Homeless Population

Bruce Meyer, Angela Wyse and Ilina Logani

31842: Designing Difference in Difference Studies With Staggered Treatment Adoption: Key Concepts and Practical Guidelines

Seth Freedman, Alex Hollingsworth, Kosali Simon, Coady Wing and Madeline Yozwiak

31841: To Go Electric or To Burn Coal? A Randomized Field Experiment of Informational Nudges

Hanming Fang, King King Li and Peiyao Shen

31840: Foreign Competition and Innovation

Elhanan Helpman

31839: Daily Momentum and New Investors in an Emerging Stock Market

Zhenyu Gao, Wenxi Jiang, Wei A. Xiong and Wei Xiong

31838: Fiscal Influences on Inflation in OECD Countries, 2020-2023

Robert Barro and Francesco Bianchi

31837: The A.I. Dilemma: Growth versus Existential Risk

Charles Jones

31836: The Impact of Fake Reviews on Demand and Welfare

Jesper Akesson, Robert W. Hahn, Robert Metcalfe and Manuel Monti-Nussbaum

31835: A Tale of Two Fields? STEM Career Outcomes

Xuan Jiang, Joseph Staudt and Bruce Weinberg

31834: Lagged-Price Reimbursement Contracts: The Impact of Medicare Part B on Pharmaceutical Price Growth

Angelique Acquatella, Keith Marzilli Ericson and Amanda Starc

31833: Risk Preferences Implied by Synthetic Options

Ian Dew-Becker and Stefano Giglio

31832: Asset Pricing in a Low Rate Environment

Marlon Azinovic, Harold Cole and Felix Kubler

31831: Do Water Audits Work?

Jesper Akesson, Robert W. Hahn, Rajat Kochhar and Robert Metcalfe

31830: Competition, Harmonization and Redistribution: Corporate Taxes in Switzerland

Marius Brülhart, Marko Koethenbuerger, Matthias Krapf, Raphaël Parchet, Kurt Schmidheiny and David Staubli

31829: Long-term Care in Japan

Rong Fu, Toshiaki Iizuka and Haruko Noguchi

31828: Preemptive Austerity with Rollover Risk

Juan Carlos Conesa and Timothy Kehoe

31827: Partisan Traps

Ethan Bueno de Mesquita and Wioletta Dziuda

31826: Long-term Care in England

James Banks, Eric French and Jeremy McCauley

31825: Universalizing the Access to Long-term Care: Evidence from Spain

Joan Costa-Font, Sergi Jimenez-Martin, Cristina Vilaplana-Prieto and Analía Viola

31824: Tax Policy and the Heterogeneous Costs of Homeownership

Kelly Bishop, Jakob Dowling, Nicolai Kuminoff and Alvin Murphy

31823: Long-term care in the Netherlands

Pieter Bakx, Eddy Van Doorslaer and Bram Wouterse

31822: Greater Than the Sum of Its Parts: Aggregate vs. Aggregated Inflation Expectations

Alexander Dietrich, Edward Knotek, Kristian O. Myrseth, Robert Rich, Raphael Schoenle and Michael Weber

31821: Convergent Evolution Toward the Joint-Stock Company

David Le Bris, William Goetzmann and Sébastien Pouget

31820: Hidden Exposure: Measuring US Supply Chain Reliance

Richard Baldwin, Rebecca Freeman and Angelos Theodorakopoulos

31819: Social Insurance and Migration: Evidence from a Nation-Wide Institutional Reform in China

Fanghua Li, Chenyang Ji and Moshe Buchinsky

31818: Does Wage Theft Vary by Demographic Group? Evidence from Minimum Wage Increases

Jeffrey Clemens and Michael Strain

31817: Semiparametric Conditional Factor Models: Estimation and Inference

Qihui Chen, Nikolai Roussanov and Xiaoliang Wang

31816: How Does Medicaid Expansion Impact Income Support Program Participation and Employment for Different Types of People with Disabilities?

Ari Ne'eman and Nicole Maestas

31815: Economic Growth under Transformative AI

Philip Trammell and Anton Korinek

31814: Analyzing Bounded Count Data

John Mullahy

31813: Dirty Air and Green Investments: The Impact of Pollution Information on Portfolio Allocations

Raymond Fisman, Pulak Ghosh, Arkodipta Sarkar and Jian Zhang

31812: The Impact of the Global COVID-19 Vaccination Campaign on All-Cause Mortality

Virat Agrawal, Neeraj Sood and Christopher Whaley

31811: Wars and the Labor Market Outcomes of Minorities in the U.S

Andreas Ferrara

31810: Heterogeneous Agent Trade

Michael Waugh

31809: China’s Nationwide CO2 Emissions Trading System: A General Equilibrium Assessment

Lawrence H. Goulder, Xianling Long, Chenfei Qu and Da Zhang

31808: Using Macro Counterfactuals to Assess Plausibility: An Illustration using the 2001 Rebate MPCs

Jacob Orchard, Valerie Ramey and Johannes Wieland

31807: When Institutions Interact: How the Effects of Unemployment Insurance are Shaped by Retirement Policies

Matthew Gudgeon, Pablo Guzman, Johannes Schmieder, Simon Trenkle and Han Ye

31806: Laffer's Day in Court: The Revenue Effects of Criminal Justice Fees and Fines

Samuel Norris and Evan K. Rose

31805: Racial Disparities in the Income Tax Treatment of Marriage

Janet Holtzblatt, Swati Joshi, Nora R. Cahill and William Gale

31804: The Effects of Mandatory Profit-Sharing on Workers and Firms: Evidence from France

Elio Nimier-David, David Sraer and David Thesmar

31803: An Economic View of Corporate Social Impact

Hunt Allcott, Giovanni Montanari, Bora Ozaltun and Brandon Tan

31802: Double and Single Descent in Causal Inference with an Application to High-Dimensional Synthetic Control

Jann Spiess, Guido Imbens and Amar Venugopal

31801: Does Paid Sick Leave Facilitate Reproductive Choice?

Johanna Maclean, Ioana Popovici and Christopher Ruhm

31800: Pension Reform, Incentives to Retire and Retirement Behavior: Empirical Evidence from Swedish Micro-data

Lisa Laun and Mårten Palme

31799: Structural Estimation Under Misspecification: Theory and Implications for Practice

Isaiah Andrews, Nano Barahona, Matthew Gentzkow, Ashesh Rambachan and Jesse Shapiro

31798: Why is Trade Not Free? A Revealed Preference Approach

Rodrigo Adão, Arnaud Costinot, Dave Donaldson and John A. Sturm

31797: Deadwood Labor? The Effects of Eliminating Employment Protection for Older Workers

Emmanuel Saez, Benjamin Schoefer and David G. Seim

31796: Strategic Inattention, Inflation Dynamics, and the Non-Neutrality of Money

Hassan Afrouzi

31795: The Topography of Nations

Treb Allen

31794: “Compensate the Losers?” Economic Policy and Partisan Realignment in the US

Ilyana Kuziemko, Nicolas Longuet-Marx and Suresh Naidu

31793: Informal Fiscal Systems in Developing Countries

Shan Aman-Rana, Clement Minaudier and Sandip Sukhtankar

31792: Household Carbon Dioxide Emissions Engel Curve Dynamics

Robert Huang and Matthew Kahn

31791: Divestment and Engagement: The Effect of Green Investors on Corporate Carbon Emissions

Matthew Kahn, John Matsusaka and Chong Shu

31790: How Do Supply Shocks to Inflation Generalize? Evidence from the Pandemic Era in Europe

Viral Acharya, Matteo Crosignani, Tim Eisert and Christian Eufinger

31789: Are Hospital Quality Indicators Causal?

Amitabh Chandra, Maurice Dalton and Doug Staiger

31788: AI Adoption in America: Who, What, and Where

Kristina McElheran, J. Frank Li, Erik Brynjolfsson, Zachary Kroff, Emin Dinlersoz, Lucia Foster and Nikolas Zolas

31787: Global Natural Rates in the Long Run: Postwar Macro Trends and the Market-Implied r* in 10 Advanced Economies

Josh Davis, Cristian Fuenzalida, Leon Huetsch, Benjamin Mills and Alan Taylor

31786: Crime can be a Giffen Good: The Role of Need in Criminal Labor Supply

W. Bentley Macleod

31785: The Effect of Organizations on Physician Prescribing: The Case of Opioids

M. Kate Bundorf, Daniel Kessler and Sahil Lalwani

31784: Macroeconomic Effects of UI Extensions at Short and Long Durations

Miguel Acosta, Andreas Mueller, Emi Nakamura and Jon Steinsson

31783: The Shifting Reasons for Beveridge-Curve Shifts

Gadi Barlevy, Jason Faberman, Bart Hobijn and Aysegul Sahin

31782: The Role of Repugnance in Markets: How the Jared Fogle Scandal Affected Patronage of Subway

John Cawley, Julia Eddelbuettel, Scott Cunningham, Matthew D. Eisenberg, Alan Mathios and Rosemary J. Avery

31781: The Political Economy of a “Miracle Cure”: The Case of Nebulized Ibuprofen and its Diffusion in Argentina

Sebastian Calonico, Rafael Di Tella and Juan Cruz Lopez del Valle