NBER Working Papers

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23611: The Effects of Provider Choice Policies on Workers' Compensation Costs

David Neumark and Bogdan Savych

23610: An Analysis of the Memphis Nurse-Family Partnership Program

James J. Heckman, Margaret L. Holland, Kevin K. Makino, Rodrigo Pinto and Maria Rosales-Rueda

23609: Why Has Regional Income Convergence in the U.S. Declined?

Peter Ganong and Daniel W. Shoag

23608: Measuring Social Connectedness

Michael Bailey, Ruiqing (Rachel) Cao, Theresa Kuchler, Johannes Stroebel and Arlene Wong

23607: The Effects of the Affordable Care Act on Health Insurance Coverage and Labor Market Outcomes

Mark Duggan, Gopi Goda and Emilie Jackson

23606: How Merchant Towns Shaped Parliaments: From the Norman Conquest of England to the Great Reform Act

Charles Angelucci, Simone Meraglia and Nico Voigtländer

23605: The Dire Effects of the Lack of Monetary and Fiscal Coordination

Francesco Bianchi and Leonardo Melosi

23604: Age of Marriage, Weather Shocks, and the Direction of Marriage Payments

Lucia Corno, Nicole Hildebrandt and Alessandra Voena

23603: Individual Results May Vary: Elementary Analytics of Inequality-Probability Bounds, with Applications to Health-Outcome Treatment Effects

John Mullahy

23602: Regression Discontinuity in Time: Considerations for Empirical Applications

Catherine Hausman and David Rapson

23601: The Economic Burden of Chronic Diseases: Estimates and Projections for China, Japan, and South Korea

David Bloom, Simiao Chen, Michael Kuhn, Mark McGovern, Les Oxley and Klaus Prettner

23600: Do People Respond to the Mortage Interest Deduction? Quasi-Experimental Evidence from Denmark

Jonathan Gruber, Amalie Jensen and Henrik Kleven

23599: Institutions and Political Party Systems: The Euro Case

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde and Tano Santos

23598: The Financing of Local Government in China: Stimulus Loan Wanes and Shadow Banking Waxes

Zhuo Chen, Zhiguo He and Chun Liu

23597: Demand for Health Insurance Marketplace Plans Was Highly Elastic in 2014-2015

Jean Abraham, Coleman Drake, Daniel W. Sacks and Kosali I. Simon

23596: Executive Compensation: A Survey of Theory and Evidence

Alex Edmans, Xavier Gabaix and Dirk Jenter

23595: Margins of Labor Market Adjustment to Trade

Rafael Dix-Carneiro and Brian Kovak

23594: Educational Impacts and Cost-Effectiveness of Conditional Cash Transfer Programs in Developing Countries: A Meta-Analysis

Sandra García and Juan Saavedra

23593: Towards a Political Theory of the Firm

Luigi Zingales

23592: Productivity, Taxes, and Hours Worked in Spain: 1970–2015

Juan Carlos Conesa and Timothy Kehoe

23591: Even the Representative Agent Must Die: Using Demographics to Inform Long-Term Social Discount Rates

Eli P. Fenichel, Matthew Kotchen and Ethan T. Addicott

23590: Why Do Defaults Affect Behavior? Experimental Evidence from Afghanistan

Joshua Blumenstock, Michael Callen and Tarek Ghani

23589: Vulnerability and Clientelism

Gustavo Bobonis, Paul Gertler, Marco Gonzalez-Navarro and Simeon Nichter

23588: What Sets College Thrivers and Divers Apart? A Contrast in Study Habits, Attitudes, and Mental Health

Graham Beattie, Jean-William Laliberté, Catherine Michaud-Leclerc and Philip Oreopoulos

23587: A Welfarist Role for Nonwelfarist Rules: An example with envy

Matthew Weinzierl

23586: Optimal Regulation of Financial Intermediaries

Sebastian Di Tella

23585: Check Up Before You Check Out: Retail Clinics and Emergency Room Use

Diane Alexander, Janet Currie and Molly Schnell

23584: The Employment Effects of Minimum Wages: Some Questions We Need to Answer

David Neumark

23583: Declining Competition and Investment in the U.S

German Gutierrez and Thomas Philippon

23582: The Arrival of Fast Internet and Employment in Africa

Jonas Hjort and Jonas Poulsen

23581: Geography, Search Frictions and Endogenous Trade Costs

Giulia Brancaccio, Myrto Kalouptsidi and Theodore Papageorgiou

23580: The Cyclical Sensitivity in Estimates of Potential Output

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Mauricio Ulate

23579: Risk Preferences in Small and Large Stakes: Evidence from Insurance Contract Decisions

Benjamin Collier, Daniel Schwartz, Howard C. Kunreuther and Erwann Michel-Kerjan

23578: Income Mobility, Income Risk and Welfare

Tom Krebs, Pravin Krishna and William Maloney

23577: Geographic Cross-Sectional Fiscal Spending Multipliers: What Have We Learned?

Gabriel Chodorow-Reich

23576: Incentives for Replication in Economics

Sebastian Galiani, Paul Gertler and Mauricio Romero

23575: Risky Business? The Effect of Majoring in Business on Earnings and Educational Attainment

Rodney J. Andrews, Scott Imberman and Michael Lovenheim

23574: The Methuselah Effect: The Pernicious Impact of Unreported Deaths on Old Age Mortality Estimates

Dan Black, Yu-Chieh Hsu, Seth G. Sanders, Lynne Steuerle Schofield and Lowell Taylor

23573: Juvenile Punishment, High School Graduation and Adult Crime: Evidence from Idiosyncratic Judge Harshness

Ozkan Eren and Naci Mocan

23572: Balance-Sheet Diversification in General Equilibrium: Identification and Network Effects

Jonas Heipertz, Amine Ouazad, Romain Ranciere and Natacha Valla

23571: Long-Term Trends in Private School Enrollments by Family Income

Richard Murnane and Sean F. Reardon

23570: Making the House a Home: The Stimulative Effect of Home Purchases on Consumption and Investment

Efraim Benmelech, Adam Guren and Brian Melzer

23569: Identification in Ascending Auctions, with an Application to Digital Rights Management

Joachim Freyberger and Bradley Larsen

23568: Using Instrumental Variables for Inference about Policy Relevant Treatment Effects

Magne Mogstad, Andres Santos and Alexander Torgovitsky

23567: Can Financial Incentives Help People Trying to Establish New Habits? Experimental Evidence with New Gym Members

Mariana Carrera, Heather Royer, Mark Stehr and Justin Sydnor

23566: What Do Consumers Consider Before They Choose? Identification from Asymmetric Demand Responses

Jason Abaluck and Abi Adams

23565: The Shifting Drivers of Global Liquidity

Stefan Avdjiev, Leonardo Gambacorta, Linda Goldberg and Stefano Schiaffi

23564: Double/Debiased Machine Learning for Treatment and Structural Parameters

Victor Chernozhukov, Denis Chetverikov, Mert Demirer, Esther Duflo, Christian Hansen, Whitney Newey and James Robins

23563: The Economics of Value Investing

Kewei Hou, Haitao Mo, Chen Xue and Lu Zhang

23562: The Global Factor in Neutral Policy Rates: Some Implications for Exchange Rates, Monetary Policy, and Policy Coordination

Richard Clarida

23561: Institutional Investors and Information Acquisition: Implications for Asset Prices and Informational Efficiency

Matthijs Breugem and Adrian Buss

23560: Opening Access: Banks and Politics in New York from the Revolution to the Civil War

Howard Bodenhorn

23559: Populism and the Economics of Globalization

Dani Rodrik

23558: How Soon Is Now? Evidence of Present Bias from Convex Time Budget Experiments

Uttara Balakrishnan, Johannes Haushofer and Pamela Jakiela

23557: Investing in the Presence of Massive Flows: The Case of MSCI Country Reclassifications

Terence Burnham, Harry Gakidis and Jeffrey Wurgler

23556: Equilibrium in a Competitive Insurance Market Under Adverse Selection with Endogenous Information

Joseph Stiglitz, Jungyoll Yun and Andrew Kosenko

23555: Show me the Money: Federal R&D Support for Academic Chemistry, 1990-2009

Joshua Rosenbloom and Donna Ginther

23554: Stock Volatility and the Great Depression

Gustavo Cortes and Marc Weidenmier

23553: Default Effects and Follow-On Behavior: Evidence from an Electricity Pricing Program

Meredith Fowlie, Catherine Wolfram, C. Anna Spurlock, Annika Todd, Patrick Baylis and Peter Cappers

23552: Leisure Luxuries and the Labor Supply of Young Men

Mark Aguiar, Mark Bils, Kerwin Kofi Charles and Erik Hurst

23551: Pathways to Retirement through Self-Employment

Shanthi Ramnath, John B. Shoven and Sita Slavov

23550: The Consequences of Educational Voucher Reform in Chile

Richard Murnane, Marcus R. Waldman, John B. Willett, Maria Soledad Bos and Emiliana Vegas

23549: Expect Above Average Temperatures: Identifying the Economic Impacts of Climate Change

Derek Lemoine

23548: Why Are Some Immigrant Groups More Successful than Others?

Edward Lazear

23547: What Was the Industrial Revolution?

Robert Lucas

23546: The Effect of Cash Injections: Evidence from the 1980s Farm Debt Crisis

Nittai K. Bergman, Rajkamal Iyer and Richard Thakor

23545: Targeted Debt Relief and the Origins of Financial Distress: Experimental Evidence from Distressed Credit Card Borrowers

Will Dobbie and Jae Song

23544: Split-Sample Strategies for Avoiding False Discoveries

Michael Anderson and Jeremy Magruder

23543: The Disappointing Recovery of Output after 2009

John Fernald, Robert E. Hall, James H. Stock and Mark Watson

23542: The Impact of Alcohol on Mental Health, Physical Fitness, and Job Performance

Marigee Bacolod, Jesse Cunha and Yu-Chu Shen

23541: Internal Capital Markets in Times of Crisis: The Benefit of Group Affiliation in Italy

Raffaele Santioni, Fabio Schiantarelli and Philip E. Strahan

23540: The Aggregate Productivity Effects of Internal Migration: Evidence from Indonesia

Gharad Bryan and Melanie Morten

23539: Survey Under-Coverage of Top Incomes and Estimation of Inequality: What is the Role of the UK’s SPI Adjustment?

Richard Burkhauser, Nicolas Hérault, Stephen Jenkins and Roger Wilkins

23538: The Integration of Economic History into Economics

Robert Margo

23537: Mandatory Access Prescription Drug Monitoring Programs and Prescription Drug Abuse

Dhaval Dave, Anca M. Grecu and Henry Saffer

23536: Supply- and Demand-side Factors in Global Banking

Mary Amiti, Patrick McGuire and David Weinstein

23535: Foundations of Welfare Economics and Product Market Applications

Daniel McFadden

23534: A Framework for Sharing Confidential Research Data, Applied to Investigating Differential Pay by Race in the U. S. Government

Andrés F. Barrientos, Alexander Bolton, Tom Balmat, Jerome P. Reiter, John M. de Figueiredo, Ashwin Machanavajjhala, Yan Chen, Charles Kneifel and Mark DeLong

23533: Impacts of Climate Change and Extreme Weather on U.S. Agricultural Productivity: Evidence and Projection

Sun Ling Wang, Eldon Ball, Richard Nehring, Ryan Williams and Truong Chau

23532: Minimum Wage Increases, Wages, and Low-Wage Employment: Evidence from Seattle

Ekaterina Jardim, Mark Long, Robert Plotnick, Emma van Inwegen, Jacob Vigdor and Hilary Wething

23531: Innovation and American K-12 Education

Aaron Chatterji

23530: The Role of Hospital and Market Characteristics in Invasive Cardiac Service Diffusion

Jill R. Horwitz, Charleen Hsuan and Austin Nichols

23529: How Restricted is the Job Mobility of Skilled Temporary Work Visa Holders?

Jennifer Hunt

23528: Scraping By: Income and Program Participation After the Loss of Extended Unemployment Benefits

Jesse Rothstein and Robert Valletta

23527: Inference on Risk Premia in the Presence of Omitted Factors

Stefano Giglio and Dacheng Xiu

23526: Does Strategic Ability Affect Efficiency? Evidence from Electricity Markets

Ali Hortaçsu, Fernando Luco, Steven Puller and Dongni Zhu

23525: Women and STEM

Shulamit Kahn and Donna Ginther

23524: Long-Run Pollution Exposure and Adult Mortality: Evidence from the Acid Rain Program

Alan Barreca, Matthew Neidell and Nicholas J. Sanders

23523: Beetles: Biased Promotions and Persistence of False Belief

George Akerlof and Pascal Michaillat

23522: The Relevance of Broker Networks for Information Diffusion in the Stock Market

Marco Di Maggio, Francesco Franzoni, Amir Kermani and Carlo Sommavilla

23521: A Generalized Approach to Indeterminacy in Linear Rational Expectations Models

Francesco Bianchi and Giovanni Nicolò

23520: High School Genetic Diversity and Later-life Student Outcomes: Micro-level Evidence from the Wisconsin Longitudinal Study

Justin Cook and Jason Fletcher

23519: Heterogeneous Yield Impacts from Adoption of Genetically Engineered Corn and the Importance of Controlling for Weather

Jayson Lusk, Jesse Tack and Nathan Hendricks

23518: Health Plan Payment in Medicaid Managed Care: A Hybrid Model of Regulated Competition

Timothy Layton, Alice K. Ndikumana and Mark Shepard

23517: The Shock of Falling Among Older Americans

Inas Kelly

23516: Unions, Workers, and Wages at the Peak of the American Labor Movement

Brantly Callaway and William Collins

23515: Reorganization or Liquidation: Bankruptcy Choice and Firm Dynamics

P. Dean Corbae and Pablo D'Erasmo

23514: Mortality Inequality in Canada and the U.S.: Divergent or Convergent Trends?

Michael Baker, Janet Currie and Hannes Schwandt

23513: Crop Disease and Agricultural Productivity

Christine L. Carroll, Colin Carter, Rachael Goodhue and C.-Y. Cynthia Lin Lawell

23512: Credit Market Freezes

Efraim Benmelech and Nittai K. Bergman