NBER Working Papers

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32880: Neoclassical Growth Transition Dynamics with One-Sided Commitment

Dirk Krueger, Fulin Li and Harald Uhlig

32879: The Declining Mental Health of the Young in the UK

David Blanchflower, Alex Bryson and David N.F. Bell

32878: Minimum Wages in the 21st Century

Arindrajit Dube and Attila S. Lindner

32877: Capital Controls on Outflows: New Evidence and a Theoretical Framework

Roberto Chang, Andrés Fernández Martin and Humberto Martinez

32876: Exchange Rate Determination under Limits to CIP Arbitrage

Philippe Bacchetta, Jonathan Davis and Eric van Wincoop

32875: Innovation Networks in the Industrial Revolution

Lukas Rosenberger, W Hanlon and Carl Hallmann

32874: Industrial Composition of Syndicated Loans and Banks' Climate Commitments

Galina Hale, Brigid Meisenbacher and Fernanda Nechio

32873: How the World Became Rich by Mark Koyama and Jared Rubin and Slouching Towards Utopia, by J. Bradford DeLong: A Review Essay

Steven Durlauf

32872: Tasks At Work: Comparative Advantage, Technology and Labor Demand

Daron Acemoglu, Fredric Kong and Pascual Restrepo

32871: Markups and Markdowns

Chad Syverson

32870: The Potential Long-Run Implications of a Permanently-Expanded Child Tax Credit

Elizabeth Ananat and Irwin Garfinkel

32869: The Politicization of Social Responsibility

Todd A. Gormley, Manish Jha and Meng Wang

32868: International Spillovers of U.S. Fiscal Challenges

Joshua Aizenman, William Eldén, Yothin Jinjarak, Gazi Uddin and Frida Widholm

32867: Can Technical Education in High School Smooth Postsecondary Transitions for Students with Disabilities?

Eric Brunner, Shaun Dougherty and Stephen Ross

32866: Poverty and Health

Adriana Lleras-Muney, Hannes Schwandt and Laura Wherry

32865: Crypto Tax Evasion

Tom G. Meling, Magne Mogstad and Arnstein Vestre

32864: Busing to Opportunity? The Impacts of the METCO Voluntary School Desegregation Program on Urban Students of Color

Elizabeth Setren

32863: Learning Firm Conduct: Pass-Through as a Foundation for Instrument Relevance

Adam Dearing, Lorenzo Magnolfi, Daniel Quint, Christopher J. Sullivan and Sarah B. Waldfogel

32862: The Causes and Consequences of U.S. Teacher Strikes

Melissa Arnold Lyon, Matthew Kraft and Matthew P. Steinberg

32861: Taxation and Household Decisions: an Intertemporal Analysis

Mary Ann Bronson, Daniel Haanwinckel and Maurizio Mazzocco

32860: Race, Ethnicity, and Measurement Error

Bruce Meyer, Nikolas Mittag and Derek Wu

32859: The Drivers of Post-Pandemic Inflation

Domenico Giannone and Giorgio Primiceri

32858: Dual Credit Markets: Income Risk, Household Debt, and Consumption

David A. Matsa, Brian Melzer and Michal Zator

32857: CBDCs, Payment Firms, and Geopolitics

Tobias Berg, Jan Keil, Felix Martini and Manju Puri

32856: The Effect of Emergency Financial Assistance on Employment and Earnings

Daniel Hungerman, David Phillips, Kevin Rinz and James Sullivan

32855: NAR Settlement, House Prices, and Consumer Welfare

Greg Buchak, Gregor Matvos, Tomasz Piskorski and Amit Seru

32854: Have CEOs Changed?

Yann Decressin, Steven N. Kaplan and Morten Sorensen

32853: Fair Trade Agreements

Francesco Passarelli and Robert Staiger

32852: Direct and Indirect Taxes in Pollution Dynamics

Vladimir Smirnyagin, Aleh Tsyvinski and Xi Wu

32851: Parental Investments and Skills Formation During Infancy and Youth: Long Term Evidence From an Early Childhood Intervention

Orazio Attanasio, Darwin Cortés, Darío Maldonado, Paul Rodriguez-Lesmes, Nathalie Charpak, Rejean Tessier, Juan G. Ruiz, Juan Gallego, Tiberio Hernandez, Felipe Uriza and Andres Gallegos

32850: Spooky Boundaries at a Distance: Inductive Bias, Dynamic Models, and Behavioral Macro

Mahdi E. Kahou, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Sebastian Gomez-Cardona, Jesse Perla and Jan Rosa

32849: People, Practices, and Productivity: A Review of New Advances in Personnel Economics

Mitchell Hoffman and Christopher T. Stanton

32848: Firm Adaptation to Climate Change

Arti Grover and Matthew Kahn

32847: Eliciting Thresholds for Interdependent Behavior

Moritz Janas, Nikos Nikiforakis and Simon Siegenthaler

32846: The Consumer Welfare Effects of Online Ads: Evidence from a 9-Year Experiment

Erik Brynjolfsson, Avinash Collis, Asad Liaqat, Daley Kutzman, Haritz Garro, Daniel Deisenroth and Nils Wernerfelt

32845: Credit When You Need It

Benjamin L. Collier, Daniel Hartley, Benjamin Keys and Jing Xian Ng

32844: Technology Adoption and Career Concerns: Evidence from the Adoption of Digital Technology in Motion Pictures

Grant Goehring, Filippo Mezzanotti and S. Abraham (Avri) Ravid

32843: Who Benefits from Retirement Saving Incentives in the U.S.? Evidence on Gaps in Retirement Wealth Accumulation by Race and Parental Income

Taha Choukhmane, Jorge Colmenares, Cormac O'Dea, Jonathan Rothbaum and Lawrence Schmidt

32842: School Milestones Impact Child Mental Health in Taiwan

Kuan-Ming Chen, Janet Currie, Hui Ding and Wei-Lun Lo

32841: Reserve Asset Competition and the Global Fiscal Cycle

Zhengyang Jiang and Robert Richmond

32840: Managing Margins: PE Effects on Financial, Physical, and Human Capital

Michael R. Richards, Maggie Shi and Christopher Whaley

32839: Parental Leave: Economic Incentives and Cultural Change

James Albrecht, Per-Anders Edin, Raquel Fernandez, Jiwon Lee, Peter Thoursie and Susan Vroman

32838: Why Do Europeans Save? Micro-Evidence from the Household Finance and Consumption Survey

Charles Horioka and Luigi Ventura

32837: Toward an Understanding of the Economics of Prosumers: Evidence from a Natural Field Experiment

John List, Ioannis C. Pragidis and Michael Price

32836: Money in a Heterogeneous Agent Model

Roger Farmer

32835: Reciprocity and the China Shock

Chad Bown, Lorenzo Caliendo, Fernando Parro, Robert Staiger and Alan O. Sykes

32834: Remote Work and Political Preferences: Evidence from U.S. Counties

Benjamin Cowan and Kairon Shayne D. Garcia

32833: Vertical Integration and Plan Design in Healthcare Markets

José Ignacio Cuesta, Carlos Noton and Benjamin Vatter

32832: Disemployment Effects of Unemployment Insurance: A Meta-Analysis

Jonathan Cohen and Peter Ganong

32831: Can Operation Warp Speed Serve as a Model for Accelerating Innovations Beyond COVID Vaccines?

Arielle D'Souza, Kendall Hoyt, Christopher Snyder and Alec Stapp

32830: Modeling Uncertainty in Climate Policy: An Application to the US IRA

James Bushnell and Aaron Smith

32829: A Business Case for Human Rights at Work? Experimental Evidence on Labor Trafficking and Child Labor at Brick Kilns in Bangladesh

Grant Miller, Debashish Biswas, Aprajit Mahajan, Kimberly Singer Babiarz, Nina R. Brooks, Jessie Brunner, Sania Ashraf, Jack Shane, Sameer Maithel, Shoeb Ahmed, Moogdho Mahzab, Mohammad Rofi Uddin, Mahbubur Rahman and Stephen P. Luby

32828: Smaller than We Thought? The Effect of Automatic Savings Policies

James Choi, David Laibson, Jordan Cammarota, Richard Lombardo and John Beshears

32827: The Rise of Teamwork and Career Prospects in Academic Science

Mabel Andalón, Catherine de Fontenay, Donna Ginther and Kwanghui Lim

32826: Personal Bankruptcy Law and Innovation around the World

Douglas Cumming, Randall Morck, Zhao Rong and Minjie Zhang

32825: Corruption as a Shared Dilemma: Survey Evidence from Legislators and Citizens in Three Countries

Raymond Fisman, Matteo F. Ferroni and Miriam Golden

32824: Urban roadway in America: the amount, extent, and value

Erick Guerra, Gilles Duranton and Xinyu Ma

32823: Creditor-on-Creditor Violence and Secured Debt Dynamics

Samuel Antill, Neng Wang and Zhaoli Jiang

32822: Local Projections

Oscar Jorda and Alan Taylor

32821: Dynamic Optimization Meets Budgeting: Unraveling Financial Complexities

Guidon Fenig and Luba Petersen

32820: 50 Years of Breakthroughs and Barriers: Women in Economics, Policy, and Leadership

Francine Blau and Lisa Lynch

32819: Tax Incidence Anomalies

Youssef Benzarti

32818: Ethnic Identity and Anti-Immigrant Sentiment: Evidence from Proposition 187

Francisca Antman and Brian Duncan

32817: State Auto-IRA Policies and Firm Behavior: Lessons from Administrative Tax Data

Adam Bloomfield, Lucas Goodman, Manita Rao and Sita Slavov

32816: Relative-Price Changes as Aggregate Supply Shocks Revisited: Theory and Evidence

Hassan Afrouzi, Saroj Bhattarai and Edson Wu

32815: Racial Housing Price Differentials and Neighborhood Segregation

Sebastien Box-Couillard and Peter Christensen

32814: Unequal Uptake: Assessing Distributional Disparities in the Residential Solar Market

Jackson Dorsey and Derek C. Wolfson

32813: Intrapersonal Utility Comparisons as Interpersonal Utility Comparisons: Welfare, Ambiguity, and Robustness in Behavioral Policy Problems

Canishk Naik and Daniel Reck

32812: Measuring Potential Effects of Introducing the 2024 Race and Ethnicity Standards into the Current Population Survey

Mark Loewenstein, David Piccone and Anne Polivka

32811: The Impact of Cloud Computing and AI on Industry Dynamics and Concentration

Yao Lu, Gordon Phillips and Jia Yang

32810: Macro-Financial Implications of the Surging Global Demand (and Supply) of International Reserves

Enrique Mendoza and Vincenzo Quadrini

32809: Looks and Gaming: Who and Why?

Andy Chung, Daniel Hamermesh, Carl Singleton, Zhengxin Wang and Junsen Zhang

32808: Exchange Rate Models are Better than You Think, and Why They Didn't Work in the Old Days

Charles Engel and Steve Pak Yeung Wu

32807: Neural Network Learning for Nonlinear Economies

Julian Ashwin, Paul Beaudry and Martin Ellison

32806: Long-term Pre-conception Exposure to Local Violence and Infant Health

Eunsik Chang, Sandra Orozco-Aleman and María Padilla-Romo

32805: Positive Incentives: The Income Effect and The Optimal Regulation of Crime

W. Bentley Macleod and Roman Rivera

32804: Supply-Side Drug Policy, Polydrug Use, and the Economic Effects of Withdrawal Symptoms

Alexander Ahammer and Analisa Packham

32803: Bilateral Economies of Scope

Yao Li, Sichuang Xu, Stephen Yeaple and Tengyu Zhao

32802: Beliefs About Political News in the Run-up to an Election

Charles Angelucci, Michel Gutmann and Andrea Prat

32801: Misreporting in the Norwegian Business Cash Support Scheme

Dinara Alpysbayeva, Annette Alstadsæter, Wojciech Kopczuk, Simen Markussen and Oddbjørn Raaum

32800: The Spatial Impacts of a Massive Rail Disinvestment Program: The Beeching Axe

Stephen Gibbons, Stephan Heblich and Edward Pinchbeck

32799: Health Inequality and Health Types

Margherita Borella, Francisco A. Bullano, Mariacristina De Nardi, Benjamin Krueger and Elena Manresa

32798: Sabotage as Industrial Policy

Jin Liu, Martin Rotemberg and Sharon Traiberman

32797: Inefficient Labor Market Sorting

Carsten Eckel and Stephen Yeaple

32796: Pension Reforms and Inequality in Germany: Micro-Modelling

Axel H. Börsch-Supan, Johannes Rausch and Luca Salerno

32795: Privatization's Impacts on State-Owned Enterprises: A Tale of Zombie versus Healthy Firms

Ruiting Wang, Xue Wang, Gang Xu and Tao Zha

32794: Reducing Emissions and Air Pollution from the Informal Sector: Evidence from Bangladesh

Nina R. Brooks, Debashish Biswas, Sameer Maithel, Grant Miller, Aprajit Mahajan, M. Rofi Uddin, Shoeb Ahmed, Moogdho Mahzab, Mahbubur Rahman and Stephen P. Luby

32793: Labor Unions and Social Insurance

Naoki Aizawa, Hanming Fang and Katsuhiro Komatsu

32792: Political Polarization and Finance

Elisabeth Kempf and Margarita Tsoutsoura

32791: Consumer Credit Reporting Data

Christa Gibbs, Benedict Guttman-Kenney, Donghoon Lee, Scott T. Nelson, Wilbert van der Klaauw and Jialan Wang

32790: Contracting over Pharmaceutical Formularies and Rebates

Kate Ho and Robin Lee

32789: Imagine your Life at 25: Gender Conformity and Later-Life Outcomes

Sreevidya Ayyar, Uta Bolt, Eric French and Cormac O'Dea

32788: Doctor Decision Making and Patient Outcomes

Janet Currie, W. Bentley Macleod and Kate Musen

32787: Innovation Adoption by Committee: Evaluating Decision-Making in the FDA

Nathan Canen and Matias Iaryczower

32786: Correlation in State and Local Tax Changes

Scott Baker, Pawel Janas and Lorenz Kueng

32785: Firm Responses to Uncertainty and Implications for Workers: Experimental Evidence from Uganda During the Pandemic

Livia Alfonsi, Vittorio Bassi, Imran Rasul and Elena Spadini

32784: The Impact of Unconditional Cash Transfers on Consumption and Household Balance Sheets: Experimental Evidence from Two US States

Alexander Bartik, Elizabeth Rhodes, David E. Broockman, Patrick K. Krause, Sarah Miller and Eva Vivalt

32783: Bank Lending and Deposit Crunches during the Great Depression

Kris James Mitchener and Gary Richardson

32782: Accounting for Nonresponse in Election Polls: Total Margin of Error

Jeff Dominitz and Charles Manski

32781: Household Mobility and Mortgage Rate Lock

Jack Liebersohn and Jesse Rothstein