NBER Working Papers

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29476: The Prudential Use of Capital Controls and Foreign Currency Reserves

Javier Bianchi and Guido Lorenzoni

29475: Modeling to Inform Economy-Wide Pandemic Policy: Bringing Epidemiologists and Economists Together

Michael Darden, David Dowdy, Lauren Gardner, Barton Hamilton, Karen Kopecky, Melissa Marx, Nicholas Papageorge, Daniel Polsky, Kimberly Powers, Elizabeth Stuart and Matthew Zahn

29474: Economic Interests, Worldviews, and Identities: Theory and Evidence on Ideational Politics

Elliott Ash, Sharun Mukand and Dani Rodrik

29473: Optimal Bank Reserve Remuneration and Capital Control Policy

Chun-Che Chi, Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe and Martín Uribe

29472: "When Anything Can Happen”: Anticipated Adversity and Postsecondary Decision-Making

Stefanie DeLuca, Nicholas Papageorge, Joseph L. Boselovic, Seth Gershenson, Andrew Gray, Kiara M. Nerenberg, Jasmine Sausedo and Allison Young

29471: The Impact of Provider Payments on Health Care Utilization of Low-Income Individuals: Evidence from Medicare and Medicaid

Marika Cabral, Colleen Carey and Sarah Miller

29470: Were Federal COVID Relief Funds for Schools Enough?

Nora Gordon and Sarah J. Reber

29469: Cooperation in the Commons: Community-based Rangeland Management in Namibia

D. Layne Coppock, Lucas Crowley, Susan L. Durham, Dylan Groves, Julian C. Jamison, Dean Karlan, Brien E. Norton and R. Douglas Ramsey

29468: The Hot Hand in the NBA 3-Point Contest: The Importance of Location, Location, Location

Robert M. Lantis and Erik Nesson

29467: Intermediation and Voluntary Exposure to Counterparty Risk

Maryam Farboodi

29466: AI-tocracy

Martin Beraja, Andrew Kao, David Yang and Noam Yuchtman

29465: Office-Based Mental Healthcare and Juvenile Arrests

Monica Deza, Thanh Lu and Johanna Maclean

29464: Trade Competition and the Decline in Union Organizing: Evidence from Certification Elections

Kerwin Kofi Charles, Matthew S. Johnson and Nagisa Tadjfar

29463: A Simple Model of Social Distancing and Vaccination

Christopher Avery

29462: Depression and Shopping Behavior

Katherine Meckel and Bradley Shapiro

29461: Firm-Level Upgrading in Developing Countries

Eric Verhoogen

29460: Salary History and Employer Demand: Evidence from a Two-Sided Audit

Amanda Agan, Bo Cowgill and Laura Gee

29459: Some Children Left Behind: Variation in the Effects of an Educational Intervention

Julie Buhl-Wiggers, Jason Kerwin, Juan Munoz-Morales, Jeffrey Smith and Rebecca Thornton

29458: Does Social Media cause Polarization? Evidence from access to Twitter Echo Chambers during the 2019 Argentine Presidential Debate

Rafael Di Tella, Ramiro Gálvez and Ernesto Schargrodsky

29457: Scrambling for Dollars: International Liquidity, Banks and Exchange Rates

Javier Bianchi, Saki Bigio and Charles Engel

29456: Winner Takes All? Tech Clusters, Population Centers, and the Spatial Transformation of U.S. Invention

Brad Chattergoon and William Kerr

29455: Technology Transfer and Early Industrial Development: Evidence from the Sino-Soviet Alliance

Michela Giorcelli and Bo Li

29454: Measuring Firm Environmental Performance to Inform ESG Investing

Nicholas Muller

29453: Momentum, Reversals, and Investor Clientele

Andy C. W. Chui, Avanidhar Subrahmanyam and Sheridan Titman

29452: Which Beliefs? Behavior-Predictive Beliefs are Inconsistent with Information-Based Beliefs: Evidence from COVID-19

Ori Heffetz and Guy Ishai

29451: The Gender Gap in Preferences: Evidence from 45,397 Facebook Interests

Ángel Cuevas, Rubén Cuevas, Klaus Desmet and Ignacio Ortuño-Ortín

29450: The Intergenerational Transmission of Cognitive Skills: An Investigation of the Causal Impact of Families on Student Outcomes

Eric Hanushek, Babs Jacobs, Guido Schwerdt, Rolf Van der Velden, Stan Vermeulen and Simon Wiederhold

29449: The Anatomy of a Hospital System Merger: The Patient Did Not Respond Well to Treatment

Martin Gaynor, Adam Sacarny, Raffaella Sadun, Chad Syverson and Shruthi Venkatesh

29448: FinTech as a Financial Liberator

Greg Buchak, Jiayin Hu and Shang-Jin Wei

29447: Water Treatment and Child Mortality: Evidence from Kenya

Johannes Haushofer, Michael Kremer, Ricardo Maertens and Brandon Tan

29446: Does Employing Skilled Immigrants Enhance Competitive Performance? Evidence from European Football Clubs

Britta Glennon, Francisco Morales, Seth Carnahan and Exequiel Hernandez

29445: Sorting through Cheap Talk: Theory and Evidence from a Labor Market

John Horton, Ramesh Johari and Philipp Kircher

29444: Risks and global supply chains: What we know and what we need to know

Richard Baldwin and Rebecca Freeman

29443: Bad Lighting: Effects of Youth Indoor Tanning Prohibitions

Christopher Carpenter, Brandyn Churchill and Michelle M. Marcus

29442: A Temporary VAT Cut as Unconventional Fiscal Policy

Ruediger Bachmann, Benjamin Born, Olga Goldfayn-Frank, Georgi Kocharkov, Ralph Luetticke and Michael Weber

29441: Macroprudential Policies and The Covid-19 Pandemic: Risks and Challenges For Emerging Markets

Sebastian Edwards

29440: Estimating the Economic Value of Zoning Reform

Santosh Anagol, Fernando Ferreira and Jonah M. Rexer

29439: Medication of Postpartum Depression and Maternal Outcomes: Evidence from Geographic Variation in Dutch Prescribing

Janet Currie and Esmee Zwiers

29438: The Economics of Medical Procedure Innovation

David Dranove, Craig Garthwaite, Christopher Heard and Bingxiao Wu

29437: The International Price of Remote Work

Agostina Brinatti, Alberto Cavallo, Javier Cravino and Andres Drenik

29436: Women in Science. Lessons from the Baby Boom

Scott Daewon Kim and Petra Moser

29435: The Global Distribution of Authorship in Economics Journals

Ernest Aigner, Jacob Greenspon and Dani Rodrik

29434: The Debt Capacity of a Government

Bernard Dumas, Paul Ehling and Chunyu Yang

29433: The Geography of Retirement

Courtney Coile

29432: Nonlinearities and a Pecking Order in Cross-border Investment

Sara B. Holland, Sergei Sarkissian, Michael Schill and Francis E. Warnock

29431: "Potential Capital”, Working From Home, and Economic Resilience

Janice Eberly, Jonathan Haskel and Paul Mizen

29430: Uncertainty and Change: Survey Evidence of Firms' Subjective Beliefs

Ruediger Bachmann, Kai Carstensen, Stefan Lautenbacher and Martin Schneider

29429: Effects of COVID-19 Shutdowns on Domestic Violence in US Cities

Amalia Miller, Carmit Segal and Melissa Spencer

29428: Exchange Rates as Trade Frictions: Estimates and Implications for Policy

James Anderson and Praveen Saini

29427: Loan Officers Impede Graduation from Microfinance: Strategic Disclosure in a Large Microfinance Institution

Natalia Rigol and Benjamin N. Roth

29426: The Evolving Impacts of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Gender Inequality in the U.S. Labor Market: The COVID Motherhood Penalty

Robert Fairlie, Kenneth Couch and Huanan Xu

29425: Spillover Effects from Voluntary Employer Minimum Wages

Ellora Derenoncourt, Clemens Noelke, David Weil and Bledi Taska

29424: Population Growth and Firm Dynamics

Michael Peters and Conor Walsh

29423: The Effects of Education on Mortality: Evidence Using College Expansions

Jason Fletcher and Hamid Noghanibehambari

29422: Mental Health, Creativity, and Wealth

Barbara Biasi, Michael Dahl and Petra Moser

29421: FinTech Lending

Tobias Berg, Andreas Fuster and Manju Puri

29420: Does Research Save Lives? The Local Spillovers of Biomedical Research on Mortality

Rebecca McKibbin and Bruce Weinberg

29419: A Social Insurance Perspective on Pandemic Fiscal Policy: Implications for Unemployment Insurance and Hazard Pay

Christina Romer and David Romer

29418: Immigration and Occupational Comparative Advantage

Gordon Hanson and Chen Liu

29417: One Instrument to Rule Them All: The Bias and Coverage of Just-ID IV

Joshua Angrist and Michal Kolesár

29416: O.M.W. Sprague (the Man Who “Wrote the Book” on Financial Crises) meets the Great Depression

Hugh Rockoff

29415: Licence to Dine: 007 and the Real Exchange Rate

Lee Craig, Julianne Treme and Thomas Weiss

29414: Value without Employment

Simcha Barkai and Stavros Panageas

29413: Understanding Algorithmic Discrimination in Health Economics Through the Lens of Measurement Errors

Anirban Basu, Noah Hammarlund, Sara Khor and Aasthaa Bansal

29412: Herding with Heterogeneous Ability: An Application to Organ Transplantation

Stephanie C. De Mel, Kaivan Munshi, Soenje Reiche and Hamid Sabourian

29411: A Child Support Framework Accounting for Parenting Time and Half-Siblings

Martin Kulldorff and Jay Bhattacharya

29410: CLO Performance

Larry Cordell, Michael Roberts and Michael Schwert

29409: Moment Inequalities and Partial Identification in Industrial Organization

Brendan Kline, Ariel Pakes and Elie Tamer

29408: Preemptive Entry and Technology Diffusion: The Market for Drive-in Theaters

Ricard Gil, Jean-François Houde, Shilong Sun and Yuya Takahashi

29407: Mental Health Therapy as a Core Strategy for Increasing Human Capital: Evidence from Ghana

Nathan Barker, Gharad T. Bryan, Dean Karlan, Angela Ofori-Atta and Christopher Udry

29406: Market Segmentation and Competition in Health Insurance

Michael J. Dickstein, Kate Ho and Nathaniel D. Mark

29405: The Marginal Value of Public Pension Wealth: Evidence from Border House Prices

Darren Aiello, Asaf Bernstein, Mahyar Kargar, Ryan Lewis and Michael Schwert

29404: The Economic Consequences of the Opium War

Wolfgang Keller and Carol H. Shiue

29403: Financial Incentives and Other Nudges Do Not Increase COVID-19 Vaccinations among the Vaccine Hesitant

Tom Chang, Mireille Jacobson, Manisha Shah, Rajiv Pramanik and Samir B. Shah

29402: Policy Experimentation in China: the Political Economy of Policy Learning

Shaoda Wang and David Yang

29401: On the Persistence of the China Shock

David Autor, David Dorn and Gordon Hanson

29400: The Rise of Pass-Throughs and the Decline of the Labor Share

Matthew Smith, Danny Yagan, Owen Zidar and Eric Zwick

29399: The Geography of Job Creation and Job Destruction

Moritz Kuhn, Iourii Manovskii and Xincheng Qiu

29398: The Fiscal and Welfare Effects of Policy Responses to the Covid-19 School Closures

Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln, Dirk Krueger, André Kurmann, Etienne Lalé, Alexander Ludwig and Irina Popova

29397: Bank Runs, Fragility, and Credit Easing

Manuel Amador and Javier Bianchi

29396: Blockchain Analysis of the Bitcoin Market

Igor Makarov and Antoinette Schoar

29395: The Effect of Free School Meals on Household Food Purchases: Evidence from the Community Eligibility Provision

Michelle M. Marcus and Katherine G. Yewell

29394: It All Starts with Beliefs: Addressing the Roots of Educational Inequities by Shifting Parental Beliefs

John List, Julie Pernaudet and Dana Suskind

29393: Who Pays Sin Taxes? Understanding the Overlapping Burdens of Corrective Taxes

Christopher Conlon, Nirupama Rao and Yinan Wang

29392: Inflation, Interest, and the Secular Rise in Wealth Inequality in the U.S.: Is the Fed Responsible?

Edward N. Wolff

29391: Do Credit Conditions Move House Prices?

Daniel Greenwald and Adam Guren

29390: The Human Side of Structural Transformation

Tommaso Porzio, Federico Rossi and Gabriella V. Santangelo

29389: Interpreting the Will of the People: A Positive Analysis of Ordinal Preference Aggregation

Sandro Ambuehl and B. Douglas Bernheim

29388: The Financial Fragility of For-profit Hospitals: Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic

Ge Bai, Daniel Jiménez, Phillip Phan, Luis Quintero, Alessandro Rebucci and Xian Sun

29387: Telemigration and Development: On the Offshorability of Teleworkable Jobs

Richard Baldwin and Jonathan Dingel

29386: Consumption Smoothing or Consumption Binging? The effects of government-led consumer credit expansion in Brazil

Gabriel Garber, Atif Mian, Jacopo Ponticelli and Amir Sufi

29385: Immediate and Longer-Term Housing Market Effects of a Major U.S. Airport Closure

Jeffrey P. Cohen, Cletus Coughlin, Jonas Crews and Stephen Ross

29384: School Food Policy Affects Everyone: Retail Responses to the National School Lunch Program

Jessie Handbury and Sarah Moshary

29383: Fleshing Out the Olive? On Income Polarization in China

Martin Ravallion and Shaohua Chen

29382: A (Dynamic) Investigation of Stereotypes, Belief-Updating, and Behavior

Katherine B. Coffman, Paola Ugalde Araya and Basit Zafar

29381: Occupational Choice and the Intergenerational Mobility of Welfare

Corina Boar and Danial Lashkari

29380: Exposures and Behavioral Responses to Wildfire Smoke

Marshall Burke, Sam Heft-Neal, Jessica Li, Anne Driscoll, Patrick Baylis, Matthieu Stigler, Joakim Weill, Jennifer Burney, Jeff Wen, Marissa Childs and Carlos Gould

29379: Predicting the Oil Market

Charles Calomiris, Nida Cakir Melek and Harry Mamaysky

29378: Data Engineering for Cognitive Economics

Andrew Caplin

29377: Pay, Productivity and Management

Nicholas Bloom, Scott Ohlmacher, Cristina Tello-Trillo and Melanie Wallskog