NBER Working Papers

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20710: House Prices, Local Demand, and Retail Prices

Johannes Stroebel and Joseph Vavra

20709: Financing Smallholder Agriculture: An Experiment with Agent-Intermediated Microloans in India

Pushkar Maitra, Sandip Mitra, Dilip Mookherjee, Alberto Motta and Sujata Visaria

20708: The Impact of Health Insurance Expansion on Physician Treatment Choice: Medicare Part D and Physician Prescribing

Tianyan Hu, Sandra L. Decker and Shin-Yi Chou

20707: Accounting for Post-Crisis Inflation and Employment: A Retro Analysis

Chiara Fratto and Harald Uhlig

20706: The Perverse Impact of Calling for Energy Conservation

J Holladay, Michael Price and Marianne Wanamaker

20705: Resolving Intertemporal Conflicts: Economics vs Politics

Antony Millner and Geoffrey Heal

20704: Do Credit Market Shocks affect the Real Economy? Quasi-Experimental Evidence from the Great Recession and ‘Normal’ Economic Times

Michael Greenstone, Alexandre Mas and Hoai-Luu Nguyen

20703: The Collateral Trap

Frédéric Boissay and Russell Cooper

20702: Extended Families and Child Well-being

Daniel LaFave and Duncan Thomas

20701: Public School Choice: An Economic Analysis

Levon Barseghyan, Damon Clark and Stephen Coate

20700: Do Funds Make More When They Trade More?

Lubos Pastor, Robert Stambaugh and Lucian A. Taylor

20699: Farms, Families, and Markets: New Evidence on Completeness of Markets in Agricultural Settings

Daniel LaFave and Duncan Thomas

20698: Employment Cyclicality and Firm Quality

Lisa Kahn and Erika McEntarfer

20697: Revealing Malfeasance: How Local Media Facilitates Electoral Sanctioning of Mayors in Mexico

Horacio Larreguy, John Marshall and James Snyder

20696: The Emotional Consequences of Donation Opportunities

Lara B. Aknin, Guy Mayraz and John Helliwell

20695: Toward an Understanding of Reference-Dependent Labor Supply: Theory and Evidence from a Field Experiment

Steffen Andersen, Alec Brandon, Uri Gneezy and John List

20694: Unemployment in the Great Recession: A Comparison of Germany, Canada and the United States

Florian Hoffmann and Thomas Lemieux

20693: Central Bank Credibility, Reputation and Inflation Targeting in Historical Perspective

Michael Bordo and Pierre Siklos

20692: Are Public Sector Jobs Recession-Proof? Were They Ever?

Jason L. Kopelman and Harvey Rosen

20691: A Welfare Criterion for Models with Distorted Beliefs

Markus Brunnermeier, Alp Simsek and Wei Xiong

20690: Exporting and Firm Performance: Evidence from a Randomized Trial

David Atkin, Amit Khandelwal and Adam Osman

20689: Does Reading During the Summer Build Reading Skills? Evidence from a Randomized Experiment in 463 Classrooms

Jonathan Guryan, James S. Kim and David M. Quinn

20688: How Does Tax Progressivity and Household Heterogeneity Affect Laffer Curves?

Hans Holter, Dirk Krueger and Serhiy Stepanchuk

20687: Is Government Spending at the Zero Lower Bound Desirable?

Florin Bilbiie, Tommaso Monacelli and Roberto Perotti

20686: Empirical Linkages between Good Government and National Well-being

John Helliwell, Haifang Huang, Shawn Grover and Shun Wang

20685: Economic Development and the Effectiveness of Foreign Aid: A Historical Perspective

Sebastian Edwards

20684: Household Finance over the Life-Cycle: What does Education Contribute?

Russell Cooper and Guozhong Zhu

20683: New Linked Data on Research Investments: Scientific Workforce, Productivity, and Public Value

Julia Lane, Jason Owen-Smith, Rebecca Rosen and Bruce Weinberg

20682: Which Factors?

Kewei Hou, Haitao Mo, Chen Xue and Lu Zhang

20681: Homophily, Group Size, and the Diffusion of Political Information in Social Networks: Evidence from Twitter

Yosh Halberstam and Brian Knight

20680: Subjective Beliefs, Deterrence, and the Propensity to Drive While Intoxicated

Yiqun Chen and Frank Sloan

20679: Does Private Information Influence Automobile Insurance Purchase Decisions?

Frank Sloan, Patricia A. Robinson and Lindsey M. Eldred

20678: Prices, Consumption, and Dividends Over the Business Cycle: A Tale of Two Regimes

Anisha Ghosh and George Constantinides

20677: Markets for Scientific Attribution

Joshua Gans and Fiona Murray

20676: Financing Innovation

William Kerr and Ramana Nanda

20675: The Road to Redemption: Policy Response to Crises in Latin America

Carlos Vegh and Guillermo Vuletin

20674: Does Uncertainty about Management Affect Firms’ Costs of Borrowing?

Yihui Pan, Tracy Yue Wang and Michael Weisbach

20673: Measuring the Sensitivity of Parameter Estimates to Estimation Moments

Isaiah Andrews, Matthew Gentzkow and Jesse Shapiro

20672: Raising Revenue by Limiting Tax Expenditures

Martin Feldstein

20671: Seesaws and Social Security Benefits Indexing

Matthew Weinzierl

20670: Unemployment and Innovation

Joseph Stiglitz

20669: Social Investments, Informal Risk Sharing, and Inequality

Attila Ambrus, Arun Chandrasekhar and Matt Elliott

20668: The Effects of High-Skilled Immigration Policy on Firms: Evidence from Visa Lotteries

Kirk Doran, Alexander Gelber and Adam Isen

20667: Does Management Matter in Schools

Nicholas Bloom, Renata Lemos, Raffaella Sadun and John van Reenen

20666: Whither News Shocks?

Robert Barsky, Susanto Basu and Keyoung Lee

20665: The Power of the Street: Evidence from Egypt's Arab Spring

Daron Acemoglu, Tarek Hassan and Ahmed Tahoun

20664: Intrinsic Motivation in Public Service: Theory and Evidence from State Supreme Courts

Elliott Ash and W. Bentley Macleod

20663: Trade Adjustment Dynamics and the Welfare Gains from Trade

George Alessandria, Horag Choi and Kim Ruhl

20662: Gray Matters: Fetal Pollution Exposure and Human Capital Formation

Prashant Bharadwaj, Matthew Gibson, Joshua Graff Zivin and Christopher Neilson

20661: Does Conflict of Interest Lead to Biased Coverage? Evidence from Movie Reviews

Stefano DellaVigna and Johannes Hermle

20660: Momentum Trading, Return Chasing, and Predictable Crashes

Benjamin Chabot, Eric Ghysels and Ravi Jagannathan

20659: One Step at a Time: The Effects of an Early Literacy Text Messaging Program for Parents of Preschoolers

Benjamin N. York and Susanna Loeb

20658: The Cambridge History of "Capitalism"

Peter Temin

20657: Validating Teacher Effect Estimates Using Changes in Teacher Assignments in Los Angeles

Andrew Bacher-Hicks, Thomas J. Kane and Doug Staiger

20656: Federal Reserve Policy and Bretton Woods

Michael Bordo and Owen Humpage

20655: Political Polarization, Anticipated Health Insurance Uptake and Individual Mandate: A view from the Washington State

Anirban Basu, Norma Coe, David E. Grembowski and Larry Kessler

20654: Is it all worth it? The experiences of new PhDs on the job market, 2007-2010

Brooke Helppie McFall, Marta Murray-Close, Robert Willis and Uniko Chen

20653: The War on Poverty's Experiment in Public Medicine: Community Health Centers and the Mortality of Older Americans

Martha Bailey and Andrew Goodman-Bacon

20652: Safe Assets

Robert Barro, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Oren Levintal and Andrew Mollerus

20651: Growth Expectations, Dividend Yields, and Future Stock Returns

Zhi Da, Ravi Jagannathan and Jianfeng Shen

20650: Monetary Policy and Debt Fragility

Antoine Camous and Russell Cooper

20649: Do Beliefs Justify Actions or Do Actions Justify Beliefs? An Experiment on Stated Beliefs, Revealed Beliefs, and Social-Image Manipulation

James Andreoni and Alison Sanchez

20648: The Impact of Short Term Exposure to Ambient Air Pollution on Cognitive Performance and Human Capital Formation

Victor Lavy, Avraham Ebenstein and Sefi Roth

20647: The Long Run Human Capital and Economic Consequences of High-Stakes Examinations

Victor Lavy, Avraham Ebenstein and Sefi Roth

20646: Liquidity and Foreign Asset Management Challenges for Latin American Countries

Joshua Aizenman and Daniel Riera-Crichton

20645: The Evolution of Charter School Quality

Patrick L. Baude, Marcus Casey, Eric Hanushek and Steven Rivkin

20644: W.U.I. on Fire: Risk, Salience & Housing Demand

Shawn J. McCoy and Randall Walsh

20643: Optimal Fiscal Limits

Stephen Coate

20642: Adverse Selection and Self-fulfilling Business Cycles

Jess Benhabib, Feng Dong and Pengfei Wang

20641: “Nash-in-Nash” Bargaining: A Microfoundation for Applied Work

Allan Collard-Wexler, Gautam Gowrisankaran and Robin Lee

20640: The Demand for Effective Charter Schools

Christopher Walters

20639: Inputs in the Production of Early Childhood Human Capital: Evidence from Head Start

Christopher Walters

20638: Quantifying Liquidity and Default Risks of Corporate Bonds over the Business Cycle

Hui Chen, Rui Cui, Zhiguo He and Konstantin Milbradt

20637: A Schumpeterian Model of Top Income Inequality

Charles Jones and Jihee Kim

20636: Adam Smith's "Tolerable Administration of Justice" and the Wealth of Nations

Douglas Irwin

20635: Tariff Incidence: Evidence from U.S. Sugar Duties, 1890-1930

Douglas Irwin

20634: International Trade, Multinational Activity, and Corporate Finance

C. Fritz Foley and Kalina Manova

20633: Social Insurance, Information Revelation, and Lack of Commitment

Mikhail Golosov and Luigi Iovino

20632: Optimal Time-Consistent Government Debt Maturity

Davide Debortoli, Ricardo Nunes and Pierre Yared

20631: The Contribution of Behavior Change and Public Health to Improved U.S. Population Health

Susan T. Stewart and David Cutler

20630: Wheat or Strawberries? Intermediated Trade with Limited Contracting

Kala Krishna and Lena Sheveleva

20629: Affirmative Action and Stereotypes in Higher Education Admissions

Prasad Krishnamurthy and Aaron Edlin

20628: What Should I Be When I Grow Up? Occupations and Unemployment over the Life Cycle

Martin Gervais, Nir Jaimovich, Henry Siu and Yaniv Yedid-Levi

20627: Tax Farming Redux: Experimental Evidence on Performance Pay for Tax Collectors

Adnan Q. Khan, Asim Khwaja and Benjamin Olken

20626: Recovering Ex Ante Returns and Preferences for Occupations using Subjective Expectations Data

Peter Arcidiacono, V. Joseph Hotz, Arnaud Maurel and Teresa Romano

20625: Wealth Inequality in the United States since 1913: Evidence from Capitalized Income Tax Data

Emmanuel Saez and Gabriel Zucman

20624: Dodging the Taxman: Firm Misreporting and Limits to Tax Enforcement

Paul Carrillo, Dina Pomeranz and Monica Singhal

20623: Markets with Multidimensional Private Information

Veronica Guerrieri and Robert Shimer

20622: Estimation of Dynamic Discrete Choice Models by Maximum Likelihood and the Simulated Method of Moments

Phillipp Eisenhauer, James Heckman and Stefano Mosso

20621: Sources of Firm Life-Cycle Dynamics: Differentiating Size vs. Age Effects

Lorenz Kueng, Mu-Jeung Yang and Bryan Hong

20620: Benchmarks in Search Markets

Darrell Duffie, Piotr Dworczak and Haoxiang Zhu

20619: More on Recent Evidence on the Effects of Minimum Wages in the United States

David Neumark, John Michael Ian Salas and William Wascher

20618: Evaluating Deliberative Competence: A Simple Method with an Application to Financial Choice

Sandro Ambuehl, B. Douglas Bernheim and Annamaria Lusardi

20617: Credit, Bankruptcy, and Aggregate Fluctuations

Makoto Nakajima and José-Víctor Ríos-Rull

20616: Microeconomic Uncertainty, International Trade, and Aggregate Fluctuations

George Alessandria, Horag Choi, Joseph Kaboski and Virgiliu Midrigan

20615: Tax Credits and Small Firm R&D Spending

Ajay Agrawal, Carlos Rosell and Timothy S. Simcoe

20614: Will They Take the Money and Work? An Empirical Analysis of People's Willingness to Delay Claiming Social Security Benefits for a Lump Sum

Raimond Maurer, Olivia Mitchell, Ralph Rogalla and Tatjana Schimetschek

20613: Monetary Policy with Interest on Reserves

John Cochrane

20612: Reserve Requirement Policy over the Business Cycle

Pablo Federico, Carlos Vegh and Guillermo Vuletin

20611: Effective Monetary Policy Strategies in New Keynesian Models: A Re-examination

Hess Chung, Edward Herbst and Michael Kiley