NBER Working Papers

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33541: ‘Invest!’: Liberty Bonds and Stock Ownership over the Twentieth Century

Gillian Brunet, Eric Hilt and Matthew Jaremski

33540: A Model of Global Currency Pricing

Michael Devereux, Rui Lu, Kang Shi and Juanyi (Jenny) Xu

33539: On the Economic Infeasibility of Personalized Medicine, and a Solution

Marina Chiara Garassino, Kunle Odunsi, Marciano Siniscalchi and Pietro Veronesi

33538: Same As it Ever Was: Gender, Race, and Ethnicity Differences in Promotion for Academic Economists

Donna Ginther, Shulamit Kahn and Daria Milakhina

33537: An Evaluation of the Alief Independent School District Jumpstart Program: Using a Model to Recover Mechanisms from an RCT

Flavio Cunha, Qinyou Hu, Andrea Salvati, Kenneth Wolpin and Rui Zeng

33536: AI and the Extended Workday: Productivity, Contracting Efficiency, and Distribution of Rents

Wei Jiang, Junyoung Park, Rachel (Jiqiu) Xiao and Shen Zhang

33535: Dirty Business: Transition Risk of Factor Portfolios

Ravi Jagannathan, Iwan Meier and Valeri Sokolovski

33534: The Impact of the Out-of-Pocket Housing Expense Inflation on Household Alcohol and Tobacco Purchases

Virat Agrawal, Richard K. Green, Neeraj Sood and Christopher M. Whaley

33533: It Takes a Village Election: Turnover and Performance in Local Bureaucracies

Samuel Bazzi, Masyhur Hilmy, Benjamin Marx, Mahvish Shaukat and Andreas Stegmann

33532: Evaluating Transport Improvements in Spatial Equilibrium

Stephen Redding

33531: The Climate Adaptation Feedback

Alexander C. Abajian, Tamma Carleton, Kyle Meng and Olivier Deschenes

33530: Returns to Specific Graduate Degrees: Estimates Using Texas Administrative Records

Joseph Altonji and Zhengren Zhu

33529: The Dynamics of Agricultural Productivity Gaps: An Open-Economy Perspective

Douglas Gollin, David Lagakos, Xiao Ma and Shraddha Mandi

33528: Dynamic Search in a Non-Stationary Search Environment: An Application to the Beijing Housing Market

Ying Fan, Ziying Fan and Yiyi Zhou

33527: Rolling Back Progresa: School and Work After the End of a Landmark Anti-Poverty Program

Fernanda Marquez-Padilla, Susan Parker and Tom S. Vogl

33526: Domestic Politics and International Organizations

T. Renee Bowen, J. Lawrence Broz and Christina J. Schneider

33525: Some Pleasant Sequence-Space Arithmetic In Continuous Time

Adrien Bilal and Shlok Goyal

33524: Central Bank Communication with the Polarized Public

Pei Kuang, Michael Weber and Shihan Xie

33523: Banks and the State-Dependent Effects of Monetary Policy

Martin Eichenbaum, Federico Puglisi, Sergio Rebelo and Mathias Trabandt

33522: On the Fragility of the Nonlinear Phillips Curve View of Recent Inflation

Paul Beaudry, Chenyu Hou and Franck Portier

33521: Reproductive Technology and the Child Care Sector: How Access to Oral Contraception and Abortion Shaped Workforce Composition and Quality

Chris M. Herbst and Erdal Tekin

33520: Reassessing Qualitative Self-Assessments and Experimental Validation

Jonathan Chapman, Pietro Ortoleva, Erik Snowberg, Leeat Yariv and Colin Camerer

33519: China's Overseas Lending in Global Finance Cycle

Zhengyang Jiang

33518: Disease, Disparities, and Development: Evidence from Chagas Disease Control in Brazil

Jon Denton-Schneider and Eduardo Montero

33517: Place-Based Policies: Lessons from Theory

Pablo D. Fajgelbaum and Cecile Gaubert

33516: The Impact of NAFTA on Prices and Competition: Evidence from Mexican Manufacturing Plants

Felipe Brugués, Ken Kikkawa, Yuan Mei and Pablo Robles

33515: A Comprehensive GIS Database for China's Surface Transport Network with Implications for Transport and Socioeconomics Research

Steven Davis, Meijun Qian and Wen Zeng

33514: Workplace Stratification and Racial Health Disparities

Kurt Lavetti, Long Hong, Jonathan A. Holmes and Trevon Logan

33513: Place-Based Policies of the European Union: Contrasts and Similarities to the US Experience

Peter R. Berkowitz, Michael Storper and Max Herbertson

33512: Dynamic Urban Economics

Brian Greaney, Andrii Parkhomenko and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

33511: The U.S. Place-Based Policy Supply Chain

Gordon Hanson, Dani Rodrik and Rohan Sandhu

33510: Making the Invisible Visible: The Impact of Revealing Indoor Air Pollution on Behavior and Welfare

Robert Metcalfe and Sefi Roth

33509: Artificial Intelligence and the Labor Market

Menaka Hampole, Dimitris Papanikolaou, Lawrence Schmidt and Bryan Seegmiller

33508: Measuring Work from Home

Shelby R. Buckman, Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom and Steven Davis

33507: Knightian Uncertainty and Bayesian Entrepreneurship

Joshua Gans

33506: Long-Run Consequences of Sanctions on Russia

David Baqaee and Hannes Malmberg

33505: Firstborn Daughters and Family Structure in Sub-Saharan Africa

Garance Genicot and Maria Hernandez- de-Benito

33504: Long-Run Comparative Statics

David Baqaee and Hannes Malmberg

33503: Do Temporary Cash Transfers Stimulate the Macroeconomy? Evidence from Four Case Studies

Valerie Ramey

33502: The Social Construction of Race during Reconstruction

Anjali Adukia, Richard Hornbeck, Daniel Keniston and Benjamin Lualdi

33501: Wage Fixing

Axel Gottfries and Gregor Jarosch

33500: Inappropriate Technology: Evidence from Global Agriculture

Jacob Moscona and Karthik A. Sastry

33499: Measuring the Average Period of Production

Pol Antras and Vitalii Tubdenov

33498: The Benefits from Bundling Demand in K-12 Broadband Procurement

Gaurab Aryal, Charles Murry, Pallavi Pal and Arnab Palit

33497: A Family Affair: The Effects of College on Parent and Student Finances

Palaash Bhargava, Sandra Black, Jeffrey Denning, Robert Fairlie and Oded Gurantz

33496: Misperceptions of Nonlinear Budget Sets: Evidence from Administrative Tax Data

Alexander M. Gelber, Damon Jones, Ithai Lurie and Daniel W. Sacks

33495: Does Peer Review Penalize Scientific Risk Taking? Evidence from NIH Grant Renewals

Pierre Azoulay and Wesley H. Greenblatt

33494: Guaranteed Employment in Rural India: Intra-Household Labor and Resource Allocation Consequences

Jorge Luis Garcia

33493: Optimal Spatial Policies

Pablo D. Fajgelbaum and Cecile Gaubert

33492: The Effect of Application Fees on Entry into Patenting

Gaétan de Rassenfosse and Adam Jaffe

33491: Killer Congestion: Temperature, Healthcare Utilization and Patient Outcomes

Sandra Aguilar-Gomez, Joshua Graff Zivin and Matthew Neidell

33490: Declining Life Satisfaction and Happiness Among Young Adults in Six English-speaking Countries

Jean Twenge and David Blanchflower

33489: High-Speed Rail and China's Electric Vehicle Adoption Miracle

Hanming Fang, Ming Li, Long Wang and Zoe Yang

33488: Monetary Policy Under Okun’s Hypothesis

Felipe Alves and Giovanni Violante

33487: Economic Shocks and Healthcare Capital Investments

Michael R. Richards, Maggie Shi and Christopher Whaley

33486: Charting the Uncharted: The (Un)Intended Consequences of Oil Sanctions and Dark Shipping

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Yiliang Li, Le Xu and Francesco Zanetti

33485: Policy Interventions and China’s Stock Market in the Early Stages of the COVID-19 Pandemic

Steven Davis, Dingqian Liu, Xuguang Simon Sheng and Yan Wang

33484: The Welfare Benefits of Pay-As-You-Go Financing

Paul Gertler, Brett Green, Renping Li and David Sraer

33483: Venture Capital Start-up Selection

Young Soo Jang and Steven N. Kaplan

33482: The Price of Faith: Economic Costs and Religious Adaptation in Sub-Saharan Africa

Eduardo Montero, Dean Yang and Triana Yentzen

33481: Firm Trade Exposure, Labor Market Competition, and the Worker Incidence of Trade Shocks

Jeronimo Carballo and Richard Mansfield

33480: Cross-Gender Social Ties Around the World

Michael Bailey, Drew M. Johnston, Theresa Kuchler, Ayush Kumar and Johannes Stroebel

33479: The Minimum Wage, Turnover, and the Shape of the Wage Distribution

Pierre Brochu, David Green, Thomas Lemieux and James Townsend

33478: Micro and Macro Cost-Price Dynamics in Normal Times and During Inflation Surges

Luca Gagliardone, Mark Gertler, Simone Lenzu and Joris Tielens

33477: Trading in Twilight: Sleep, Mental Alertness, and Stock Market Trading

Hee Seo Han, David Hirshleifer, Jinfei Sheng and Zheng Sun

33476: How Costly Are Business Cycle Volatility and Inflation? A Vox Populi Approach

Dimitris Georgarakos, Kwang Hwan Kim, Olivier Coibion, Myungkyu Shim, Myunghwan Andrew Lee, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Geoff Kenny, Seowoo Han and Michael Weber

33475: The Mental Health of the Young in Asia and the Middle East: The Importance of Self-Reports

David Blanchflower and Alex Bryson

33474: Misspecification-Robust Shrinkage and Selection for VAR Forecasts and IRFs

Oriol González-Casasús and Frank Schorfheide

33473: Understanding the Role of Genetic Heterogeneity in Smoking Interventions: Experimental Evidence from the Lung Health Study

Shubhashrita Basu, Jason Fletcher, Qiongshi Lu, Jiacheng Miao and Lauren L. Schmitz

33472: Bank Debt, Mutual Fund Equity, and Swing Pricing in Liquidity Provision

Yiming Ma, Kairong Xiao and Yao Zeng

33471: If We Build It, We Will Come: Institution Development in Academia and the Evolution of Career Choices by Top Talent During Japan’s Industrialization

Takuya Hiraiwa, Serguey Braguinsky and Rajshree Agarwal

33470: An Alpha in Affordable Housing?

Sven Damen, Matthijs Korevaar and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

33469: The Labor Market Impact of Digital Technologies

Sangmin Aum and Yongseok Shin

33468: Dodging Day Zero: Drought, Adaptation, and Inequality in Cape Town

Alexander C. Abajian, Cassandra Cole, B. Kelsey Jack, Kyle Meng and Martine Visser

33467: Labor Market Monopsony: Fundamentals and Frontiers

Patrick Kline

33466: A Cognitive Theory of Reasoning and Choice

Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli, Giacomo Lanzani and Andrei Shleifer

33465: The Effect of US COVID-19 Excess Mortality on Social Security Outlays

Hanke Heun-Johnson, Darius Lakdawalla, Julian Reif and Bryan Tysinger

33464: Quick-Fixing: Near-Rationality in Consumption and Savings Behavior

Peter Andre, Joel P. Flynn, Georgios Nikolakoudis and Karthik Sastry

33463: Market Competition and Shock Propagation: Implications for Margins and Distress

Winston Dou, Shane Johnson and Wei Wu

33462: Student Loan Forgiveness

Michael Dinerstein, Samuel Earnest, Dmitri K. Koustas and Constantine Yannelis

33461: Sex-Based Wage Gaps in Nursing

Pablo Estrada, Sara Markowitz and Alexia Witthaus

33460: Vanguard: Black Veterans and Civil Rights after World War I

Desmond Ang and Sahil Chinoy

33459: Reconciling Macroeconomics and Finance for the U.S. Corporate Sector: 1929 to Present

Andrew Atkeson, Jonathan Heathcote and Fabrizio Perri

33458: Local GDP Estimates Around the World

Esteban Rossi-Hansberg and Jialing Zhang

33457: The Therapeutic Consequences of the War: World War II and the 20th-Century Expansion of Biomedicine

Daniel Gross and Bhaven Sampat

33456: The Experimentalist Looks Within: Toward an Understanding of Within-Subject Experimental Designs

John List

33455: ESG Is The Most Polarizing Nonwage Amenity: Evidence from a Field Experiment in Brazil

Emanuele Colonnelli, Timothy McQuade, Gabriel Ramos, Thomas Rauter and Olivia Xiong

33454: A Test of Dominant Currency Hypothesis: Evidence From a Non-USD-non-Euro Country

Yushi Yoshida, Takatoshi Ito, Junko Shimizu, Kiyotaka Sato, Taiyo Yoshimi and Uraku Yoshimoto

33453: Spatial Economics for Low- and Middle-Income Countries

Gharad T. Bryan, Kyra Frye and Melanie Morten

33452: Rigidities in Transportation and Supply Chain Disruptions

Giulia Brancaccio, Myrto Kalouptsidi and Theodore Papageorgiou

33451: AI and Women's Employment in Europe

Stefania Albanesi, António Dias da Silva, Juan F. Jimeno, Ana Lamo and Alena Wabitsch

33450: Moral Hazard among the Employed: Evidence from Regression Discontinuity

Jonas Jessen, Robin Jessen, Andrew Johnston and Ewa Gałecka-Burdziak

33449: Does Loan Securitization Expose Borrowers to Non-Bank Investor Shocks?—Evidence from Insurers

Abhishek Bhardwaj, Shan Ge and Saptarshi Mukherjee

33448: Childbirth and Firm Performance: Evidence from Norwegian Entrepreneurs

John Bonney, Luigi Pistaferri and Alessandra Voena

33447: The Hidden Toll of Airborne Lead: Infant Mortality Impacts of Industrial Lead Pollution

Karen Clay, Edson Severnini and Xiao Wang

33446: Did the Modern Mortgage Set the Stage for the U.S. Baby Boom?

Lisa Dettling and Melissa Kearney

33445: Firm Pay and Worker Search

Sydnee Caldwell, Ingrid Haegele and Jörg Heining

33444: Income Equality in The Nordic Countries: Myths, Facts, and Lessons

Magne Mogstad, Kjell G Salvanes and Gaute Torsvik

33443: Spatial Dynamics

Klaus Desmet and Fernando Parro

33442: Institutions, Technology and Prosperity

Daron Acemoglu