NBER Working Papers

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23511: Finance, farms, and the Fed's early years

Bruce Carlin and William Mann

23510: Right-to-Carry Laws and Violent Crime: A Comprehensive Assessment Using Panel Data and a State-Level Synthetic Control Analysis

John Donohue, Abhay Aneja and Kyle D. Weber

23509: Generalized Compensation Principle

Aleh Tsyvinski and Nicolas Werquin

23508: Money and Politics: The Effects of Campaign Spending Limits on Political Competition and Incumbency Advantage

Eric Avis, Claudio Ferraz, Frederico Finan and Carlos Varjão

23507: Estimating the Recession-Mortality Relationship when Migration Matters

Vellore Arthi, Brian Beach and W Hanlon

23506: Social Security and Saving: An Update

Sita Slavov, Devon Gorry, Aspen Gorry and Frank Caliendo

23505: What is the Business of Business?

Andreas Nilsson and David Robinson

23504: Still More On Mariel: The Role of Race

George Borjas

23503: Trade Induced Structural Change and the Skill Premium

Javier Cravino and Sebastian Sotelo

23502: Dynamics of Housing Debt in the Recent Boom and Great Recession

Manuel Adelino, Antoinette Schoar and Felipe Severino

23501: Planning for Retirement? The Importance of Time Preferences

Robert L. Clark, Robert Hammond, Christelle Khalaf and Melinda Morrill

23500: General Equilibrium Trade Modelling with Canada-US Transportation Costs

Chuantian He, Chunding Li and John Whalley

23499: Kinship, Cooperation, and the Evolution of Moral Systems

Benjamin Enke

23498: The Economic and Social Outcomes of Refugees in the United States: Evidence from the ACS

William Evans and Daniel Fitzgerald

23497: Unordered Monotonicity

James Heckman and Rodrigo Pinto

23496: Estimating the Impact of Crop Diversity on Agricultural Productivity in South Africa

Cecilia Bellora, Elodie Blanc, Jean-Marc Bourgeon and Eric Strobl

23495: Willingness to Pay for Low Water Footprint Food Choices During Drought

Hannah Krovetz, Rebecca Taylor and Sofia Villas-Boas

23494: When Inequality Matters for Macro and Macro Matters for Inequality

SeHyoun Ahn, Greg Kaplan, Benjamin Moll, Thomas Winberry and Christian Wolf

23493: Corporate Liquidity, Acquisitions, and Macroeconomic Conditions

Isil Erel, Yeejin Jang, Bernadette A. Minton and Michael Weisbach

23492: The Value of Mandating Maternal Education in a Developing Country

Bahadir Dursun, Resul Cesur and Inas Kelly

23491: Using Aggregated Relational Data to Feasibly Identify Network Structure without Network Data

Emily Breza, Arun Chandrasekhar, Tyler H. McCormick and Mengjie Pan

23490: Identifying the Effect of Election Closeness on Voter Turnout: Evidence from Swiss Referenda

Leonardo Bursztyn, Davide Cantoni, Patricia Funk, Felix Schönenberger and Noam Yuchtman

23489: Reducing Inequality Through Dynamic Complementarity: Evidence from Head Start and Public School Spending

Rucker C. Johnson and C. Kirabo Jackson

23488: The Digital Privacy Paradox: Small Money, Small Costs, Small Talk

Susan Athey, Christian Catalini and Catherine Tucker

23487: How Did China’s WTO Entry Affect U.S. Prices?

Mary Amiti, Mi Dai, Robert Feenstra and John Romalis

23486: Maimonides Rule Redux

Joshua Angrist, Victor Lavy, Jetson Leder-Luis and Adi Shany

23485: Cyclical Job Ladders by Firm Size and Firm Wage

John Haltiwanger, Henry Hyatt, Lisa Kahn and Erika McEntarfer

23484: The Effects of Scientists and Engineers on Productivity and Earnings at the Establishment Where They Work

Erling Barth, James Davis, Richard Freeman and Andrew J. Wang

23483: The Long-Run Dynamics of Electricity Demand: Evidence from Municipal Aggregation

Tatyana Deryugina, Alexander MacKay and Julian Reif

23482: Per Capita Income and the Demand for Skills

Justin Caron, Thibault Fally and James Markusen

23481: Upstart Industrialization and Exports, Japan 1880-1910

Christopher Meissner and John Tang

23480: Robust Bond Risk Premia

Michael Bauer and James Hamilton

23479: Quantifying the Life-cycle Benefits of a Prototypical Early Childhood Program

Jorge Luis Garcia, James Heckman, Duncan Ermini Leaf and María José Prados

23478: An Evaluation of Bias in Three Measures of Teacher Quality: Value-Added, Classroom Observations, and Student Surveys

Andrew Bacher-Hicks, Mark J. Chin, Thomas J. Kane and Doug Staiger

23477: World War II and the Industrialization of the American South

Taylor Jaworski

23476: Complex Asset Markets

Andrea Eisfeldt, Hanno Lustig and Lei Zhang

23475: Insurgent Learning

Francesco Trebbi, Eric Weese, Austin L. Wright and Andrew Shaver

23474: Taper Tantrums: QE, its Aftermath and Emerging Market Capital Flows

Anusha Chari, Karlye Dilts Stedman and Christian Lundblad

23473: Tax Advantages and Imperfect Competition in Auctions for Municipal Bonds

Daniel Garrett, Andrey Ordin, James W. Roberts and Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato

23472: Who Is Screened Out? Application Costs and the Targeting of Disability Programs

ManasI Deshpande and Yue Li

23471: Did the Affordable Care Act Young Adult Provision Affect Labor Market Outcomes? Analysis Using Tax Data

Bradley Heim, Ithai Lurie and Kosali Simon

23470: Measuring and Bounding Experimenter Demand

Jonathan de Quidt, Johannes Haushofer and Christopher Roth

23469: Acquiring Banking Networks

Ross Levine, Chen Lin and Zigan Wang

23468: Exit, Voice or Loyalty? An Investigation into Mandated Portability of Front-Loaded Private Health Plans

Juan Pablo Atal, Hanming Fang, Martin Karlsson and Nicolas Ziebarth

23467: Flexibility of Adjustment to Shocks: Economic Growth and Volatility of Middle-Income Countries Before and After the Global Financial Crisis of 2008

Joshua Aizenman, Yothin Jinjarak, Gemma Estrada and Shu Tian

23466: Disability Benefits, Consumption Insurance, and Household Labor Supply

David Autor, Andreas Kostøl, Magne Mogstad and Bradley Setzler

23465: Access and Use of Contraception and Its Effects on Women’s Outcomes in the U.S

Martha Bailey and Jason Lindo

23464: Are U.S. Companies Too Short-Term Oriented? Some Thoughts

Steven Kaplan

23463: School Performance, Accountability and Waiver Reforms: Evidence from Louisiana

Thomas Dee and Elise Dizon-Ross

23462: The Effects of School Reform Under NCLB Waivers: Evidence from Focus Schools in Kentucky

Sade Bonilla and Thomas Dee

23461: Differentiated Accountability and Education Production: Evidence from NCLB Waivers

Steven W. Hemelt and Brian Jacob

23460: Governance and Stakeholders

Vikas Mehrotra and Randall Morck

23459: Homophily in Entrepreneurial Team Formation

Paul Gompers, Kevin Huang and Sophie Calder-Wang

23458: Short Run Gravity

James Anderson and Yoto Yotov

23457: Long Run Growth of Financial Technology

Maryam Farboodi and Laura Veldkamp

23456: On the Geography of Global Value Chains

Pol Antras and Alonso de Gortari

23455: Asset Pricing in the Quest for the New El Dorado

Daniel Andrei and Bruce I. Carlin

23454: And the Children Shall Lead: Gender Diversity and Performance in Venture Capital

Paul Gompers and Sophie Calder-Wang

23453: The Impact of Student Debt on Education, Career, and Marriage Choices of Female Lawyers

Holger Sieg and Yu Wang

23452: An Equilibrium Model of Housing and Mortgage Markets with State-Contingent Lending Contracts

Tomasz Piskorski and Alexei Tchistyi

23451: Monetary Policy and the Redistribution Channel

Adrien Auclert

23450: The Effect of Insurance Expansions on Smoking Cessation Medication Prescriptions: Evidence from ACA Medicaid Expansions

Johanna Maclean, Michael Pesko and Steven Hill

23449: Speculative Dynamics of Prices and Volume

Anthony DeFusco, Charles G. Nathanson and Eric Zwick

23448: Tempered Particle Filtering

Edward Herbst and Frank Schorfheide

23447: The Life Cycle of Scholarly Articles across Fields of Research

Sebastian Galiani and Ramiro Gálvez

23446: The Effect of Malpractice Law on Physician Supply: Evidence from Negligence-Standard Reforms

Michael D. Frakes, Matthew B. Frank and Seth Seabury

23445: Does Choice Increase Information? Evidence from Online School Search Behavior

Michael Lovenheim and Patrick Walsh

23444: Health Plan Payment in U.S. Marketplaces: Regulated Competition with a Weak Mandate

Timothy Layton, Ellen J. Montz and Mark Shepard

23443: Rethinking the Benefits of Youth Employment Programs: The Heterogeneous Effects of Summer Jobs

Jonathan Davis and Sara B. Heller

23442: Earning your CAP: A Comprehensive Analysis of The University of Texas System's Coordinated Admissions Program

Rodney J. Andrews and John Thompson

23441: China's Lost Generation: Changes in Beliefs and their Intergenerational Transmission

Gérard Roland and David Yang

23440: International Monetary Relations: Taking Finance Seriously

Maurice Obstfeld and Alan Taylor

23439: How Do Peers Impact Learning? An Experimental Investigation of Peer-to-Peer Teaching and Ability Tracking

Erik Kimbrough, Andrew McGee and Hitoshi Shigeoka

23438: The Effect of Prior Choices on Expectations and Subsequent Portfolio Decisions

Camelia Kuhnen, Sarah Rudorf and Bernd Weber

23437: Management and Student Achievement: Evidence from a Randomized Field Experiment

Roland Fryer

23436: Deterrence and the Optimal Use of Prison, Parole, and Probation

A. Mitchell Polinsky and Paul N. Riskind

23435: Nation-Building, Nationalism and Wars

Alberto Alesina, Bryony Reich and Alessandro Riboni

23434: Price Risk, Production Flexibility, and Liquidity Management: Evidence from Electricity Generating Firms

Chen Lin, Thomas Schmid and Michael Weisbach

23433: The Labor Market Effects of Refugee Waves: Reconciling Conflicting Results

Michael Clemens and Jennifer Hunt

23432: Innovative Originality, Profitability, and Stock Returns

David Hirshleifer, Po-Hsuan Hsu and Dongmei Li

23431: Innovation Policy in a Networked World

Olav Sorenson

23430: Finance and Growth: Household Savings, Public Investment, and Public Health in Late Nineteenth-Century New Jersey

Howard Bodenhorn

23429: Why You Should Never Use the Hodrick-Prescott Filter

James Hamilton

23428: Financial Intermediation in Private Equity: How Well Do Funds of Funds Perform?

Robert S. Harris, Tim Jenkinson, Steven Kaplan and Ruediger Stucke

23427: The Lerner Symmetry Theorem: Generalizations and Qualifications

Arnaud Costinot and Iván Werning

23426: The Cross-Border Spillover Effects of Recreational Marijuana Legalization

Zhuang Hao and Benjamin Cowan

23425: Straight Talkers and Vague Talkers: The Effects of Managerial Style in Earnings Conference Calls

Michał Dzieliński, Alexander Wagner and Richard Zeckhauser

23424: Monetary Policy through Production Networks: Evidence from the Stock Market

Ali Ozdagli and Michael Weber

23423: A World Equilibrium Model of the Oil Market

Gideon Bornstein, Per Krusell and Sergio Rebelo

23422: The Causes and Costs of Misallocation

Diego Restuccia and Richard Rogerson

23421: Racial Bias in Bail Decisions

David Arnold, Will Dobbie and Crystal S. Yang

23420: Innovation-Led Transitions in Energy Supply

Derek Lemoine

23419: Imperfect Financial Markets and Shareholder Incentives in Partial and General Equilibrium

Elias Albagli, Christian Hellwig and Aleh Tsyvinski

23418: Survey Measurement of Probabilistic Macroeconomic Expectations: Progress and Promise

Charles Manski

23417: Handle with Care: The Local Air Pollution Costs of Coal Storage

Akshaya Jha and Nicholas Muller

23416: Australian Squatters, Convicts, and Capitalists: Dividing Up a Fast-Growing Frontier Pie 1821-1871

Laura Panza and Jeffrey Williamson

23415: From Extreme to Mainstream: How Social Norms Unravel

Leonardo Bursztyn, Georgy Egorov and Stefano Fiorin

23414: Status Goods: Experimental Evidence from Platinum Credit Cards

Leonardo Bursztyn, Bruno Ferman, Stefano Fiorin, Martin Kanz and Gautam Rao

23413: False Alarm? Estimating the Marginal Value of Health Signals

Toshiaki Iizuka, Katsuhiko Nishiyama, Brian Chen and Karen Eggleston

23412: Gender Differences in the Benefits of an Influential Early Childhood Program

Jorge Luis Garcia, James Heckman and Anna L. Ziff