NBER Working Papers

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21810: The Dynamics of Adjustable-Rate Subprime Mortgage Default: A Structural Estimation

Hanming Fang, You Suk Kim and Wenli Li

21809: Historical Origins of a Major Killer: Cardiovascular Disease in the American South

Richard Steckel and Garrett Senney

21808: The Globalization of Angel Investments: Evidence across Countries

Josh Lerner, Antoinette Schoar, Stanislav Sokolinski and Karen Wilson

21807: Economic Impossibilities for our Grandchildren?

Kevin O'Rourke

21806: Double for Nothing? Experimental Evidence on the Impact of an Unconditional Teacher Salary Increase on Student Performance in Indonesia

Joppe de Ree, Karthik Muralidharan, Menno Pradhan and Frederic Rogers

21805: The International Monetary Fund: 70 Years of Reinvention

Carmen Reinhart and Christoph Trebesch

21804: Total Returns to Single Family Rentals

Andrea Eisfeldt and Andrew Demers

21803: Uncertainty and Business Cycles: Exogenous Impulse or Endogenous Response?

Sydney Ludvigson, Sai Ma and Serena Ng

21802: Corporate Governance and Blockchains

David Yermack

21801: The Labor Market Effects of a Refugee Wave: Applying the Synthetic Control Method to the Mariel Boatlift

Giovanni Peri and Vasil Yasenov

21800: Specialization in Bank Lending: Evidence from Exporting Firms

Daniel Paravisini, Veronica Rappoport and Philipp Schnabl

21799: A History of U.S. Debt Limits

George Hall and Thomas Sargent

21798: The Evolution of Culture and Institutions: Evidence from the Kuba Kingdom

Sara Lowes, Nathan Nunn, James Robinson and Jonathan Weigel

21797: Inferring Risk Perceptions and Preferences using Choice from Insurance Menus: Theory and Evidence

Keith Ericson, Philipp Kircher, Johannes Spinnewijn and Amanda Starc

21796: Money and Output: Friedman and Schwartz Revisited

Michael Belongia and Peter Ireland

21795: In Search of Ideas: Technological Innovation and Executive Pay Inequality

Carola Frydman and Dimitris Papanikolaou

21794: Urban Networks: Connecting Markets, People, and Ideas

Edward Glaeser, Giacomo Ponzetto and Yimei Zou

21793: International Coordination and Precautionary Policies

Joshua Aizenman

21792: Controlling for the Compromise Effect Debiases Estimates of Risk Preference Parameters

Jonathan P. Beauchamp, Daniel Benjamin, Christopher F. Chabris and David Laibson

21791: A New Dilemma: Capital Controls and Monetary Policy in Sudden Stop Economies

Michael Devereux, Eric Young and Changhua Yu

21790: Menthol Cigarette Advertising and Cigarette Demand

Donald Kenkel, Alan Mathios and Hua Wang

21789: Voter Preferences and Political Change: Evidence from Shale Booms

Viktar Fedaseyeu, Erik Gilje and Philip E. Strahan

21788: Does Science Advance One Funeral at a Time?

Pierre Azoulay, Christian Fons-Rosen and Joshua Graff Zivin

21787: Air Pollution and Criminal Activity: Evidence from Chicago Microdata

Evan Herrnstadt and Erich Muehlegger

21786: Forbearance by Contract: How Building and Loans Mitigated the Mortgage Crisis of the 1930s

Sebastian Fleitas, Price Fishback and Kenneth Snowden

21785: Colonial Virginia’s Paper Money Regime, 1755-1774: a Forensic Accounting Reconstruction of the Data

Farley Grubb

21784: Short-Term Pain for Long-Term Gain: Market Deregulation and Monetary Policy in Small Open Economies

Matteo Cacciatore, Romain Duval, Giuseppe Fiori and Fabio Ghironi

21783: Externalities and Benefit Design in Health Insurance

Amanda Starc and Robert Town

21782: The GATT's Starting Point: Tariff Levels circa 1947

Chad Bown and Douglas Irwin

21781: Improving College Access in the United States: Barriers and Policy Responses

Lindsay C. Page and Judith Scott-Clayton

21780: Listen to your Doctor, or else!: Medication Under-use and Overuse and Long-term Health Outcomes of Danish Diabetes Patients

Gisela Hostenkamp and Frank Lichtenberg

21779: Working through the Distribution: Money in the Short and Long Run

Guillaume Rocheteau, Pierre-Olivier Weill and Russell Wong

21778: Big Data and Big Cities: The Promises and Limitations of Improved Measures of Urban Life

Edward Glaeser, Scott Kominers, Michael Luca and Nikhil Naik

21777: Stages of Diversification: France, 1836-1938

Stéphane Becuwe, Bertrand Blancheton and Christopher Meissner

21776: Where Has All The Skewness Gone? The Decline In High-Growth (Young) Firms In The U.S

Ryan Decker, John Haltiwanger, Ron Jarmin and Javier Miranda

21775: Learning Entrepreneurship From Other Entrepreneurs?

Luigi Guiso, Luigi Pistaferri and Fabiano Schivardi

21774: Obstfeld and Rogoff's International Macro Puzzles: A Quantitative Assessment

Jonathan Eaton, Samuel Kortum and Brent Neiman

21773: Pareto Weights as Wedges in Two-Country Models

David Backus, Chase Coleman, Axelle Ferriere and Spencer Lyon

21772: Explaining Consumption Excess Sensitivity with Near-Rationality: Evidence from Large Predetermined Payments

Lorenz Kueng

21771: Comparing Asset Pricing Models

Francisco Barillas and Jay Shanken

21770: Economic Gains for U.S. States from Educational Reform

Eric Hanushek, Jens Ruhose and Ludger Woessmann

21769: Patent Rights, Innovation and Firm Exit

Alberto Galasso and Mark Schankerman

21768: Tariff Reductions, Entry, and Welfare: Theory and Evidence for the Last Two Decades

Lorenzo Caliendo, Robert Feenstra, John Romalis and Alan Taylor

21767: Climate Change and Long-Run Discount Rates: Evidence from Real Estate

Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori, Johannes Stroebel and Andreas Weber

21766: Early Childhood Education

Sneha Elango, Jorge Luis Garcia, James Heckman and Andrés Hojman

21765: Democratic Rulemaking

John M. de Figueiredo and Edward H. Stiglitz

21764: Wage Dispersion and Search Behavior: The Importance of Non-Wage Job Values

Robert Hall and Andreas Mueller

21763: When do Firms Go Green? Comparing Command and Control Regulations with Price Incentives in India

Ann Harrison, Benjamin Hyman, Leslie Martin and Shanthi Nataraj

21762: The Effect of Wealth on Individual and Household Labor Supply: Evidence from Swedish Lotteries

David Cesarini, Erik Lindqvist, Matthew Notowidigdo and Robert Östling

21761: Divorce: What Does Learning Have to Do with It?

Ioana Marinescu

21760: State Taxes and Spatial Misallocation

Pablo Fajgelbaum, Eduardo Morales, Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato and Owen Zidar

21759: Information Frictions and Adverse Selection: Policy Interventions in Health Insurance Markets

Benjamin R. Handel, Jonathan Kolstad and Johannes Spinnewijn

21758: An Experimental Study of Decentralized Link Formation with Competition

Margherita Comola and Marcel Fafchamps

21757: Optimal Income Taxation with Unemployment and Wage Responses: A Sufficient Statistics Approach

Kory Kroft, Kavan J. Kucko, Etienne Lehmann and Johannes Schmieder

21756: Immigrants and Gender Roles: Assimilation vs. Culture

Francine Blau

21755: Tax Revenue Trends in Asia and Latin America: A Comparative Analysis

Joshua Aizenman, Yothin Jinjarak, Jungsuk Kim and Donghyun Park

21754: Citations in Economics: Measurement, Uses and Impacts

Daniel Hamermesh

21753: The Dynamics of Comparative Advantage

Gordon Hanson, Nelson Lind and Marc-Andreas Muendler

21752: Get With the Program: Software-Driven Innovation in Traditional Manufacturing

Lee Branstetter, Matej Drev and Namho Kwon

21751: Economics of Means-Tested Transfer Programs: Introduction

Robert Moffitt

21750: Forward Guidance in the Yield Curve: Short Rates versus Bond Supply

Robin Greenwood, Samuel Hanson and Dimitri Vayanos

21749: A Demand System Approach to Asset Pricing

Ralph Koijen and Motohiro Yogo

21748: Leveraging Lotteries for School Value-Added: Testing and Estimation

Joshua Angrist, Peter Hull, Parag Pathak and Christopher Walters

21747: Paid Family Leave, Fathers’ Leave-Taking, and Leave-Sharing in Dual-Earner Households

Ann Bartel, Maya Rossin-Slater, Christopher Ruhm, Jenna Stearns and Jane Waldfogel

21746: The Relationship between Establishment Training and the Retention of Older Workers: Evidence from Germany

Peter B. Berg, Mary K. Hamman, Matthew M. Piszczek and Christopher Ruhm

21745: Short-run Effects of Parental Job Loss on Child Health

Jessamyn Schaller and Mariana Zerpa

21744: Bad Investments and Missed Opportunities? Postwar Capital Flows to Asia and Latin America

Lee Ohanian, Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria and Mark Wright

21743: Agency Business Cycles

Mikhail Golosov and Guido Menzio

21742: Lessons Learned from Three Decades of Experience with Cap-and-Trade

Richard Schmalensee and Robert Stavins

21741: Identifying the Cost of a Public Health Success: Arsenic Well Water Contamination and Productivity in Bangladesh

Mark Pitt, Mark Rosenzweig and Nazmul Hassan

21740: Human Capital Development and Parental Investment in India

Orazio Attanasio, Costas Meghir and Emily Nix

21739: Regulation and Market Liquidity

Francesco Trebbi and Kairong Xiao

21738: Sign Restrictions in Bayesian FaVARs with an Application to Monetary Policy Shocks

Pooyan Amir Ahmadi and Harald Uhlig

21737: Self-Oriented Monetary Policy, Global Financial Markets and Excess Volatility of International Capital Flows

Ryan Banerjee, Michael Devereux and Giovanni Lombardo

21736: Declining Wealth and Work Among Male Veterans in the Health and Retirement Study

Alan Gustman, Thomas L. Steinmeier and Nahid Tabatabai

21735: Global Collaborative Patents

Sari Pekkala Kerr and William Kerr

21734: Explaining Foreign Holdings of Asia's Debt Securities: The Feldstein-Horioka Paradox Revisited

Charles Horioka, Akiko Hagiwara and Takaaki Nomoto

21733: Job Creation, Small vs. Large vs. Young, and the SBA

J. David Brown, John Earle and Yana Morgulis

21732: Dynamics of the U.S. Price Distribution

David Berger and Joseph Vavra

21731: Dynamic Directed Random Matching

Darrell Duffie, Lei Qiao and Yeneng Sun

21730: Piketty's Book and Macro Models of Wealth Inequality

Mariacristina De Nardi, Giulio Fella and Fang Yang

21729: Gentrification and the Rising Returns to Skill

Lena Edlund, Cecilia Machado and Maria Micaela Sviatschi

21728: Common Currency versus Currency Union: The U.S. Continental Dollar and Denominational Structure, 1775-1776

Farley Grubb

21727: Access to Schooling and the Black-White Incarceration Gap in the Early 20th Century US South: Evidence from Rosenwald Schools

Katherine Eriksson

21726: Inflation and Activity – Two Explorations and their Monetary Policy Implications

Olivier Blanchard, Eugenio Cerutti and Lawrence Summers

21725: It’s About Time: Effects of the Affordable Care Act Dependent Coverage Mandate On Time Use

Gregory Colman and Dhaval Dave

21724: The Option Value of Human Capital: Higher Education and Wage Inequality

Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee, Yongseok Shin and Donghoon Lee

21723: Impacts of Being Downwind of a Coal-Fired Power Plant on Infant Health at Birth: Evidence from the Precedent-Setting Portland Rule

Muzhe Yang and Shin-Yi Chou

21722: US Monetary Policy and the Global Financial Cycle

Silvia Miranda-Agrippino and Helene Rey

21721: Wealth Distribution and Social Mobility in the US: A Quantitative Approach

Jess Benhabib, Alberto Bisin and Mi Luo

21720: Insiders and Outsiders: Local Ethnic Politics and Public Goods Provision

Kaivan Munshi and Mark Rosenzweig

21719: The Tail that Wags the Economy: Beliefs and Persistent Stagnation

Julian Kozlowski, Laura Veldkamp and Venky Venkateswaran

21718: Nonlinear Pricing in Village Economies

Orazio Attanasio and Elena Pastorino

21717: Measuring and Changing Control: Women’s Empowerment and Targeted Transfers

Ingvild Almås, Alex Armand, Orazio Attanasio and Pedro Carneiro

21716: RMBI or RMBR: Is the Renminbi Destined to Become a Global or Regional Currency?

Barry Eichengreen and Domenico Lombardi

21715: How Strong are Ethnic Preferences?

Lars Ivar Oppedal Berge, Kjetil Bjorvatn, Simon Galle, Edward Miguel, Daniel N. Posner, Bertil Tungodden and Kelly Zhang

21714: Prescription Drug Advertising and Drug Utilization: The Role of Medicare Part D

Abby Alpert, Darius Lakdawalla and Neeraj Sood

21713: Work and Consumption in an Era of Unbalanced Technological Advance

Benjamin M. Friedman

21712: Host-MNC Relations in Resource-Rich Countries

Graciela Chichilnisky and Geoffrey Heal

21711: Climate Engineering Economics

Garth Heutel, Juan Moreno-Cruz and Katharine Ricke