NBER Working Papers

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23127: Rents, Technical Change, and Risk Premia: Accounting for Secular Trends in Interest Rates, Returns on Capital, Earning Yields, and Factor Shares

Ricardo Caballero, Emmanuel Farhi and Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas

23126: Re-examining the Middle-Income Trap Hypothesis (MITH): What to Reject and What to Revive?

Xuehui Han and Shang-Jin Wei

23125: Immigration Restrictions as Active Labor Market Policy: Evidence from the Mexican Bracero Exclusion

Michael Clemens, Ethan Lewis and Hannah M. Postel

23124: On the Global Financial Market Integration “Swoosh” and the Trilemma

Geert Bekaert and Arnaud Mehl

23123: When No Bad Deed Goes Punished: Relational Contracting in Ghana versus the UK

Elwyn Davies and Marcel Fafchamps

23122: Keepin' 'em Down on the Farm: Migration and Strategic Investment in Children's Schooling

Robert Jensen and Nolan H. Miller

23121: Assessing Managerial Ability: Implications for Corporate Governance

Benjamin Hermalin and Michael Weisbach

23120: Who Becomes a Politician?

Ernesto Dal Bó, Frederico Finan, Olle Folke, Torsten Persson and Johanna Rickne

23119: Global Inequality Dynamics: New Findings from WID.world

Facundo Alvaredo, Lucas Chancel, Thomas Piketty, Emmanuel Saez and Gabriel Zucman

23118: Measuring Loan Outcomes at Postsecondary Institutions: Cohort Repayment Rates as an Indicator of Student Success and Institutional Accountability

Tiffany Chou, W. Looney and Tara Watson

23117: Decomposing Medical-Care Expenditure Growth

Abe Dunn, Eli Liebman and Adam Shapiro

23116: Gross Capital Flows by Banks, Corporates and Sovereigns

Stefan Avdjiev, Bryan Hardy, Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan and Luis Servén

23115: Assignment of Stock Market Coverage

Briana Chang and Harrison Hong

23114: Secondary Pharmaceutical Patenting: A Global Perspective

Bhaven Sampat and Kenneth C. Shadlen

23113: The (Dis)Advantages of Clearinghouses Before the Fed

Matthew Jaremski

23112: How Are SNAP Benefits Spent? Evidence from a Retail Panel

Justine Hastings and Jesse Shapiro

23111: Challenges in Constructing a Survey-Based Well-Being Index

Daniel Benjamin, Kristen Cooper, Ori Heffetz and Miles Kimball

23110: Are Protests Games of Strategic Complements or Substitutes? Experimental Evidence from Hong Kong's Democracy Movement

Davide Cantoni, David Yang, Noam Yuchtman and Y. Jane Zhang

23109: Post Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Theory

Roger Farmer

23108: Concentrating on the Fall of the Labor Share

David Autor, David Dorn, Lawrence Katz, Christina Patterson and John van Reenen

23107: Direct and Spillover Effects of Middle School Vaccination Requirements

Christopher Carpenter and Emily C. Lawler

23106: The Competitive Effects of Transmission Infrastructure in the Indian Electricity Market

Nicholas Ryan

23105: The Business of Business is Business: Why (Some) Firms Should Provide Public Goods when they Sell Private Goods

Chien-Yu Lai, Andreas Lange, John List and Michael Price

23104: Price-Linked Subsidies and Imperfect Competition in Health Insurance

Sonia Jaffe and Mark Shepard

23103: Family Economics Writ Large

Jeremy Greenwood, Nezih Guner and Guillaume Vandenbroucke

23102: Firm Performance and the Volatility of Worker Earnings

Chinhui Juhn, Kristin McCue, Holly Monti and Brooks Pierce

23101: Firm Heterogeneity in Consumption Baskets: Evidence from Home and Store Scanner Data

Benjamin Faber and Thibault Fally

23100: Provider Incentives and Healthcare Costs: Evidence from Long-Term Care Hospitals

Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein and Neale Mahoney

23099: Fire in the Belly? Employee Motives and Innovative Performance in Startups versus Established Firms

Henry Sauermann

23098: The Distortionary Effects of Incentives in Government: Evidence from China's “Death Ceiling” Program

Raymond Fisman and Yongxiang Wang

23097: Do Energy Efficiency Investments Deliver at the Right Time?

Judson P. Boomhower and Lucas Davis

23096: Racial/Ethnic Differences in Non-Work at Work

Daniel Hamermesh, Katie R. Genadek and Michael Burda

23095: Reconciling Models of Diffusion and Innovation: A Theory of the Productivity Distribution and Technology Frontier

Jess Benhabib, Jesse Perla and Christopher Tonetti

23094: Health Insurance Expansions and Provider Behavior: Evidence from Substance Use Disorder Providers

Johanna Maclean, Ioana Popovici and Elisheva Rachel Stern

23093: A Model of Secular Stagnation: Theory and Quantitative Evaluation

Gauti Eggertsson, Neil R. Mehrotra and Jacob Robbins

23092: The Impact of the Affordable Care Act Young Adult Provision on Childbearing, Marriage, and Tax Filing Behavior: Evidence from Tax Data

Bradley Heim, Ithai Lurie and Kosali Simon

23091: How do Quasi-Random Option Grants Affect CEO Risk-Taking?

Kelly Shue and Richard Townsend

23090: Healthcare Spending and Utilization in Public and Private Medicare

Vilsa Curto, Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, Jonathan Levin and Jay Bhattacharya

23089: Social Media and Fake News in the 2016 Election

Hunt Allcott and Matthew Gentzkow

23088: How Do Patents Affect Research Investments?

Heidi Williams

23087: When Children Rule: Parenting in Modern Families

Sebastian Galiani, Matthew Staiger and Gustavo Torrens

23086: Designing Women: Consumer Goods Innovations in Britain, France and the United States, 1750-1900

B. Zorina Khan

23085: Regressive Sin Taxes

Benjamin Lockwood and Dmitry Taubinsky

23084: Estimating the Employment Effects of Recent Minimum Wage Changes: Early Evidence, an Interpretative Framework, and a Pre-Commitment to Future Analysis

Jeffrey Clemens and Michael Strain

23083: Backtesting European Stress Tests

Thomas Philippon, Pierre Pessarossi and Boubacar Camara

23082: Diversity in Innovation

Paul Gompers and Sophie Calder-Wang

23081: Aggregating the Fertility Transition: Intergenerational Dynamics in Quality and Quantity

Tom Vogl

23080: Does Competition Affect Bank Risk?

Liangliang Jiang, Ross Levine and Chen Lin

23079: Comparing Apples to Oranges: Differences in Women’s and Men’s Incarceration and Sentencing Outcomes

Kristin Butcher, Kyung H. Park and Anne Piehl

23078: Fragmented Division of Labor and Healthcare Costs: Evidence from Moves Across Regions

Leila Agha, Brigham Frandsen and James Rebitzer

23077: Secular Stagnation? The Effect of Aging on Economic Growth in the Age of Automation

Daron Acemoglu and Pascual Restrepo

23076: Are Consumers Poorly Informed about Fuel Economy? Evidence from Two Experiments

Hunt Allcott and Christopher Knittel

23075: Narrative Economics

Robert Shiller

23074: The effects of quasi-random monetary experiments

Oscar Jorda, Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor

23073: Optimal Social Security Claiming Behavior under Lump Sum Incentives: Theory and Evidence

Raimond Maurer, Olivia Mitchell, Ralph Rogalla and Tatjana Schimetschek

23072: Econometric Evidence on the R&D Depreciation Rate

Gaétan de Rassenfosse and Adam Jaffe

23071: One in a Million: Field Experiments on Perceived Closeness of the Election and Voter Turnout

Alan Gerber, Mitchell Hoffman, John Morgan and Collin Raymond

23070: Consequences of the Clean Water Act and the Demand for Water Quality

David A. Keiser and Joseph Shapiro

23069: Maternity and Family Leave Policy

Maya Rossin-Slater

23068: Is American Health Care Uniquely Inefficient? Evidence from Prescription Drugs

Margaret Kyle and Heidi Williams

23067: Statistics to Measure Offshoring and its Impact

Robert Feenstra

23066: Flexible Prices and Leverage

Francesco D’Acunto, Ryan Liu, Carolin Pflueger and Michael Weber

23065: Disaster Risk and Asset Returns: An International Perspective

Karen Lewis and Edith Liu

23064: Public Finance in a Nutshell: A Cobb Douglas Teaching Tool for General Equilibrium Tax Incidence and Excess Burden

Don Fullerton and Chi Ta

23063: The Labor of Division: Returns to Compulsory High School Math Coursework

Joshua Goodman

23062: Sibling Spillovers

Sandra Black, Sanni Breining, David Figlio, Jonathan Guryan, Krzysztof Karbownik, Helena Nielsen, Jeffrey Roth and Marianne Simonsen

23061: Israel’s Triumph over Inflation: The Long and Winding Road

Assaf Razin

23060: The Local Economic and Welfare Consequences of Hydraulic Fracturing

Alexander Bartik, Janet Currie, Michael Greenstone and Christopher Knittel

23059: Hires and Separations in Equilibrium

Edward Lazear and Kristin McCue

23058: Will Ad Blocking Break the Internet?

Benjamin Shiller, Joel Waldfogel and Johnny Ryan

23057: The Quest for Parsimony in Behavioral Economics: New Methods and Evidence on Three Fronts

Victor Stango, Joanne Yoong and Jonathan Zinman

23056: The Economic Origins of Conflict in Africa

Eoin McGuirk and Marshall Burke

23055: Pledgeability, Industry Liquidity, and Financing Cycles

Douglas Diamond, Yunzhi Hu and Raghuram Rajan

23054: Effects of Maternal Work Incentives on Youth Crime

Hope Corman, Dhaval Dave, Ariel Kalil and Nancy E. Reichman

23053: Imperfect Markets versus Imperfect Regulation in U.S. Electricity Generation

Steve Cicala

23052: Related Investing: Corporate Ownership and Capital Mobilization during Early Industrialization

B. Zorina Khan

23051: The Economic Consequences of Family Policies: Lessons from a Century of Legislation in High-Income Countries

Claudia Olivetti and Barbara Petrongolo

23050: Targeted Remedial Education: Experimental Evidence from Peru

Juan Saavedra, Emma Naslund-Hadley and Mariana Alfonso

23049: FDI and Capital Formation in Developing Economies: New Evidence from Industry-level Data

Alessia Amighini, Margaret McMillan and Marco Sanfilippo

23048: Open Borders in the European Union and Beyond: Migration Flows and Labor Market Implications

John Kennan

23047: The Rise of American Ingenuity: Innovation and Inventors of the Golden Age

Ufuk Akcigit, John Grigsby and Tom Nicholas

23046: Exit, Tweets and Loyalty

Joshua Gans, Avi Goldfarb and Mara Lederman

23045: Subsidizing Fuel Efficient Cars: Evidence from China's Automobile Industry

Chia-Wen Chen, Wei-Min Hu and Christopher Knittel

23044: The Effect of State Medicaid Expansions on Prescription Drug Use: Evidence from the Affordable Care Act

Ausmita Ghosh, Kosali Simon and Benjamin D. Sommers

23043: 'Acting Wife': Marriage Market Incentives and Labor Market Investments

Leonardo Bursztyn, Thomas Fujiwara and Amanda Pallais

23042: Prestige and Profit: The Royal Society of Arts and Incentives for Innovation, 1750-1850

B. Zorina Khan

23041: Political Determinants of Competition in the Mobile Telecommunication Industry

Mara Faccio and Luigi Zingales

23040: Location Choice, Portfolio Choice

Ioannis Branikas, Harrison Hong and Jiangmin Xu

23039: Misallocation, Selection and Productivity: A Quantitative Analysis with Panel Data from China

Tasso Adamopoulos, Loren Brandt, Jessica Leight and Diego Restuccia

23038: Birth Order and Delinquency: Evidence from Denmark and Florida

Sanni N. Breining, Joseph J. Doyle, Jr., David Figlio, Krzysztof Karbownik and Jeffrey Roth

23037: The Missing Bretton Woods Debate over Flexible Exchange Rates

Douglas Irwin

23036: Reversed Citations and the Localization of Knowledge Spillovers

Ashish Arora, Sharon Belenzon and Honggi Lee

23035: Do Anti-Poverty Programs Sway Voters? Experimental Evidence from Uganda

Christopher Blattman, Mathilde Emeriau and Nathan Fiala

23034: Ownership Concentration and Strategic Supply Reduction

Ulrich Doraszelski, Katja Seim, Michael Sinkinson and Peichun Wang

23033: Winter is Coming: The Long-Run Effects of Climate Change on Conflict, 1400-1900

Murat Iyigun, Nathan Nunn and Nancy Qian

23032: Macro-economic Management in an Electronic Credit/Financial System

Joseph Stiglitz

23031: Supply-Side Drug Policy in the Presence of Substitutes: Evidence from the Introduction of Abuse-Deterrent Opioids

Abby Alpert, David Powell and Rosalie Pacula

23030: Arrested Development: Theory and Evidence of Supply-Side Speculation in the Housing Market

Charles G. Nathanson and Eric Zwick

23029: The Costs of and Net Returns to College Major

Joseph Altonji and Seth Zimmerman

23028: Non-Cognitive Abilities and Financial Delinquency: The Role of Self-Efficacy in Avoiding Financial Distress

Camelia Kuhnen and Brian Melzer