NBER Working Papers

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23262: Annuity Options in Public Pension Plans: The Curious Case of Social Security Leveling

Robert L. Clark, Robert Hammond, Melinda Morrill and David Vanderweide

23261: Characterizing Global Value Chains: Production Length and Upstreamness

Zhi Wang, Shang-Jin Wei, Xinding Yu and Kunfu Zhu

23260: Pass-Through as a Test for Market Power: An Application to Solar Subsidies

Jacquelyn Pless and Arthur A. van Benthem

23259: Does Quebec's Subsidized Child Care Policy Give Boys and Girls an Equal Start?

Michael J. Kottelenberg and Steven Lehrer

23258: Is the Internet Causing Political Polarization? Evidence from Demographics

Levi Boxell, Matthew Gentzkow and Jesse Shapiro

23257: The Impact of Information Technology on the Diffusion of New Pharmaceuticals

Kenneth Arrow, Kamran Bilir and Alan T. Sorensen

23256: Memory, Attention, and Choice

Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli and Andrei Shleifer

23255: Corporate Culture: Evidence from the Field

John R. Graham, Campbell Harvey, Jillian Popadak and Shivaram Rajgopal

23254: Myopia and Discounting

Xavier Gabaix and David Laibson

23253: Reevaluating Agricultural Productivity Gaps with Longitudinal Microdata

Joan Hamory Hicks, Marieke Kleemans, Nicholas Y. Li and Edward Miguel

23252: How Debit Cards Enable the Poor to Save More

Pierre Bachas, Paul Gertler, Sean Higgins and Enrique Seira Bejarano

23251: Globalization Policies and Israel’s Brain Drain

Assaf Razin

23250: Vertical and Horizontal Redistributions from a Carbon Tax and Rebate

Julie Anne Cronin, Don Fullerton and Steven Sexton

23249: Firm Selection and Corporate Cash Holdings

Juliane Begenau and Berardino Palazzo

23248: CEO Behavior and Firm Performance

Oriana Bandiera, Stephen Hansen, Andrea Prat and Raffaella Sadun

23247: Training Contracts, Employee Turnover, and the Returns from Firm-sponsored General Training

Mitchell Hoffman and Stephen Burks

23246: International Inflation Spillovers Through Input Linkages

Raphael Auer, Andrei Levchenko and Philip Sauré

23245: Financial Cycles with Heterogeneous Intermediaries

Nuno Coimbra and Helene Rey

23244: A Head-to-Head Comparison of Augmented Wealth in Germany and the United States

Timm Bönke, Markus Grabka, Carsten Schröder and Edward N. Wolff

23243: Deterring Property Tax Delinquency in Philadelphia: An Experimental Evaluation of Nudge Strategies

Michael Chirico, Robert Inman, Charles Loeffler, John MacDonald and Holger Sieg

23242: When Harry Fired Sally: The Double Standard in Punishing Misconduct

Mark L. Egan, Gregor Matvos and Amit Seru

23241: The Impact of Public and Private Research Support on Premature Cancer Mortality and Hospitalization in the U.S., 1999-2013

Frank Lichtenberg

23240: Worker Overconfidence: Field Evidence and Implications for Employee Turnover and Returns from Training

Mitchell Hoffman and Stephen Burks

23239: Urban Water Disinfection and Mortality Decline in Developing Countries

Sonia Bhalotra, Alberto Diaz-Cayeros, Grant Miller, Alfonso Miranda and Atheendar Venkataramani

23238: Real Anomalies

Jules van Binsbergen and Christian Opp

23237: Trade Policy and Redistribution when Preferences are Non-Homothetic

Quy-Toan Do and Andrei Levchenko

23236: The Earnings of Undocumented Immigrants

George Borjas

23235: Financial Markets and Fiscal Unions

Patrick Kehoe and Elena Pastorino

23234: The Emergence of Market Structure

Maryam Farboodi, Gregor Jarosch and Robert Shimer

23233: Intangible Capital and Measured Productivity

Ellen McGrattan

23232: Poorly Measured Confounders are More Useful on the Left Than on the Right

Zhuan Pei, Jorn-Steffen Pischke and Hannes Schwandt

23231: Asset Mispricing

Kurt Lewis, Francis Longstaff and Lubomir Petrasek

23230: The Economics of Non-Marital Childbearing and The “Marriage Premium for Children”

Melissa Kearney and Phillip Levine

23229: Are the Rich More Selfish than the Poor, or Do They Just Have More Money? A Natural Field Experiment

James Andreoni, Nikos Nikiforakis and Jan Stoop

23228: The Making of Hawks and Doves: Inflation Experiences on the FOMC

Ulrike Malmendier, Stefan Nagel and Zhen Yan

23227: Dissecting Characteristics Nonparametrically

Joachim Freyberger, Andreas Neuhierl and Michael Weber

23226: The Investment CAPM

Lu Zhang

23225: Shock Restricted Structural Vector-Autoregressions

Sydney Ludvigson, Sai Ma and Serena Ng

23224: Earnings Inequality and Mobility Trends in the United States: Nationally Representative Estimates from Longitudinally Linked Employer-Employee Data

John Abowd, Kevin L. McKinney and Nellie L. Zhao

23223: Globalized Israel: High Tech Prowess and Buttressing FDI

Assaf Razin

23222: Measures of Participation in Global Value Chains and Global Business Cycles

Zhi Wang, Shang-Jin Wei, Xinding Yu and Kunfu Zhu

23221: Why is Growth better in the United States than in other Industrial Countries

Martin Feldstein

23220: Partial Fiscalization: Some Lessons on Europe’s Unfinished Business

Michael Bordo and Harold James

23219: Was The First Public Health Campaign Successful? The Tuberculosis Movement and Its Effect on Mortality

D. Mark Anderson, Kerwin Kofi Charles, Claudio Las Heras Olivares and Daniel Rees

23218: School Lunch Quality and Academic Performance

Michael Anderson, Justin Gallagher and Elizabeth Ramirez Ritchie

23217: The Impact of Brexit on Foreign Investment and Production

Ellen McGrattan and Andrea Waddle

23216: Financial Frictions and Employment during the Great Depression

Efraim Benmelech, Carola Frydman and Dimitris Papanikolaou

23215: Does Universal Preschool Hit the Target? Program Access and Preschool Impacts

Elizabeth Cascio

23214: Economic Development and the Regulation of Morally Contentious Activities

Julio Elias, Nicola Lacetera, Mario Macis and Paola Salardi

23213: The Economist as Plumber

Esther Duflo

23212: Are Larger Banks Valued More Highly?

Bernadette A. Minton, René Stulz and Alvaro G. Taboada

23211: Impulsive Consumption and Financial Wellbeing: Evidence from an Increase in the Availability of Alcohol

Itzhak Ben-David and Marieke Bos

23210: Israel's Immigration Story: Globalization Lessons

Assaf Razin

23209: Instrumental Variables and Causal Mechanisms: Unpacking The Effect of Trade on Workers and Voters

Christian Dippel, Robert Gold, Stephan Heblich and Rodrigo Pinto

23208: The Historical State, Local Collective Action, and Economic Development in Vietnam

Melissa Dell, Nathaniel Lane and Pablo Querubin

23207: Why Being Wrong can be Right: Magical Warfare Technologies and the Persistence of False Beliefs

Nathan Nunn and Raul Sanchez de la Sierra

23206: FX Market Metrics: New Findings Based on CLS Bank Settlement Data

Joel Hasbrouck and Richard M. Levich

23205: Aftershocks of Monetary Unification: Hysteresis with a Financial Twist

Tamim Bayoumi and Barry Eichengreen

23204: The London Monetary and Economic Conference of 1933 and the End of The Great Depression: A “Change of Regime” Analysis

Sebastian Edwards

23203: State Health Insurance Mandates and Labor Market Outcomes: New Evidence on Old Questions

Yaa Akosa Antwi and Johanna Maclean

23202: Firm Entry and Exit and Aggregate Growth

Jose Asturias, Sewon Hur, Timothy Kehoe and Kim Ruhl

23201: Is Local Public Sector Rent Extraction Higher in Progressive Cities or High Amenity Cities?

Matthew Kahn

23200: Optimal Transport Networks in Spatial Equilibrium

Pablo Fajgelbaum and Edouard Schaal

23199: The Macrogenoeconomics of Comparative Development

Quamrul Ashraf and Oded Galor

23198: Matching Pennies on the Campaign Trail: An Empirical Study of Senate Elections and Media Coverage

Camilo García-Jimeno and Pinar Yildirim

23197: Technology-Skill Complementarity in Early Phases of Industrialization

Raphael Franck and Oded Galor

23196: Keeping It in the Family: Lineage Organization and the Scope of Trust in Sub-Saharan Africa

Jacob Moscona, Nathan Nunn and James Robinson

23195: Peer Effects in Computer Assisted Learning: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment

Marcel Fafchamps and Di Mo

23194: China's Gradualistic Economic Approach and Financial Markets

Markus Brunnermeier, Michael Sockin and Wei Xiong

23193: The Returns to Online Postsecondary Education

Caroline M. Hoxby

23192: Macroeconomic Conditions and Opioid Abuse

Alex Hollingsworth, Christopher Ruhm and Kosali Simon

23191: Bubbles for Fama

Robin Greenwood, Andrei Shleifer and Yang You

23190: Prolonging Coal’s Sunset: The Causes and Consequences of Local Protectionism for a Declining Polluting Industry

Jonathan Eyer and Matthew Kahn

23189: The Operation and Demise of the Bretton Woods System; 1958 to 1971

Michael Bordo

23188: The Structure of Health Incentives: Evidence from a Field Experiment

Mariana Carrera, Heather Royer, Mark Stehr and Justin R. Sydnor

23187: Back to Basics: Why do Firms Invest in Research?

Ashish Arora, Sharon Belenzon and Lia Sheer

23186: Long-Run Covariability

Ulrich K. Müller and Mark Watson

23185: High-Skilled Immigration, STEM Employment, and Non-Routine-Biased Technical Change

Nir Jaimovich and Henry Siu

23184: Political Cycles and Stock Returns

Lubos Pastor and Pietro Veronesi

23183: Agricultural Diversity, Structural Change and Long-run Development: Evidence from the U.S

Martin Fiszbein

23182: Firm-Related Risk and Precautionary Saving Response

Andreas Fagereng, Luigi Guiso and Luigi Pistaferri

23181: Impact of Violent Crime on Risk Aversion: Evidence from the Mexican Drug War

Ryan Brown, Verónica Montalva, Duncan Thomas and Andrea Velasquez

23180: Human Decisions and Machine Predictions

Jon Kleinberg, Himabindu Lakkaraju, Jure Leskovec, Jens Ludwig and Sendhil Mullainathan

23179: Funding Liquidity without Banks: Evidence from a Shock to the Cost of Very Short-Term Debt

Felipe Restrepo, Lina Cardona-Sosa and Philip E. Strahan

23178: Illusory Gains from Chile's Targeted School Voucher Experiment

Benjamin Feigenberg, Steven Rivkin and Rui Yan

23177: Sticking Points: Common-Agency Problems and Contracting in the U.S. Healthcare System

Brigham Frandsen, Michael Powell and James Rebitzer

23176: Firms' Internal Networks and Local Economic Shocks

Xavier Giroud and Holger M. Mueller

23175: Currency Matters: Analyzing International Bond Portfolios

John Burger, Francis E. Warnock and Veronica Warnock

23174: The Returns to Nursing: Evidence from a Parental Leave Program

Benjamin U. Friedrich and Martin Hackmann

23173: When Work Disappears: Manufacturing Decline and the Falling Marriage-Market Value of Young Men

David Autor, David Dorn and Gordon Hanson

23172: Recovery from the Great Depression: The Farm Channel in Spring 1933

Joshua Hausman, Paul Rhode and Johannes Wieland

23171: With a Little Help from My Friends: The Effects of Naloxone Access and Good Samaritan Laws on Opioid-Related Deaths

Daniel Rees, Joseph J. Sabia, Laura M. Argys, Joshua Latshaw and Dhaval Dave

23170: Deviations from Covered Interest Rate Parity

Wenxin Du, Alexander Tepper and Adrien Verdelhan

23169: Revisiting the Commodity Curse: A Financial Perspective

Enrique Alberola and Gianluca Benigno

23168: Self-Employment Dynamics and the Returns to Entrepreneurship

Eleanor Dillon and Christopher T. Stanton

23167: Bank Health Post-Crisis

Kyriakos T. Chousakos and Gary Gorton

23166: Evaluating Measures of Hospital Quality

Joseph J. Doyle, Jr., John A. Graves and Jonathan Gruber

23165: A Narrative Analysis of Mortgage Asset Purchases by Federal Agencies

Andrew Fieldhouse and Karel Mertens

23164: When Britain turned inward: Protection and the shift towards Empire in Interwar Britain

Alan de Bromhead, Alan Fernihough, Markus Lampe and Kevin O'Rourke

23163: Worker Betas: Five Facts about Systematic Earnings Risk

Fatih Guvenen, Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, Jae Song and Motohiro Yogo