NBER Working Papers

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22711: Bad Credit, No Problem? Credit and Labor Market Consequences of Bad Credit Reports

Will Dobbie, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Neale Mahoney and Jae Song

22710: Incomplete Disclosure: Evidence of Signaling and Countersignaling

Benjamin B. Bederson, Ginger Zhe Jin, Phillip Leslie, Alexander J. Quinn and Ben Zou

22709: Why Don’t Commercial Health Plans Use Prospective Payment?

Laurence Baker, M. Kate Bundorf, Aileen Devlin and Daniel P. Kessler

22708: Valuing Alternative Work Arrangements

Alexandre Mas and Amanda Pallais

22707: Standing on the Shoulders of Giants: The Effect of Passive Investors on Activism

Ian R. Appel, Todd A. Gormley and Donald Keim

22706: Quantitative Trade Models: Developments and Challenges

Timothy Kehoe, Pau Pujolas and Jack Rossbach

22705: The Politics of FDI Expropriation

Marina Azzimonti

22704: Deconstructing Household Wealth Trends in the United States, 1983 - 2013

Edward N. Wolff

22703: Reputation Cycles

Boyan Jovanovic and Julien Prat

22702: Subsidy Policies and Insurance Demand

Jing Cai, Alain de Janvry and Elisabeth Sadoulet

22701: Securing Property Rights

Arnold Behrer, Edward Glaeser, Giacomo Ponzetto and Andrei Shleifer

22700: What is the Added Value of Preschool for Poor Children? Long-Term and Intergenerational Impacts and Interactions with an Infant Health Intervention

Maya Rossin-Slater and Miriam Wüst

22699: House Valuations and Economic Growth: Some International Evidence

Joshua Aizenman, Yothin Jinjarak and Huanhuan Zheng

22698: Teaching, Teachers Pensions and Retirement across Recent Cohorts of College Graduate Women

Maria Fitzpatrick

22697: Impediments to Financial Trade: Theory and Applications

Nicolae Gârleanu, Stavros Panageas and Jianfeng Yu

22696: Loan Product Steering in Mortgage Markets

Sumit Agarwal, Gene Amromin, Itzhak Ben-David and Douglas Evanoff

22695: Credit Expansion and Neglected Crash Risk

Matthew Baron and Wei Xiong

22694: Self-Fulfilling Debt Crises: A Quantitative Analysis

Luigi Bocola and Alessandro Dovis

22693: The Evolution of U.S. Monetary Policy: 2000 - 2007

Michael Belongia and Peter Ireland

22692: Stealing Deposits: Deposit Insurance, Risk-Taking and the Removal of Market Discipline in Early 20th Century Banks

Charles Calomiris and Matthew Jaremski

22691: The Formation of Consumer Brand Preferences

Bart J. Bronnenberg and Jean-Pierre H. Dubé

22690: Economic Conditions and Mortality: Evidence from 200 Years of Data

David Cutler, Wei Huang and Adriana Lleras-Muney

22689: The Stock Market and Bank Risk-Taking

Antonio Falato and David Scharfstein

22688: The effect of medical marijuana laws on the health and labor supply of older adults: Evidence from the Health and Retirement Study

Lauren Nicholas and Johanna Maclean

22687: The Impact of Intergenerational Transfers on Household Wealth Inequality in Japan and the United States

Yoko Niimi and Charles Horioka

22686: Borrowing Requirements, Credit Access, and Adverse Selection: Evidence from Kenya

William Jack, Michael Kremer, Joost de Laat and Tavneet Suri

22685: Intellectual Property Rights Protection, Ownership, and Innovation: Evidence from China

Lily Fang, Josh Lerner and Chaopeng Wu

22684: Do Savings Increase in Response to Salient Information about Retirement and Expected Pensions?

Mathias Dolls, Philipp Doerrenberg, Andreas Peichl and Holger Stichnoth

22683: Occupational Choice in Early Industrializing Societies: Experimental Evidence on the Income and Health Effects of Industrial and Entrepreneurial Work

Christopher Blattman and Stefan Dercon

22682: Child Poverty, the Great Recession, and the Social Safety Net in the United States

Marianne Bitler, Hilary Hoynes and Elira Kuka

22681: Measuring Effects of SNAP on Obesity at the Intensive Margin

Lorenzo N. Almada and Rusty Tchernis

22680: Understanding why black women are not working longer

Joanna Lahey

22679: Parental Resources and College Attendance: Evidence from Lottery Wins

George Bulman, Robert Fairlie, Sarena Goodman and Adam Isen

22678: Why Do Estimates of the EMU Effect On Trade Vary so Much?

Andrew Rose

22677: Aggregate Recruiting Intensity

Alessandro Gavazza, Simon Mongey and Giovanni Violante

22676: Globalization, Inequality and Welfare

Pol Antras, Alonso de Gortari and Oleg Itskhoki

22675: Quality Predictability and the Welfare Benefits from New Products: Evidence from the Digitization of Recorded Music

Luis Aguiar and Joel Waldfogel

22674: Taking Stock of the Evidence on Micro-Financial Interventions

Francisco Buera, Joseph Kaboski and Yongseok Shin

22673: Incentives and Ethics in the Economics of Body Parts

Nicola Lacetera

22672: Mismatch Unemployment and the Geography of Job Search

Ioana Marinescu and Roland Rathelot

22671: Applying Behavioral Economics to Public Policy in Canada

Robert French and Philip Oreopoulos

22670: Can Cash Transfers Help Households Escape an Inter-Generational Poverty Trap?

M. Caridad Araujo, Mariano Bosch and Norbert Schady

22669: Is American Pet Health Care (Also) Uniquely Inefficient?

Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein and Atul Gupta

22668: Public School Quality Valuation Over the Business Cycle

Stuart Gabriel, Owen Hearey, Matthew Kahn and Ryan Vaughn

22667: The Rise and Nature of Alternative Work Arrangements in the United States, 1995-2015

Lawrence Katz and Alan Krueger

22666: A Doctor Will See You Now: Physician-Patient Relationships and Clinical Decisions

Erin Johnson, M. Rehavi, David C. Chan, Jr and Daniela Carusi

22665: The Consequences of Long-Term Unemployment: Evidence from Linked Survey and Administrative Data

Katharine Abraham, John Haltiwanger, Kristin Sandusky and James Spletzer

22664: A Simpler Theory of Optimal Capital Taxation

Emmanuel Saez and Stefanie Stantcheva

22663: Accounting for Business Cycles

Pedro Brinca, Varadarajan Chari, Patrick Kehoe and Ellen McGrattan

22662: Surplus-Debt Regressions

Eric Leeper and Bing Li

22661: Hope as Aspirations, Agency, and Pathways: Poverty Dynamics and Microfinance in Oaxaca, Mexico

Travis Lybbert and Bruce Wydick

22660: Pay Now or Pay Later?: The Economics within the Private Equity Partnership

Victoria Ivashina and Josh Lerner

22659: To the New World and Back Again: Return Migrants in the Age of Mass Migration

Ran Abramitzky, Leah Boustan and Katherine Eriksson

22658: Zoning and the Economic Geography of Cities

Allison Shertzer, Tate Twinam and Randall Walsh

22657: Coping with Change: International Differences in the Returns to Skills

Eric Hanushek, Guido Schwerdt, Simon Wiederhold and Ludger Woessmann

22656: The Labor Market Consequences of Refugee Supply Shocks

George Borjas and Joan Monras

22655: Quantitative Spatial Economics

Stephen Redding and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg

22654: Underemployment in the Early Careers of College Graduates Following the Great Recession

Jaison Abel and Richard Deitz

22653: Long-Range Growth: Economic Development in the Global Network of Air Links

Filipe Campante and David Yanagizawa-Drott

22652: Two Centuries of Finance and Growth in the United States, 1790-1980

Howard Bodenhorn

22651: Capital Share Dynamics When Firms Insure Workers

Barney Hartman-Glaser, Hanno Lustig and Mindy Xiaolan

22650: Impacts of Monetary Stimulus on Credit Allocation and the Macroeconomy: Evidence from China

Kaiji Chen, Patrick Higgins, Daniel Waggoner and Tao Zha

22649: Product Switching and the Business Cycle

Andrew Bernard and Toshihiro Okubo

22648: Incarceration, Recidivism and Employment

Manudeep Bhuller, Gordon Dahl, Katrine Løken and Magne Mogstad

22647: Better, Faster, Stronger: Global Innovation and Trade Liberalization

Federica Coelli, Andreas Moxnes and Karen Helene Ulltveit-Moe

22646: Nonlinear Tax Incidence and Optimal Taxation in General Equilibrium

Dominik Sachs, Aleh Tsyvinski and Nicolas Werquin

22645: International Banking and Cross-border Effects of Regulation: Lessons from the United States

Jose Berrospide, Ricardo Correa, Linda Goldberg and Friederike Niepmann

22644: Preferences for Equality in Environmental Outcomes

Maureen Cropper, Alan Krupnick and William Raich

22643: Credible Ecological Inference for Personalized Medicine: Formalizing Clinical Judgment

Charles Manski

22642: Deriving Risk Adjustment Payment Weights to Maximize Efficiency of Health Insurance Markets

Timothy Layton, Thomas G. McGuire and Richard C. van Kleef

22641: Title IX and the Spatial Content of Female Employment—Out of the Lab and into the Labor Market

Michael Baker and Kirsten Cornelson

22640: The Role of Information and Cash Transfers on Early Childhood Development: Evidence from Nepal

Michael Levere, Gayatri Acharya and Prashant Bharadwaj

22639: Monetary Policy for a Bubbly World

Vladimir Asriyan, Luca Fornaro, Alberto Martin and Jaume Ventura

22638: How Quantitative Easing Works: Evidence on the Refinancing Channel

Marco Di Maggio, Amir Kermani and Christopher Palmer

22637: Importing Political Polarization? The Electoral Consequences of Rising Trade Exposure

David Autor, David Dorn, Gordon Hanson and Kaveh Majlesi

22636: Trade and the Environment: New Methods, Measurements, and Results

Jevan Cherniwchan, Brian Copeland and M. Scott Taylor

22635: Do Grandparents and Great-Grandparents Matter? Multigenerational Mobility in the US, 1910-2013

Joseph Ferrie, Catherine Massey and Jonathan Rothbaum

22634: Incentive Fees and Competition in Pension Funds: Evidence from a Regulatory Experiment

Assaf Hamdani, Eugene Kandel, Yevgeny Mugerman and Yishay Yafeh

22633: Research and Impacts of Digital Financial Services

Dean Karlan, Jake Kendall, Rebecca Mann, Rohini Pande, Tavneet Suri and Jonathan Zinman

22632: Efficiency-Morality Trade-Offs in Repugnant Transactions: A Choice Experiment

Julio Elias, Nicola Lacetera and Mario Macis

22631: Technological Leadership (de)Concentration: Causes in ICTE

Yasin Ozcan and Shane Greenstein

22630: Student Coaching: How Far Can Technology Go?

Philip Oreopoulos and Uros Petronijevic

22629: Thrivers and Divers: Using Non-Academic Measures to Predict College Success and Failure

Graham Beattie, Jean-William Laliberté and Philip Oreopoulos

22628: Heterogeneous Impact Dynamics of a Rural Business Development Program in Nicaragua

Michael Carter, Emilia Tjernström and Patricia Toledo

22627: Using Big Data to Estimate Consumer Surplus: The Case of Uber

Peter Cohen, Robert Hahn, Jonathan Hall, Steven Levitt and Robert Metcalfe

22626: Heterogeneous Wealth Dynamics: On the Roles of Risk and Ability

Paulo Santos and Christopher Barrett

22625: The Importance of Unemployment Insurance as an Automatic Stabilizer

Marco Di Maggio and Amir Kermani

22624: Agro-Ecosystem Productivity and the Dynamic Response to Shocks

Jean-Paul Chavas

22623: High-Skilled Immigration and the Rise of STEM Occupations in U.S. Employment

Gordon Hanson and Matthew J. Slaughter

22622: Is The Mediterranean The New Rio Grande? US And EU Immigration Pressures In The Long Run

Gordon Hanson and Craig McIntosh

22621: A Framework for Eliciting, Incorporating, and Disciplining Identification Beliefs in Linear Models

Francis DiTraglia and Camilo García-Jimeno

22620: Financial Risk Protection from Social Health Insurance

Kayleigh Barnes, Arnab Mukherji, Patrick Mullen and Neeraj Sood

22619: Mobile Collateral versus Immobile Collateral

Gary Gorton and Tyler Muir

22618: Real Interest Rates, Imbalances and the Curse of Regional Safe Asset Providers at the Zero Lower Bound

Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas and Helene Rey

22617: The Perils of High-Powered Incentives: Evidence from Colombia's False Positives

Daron Acemoglu, Leopoldo Fergusson, James Robinson, Dario Romero and Juan Vargas

22616: Designing Online Marketplaces: Trust and Reputation Mechanisms

Michael Luca

22615: Real-Time Forecast Evaluation of DSGE Models with Stochastic Volatility

Francis Diebold, Frank Schorfheide and Minchul Shin

22614: Debt Constraints and Employment

Patrick Kehoe, Elena Pastorino and Virgiliu Midrigan

22613: Nominal Rigidities in Debt and Product Markets

Carlos Garriga, Finn Kydland and Roman Šustek

22612: Firms’ Management of Infrequent Shocks

Benjamin Collier, Andrew Haughwout, Howard C. Kunreuther, Erwann Michel-Kerjan and Michael A. Stewart