NBER Working Papers

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13861: A Solution to the Disconnect between Country Risk and Business Cycle Theories

Enrique Mendoza and Vivian Yue

13860: Trade Growth, Production Fragmentation, and China's Environment

Judith Dean and Mary Lovely

13859: The Effect of Mergers on Consumer Prices: Evidence from Five Selected Case Studies

Orley Ashenfelter and Daniel Hosken

13858: Dividend Taxation and Intertemporal Tax Arbitrage

Anton Korinek and Joseph Stiglitz

13857: The Impact of Medicare Part D on Pharmaceutical R&D

Margaret Blume-Kohout and Neeraj Sood

13856: The Evolution of a Legal Rule

Anthony Niblett, Richard Posner and Andrei Shleifer

13855: Labor Market Effects of Payroll Taxes in Developing Countries: Evidence from Colombia

Adriana Kugler and Maurice Kugler

13854: Consumption and Portfolio Choice with Option-Implied State Prices

Yacine Ait-Sahalia and Michael W. Brandt

13853: The Real Exchange Rate, Mercantilism and the Learning by Doing Externality

Joshua Aizenman and Jaewoo Lee

13852: Coercion, Culture and Debt Contracts: The Henequen Industry in Yucatan, Mexico, 1870-1915

Lee Alston, Shannan Mattiace and Tomas Nonnenmacher

13851: The Labor Market Impact of Immigration in Western Germany in the 1990's

Francesco D'Amuri, Gianmarco Ottaviano and Giovanni Peri

13850: Helping Workers Online and Offline: Innovations in Union and Worker Organization Using the Internet

Richard Freeman and M. Rehavi

13849: The Higher Educational Transformation of China and Its Global Implications

Yao Li, John Whalley, Shunming Zhang and Xiliang Zhao

13848: Arbitrage-free Limit Order Books and the Pricing of Order Flow Risk

Bruce Lehmann

13847: Education and Labor Market Consequences of Teenage Childbearing: Evidence Using the Timing of Pregnancy Outcomes and Community Fixed Effects

Jason Fletcher and Barbara Wolfe

13846: Global Rebalancing with Gravity: Measuring the Burden of Adjustment

Robert Dekle, Jonathan Eaton and Samuel Kortum

13845: Language in Visual Art: The Twentieth Century

David Galenson

13844: Is the Taxable Income Elasticity Sufficient to Calculate Deadweight Loss? The Implications of Evasion and Avoidance

Raj Chetty

13843: Does Temporary Help Work Provide a Stepping Stone to Regular Employment?

Michael Kvasnicka

13842: Capital Inflows and Reserve Accumulation: The Recent Evidence

Carmen Reinhart and Vincent Reinhart

13841: Globalization and the Great Divergence: Terms of Trade Booms and Volatility in the Poor Periphery 1782-1913

Jeffrey Williamson

13840: The Role of Labor Market Changes in the Slowdown of European Productivity Growth

Ian Dew-Becker and Robert Gordon

13839: Is There an "Emboldenment" Effect? Evidence from the Insurgency in Iraq

Radha Iyengar and Jonathan Monten

13838: The Cognitive Link Between Geography and Development: Iodine Deficiency and Schooling Attainment in Tanzania

Erica M. Field, Omar Robles and Maximo Torero

13837: The Increase in Leisure Inequality

Mark Aguiar and Erik Hurst

13836: Testing for the Economic Impact of the U.S. Constitution: Purchasing Power Parity across the Colonies versus across the States, 1748-1811

Farley Grubb

13835: Evaluating the Impact of Technology Development Funds in Emerging Economies: Evidence from Latin America

Bronwyn Hall and Alessandro Maffioli

13834: Intermediate Goods, Weak Links, and Superstars: A Theory of Economic Development

Charles Jones

13833: Identifying Agglomeration Spillovers: Evidence from Million Dollar Plants

Michael Greenstone, Richard Hornbeck and Enrico Moretti

13832: Social Learning and Peer Effects in Consumption: Evidence from Movie Sales

Enrico Moretti

13831: International Economic Policy: Was There a Bush Doctrine?

Barry Eichengreen and Douglas Irwin

13830: Political Entry, Public Policies, and the Economy

Casey Mulligan and Kevin Tsui

13829: Reference Prices and Nominal Rigidities

Martin Eichenbaum, Nir Jaimovich and Sergio Rebelo

13828: Caste, Kinship and Sex Ratios in India

Tanika Chakraborty and Sukkoo Kim

13827: Toward an Efficiency Rationale for the Public Provision of Private Goods

Hanming Fang and Peter Norman

13826: Evidence From Maternity Leave Expansions of the Impact of Maternal Care on Early Child Development

Michael Baker and Kevin Milligan

13825: High Frequency Market Microstructure Noise Estimates and Liquidity Measures

Yacine Ait-Sahalia and Jialin Yu

13824: Household Saving Behavior: The Role of Financial Literacy, Information, and Financial Education Programs

Annamaria Lusardi

13823: The Origins of Industrial Scientific Discoveries

James Adams and J. Roger Clemmons

13822: Learning in the Credit Card Market

Sumit Agarwal, John Driscoll, Xavier Gabaix and David Laibson

13821: Income Maximization and the Selection and Sorting of International Migrants

Jeffrey Grogger and Gordon Hanson

13820: Macroeconomic Interdependence and the International Role of the Dollar

Linda Goldberg and Cédric Tille

13819: Occupational Mobility and the Business Cycle

Giuseppe Moscarini and Francis Vella

13818: Do Small Businesses Create More Jobs? New Evidence from the National Establishment Time Series

David Neumark, Brandon Wall and Junfu Zhang

13817: Choice, Price Competition and Complexity in Markets for Health Insurance

Richard Frank and Karine Lamiraud

13816: Is the GED an Effective Route to Postsecondary Education for School Dropouts?

John Tyler and Magnus Lofstrom

13815: A Long Term Perspective on the Euro

Michael Bordo and Harold James

13814: International Trade in Durable Goods: Understanding Volatility, Cyclicality, and Elasticities

Charles Engel and Jian Wang

13813: Competition in the Promised Land: Black Migration and Racial Wage Convergence in the North, 1940-1970

Leah Boustan

13812: The Cross-Section of Foreign Currency Risk Premia and Consumption Growth Risk: A Reply

Hanno Lustig and Adrien Verdelhan

13811: Measuring Financial Asset Return and Volatility Spillovers, With Application to Global Equity Markets

Francis Diebold and Kamil Yilmaz

13810: The Economics and Psychology of Personality Traits

Lex Borghans, Angela Lee Duckworth, James Heckman and Bas ter Weel

13809: The Divergence of Legal Procedures

Aron Balas, Rafael La Porta, Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shleifer

13808: Schedule Selection by Agents: from Price Plans to Tax Tables

Erzo Luttmer and Richard Zeckhauser

13807: Estimating Cross-Country Differences in Product Quality

Juan Hallak and Peter Schott

13806: Bond Supply and Excess Bond Returns

Robin Greenwood and Dimitri Vayanos

13805: Rare Disasters and Exchange Rates

Emmanuel Farhi and Xavier Gabaix

13804: Predictive Systems: Living with Imperfect Predictors

Lubos Pastor and Robert Stambaugh

13803: Do Sex Offender Registration and Notification Laws Affect Criminal Behavior?

J.J. Prescott and Jonah E. Rockoff

13802: Liquidity Risk and Syndicate Structure

Evan Gatev and Philip Strahan

13801: Complexity and Targeting in Federal Student Aid: A Quantitative Analysis

Susan Dynarski and Judith E. Scott-Clayton

13799: Estimating the Impact of Climate Change on Crop Yields: The Importance of Nonlinear Temperature Effects

Wolfram Schlenker and Michael Roberts

13798: Liquidity Production in 21st Century Banking

Philip Strahan

13797: Optimal Provision of Multiple Excludable Public Goods

Hanming Fang and Peter Norman

13796: Do Real Estate Brokers Add Value When Listing Services Are Unbundled?

B. Douglas Bernheim and Jonathan Meer

13795: Varieties and the Transfer Problem: The Extensive Margin of Current Account Adjustment

Giancarlo Corsetti, Philippe Martin and Paolo Pesenti

13794: Internal Debt Crises and Sovereign Defaults

Cristina Arellano and Narayana Kocherlakota

13793: Acting White or Acting Black: Mixed-Race Adolescents' Identity and Behavior

Christopher Ruebeck, Susan Averett and Howard Bodenhorn

13792: Oil Price Movements and the Global Economy: A Model-Based Assessment

Selim Elekdag, Rene Lalonde, Douglas Laxton, Dirk Muir and Paolo Pesenti

13791: Educating Urban Children

Richard Murnane

13790: Inventories, Lumpy Trade, and Large Devaluations

George Alessandria, Joseph Kaboski and Virgiliu Midrigan

13789: The Retirement of a Consumption Puzzle

Erik Hurst

13788: On Best-Response Bidding in GSP Auctions

Matthew Cary, Aparna Das, Benjamin Edelman, Ioannis Giotis, Kurtis Heimerl, Anna R. Karlin, Claire Mathieu and Michael Schwarz

13787: A Maximum Likelihood Method for the Incidental Parameter Problem

Marcelo Moreira

13786: Do Hedge Funds Profit From Mutual-Fund Distress?

Joseph Chen, Samuel Hanson, Harrison Hong and Jeremy Stein

13785: 50,000 People a Day: The Use of Federally Funded Services for Intimate Partner Violence

Radha Iyengar, Lindsay Sabik, Cindy Southworth, Sarah Tucker and Cynthia Fraser

13784: I'd rather be Hanged for a Sheep than a Lamb: The Unintended Consequences of 'Three-Strikes' Laws

Radha Iyengar

13783: The Diffusion of Wal-Mart and Economies of Density

Thomas Holmes

13782: Evidence of Differences in the Effectiveness of Safety-Net Management in European Union Countries

Santiago Carbo-Valverde, Edward Kane and Francisco Rodriguez-Fernandez

13781: Assessing Urban Crime And Its Control: An Overview

Philip J Cook

13780: Earnings Functions and Rates of Return

James Heckman, Lance Lochner and Petra Todd

13779: Inflating the Beast: Political Incentives Under Uncertainty

Ricardo Caballero and Pierre Yared

13778: Electricity Pricing to U.S. Manufacturing Plants, 1963-2000

Steven Davis, Cheryl Grim, John Haltiwanger and Mary Streitwieser

13777: Marginal Jobs, Heterogeneous Firms, & Unemployment Flows

Michael Elsby

13776: Can pay regulation kill? Panel data evidence on the effect of labor markets on hospital performance

Emma Hall, Carol Propper and John van Reenen

13775: The Changing Effect of HMO Market Structure: An Analysis of Penetration, Concentration, and Ownership Between 1994-2005

Yu-Chu Shen, Vivian Wu and Glenn Melnick

13774: Profiting from Government Stakes in a Command Economy: Evidence from Chinese Asset Sales

Charles Calomiris, Raymond Fisman and Yongxiang Wang

13773: Neighborhood Violence and Urban Youth

Anna Aizer

13772: Search and Rest Unemployment

Fernando Alvarez and Robert Shimer

13771: What Accounts for the Rising Sophistication of China's Exports?

Zhi Wang and Shang-Jin Wei

13770: The Continental Dollar: What Happened to It after 1779?

Farley Grubb

13769: The Dynamics of City Formation

J. Vernon Henderson and Anthony Venables

13768: Cross-Border Returns Differentials

Stephanie E. Curcuru, Tomas Dvorak and Francis Warnock

13767: The Effect of Tax Preferences on Health Spending

John F. Cogan, Robert Hubbard and Daniel P. Kessler

13766: Information Disclosure and Unraveling in Matching Markets

Michael Ostrovsky and Michael Schwarz

13765: Trade and Empire

Kris James Mitchener and Marc Weidenmier

13764: Effects of Weight on Children's Educational Achievement

Robert Kaestner and Michael Grossman

13763: To Roth or Not? -- That is the Question

Laurence Kotlikoff, Benjamin Marx and David Rapson

13762: Catering Through Nominal Share Prices

Malcolm Baker, Robin Greenwood and Jeffrey Wurgler

13761: Is the 2007 U.S. Sub-Prime Financial Crisis So Different? An International Historical Comparison

Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff