NBER Working Papers

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31152: Judging Nudging: Understanding the Welfare Effects of Nudges Versus Taxes

John List, Matthias Rodemeier, Sutanuka Roy and Gregory K. Sun

31151: Has China’s Growth Gone From Miracle to Malady?

Eswar Prasad

31150: AGING IN STYLE: Seniority and Sentiment in Scholarly Writing

Lea-Rachel Kosnik and Daniel Hamermesh

31149: An Anatomy of Monopsony: Search Frictions, Amenities and Bargaining in Concentrated Markets

David Berger, Kyle Herkenhoff, Andreas Kostøl and Simon Mongey

31148: Should History Change The Way We Think About Populism?

Alan de Bromhead and Kevin O'Rourke

31147: Merger Guidelines for the Labor Market

David Berger, Thomas Hasenzagl, Kyle Herkenhoff, Simon Mongey and Eric A. Posner

31146: Empirical Analyses of Selection and Welfare in Insurance Markets: A Self-Indulgent Survey

Liran Einav and Amy Finkelstein

31145: The Importance of Financial Literacy: Opening a New Field

Annamaria Lusardi and Olivia Mitchell

31144: Women's Colleges and Economics Major Choice: Evidence from Wellesley College Applicants

Kristin Butcher, Patrick McEwan and Akila Weerapana

31143: Global Risk, Non-Bank Financial Intermediation, and Emerging Market Vulnerabilities

Anusha Chari

31142: Investigating the Complexity of Naloxone Distribution: Which Policies Matter for Pharmacies and Potential Recipients

Rosanna Smart, David Powell, Rosalie Pacula, Evan D. Peet, Rahi Abouk and Corey S. Davis

31141: Partial Outsourcing of Public Programs: Evidence on Determinants of Choice in Medicare

Marika Cabral, Colleen Carey and Jinyeong Son

31140: The Optimal Taxation of Couples

Mikhail Golosov and Ilia Krasikov

31139: Projected Health Benefits and Health Care Savings from the United States National Hepatitis C Elimination Initiative

Jagpreet Chhatwal, Alec Aaron, Huaiyang Zhong, Neeraj Sood, Risha Irvin, Harvey J. Alter, Yueran Zhuo, Joshua M. Sharfstein and John W. Ward

31138: Deposit Franchise Runs

Itamar Drechsler, Alexi Savov, Philipp Schnabl and Olivier Wang

31137: Biodiversity Risk

Stefano Giglio, Theresa Kuchler, Johannes Stroebel and Xuran Zeng

31136: Beyond Racial Attitudes: The Role of Outside Options in the Dynamics of White Flight

Peter Q. Blair

31135: Class Peers as Competitors and Educators: The Consequences of Rank-Based Rewards in US High Schools

Mark Rosenzweig and Bing Xu

31134: Supply Chain Risk: Changes in Supplier Composition and Vertical Integration

Nuri Ersahin, Mariassunta Giannetti and Ruidi Huang

31133: Consumption Segregation

Corina Boar and Elisa Giannone

31132: Understanding the Impacts of a Natural Disaster: Evidence from the 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami

Elizabeth Frankenberg, Cecep Sumantri and Duncan Thomas

31131: What Can Historically Black Colleges and Universities Teach about Improving Higher Education Outcomes for Black Students?

Gregory Price and Angelino Viceisza

31130: Local and National Concentration Trends in Jobs and Sales: The Role of Structural Transformation

David Autor, Christina Patterson and John van Reenen

31129: Disinflation and the Stock Market: Third World Lessons for First World Monetary Policy

Anusha Chari and Peter Henry

31128: FDI and Superstar Spillovers: Evidence from Firm-to-Firm Transactions

Mary Amiti, Cédric Duprez, Jozef Konings and John van Reenen

31127: Day Traders, Noise, and Cost of Immediacy

Manoj Dalvi, Prachi Deuskar, Lawrence R. Glosten and Ravi Jagannathan

31126: M&A and Technological Expansion

Ginger Zhe Jin, Mario Leccese and Liad Wagman

31125: Modeling Managers As EPS Maximizers

Itzhak Ben-David and Alexander M. Chinco

31124: Are Inflationary Shocks Regressive? A Feasible Set Approach

Felipe Del Canto Monge, John R. Grigsby, Eric Qian and Conor Walsh

31123: Merger Effects and Antitrust Enforcement: Evidence from US Consumer Packaged Goods

Vivek Bhattacharya, Gastón Illanes and David Stillerman

31122: Large Language Models as Simulated Economic Agents: What Can We Learn from Homo Silicus?

John Horton

31121: Asset Pricing with Optimal Under-Diversification

Vadim Elenev and Tim Landvoigt

31120: Skill Depreciation during Unemployment: Evidence from Panel Data

Jonathan Cohen, Andrew Johnston and Attila S. Lindner

31119: Equity Term Structures without Dividend Strips Data

Stefano Giglio, Bryan T. Kelly and Serhiy Kozak

31118: Derisking Real Estate in China’s Hybrid Economy

Wei Xiong

31117: Dreaming of Leaving the Nest? Immigration Status and the Living Arrangements of DACAmented

Rania Gihleb, Osea Giuntella and Jakub Lonsky

31116: On the Efficiency of Competitive Equilibria with Pandemics

Varadarajan Chari, Rishabh Kirpalani and Luis Perez

31115: Is the Global Economy Deglobalizing? And if so, why? And what is next?

Pinelopi Goldberg and Tristan Reed

31114: Four Facts About ESG Beliefs and Investor Portfolios

Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori, Johannes Stroebel, Zhenhao Tan, Stephen Utkus and Xiao Xu

31113: Post COVID-19 Test Score Recovery: Initial Evidence from State Testing Data

Clare Halloran, Claire E. Hug, Rebecca Jack and Emily Oster

31112: Policies, Projections, and the Social Cost of Carbon: Results from the DICE-2023 Model

Lint Barrage and William Nordhaus

31111: Trade Shocks and Credit Reallocation

Stefano Federico, Fadi Hassan and Veronica Rappoport

31110: The Short-Term Labor Supply Response to the Expanded Child Tax Credit

Brandon Enriquez, Damon Jones and Ernie Tedeschi

31109: Nurse Practitioner Scope of Practice and Patient Harm: Evidence from Medical Malpractice Cases and Adverse Action Reports

Sara Markowitz and Andrew J.D. Smith

31108: Natural Capital Considerations for an Extension of the U.S. Marine Economy Satellite Account

Jeffrey Wielgus, Monica Grasso, Charles Colgan, Jennifer Zhuang, Sarah C. Siegel, Joseph Conran and Tadesse Wodajo

31107: Business Group Spillovers

S. Lakshmi Naaraayanan and Daniel Wolfenzon

31106: Do Entrepreneurs Want Control? And Should They Get What They Want? A Historical and Theoretical Exploration

Naomi R. Lamoreaux and Jean-Laurent Rosenthal

31105: China as an International Lender of Last Resort

Sebastian Horn, Bradley C. Parks, Carmen Reinhart and Christoph Trebesch

31104: Five Myths About Carbon Pricing

Gilbert Metcalf

31103: Solving Heterogeneous Agent Models with the Master Equation

Adrien Bilal

31102: Evolution of Risk Aversion over Five Years after a Major Natural Disaster

Nicholas Ingwersen, Elizabeth Frankenberg and Duncan Thomas

31101: The Macroeconomics of Intensive Agriculture

Timo Boppart, Patrick Kiernan, Per Krusell and Hannes Malmberg

31100: No Ground Truth? No Problem: Improving Administrative Data Linking Using Active Learning and a Little Bit of Guile

Sarah Tahamont, Zubin Jelveh, Melissa McNeill, Shi Yan, Aaron Chalfin and Benjamin Hansen

31099: Inflation is Conflict

Guido Lorenzoni and Iván Werning

31098: Flow Trading

Eric Budish, Peter Cramton, Albert Kyle, Jeongmin Lee and David Malec

31097: Climate Stress Testing

Viral Acharya, Richard Berner, Robert Engle, Hyeyoon Jung, Johannes Stroebel, Xuran Zeng and Yihao Zhao

31096: Inequality and Measured Growth

Ezra Oberfield

31095: Beyond Pigou: Externalities and Civil Society in the Supply-Demand Framework

Casey Mulligan

31094: Analyst Bias and Mispricing

Mark Grinblatt, Gergana Jostova and Alexander Philipov

31093: The Impact of the Level and Timing of Parental Resources on Child Development and Intergenerational Mobility

Sadegh Eshaghnia, James Heckman and Rasmus Landersø

31092: Banking Crises in Historical Perspective

Carola Frydman and Chenzi Xu

31091: The Health Wedge and Labor Market Inequality

Amy Finkelstein, Casey C. McQuillan, Owen Zidar and Eric Zwick

31090: On the Law of the Household: The Principles Used by Parents in Disciplining Their Children

Steven Shavell

31089: Helping Small Businesses become more Data-Driven: A Field Experiment on eBay

Sagit Bar-Gill, Erik Brynjolfsson and Nir Hak

31088: Signals and Stigmas from Banking Interventions: Lessons from the Bank Holiday in 1933

Matthew Jaremski, G Gary Richardson and Angela Vossmeyer

31087: Identifying Preference for Early Resolution from Asset Prices

Hengjie Ai, Ravi Bansal, Hongye Guo and Amir Yaron

31086: Measuring the Characteristics and Employment Dynamics of U.S. Inventors

Ufuk Akcigit and Nathan Goldschlag

31085: Where Have All the "Creative Talents" Gone? Employment Dynamics of US Inventors

Ufuk Akcigit and Nathan Goldschlag

31084: Continuances and Uncertainty in the Course of Adjudication

Steven Shavell

31083: Unpacking Social Capital

Ruben Durante, Nicola Mastrorocco, Luigi Minale and James Snyder

31082: Capital Controls and Trade Policy

Simon Lloyd and Emile Marin

31081: Model-free and Model-based Learning as Joint Drivers of Investor Behavior

Nicholas C. Barberis and Lawrence Jin

31080: Wealth and Property Taxation in the United States

Sacha Dray, Camille Landais and Stefanie Stantcheva

31079: Frontier History and Gender Norms in the United States

Samuel Bazzi, Abel Brodeur, Martin Fiszbein and Joanne Haddad

31078: Firm-to-Firm Financial Linkages and Dollar Risk Transmission

Bryan Hardy, Felipe Saffie and Ina Simonovska

31077: Specialization in Banking

Kristian Blickle, Cecilia Parlatore and Anthony Saunders

31076: The Good Wife? Reputation Dynamics and Financial Decision-Making Inside the Household

Nina Buchmann, Pascaline Dupas and Roberta Ziparo

31075: Inflation and Real Activity over the Business Cycle

Francesco Bianchi, Giovanni Nicolò and Dongho Song

31074: Wayfair: A Step Towards the Destination, But Sales Tax Competition Remains

Donald Bruce, William Fox and Alannah Shute

31073: The Effects of Comprehensive Educator Evaluation and Pay Reform on Achievement

Eric Hanushek, Jin Luo, Andrew J. Morgan, Minh Nguyen, Ben Ost, Steven Rivkin and Ayman Shakeel

31072: The Canary in the Coal Decline: Appalachian Household Finance and the Transition from Fossil Fuels

Josh Blonz, Brigitte Roth Tran and Erin Troland

31071: Environmentally-Inclined Politicians and Local Environmental Performance: Evidence from Publicly Listed Firms in China

Hanming Fang, Honglin Ren, Danwen Song and Nianhang Xu

31070: Fertility in the Heart of the COVID-19 Storm

Daniel Dench, Wenhui Li, Ted Joyce, Howard Minkoff and Gretchen Van Wye

31069: Timing Matters: Intra-day Shifts of Economic Activity and Ambient Ozone Concentrations

David B. Adler and Edson Severnini

31068: An Intangibles-Adjusted Profitability Factor

Ravi Jagannathan, Robert Korajczyk and Kai Wang

31067: Disasters with Unobservable Duration and Frequency: Intensified Responses and Diminished Preparedness

Viral Acharya, Timothy Johnson, Suresh Sundaresan and Steven Zheng

31066: The March 2023 Bank Interventions in Long-Run Context – Silicon Valley Bank and beyond

Andrew Metrick and Paul Schmelzing

31065: Information Technology, Firm Size, and Industrial Concentration

Erik Brynjolfsson, Wang Jin, Georgios Petropoulos and Xiupeng Wang

31064: The Value of Ratings: Evidence from their Introduction in Securities Markets

Asaf Bernstein, Carola Frydman and Eric Hilt

31063: Difference-in-Differences with Unequal Baseline Treatment Status

Alisa Tazhitdinova and Gonzalo Vazquez-Bare

31062: The Characteristics and Geographic Distribution of Robot Hubs in U.S. Manufacturing Establishments

Erik Brynjolfsson, Catherine Buffington, Nathan Goldschlag, J. Frank Li, Javier Miranda and Robert Seamans

31061: Tracing the International Transmission of a Crisis Through Multinational Firms

Marcus Biermann and Kilian Huber

31060: Is Pay Transparency Good?

Zoe B. Cullen

31059: Capital Gains Realizations

James Hines and Daniel Schaffa

31058: Natural Resources and Sovereign Risk in Emerging Economies: A Curse and a Blessing

Franz Hamann, Juan Camilo Mendez-Vizcaino, Enrique Mendoza and Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria

31057: Dynamic Banking with Non-Maturing Deposits

Urban Jermann and Haotian Xiang

31056: The Long Run Effects of a Comprehensive Teacher Performance Pay Program on Student Outcomes

Sarah Cohodes, Ozkan Eren and Orgul Ozturk

31055: The Offshore World According to FATCA: New Evidence on the Foreign Wealth of U.S. Households

Niels Johannesen, Daniel Reck, Max Risch, Joel Slemrod, John Guyton and Patrick Langetieg

31054: What Purpose Do Corporations Purport? Evidence from Letters to Shareholders

Raghuram Rajan, Pietro Ramella and Luigi Zingales

31053: Is Income Inequality Linked to Infectious Disease Prevalence? A Hypothesis-Generating Ecological Study Using Tuberculosis

Jay Bhattacharya, Joydeep Bhattacharya and Minkyong Kim