NBER Working Papers

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22841: Shifting College Majors in Response to Advanced Placement Exam Scores

Christopher Avery, Oded Gurantz, Michael Hurwitz and Jonathan Smith

22840: The Impact of Emerging Market Competition on Innovation and Business Strategy

Lorenz Kueng, Nicholas Li and Mu-Jeung Yang

22839: Macro Risks and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

Geert Bekaert, Eric Engstrom and Andrey Ermolov

22838: Pseudo-wealth and Consumption Fluctuations

Martin Guzman and Joseph Stiglitz

22837: The Theory of Credit and Macro-economic Stability

Joseph Stiglitz

22836: The Competitive Effects of Information Sharing

John Asker, Chaim Fershtman, Jihye Jeon and Ariel Pakes

22835: The Evolution of Health Insurer Costs in Massachusetts, 2010-12

Kate Ho, Ariel Pakes and Mark Shepard

22834: The Economic Contribution of Unauthorized Workers: An Industry Analysis

Ryan Edwards and Francesc Ortega

22833: World Shocks, World Prices, and Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation

Andrés Fernández Martin, Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe and Martín Uribe

22832: Screening in Contract Design: Evidence from the ACA Health Insurance Exchanges

Michael Geruso, Timothy Layton and Daniel Prinz

22831: Monetary Policy and the Stock Market: Time-Series Evidence

Andreas Neuhierl and Michael Weber

22830: An Economic Analysis of U.S Airline Fuel Economy Dynamics from 1991 to 2015

Matthew Kahn and Jerry Nickelsburg

22829: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs)

Itzhak Ben-David, Francesco Franzoni and Rabih Moussawi

22828: Corporate Deleveraging

Harry DeAngelo, Andrei S. Gonçalves and René Stulz

22827: Inflation Dynamics During the Financial Crisis

Simon Gilchrist, Raphael Schoenle, Jae Sim and Egon Zakrajšek

22826: Hospital Competition, Quality, and Expenditures in the U.S. Medicare Population

Carrie Colla, Julie Bynum, Andrea Austin and Jonathan Skinner

22825: Putting the Cycle Back into Business Cycle Analysis

Paul Beaudry, Dana Galizia and Franck Portier

22824: Time-Inconsistent Charitable Giving

James Andreoni and Marta Serra-Garcia

22823: The Optimal Distribution of Population across Cities

David Albouy, Kristian Behrens, Frederic Robert-Nicoud and Nathan Seegert

22822: Heterogeneity and Persistence in Returns to Wealth

Andreas Fagereng, Luigi Guiso, Davide Malacrino and Luigi Pistaferri

22821: Durable Coalitions and Communication: Public versus Private Negotiations

David P. Baron, T. Renee Bowen and Salvatore Nunnari

22820: Puzzles in the Forex Tokyo “Fixing”: Order Imbalances and Biased Pricing by Banks

Takatoshi Ito and Masahiro Yamada

22819: International Borrowing Cycles: A New Historical Database

Graciela Kaminsky

22818: Technical Aspects of Correspondence Studies

Joanna Lahey and Ryan Beasley

22817: The Aggregate Implications of Gender and Marriage

Margherita Borella, Mariacristina De Nardi and Fang Yang

22816: Housing Demand, Cost-of-Living Inequality, and the Affordability Crisis

David Albouy, Gabriel Ehrlich and Yingyi Liu

22815: The Affordable Care Act as Retiree Health Insurance: Implications for Retirement and Social Security Claiming

Alan Gustman, Thomas L. Steinmeier and Nahid Tabatabai

22814: Past Performance and Procurement Outcomes

Francesco Decarolis, Giancarlo Spagnolo and Riccardo Pacini

22813: On a World Climate Assembly and the Social Cost of Carbon

Martin Weitzman

22812: International Transmissions of Monetary Shocks: Between a Trilemma and a Dilemma

Xuehui Han and Shang-Jin Wei

22811: Complementarity without Superadditivity

Steven Berry, Philip Haile, Mark Israel and Michael Katz

22810: Analyzing the Influence of Occupational Licensing Duration and Grandfathering on Labor Market Outcomes

Suyoun Han and Morris M. Kleiner

22809: Misallocation, Establishment Size, and Productivity

Pedro Bento and Diego Restuccia

22808: How Information Affects Support for Education Spending: Evidence from Survey Experiments in Germany and the United States

Martin R. West, Ludger Woessmann, Philipp Lergetporer and Katharina Werner

22807: The Social Cost of Carbon Revisited

Robert Pindyck

22806: Political Borders and Bank Lending in Post-Crisis America

Matthieu Chavaz and Andrew Rose

22805: The Compositional Effect of Rigorous Teacher Evaluation on Workforce Quality

Julie Cullen, Cory Koedel and Eric Parsons

22804: Trade, Pollution and Mortality in China

Matilde Bombardini and Bingjing Li

22803: E-governance, Accountability, and Leakage in Public Programs: Experimental Evidence from a Financial Management Reform in India

Abhijit Banerjee, Esther Duflo, Clément Imbert, Santhosh Mathew and Rohini Pande

22802: Intertemporal Substitution in Health Care Demand: Evidence from the RAND Health Insurance Experiment

Haizhen Lin and Daniel Sacks

22801: The Long Shadow of a Fiscal Expansion

Chong-En Bai, Chang-Tai Hsieh and Zheng Michael Song

22800: Should Central Banks Care About Fiscal Rules?

Eric Leeper

22799: Leverage Dynamics without Commitment

Peter DeMarzo and Zhiguo He

22798: Taxing the Rich More: Preliminary Evidence from the 2013 Tax Increase

Emmanuel Saez

22797: Divergent Paths: Structural Change, Economic Rank, and the Evolution of Black-White Earnings Differences, 1940-2014

Patrick Bayer and Kerwin Kofi Charles

22796: The Mortality and Medical Costs of Air Pollution: Evidence from Changes in Wind Direction

Tatyana Deryugina, Garth Heutel, Nolan H. Miller, David Molitor and Julian Reif

22795: Applying Asset Pricing Theory to Calibrate the Price of Climate Risk

Kent Daniel, Robert Litterman and Gernot Wagner

22794: Public Debt as Private Liquidity: Optimal Policy

George-Marios Angeletos, Fabrice Collard and Harris Dellas

22793: Commodities for the Long Run

Ari Levine, Yao Hua Ooi and Matthew Richardson

22792: E-Cigarette Minimum Legal Sale Age Laws and Traditional Cigarette Use among Rural Pregnant Teenagers

Michael Pesko and Janet Currie

22791: Balancing, Regression, Difference-In-Differences and Synthetic Control Methods: A Synthesis

Nikolay Doudchenko and Guido Imbens

22790: A Risk-based Theory of Exchange Rate Stabilization

Tarek Hassan, Thomas M. Mertens and Tony Zhang

22789: A Real Estate Boom with Chinese Characteristics

Edward Glaeser, Wei Huang, Yueran Ma and Andrei Shleifer

22788: Crime and Durable Goods

Sebastian Galiani, Laura Jaitman and Federico Weinschelbaum

22787: Fighting Crises

Gary Gorton and Guillermo Ordonez

22786: Discrimination as a Self-Fulfilling Prophecy: Evidence from French Grocery Stores

Dylan Glover, Amanda Pallais and William Parienté

22785: Forward Guidance without Common Knowledge

George-Marios Angeletos and Chen Lian

22784: Log-linear Approximation versus an Exact Solution at the ZLB in the New Keynesian Model

Gauti Eggertsson and Sanjay Singh

22783: Innovation Network

Daron Acemoglu, Ufuk Akcigit and William Kerr

22782: Trends in Cumulative Marginal Tax Rates Facing Low-Income Families, 1997-2007

Gizem Kosar and Robert Moffitt

22781: Regression Kink Design: Theory and Practice

David Card, David S. Lee, Zhuan Pei and Andrea Weber

22780: Competitive Effects of Scope of Practice Restrictions: Public Health or Public Harm?

Sara Markowitz, E. Kathleen Adams, Mary Jane Lewitt, PhD, Cnm and Md Anne Dunlop

22779: Knowledge Elites and Modernization: Evidence from Revolutionary France

Mara Squicciarini and Nico Voigtländer

22778: Business Income and Business Taxation in the United States Since the 1950s

Conor Clarke and Wojciech Kopczuk

22777: Elite Identity and Political Accountability: A Tale of Ten Islands

Jean-Paul Carvalho and Christian Dippel

22776: Racial and Gender Discrimination in Transportation Network Companies

Yanbo Ge, Christopher Knittel, Don MacKenzie and Stephen Zoepf

22775: Factions in Nondemocracies: Theory and Evidence from the Chinese Communist Party

Patrick Francois, Francesco Trebbi and Kairong Xiao

22774: Securities Lending as Wholesale Funding: Evidence from the U.S. Life Insurance Industry

Nathan Foley-Fisher, Borghan Nezami Narajabad and Stephane Verani

22773: Multidimensional Private Information, Market Structure and Insurance Markets

Hanming Fang and Zenan Wu

22772: Collective Choice in Dynamic Public Good Provision

T. Renee Bowen, George Georgiadis and Nicolas Lambert

22771: Vertical Information Restraints: Pro- and Anti-Competitive Impacts of Minimum Advertised Price Restrictions

John Asker and Heski Bar-Isaac

22770: Is Uncle Sam Inducing the Elderly to Retire?

Alan Auerbach, Laurence Kotlikoff, Darryl R. Koehler and Manni Yu

22769: Evaluating Economy-Wide Benefit Cost Analyses

V. Smith and Min Qiang (Kent) Zhao

22768: Patent Disclosures and Standard-Setting

Josh Lerner, Haris Tabakovic and Jean Tirole

22767: Effects of Adult Health Interventions at Scale on Children's Schooling: Evidence from Antiretroviral Therapy in Zambia

Adrienne Lucas, Margaret Chidothe and Nicholas Wilson

22766: The Causes and Consequences of Increased Female Education and Labor Force Participation in Developing Countries

Rachel Heath and Seema Jayachandran

22765: Inattention and Switching Costs as Sources of Inertia in Medicare Part D

Florian Heiss, Daniel McFadden, Joachim Winter, Amelie Wuppermann and Bo Zhou

22764: Mobile Phones, Civic Engagement, and School Performance in Pakistan

Minahil Asim and Thomas Dee

22763: Fiscal Risk and the Portfolio of Government Programs

Samuel Hanson, David Scharfstein and Adi Sunderam

22762: Do Recessions Accelerate Routine-Biased Technological Change? Evidence from Vacancy Postings

Brad Hershbein and Lisa Kahn

22761: Achieving Price Stability by Manipulating the Central Bank’s Payment on Reserves

Robert Hall and Ricardo Reis

22760: Local Government and Old-Age Support in the New Deal

Daniel Fetter

22759: The Effects of Income Mobility and Tax Persistence on Income Redistribution and Inequality

Marina Agranov and Thomas Palfrey

22758: International Financial Adjustment in a Canonical Open Economy Growth Model

Richard Clarida and Ildikó Magyari

22757: The Determinants of Quality Specialization

Jonathan Dingel

22756: Endogenous Network Formation in Congress

Nathan Canen and Francesco Trebbi

22755: A New Financial Order in Asia: Will a RMB bloc emerge?

Takatoshi Ito

22754: Can Online Delivery Increase Access to Education?

Joshua Goodman, Julia Melkers and Amanda Pallais

22753: The Effect of Air Pollution on Investor Behavior: Evidence from the S&P 500

Anthony Heyes, Matthew Neidell and Soodeh Saberian

22752: Notes on the Economics of Energy Storage

Geoffrey Heal

22751: A Model of Fickle Capital Flows and Retrenchment

Ricardo Caballero and Alp Simsek

22750: Evidence for the Effects of Mergers on Market Power and Efficiency

Bruce Blonigen and Justin Pierce

22749: The Competitive Effects of Online Education

David Deming, Michael Lovenheim and Richard Patterson

22748: Upward Mobility and Discrimination: The Case of Asian Americans

Nathaniel Hilger

22747: Silver Points, Silver Flows, and the Measure of Chinese Financial Integration

David Jacks, Se Yan and Liuyan Zhao

22746: Mainstreaming an Effective Intervention: Evidence from Randomized Evaluations of “Teaching at the Right Level” in India

Abhijit Banerjee, Rukmini Banerji, James Berry, Esther Duflo, Harini Kannan, Shobhini Mukherji, Marc Shotland and Michael Walton

22745: When Discounts Raise Costs: The Effect of Copay Coupons on Generic Utilization

Leemore Dafny, Christopher Ody and Matt Schmitt

22744: Ideological Segregation among Online Collaborators: Evidence from Wikipedians

Shane Greenstein, Yuan Gu and Feng Zhu

22743: Macrofinancial History and the New Business Cycle Facts

Oscar Jorda, Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor

22742: Minimum Payments and Debt Paydown in Consumer Credit Cards

Benjamin Keys and Jialan Wang