NBER Working Papers

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20910: The Persistence of Moral Suasion and Economic Incentives: Field Experimental Evidence from Energy Demand

Koichiro Ito, Takanori Ida and Makoto Tanaka

20909: On The Origins of Gender Human Capital Gaps: Short and Long Term Consequences of Teachers’ Stereotypical Biases

Victor Lavy and Edith Sand

20908: Trade Reform and Regional Dynamics: Evidence From 25 Years of Brazilian Matched Employer-Employee Data

Rafael Dix-Carneiro and Brian Kovak

20907: The Impact of Market Size and Composition on Health Insurance Premiums: Evidence from the First Year of the ACA

Michael J. Dickstein, Mark Duggan, Joseph Orsini and Pietro Tebaldi

20906: Synthesizing Econometric Evidence: The Case of Demand Elasticity Estimates

Philip DeCicca and Donald Kenkel

20905: An Assessment of the Energy-Efficiency Gap and its Implications for Climate-Change Policy

Todd Gerarden, Richard Newell, Robert Stavins and Robert C. Stowe

20904: Assessing the Energy-Efficiency Gap

Todd Gerarden, Richard Newell and Robert Stavins

20903: Competition and R&D Financing Decisions: Theory and Evidence from the Biopharmaceutical Industry

Richard Thakor and Andrew Lo

20902: Killing the Golden Goose? The Decline of Science in Corporate R&D

Ashish Arora, Sharon Belenzon and Andrea Patacconi

20901: An Evaluation of the Impact of the China (Shanghai) Pilot Free Trade Zone (SPFTZ)

Daqing Yao and John Whalley

20900: Climate Sensitivity Uncertainty: When is Good News Bad?

Mark C. Freeman, Gernot Wagner and Richard Zeckhauser

20899: Peer-to-Peer Crowdfunding: Information and the Potential for Disruption in Consumer Lending

Adair Morse

20898: Nominal GDP Targeting for Developing Countries

Pranjul Bhandari and Jeffrey Frankel

20897: On the Origins of Dishonesty: From Parents to Children

Daniel Houser, John List, Marco Piovesan, Anya Samek and Joachim Winter

20896: The Maturity and Payment Schedule of Sovereign Debt

Yan Bai, Seon Tae Kim and Gabriel Mihalache

20895: Understanding Heterogeneity in the Effects of Birth Weight on Adult Cognition and Wages

Justin Cook and Jason Fletcher

20894: Does Finance Benefit Society?

Luigi Zingales

20893: Monetary Policy Independence under Flexible Exchange Rates: An Illusion?

Sebastian Edwards

20892: Can Changing Economic Factors Explain the Rise in Obesity?

Charles Courtemanche, Joshua Pinkston, Christopher Ruhm and George Wehby

20891: Informal Employment in a Growing and Globalizing Low-income Country

Brian McCaig and Nina Pavcnik

20890: Can Online Learning Bend the Higher Education Cost Curve?

David Deming, Claudia Goldin, Lawrence Katz and Noam Yuchtman

20889: Public R&D Investments and Private-sector Patenting: Evidence from NIH Funding Rules

Pierre Azoulay, Joshua Graff Zivin, Danielle Li and Bhaven Sampat

20888: The Effect of Regulatory Harmonization on Cross-border Labor Migration: Evidence from the Accounting Profession

Matthew J. Bloomfield, Ulf Brüggemann, Hans B. Christensen and Christian Leuz

20887: What Do Longitudinal Data on Millions of Hospital Visits Tell us About The Value of Public Health Insurance as a Safety Net for the Young and Privately Insured?

Amanda Kowalski

20886: Insurance Decision-Making For Rare Events: The Role Of Emotions

Howard Kunreuther and Mark Pauly

20885: Understanding Ethnic Identity in Africa: Evidence from the Implicit Association Test (IAT)

Sara Lowes, Nathan Nunn, James Robinson and Jonathan Weigel

20884: The Impact of Unemployment Benefit Extensions on Employment: The 2014 Employment Miracle?

Marcus Hagedorn, Iourii Manovskii and Kurt Mitman

20883: Pareto Efficiency and Identity

Christopher Phelan and Aldo Rustichini

20882: The Power of Forward Guidance Revisited

Alisdair McKay, Emi Nakamura and Jon Steinsson

20881: Equilibrium Technology Diffusion, Trade, and Growth

Jesse Perla, Christopher Tonetti and Michael Waugh

20880: Are Firms in "Boring" Industries Worth Less?

Jia Chen, Kewei Hou and René Stulz

20879: Why is Pollution from U.S. Manufacturing Declining? The Roles of Environmental Regulation, Productivity, and Trade

Joseph Shapiro and Reed Walker

20878: The Local Influence of Pioneer Investigators on Technology Adoption: Evidence from New Cancer Drugs

Leila Agha and David Molitor

20877: Do Natural Field Experiments Afford Researchers More or Less Control than Laboratory Experiments? A Simple Model

Omar Al-Ubaydli and John List

20876: Wage Inequality and Firm Growth

Holger M. Mueller, Paige P. Ouimet and Elena Simintzi

20875: Neglected Risks: The Psychology of Financial Crises

Nicola Gennaioli, Andrei Shleifer and Robert Vishny

20874: Credit Supply and the Housing Boom

Alejandro Justiniano, Giorgio Primiceri and Andrea Tambalotti

20873: Impact of China's Urban Employee Basic Medical Insurance on Health Care Expenditure and Health Outcomes

Feng Huang and Li Gan

20872: Macroeconomic Volatility and External Imbalances

Alessandra Fogli and Fabrizio Perri

20871: Capital Taxation in the 21st Century

Alan Auerbach and Kevin Hassett

20870: Using Field Experiments to Address Environmental Externalities and Resource Scarcity: Major Lessons Learned and New Directions for Future Research

Michael Price

20869: The Effect of Unemployment Benefits on the Duration of Unemployment Insurance Receipt: New Evidence from a Regression Kink Design in Missouri, 2003-2013

David Card, Andrew Johnston, Pauline Leung, Alexandre Mas and Zhuan Pei

20868: Mark-up and Cost Dispersion across Firms: Direct Evidence from Producer Surveys in Pakistan

David Atkin, Azam Chaudhry, Shamyla Chaudry, Amit Khandelwal and Eric Verhoogen

20867: Pricing in the Market for Anticancer Drugs

David H. Howard, Peter B. Bach, Ernst R. Berndt and Rena Conti

20866: Sacred Values? The Effect of Information on Attitudes toward Payments for Human Organs

Julio Elias, Nicola Lacetera and Mario Macis

20865: Microeconomic Origins of Macroeconomic Tail Risks

Daron Acemoglu, Asuman Ozdaglar and Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi

20864: Municipal Housekeeping: The Impact of Women's Suffrage on Public Education

Celeste Carruthers and Marianne Wanamaker

20863: Spare Tire? Stock Markets, Banking Crises, and Economic Recoveries

Ross Levine, Chen Lin and Wensi Xie

20862: Ending the Euro Crisis?

Martin Feldstein

20861: What High-Achieving Low-Income Students Know About College

Caroline Hoxby and Sarah Turner

20860: Capital Flow Management Measures: What Are They Good For?

Kristin Forbes, Marcel Fratzscher and Roland Straub

20859: Property Rights, Regulatory Capture, and Exploitation of Natural Resources

Christopher Costello and Corbett Grainger

20858: Long-run Bulls and Bears

Rui Albuquerque, Martin Eichenbaum, Dimitris Papanikolaou and Sergio Rebelo

20857: News Shocks in Open Economies: Evidence from Giant Oil Discoveries

Rabah Arezki, Valerie Ramey and Liugang Sheng

20856: Why Doesn't Technology Flow from Rich to Poor Countries?

Harold Cole, Jeremy Greenwood and Juan Sanchez

20855: Accounting for Changes in Between-Group Inequality

Ariel Burstein, Eduardo Morales and Jonathan Vogel

20854: Invisible Women: Entrepreneurship, Innovation and Family Firms in France during Early Industrialization

B. Zorina Khan

20853: Knowledge, Human Capital and Economic Development: Evidence from the British Industrial Revolution, 1750-1930

B. Zorina Khan

20852: The Limits of Bimetallism

Christopher Meissner

20851: Technology and Geography in the Second Industrial Revolution: New Evidence from the Margins of Trade

Michael Huberman, Christopher Meissner and Kim Oosterlinck

20850: Borrowing Trouble? Student Loans, the Cost of Borrowing, and Implications for the Effectiveness of Need-Based Grant Aid

Benjamin Marx and Lesley Turner

20849: Student Loans and Repayment: Theory, Evidence and Policy

Lance Lochner and Alexander Monge-Naranjo

20848: Loan Originations and Defaults in the Mortgage Crisis: The Role of the Middle Class

Manuel Adelino, Antoinette Schoar and Felipe Severino

20847: The Effects of School Spending on Educational and Economic Outcomes: Evidence from School Finance Reforms

C. Kirabo Jackson, Rucker C. Johnson and Claudia Persico

20846: Business Strategy and the Management of Firms

Mu-Jeung Yang, Lorenz Kueng and Bryan Hong

20845: Estimating Management Practice Complementarity between Decentralization and Performance Pay

Bryan Hong, Lorenz Kueng and Mu-Jeung Yang

20844: The Evolution of the Financial Stability Mandate: From Its Origins to the Present Day

Gianni Toniolo and Eugene White

20843: The Long-Term Consequences of Free School Choice

Victor Lavy

20842: Migration, Congestion Externalities, and the Evaluation of Spatial Investments

Taryn Dinkelman and Sam Schulhofer-Wohl

20841: Technology and Labor Regulations: Theory and Evidence

Alberto Alesina, Michele Battisti and Joseph Zeira

20840: Does Delay Cause Decay? The Effect of Administrative Decision Time on the Labor Force Participation and Earnings of Disability Applicants

David Autor, Nicole Maestas, Kathleen Mullen and Alexander Strand

20839: Directing Remittances to Education with Soft and Hard Commitments: Evidence from a Lab-in-the-field Experiment and New Product Take-up Among Filipino Migrants in Rome

Giuseppe De Arcangelis, Majlinda Joxhe, David McKenzie, Erwin Tiongson and Dean Yang

20838: Bounding the Labor Supply Responses to a Randomized Welfare Experiment: A Revealed Preference Approach

Patrick Kline and Melissa Tartari

20837: Prison Crowding, Recidivism, and Early Release in Early Rhode Island

Howard Bodenhorn

20836: Secular Stagnation: The Long View

Barry Eichengreen

20835: Medicaid as an Investment in Children: What is the Long-Term Impact on Tax Receipts?

David W. Brown, Amanda Kowalski and Ithai Z. Lurie

20834: Cognitive Economics

Miles Kimball

20833: The Returns to the Federal Tax Credits for Higher Education

George Bulman and Caroline Hoxby

20832: Fighting the Last War: Economists on the Lender of Last Resort

Richard Grossman and Hugh Rockoff

20831: Global Sunspots and Asset Prices in a Monetary Economy

Roger Farmer

20830: The Limits of Reputation in Platform Markets: An Empirical Analysis and Field Experiment

Chris Nosko and Steven Tadelis

20829: Patronage Politics and the Development of the Welfare State: Confederate Pensions in the American South

Shari Eli and Laura Salisbury

20828: The Fluidity of Race: “Passing” in the United States, 1880-1940

Emily Nix and Nancy Qian

20827: Austerity in 2009-2013

Alberto Alesina, Omar Barbiero, Carlo Favero, Francesco Giavazzi and Matteo Paradisi

20826: The Skill Complementarity of Broadband Internet

Anders Akerman, Ingvil Gaarder and Magne Mogstad

20825: Exploration for Human Capital: Evidence from the MBA Labor Market

Camelia Kuhnen and Paul Oyer

20824: Central Bank Credibility: An Historical and Quantitative Exploration

Michael Bordo and Pierre Siklos

20823: Segmented Housing Search

Monika Piazzesi, Martin Schneider and Johannes Stroebel

20822: Domestic and Multilateral Effects of Capital Controls in Emerging Markets

Gurnain Pasricha, Matteo Falagiarda, Martin Bijsterbosch and Joshua Aizenman

20821: Distinguishing Constraints on Financial Inclusion and Their Impact on GDP, TFP, and the Distribution of Income

Era Dabla-Norris, Yan Ji, Robert Townsend and Filiz Unsal

20820: International Currency Exposures, Valuation Effects, and the Global Financial Crisis

Agustín Bénétrix, Philip Lane and Jay Shambaugh

20819: Price Setting in Online Markets: Does IT Click?

Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Viacheslav Sheremirov and Oleksandr Talavera

20818: Can Health Insurance Competition Work? Evidence from Medicare Advantage

Vilsa Curto, Liran Einav, Jonathan Levin and Jay Bhattacharya

20817: Monetary Shocks in Models with Inattentive Producers

Fernando Alvarez, Francesco Lippi and Luigi Paciello

20816: Field of Study, Earnings, and Self-Selection

Lars Kirkebøen, Edwin Leuven and Magne Mogstad

20815: Common Factors in Return Seasonalities

Matti Keloharju, Juhani T. Linnainmaa and Peter Nyberg

20814: Four Centuries of Return Predictability

Benjamin Golez and Peter Koudijs

20813: Trading on Sunspots

Boyan Jovanovic and Viktor Tsyrennikov

20812: Measuring Consumer Valuation of Limited Provider Networks

Keith Ericson and Amanda Starc

20811: The Roles of Cognitive and Non-Cognitive Skills in Moderating the Effects of Mixed-Ability Schools on Long-Term Health

Anirban Basu, Andrew Jones and Pedro Rosa Dias