NBER Working Papers

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5022: Measuring Business Cycles Approximate Band-Pass Filters for Economic Time Series

Marianne Baxter and Robert King

5021: International Trade and Open Access Renewable Resources: The Small Open Economy Case

James Brander and M. Scott Taylor

5020: Strategic Trade Policy

James Brander

5019: The International Diversification Puzzle is Worse Than You Think

Marianne Baxter and Urban Jermann

5018: A Labor-Income-Based Measure of the Value of Human Capital: An Application to the States of the United States

Casey Mulligan and Xavier Sala-i-Martin

5017: The Illusion of Failure: Trends in the Self-Reported Health of the U.S. Elderly

Timothy Waidmann, John Bound and Michael Schoenbaum

5016: Measuring Aggregate Human Capital

Casey Mulligan and Xavier Sala-i-Martin

5015: The Deficit Gamble

Laurence Ball, Douglas Elmendorf and N. Gregory Mankiw

5014: Are Lifetime Jobs Disappearing? Job Duration in the United States: 1973-1993

Henry S. Farber

5013: Economic Growth in a Cross-Section of Cities

Edward Glaeser, Jose Scheinkman and Andrei Shleifer

5012: Price, Tobacco Control Policies and Smoking Among Young Adults

Frank Chaloupka and Henry Wechsler

5011: Do Firms Smooth the Seasonal in Production in a Boom? Theory and Evidence

Stephen Cecchetti, Anil Kashyap and David Wilcox

5010: Differential Information and Dynamic Behavior of Stock Trading Volume

Hua He and Jiang Wang

5009: Tax Projections and the Budget: Lessons from the 1980s

Alan Auerbach

5008: Regional Cost-of-Living Adjustments in Tax-Transfer Schemes

Louis Kaplow

5007: Holdups, Standard Breach Remedies, and Optimal Investment

Aaron Edlin and Stefan Reichelstein

5006: A Panel Project on Purchasing Power Parity: Mean Reversion Within and Between Countries

Jeffrey Frankel and Andrew Rose

5005: Common Interests or Common Polities? Reinterpreting the Democratic Peace

Henry S. Farber and Joanne Gowa

5004: Spatial Productivity Spillovers from Public Infrastructure: Evidence from State Highways

Douglas Holtz-Eakin and Amy Schwartz

5003: Public Employment, Taxes and the Welfare State in Sweden

Sherwin Rosen

5002: The Impact of Federal Spending on House Election Outcomes

Steven Levitt and James Snyder

5001: Empirical Matching Functions: Estimation and Interpretation Using Disaggregate Data

Patricia Anderson and Simon Burgess

5000: Behavioral Responses to Tax Rates: Evidence from TRA86

Martin Feldstein

4999: The Adding Up Problem: A Targeting Approach

Kala Krishna

4998: Antitrust and Higher Education: Was There a Conspiracy to Restrict Financial Aid?

Dennis Carlton, Gustavo E. Bamberger and Roy Epstein

4997: On the Predictability of Stock Returns: An Asset-Allocation Perspective

Shmuel Kandel and Robert Stambaugh

4996: Income and Wealth of Older American Households: Modeling Issues for Public Policy Analysis

Alan Gustman and F. Juster

4995: By Force of Habit: A Consumption-Based Explanation of Aggregate Stock Market Behavior

John Campbell and John Cochrane

4994: Pollution Abatement Costs, Regulation, and Plant-Level Productivity

Wayne Gray and Ron Shadbegian

4993: The Decline of Traditional Banking: Implications for Financial Stabilityand Regulatory Policy

Franklin R. Edwards and Frederic Mishkin

4992: Economic Risk and Political Risk in Fiscal Unions

Alberto Alesina and Roberto Perotti

4991: Using Electoral Cycles in Police Hiring to Estimate the Effect of Policeon Crime

Steven Levitt

4990: Diversification, Integration and Emerging Market Closed-End Funds

Geert Bekaert and Michael S. Urias

4989: The Causes and Effects of Liability Reform: Some Empirical Evidence

Thomas J. Campbell, Daniel P. Kessler and George B. Shepherd

4988: A Dynamic Structural Model for Stock Return Volatility and Trading Volume

William Brock and Blake Lebaron

4987: The Incentive Effects of Property Taxes on Local Governments

Edward Glaeser

4986: The Effect of Uncertainty on Investment: Some Stylized Facts

John Leahy and Toni Whited

4985: The Swedish Experience of an Inflation Target

Lars Svensson

4984: Foreign Exchange Volume: Sound and Fury Signifying Nothing?

Richard Lyons

4983: Implementing Free Trade Areas: Rules of Origin and Hidden Protection

Kala Krishna and Anne Krueger

4982: Explaining Forward Exchange Bias..Intraday

Richard Lyons and Andrew Rose

4981: The Demand for Post-Patent Prescription Pharmaceuticals

Judith Hellerstein

4980: Political Constraints on Executive Compensation: Evidence from the Electric Utility Industry

Paul Joskow, Nancy Rose and Catherin D. Wolfram

4979: Does Competition Among Public Schools Benefit Students and Taxpayers?

Caroline Hoxby

4978: Do Private Schools Provide Competition for Public Schools?

Caroline Hoxby

4977: Is There a `Credit Channel' for Monetary Policy?

Robert Hubbard

4976: CEO Pay and Firm Performance: Dynamics, Asymmetries, and Alternative Performance Measures

Paul Joskow and Nancy Rose

4975: Business Cycles and the Asset Structure of Foreign Trade

Marianne Baxter and Mario Crucini

4974: High Tech R&D Subsidies: Estimating the Effects of Sematech

Douglas Irwin and Pete Klenow

4973: Bureaucracy, Infrastructure, and Economic Growth: Evidence from U.S. Cities During the Progressive Era

James Rauch

4972: Competition Policy and International Trade

James Levinsohn

4971: The Operation and Collapse of Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes

Peter Garber and Lars Svensson

4970: Valuation of New Goods under Perfect and Imperfect Competition

Jerry Hausman

4969: Indicator Properties of the Paper-Bill Spread: Lessons from Recent Experiences

Benjamin M. Friedman and Kenneth Kuttner

4968: The Dynamics of Dual-Job Holding and Job Mobility

Christina Paxson and Nachum Sicherman

4967: Spillovers, Foreign Investment, and Export Behavior

Brian Aitken, Gordon Hanson and Ann Harrison

4966: Forecasting Transaction Rates: The Autoregressive Conditional Duration Model

Robert Engle and Jeffrey R. Russell

4965: Market Underreaction to Open Market Share Repurchases

David Ikenberry, Josef Lakonishok and Theo Vermaelen

4964: Getting Interventions Right: How South Korea and Taiwan Grew Rich

Dani Rodrik

4963: A Retrospective on the Debt Crisis

Michael Dooley

4962: International Rules and Institutions for Trade Policy

Robert Staiger

4961: A Fundamental Objection to Tax Equity Norms: A Call for Utilitarianism

Louis Kaplow

4960: The Effects of Unemployment Insurance Taxes and Benefits on Layoffs Using Firm and Individual Data

Patricia Anderson and Bruce Meyer

4959: Cross-Country Evidence on the Link Between Volatility and Growth

Garey Ramey and Valerie Ramey

4958: Hedging Options in a GARCH Environment: Testing the Term Structure of Stochastic Volatility Models

Robert Engle and Joshua Rosenberg

4957: The Size and Timing of Devaluations in Capital-Controlled Developing Countries

Robert Flood and Nancy Marion

4956: Unnatural Experiments? Estimating the Incidence of Endogenous Policies

Timothy Besley and Anne Case

4955: The Economic Benefits from Immigration

George Borjas

4954: Neither a Borrower nor a Lender Be: An Economic Analysis of Interest Restrictions and Usury Laws

Edward Glaeser and Jose Scheinkman

4953: Economic Effects of Quality Regulations in the Daycare Industry

Tasneem Chipty and Ann Dryden Witte

4952: Perspectives on PPP and Long-Run Real Exchange Rates

Kenneth Froot and Kenneth Rogoff

4951: Puzzles in International Financial Markets

Karen Lewis

4950: An Intergenerational Model of Wages, Hours and Earnings

Joseph Altonji and Thomas A. Dunn

4949: Education and Health: Where There's Smoke There's an Instrument

William Evans and Edward Montgomery

4948: Prices, Output and Hours: An Empirical Analysis Based on a Sticky Price Model

Julio Rotemberg

4947: Did Workers Pay for the Passage of Workers' Compensation Laws?

Price Fishback and Shawn Kantor

4946: Intellectual Capital and the Firm: The Technology of Geographically Localized Knowledge Spillovers

Lynne Zucker, Michael Darby and Jeff Armstrong

4945: Generating Equality and Eliminating Poverty, The Swedish Way

Anders Bjorklund and Richard Freeman

4944: The GATT's Contribution to Economic Recovery in Post-War Western Europe

Douglas Irwin

4943: Insurance Rationing and the Origins of Workers' Compensation

Price Fishback and Shawn Kantor

4942: Can Having Fewer Partners Increase Prevalence of Aids?

Michael Kremer

4941: Disability Insurance Rejection Rates and the Labor Supply of Older Workers

Jonathan Gruber and Jeffrey D. Kubik

4940: International Trade Theory: The Evidence

Edward Leamer and James Levinsohn

4939: The Dynamics of Domestic Violence: Does Arrest Matter?

Helen V. Tauchen and Ann Dryden Witte

4938: Monetary Policy and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

Bennett McCallum

4937: Using Expectations Data to Study Subjective Income Expectations

Jeff Dominitz and Charles Manski

4936: Eliciting Student Expectations of the Returns to Schooling

Jeff Dominitz and Charles Manski

4935: Historical Macroeconomics and American Macroeconomic History

Charles Calomiris and Christopher Hanes

4934: Contagion and Bank Failures During the Great Depression: The June 1932 Chicago Banking Panic

Charles Calomiris and Joseph R. Mason

4933: Physician Financial Incentives and Cesarean Section Delivery

Jonathan Gruber and Maria Owings

4932: Taxes, Technology Transfer, and the R&D Activities of Multinational Firms

James Hines

4931: International Patenting and Technology Diffusion

Jonathan Eaton and Samuel Kortum

4930: Physician Payments and Infant Mortality: Evidence from Medicaid Fee Policy

Janet Currie, Jonathan Gruber and Michael Fischer

4929: Health and Labor Force Participation of Older Men, 1900-1991

Dora Costa

4928: Fixes: Of The Forward Discount Puzzle

Robert Flood and Andrew Rose

4927: Foreign-Owned Firms and U.S. Wages

Robert Lipsey

4926: Technology and Trade

Gene Grossman and Elhanan Helpman

4925: Do Pensions Increase the Labor Supply of Older Men?

Christopher Ruhm

4924: Interest Allocation Rules, Financing Patterns, and the Operations of U.S. Multinationals

Kenneth Froot and James Hines

4923: Tests of Three Parity Conditions: Distinguishing Risk Premia and Systematic Forecast Errors

Richard C. Marston