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NBER Working Papers

From National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A..
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12060: Five Open Questions About Prediction Markets Downloads
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
12059: The Making of an Investment Banker: Macroeconomic Shocks, Career Choice, and Lifetime Income Downloads
Paul Oyer
12058: The Most Important Works of Art of the Twentieth Century Downloads
David Galenson
12057: Some Answers to the Retirement-Consumption Puzzle Downloads
Michael Hurd and Susann Rohwedder
12056: Single Parenthood and Childhood Outcomes in the Mid-Nineteenth Century Urban South Downloads
Howard Bodenhorn
12055: Estimating and Testing Beta Pricing Models: Alternative Methods and their Performance in Simulations Downloads
Jay Shanken and Guofu Zhou
12054: The Economic Costs of the Iraq War: An Appraisal Three Years After the Beginning of the Conflict Downloads
Linda Bilmes and Joseph Stiglitz
12053: Competing Approaches to Forecasting Elections: Economic Models, Opinion Polling and Prediction Markets Downloads
Andrew Leigh and Justin Wolfers
12052: New Measures of Port Efficiency Using International Trade Data Downloads
Bruce Blonigen and Wesley Wilson
12051: Bidding for Incomplete Contracts: An Empirical Analysis Downloads
Patrick Bajari, Stephanie Houghton and Steven Tadelis
12050: A Framework for Assessing Corporate Governance Reform Downloads
Benjamin Hermalin and Michael Weisbach
12049: Who Adjusts and When? On the Political Economy of Reforms Downloads
Alberto Alesina, Silvia Ardagna and Francesco Trebbi
12048: State Age Protection Laws and the Age Discrimination in Employment Act Downloads
Joanna Lahey
12047: The Causes of Political Integration: An Application to School Districts Downloads
Nora Gordon and Brian Knight
12046: Why Did U.S. Market Hours Boom in the 1990s? Downloads
Ellen McGrattan and Edward Prescott
12045: Exports and Slow Economic Growth in the Lower South Region, 1720-1800 Downloads
Peter C. Mancall, Joshua Rosenbloom and Thomas Weiss
12044: Offshore Financial Centers: Parasites or Symbionts? Downloads
Andrew Rose and Mark Spiegel
12043: Urban Poverty, School Attendance, and Adolescent Labor Force Attachment: Some Historical Evidence Downloads
Howard Bodenhorn
12042: Investment Under Uncertainty and Time-Inconsistent Preferences Downloads
Steven R. Grenadier and Neng Wang
12041: Sorting, Prices, and Social Preferences Downloads
Edward Lazear, Ulrike Malmendier and Roberto Weber
12040: How Do the Better Educated Do It? Socioeconomic Status and the Ability to Cope with Underlying Impairment Downloads
David Cutler, Mary Beth Landrum and Kate A. Stewart
12039: PublicationHarvester: An Open-Source Software Tool for Science Policy Research Downloads
Pierre Azoulay, Andrew Stellman and Joshua Graff Zivin
12038: Economic Transformation, Population Growth and the Long-Run World Income Distribution Downloads
Marcos Chamon and Michael Kremer
12037: Special Interest Groups and the Allocation of Public Funds Downloads
Monica Singhal
12036: Housing, Consumption, and Asset Pricing Downloads
Monika Piazzesi, Martin Schneider and Selale Tuzel
12035: Legal-Political Factors and the Historical Evolution of the Finance-Growth Link Downloads
Michael Bordo and Peter Rousseau
12034: And Now for Something Completely Different: The Versatility of Conceptual Innovators Downloads
David Galenson
12033: Optimal Tariffs: The Evidence Downloads
Christian Broda, Nuno Limão and David Weinstein
12032: Turbulent Firms, Turbulent Wages? Downloads
Diego Comin, Erica Groshen and Bess Rabin
12031: The Unequal Effects of Liberalization: Evidence from Dismantling the License Raj in India Downloads
Philippe Aghion, Robin Burgess, Stephen Redding and Fabrizio Zilibotti
12030: Down or Out: Assessing the Welfare Costs of Household Investment Mistakes Downloads
Laurent Calvet, John Campbell and Paolo Sodini
12029: Cost Should Be No Barrier: An Evaluation of the First Year of Harvard's Financial Aid Initiative Downloads
Christopher Avery, Caroline Hoxby, C. Kirabo Jackson, Kaitlin Burek, Glenn Pope and Mridula Raman
12028: Durable Goods and Conformity Downloads
Christopher House and Emre Ozdenoren
12027: The Effects of Entry on Incumbent Innovation and Productivity Downloads
Philippe Aghion, Richard Blundell, Rachel Griffith, Peter Howitt and Susanne Prantl
12026: The Dog That Did Not Bark: A Defense of Return Predictability Downloads
John Cochrane
12025: Geographic Spillover of Unionism Downloads
Thomas Holmes
12024: Pervasive Stickiness (Expanded Version) Downloads
N. Gregory Mankiw and Ricardo Reis
12023: India's Patterns of Development: What Happened, What Follows Downloads
Kalpana Kochhar, Utsav Kumar, Raghuram Rajan and Arvind Subramanian
12022: The Time Varying Volatility of Macroeconomic Fluctuations Downloads
Alejandro Justiniano and Giorgio Primiceri
12021: Does Television Rot Your Brain? New Evidence from the Coleman Study Downloads
Matthew Gentzkow and Jesse Shapiro
12020: Valuation in Over-the-Counter Markets Downloads
Darrell Duffie, Nicolae Garleanu and Lasse Pedersen
12019: Ugly Criminals Downloads
Naci Mocan and Erdal Tekin
12018: Bias Corrected Estimates of GED Returns Downloads
James Heckman and Paul LaFontaine
12017: Optimal Value and Growth Tilts in Long-Horizon Portfolios Downloads
Jakub W. Jurek and Luis Viceira
12016: Surplus Appropriation from R&D and Health Care Technology Assessment Procedures Downloads
Tomas Philipson and Anupam Jena
12015: Do Hot Hands Exist Among Hedge Fund Managers? An Empirical Evaluation Downloads
Ravi Jagannathan, Alexey Malakhov and Dmitry Novikov
12014: Optimal Market Timing Downloads
Xuenan Li, Dmitry Livdan and Lu Zhang
12013: Estimating Static Models of Strategic Interaction Downloads
Patrick Bajari, Han Hong, John Krainer and Denis Nekipelov
12012: State Casket Sales and Restrictions: A Pointless Undertaking? Downloads
Judith Chevalier and Fiona Scott Morton
12011: A Short Note on the Size of the Dot-Com Bubble Downloads
James DeLong and Konstantin Magin
12010: Piracy on the Silver Screen Downloads
Rafael Rob and Joel Waldfogel
12009: The Importance of Default Options for Retirement Savings Outcomes: Evidence from the United States Downloads
John Beshears, James Choi, David Laibson and Brigitte Madrian
12008: Perverse Incentives in the Medicare Prescription Drug Benefit Downloads
David McAdams and Michael Schwarz
12007: Trends in Intergenerational Income Mobility Downloads
Chul-In Lee and Gary Solon
12006: The Effects of Cognitive and Noncognitive Abilities on Labor Market Outcomes and Social Behavior Downloads
James Heckman, Jora Stixrud and Sergio Urzua
12005: Is Spanish-Only Schooling Responsible for the Puerto Rican Language Gap? Downloads
Joshua Angrist, Aimee Chin and Ricardo Godoy
12004: Typically Unobserved Variables (TUVs) and Selection into Prenatal Inputs: Implications for Estimating Infant Health Production Functions Downloads
Nancy E. Reichman, Hope Corman, Kelly Noonan and Dhaval Dave
12003: Incarceration Length, Employment, and Earnings Downloads
Jeffrey Kling
12002: Time to Eat: Household Production Under Increasing Income Inequality Downloads
Daniel Hamermesh
12001: Regulating Advertisements: The Case of Smoking Cessation Products Downloads
Rosemary J. Avery, Donald Kenkel, Dean R. Lillard and Alan Mathios
12000: Equilibrium Exhaustible Resource Price Dynamics Downloads
Murray Carlson, Zeigham Khokher and Sheridan Titman
11999: Does Culture Affect Economic Outcomes? Downloads
Paola Sapienza, Luigi Zingales and Luigi Guiso
11998: Short, Medium, and Long Term Consequences of Poor Infant Health: An Analysis using Siblings and Twins Downloads
Philip Oreopoulos, Mark Stabile, Randy Walld and Leslie Roos
11997: How Rapidly Does Science Leak Out? Downloads
James Adams, J. Roger Clemmons and Paula Stephan
11996: An Equilibrium Model of "Global Imbalances" and Low Interest Rates Downloads
Ricardo Caballero, Emmanuel Farhi and Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas
11995: Valuing Consumer Products by the Time Spent Using Them: An Application to the Internet Downloads
Austan Goolsbee and Pete Klenow
11994: The Value of Broadband and the Deadweight Loss of Taxing New Technology Downloads
Austan Goolsbee
11993: Democracy and Development: The Devil in the Details Downloads
Torsten Persson and Guido Tabellini
11992: Growth, Initial Conditions, Law and Speed of Privatization in Transition Countries: 11 Years Later Downloads
Sergio Godoy and Joseph Stiglitz
11991: Vying for Foreign Direct Investment: A EU-type Model of Tax Competition Downloads
Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka
11990: The Roles of High School Completion and GED Receipt in Smoking and Obesity Downloads
Donald Kenkel, Dean R. Lillard and Alan Mathios
11989: Diagnosing Discrimination: Stock Returns and CEO Gender Downloads
Justin Wolfers
11988: How's Your Government? International Evidence Linking Good Government and Well-Being Downloads
John Helliwell and Haifang Huang
11987: Measurement Error, Legalized Abortion, and the Decline in Crime: A Response to Foote and Goetz (2005) Downloads
John Donohue and Steven Levitt
11986: The Polarization of the U.S. Labor Market Downloads
David Autor, Lawrence Katz and Melissa Kearney
11985: People People: Social Capital and the Labor-Market Outcomes of Underrepresented Groups Downloads
Lex Borghans, Bas ter Weel and Bruce Weinberg
11984: Life is Cheap: Using Mortality Bonds to Hedge Aggregate Mortality Risk Downloads
Leora Friedberg and Anthony Webb
11983: Securitization and the Declining Impact of Bank Finance on Loan Supply: Evidence from Mortgage Acceptance Rates Downloads
Elena Loutskina and Philip E. Strahan
11982: Uses and Abuses of Empirical Evidence in the Death Penalty Debate Downloads
John Donohue and Justin Wolfers
11981: Consumer Boycotts: The Impact of the Iraq War on French Wine Sales in the U.S Downloads
Larry Chavis and Phillip Leslie
11980: The U.S. Health Care System and Labor Markets Downloads
Brigitte Madrian
11979: Reducing the Complexity Costs of 401(k) Participation Through Quick Enrollment(TM) Downloads
James Choi, David Laibson and Brigitte Madrian
11978: Comparing the Point Predictions and Subjective Probability Distributions of Professional Forecasters Downloads
Joseph Engelberg, Charles Manski and Jared Williams
11977: The Health Care Safety Net and Crowd-Out of Private Health Insurance Downloads
Anthony T. Lo Sasso and Bruce Meyer
11976: Consumption, Income, and Material Well-Being After Welfare Reform Downloads
Bruce Meyer and James Sullivan
11975: Health Insurance and the Wage Gap Downloads
Helen Levy
11974: Lifecycle Asset Allocation Strategies and the Distribution of 401(k) Retirement Wealth Downloads
James Poterba, Joshua Rauh, Steven Venti and David Wise
11973: Capital Controls: An Evaluation Downloads
Nicolas Magud and Carmen Reinhart
11972: The Median Voter and the Median Consumer: Local Private Goods and Residential Sorting Downloads
Joel Waldfogel
11971: A Phillips Curve with an Ss Foundation Downloads
Mark Gertler and John Leahy
11970: Incentives and Effort in the Public Sector: Have U.S. Education Reforms Increased Teachers' Work Hours? Downloads
Christiana Stoddard and Peter Kuhn
11969: From Forced Busing to Free Choice in Public Schools: Quasi-Experimental Evidence of Individual and General Effects Downloads
Victor Lavy
11968: Examining the Effect of the Earned Income Tax Credit on the Labor Market Participation of Families on Welfare Downloads
V. Joseph Hotz and John Scholz
11967: Private Information, Wage Bargaining and Employment Fluctuations Downloads
John Kennan
11966: Lessons From the Debt-Deflation Theory of Sudden Stops Downloads
Enrique Mendoza
11965: Changing the Boston School Choice Mechanism Downloads
Atila Abdulkadiroglu, Parag Pathak, Alvin Roth and Tayfun Sönmez
11964: Household Ownership of Variable Annuities Downloads
Jeffrey Brown and James Poterba
11963: The Determinants of Mortality Downloads
David Cutler, Angus Deaton and Adriana Lleras-Muney
11962: Multi-Period Corporate Default Prediction With Stochastic Covariates Downloads
Darrell Duffie, Leandro Siata and Ke Wang
11961: Common Failings: How Corporate Defaults are Correlated Downloads
Sanjiv Das, Darrell Duffie, Nikunj Kapadia and Leandro Saita
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