NBER Working Papers

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30211: u* = √uv

Pascal Michaillat and Emmanuel Saez

30210: Fed Implied Market Prices and Risk Premia

Charles Calomiris, Joanna Harris, Harry Mamaysky and Cristina Tessari

30209: Officer-Involved: The Media Language of Police Killings

Jonathan Moreno-Medina, Aurelie Ouss, Patrick Bayer and Bocar A. Ba

30208: Waivers for the Public Service Loan Forgiveness Program: Who Would Benefit from Takeup?

Diego A. Briones, Nathaniel Ruby and Sarah Turner

30207: Local Projections vs. VARs: Lessons From Thousands of DGPs

Dake Li, Mikkel Plagborg-Moller and Christian Wolf

30206: How Did Federal Aid to States and Localities Affect Testing and Vaccine Delivery?

Jeffrey Clemens, Philip G. Hoxie, John Kearns and Stan Veuger

30205: The Quality of Financial Advice: What Influences Client Recommendations?

Philippe d'Astous, Irina Gemmo and Pierre-Carl Michaud

30204: Persecution and Migrant Self-Selection: Evidence from the Collapse of the Communist Bloc

Ran Abramitzky, Travis Baseler and Isabelle Sin

30203: Shareholder Power and the Decline of Labor

Antonio Falato, Hyunseob Kim and Till von Wachter

30202: Economic vs. Epidemiological Approaches to Measuring the Human Capital Impacts of Infectious Disease Elimination

Caroline Chuard, Hannes Schwandt, Alexander D. Becker and Masahiko Haraguchi

30201: Effects of Restrictive Abortion Legislation on Cohort Mortality Evidence from 19th Century Law Variation

Joanna Lahey and Marianne Wanamaker

30200: Dependent Coverage and Parental "Job Lock": Evidence from the Affordable Care Act

Hannah Bae, Katherine Meckel and Maggie Shi

30199: Optimal Income Taxation

Louis Kaplow

30198: Decomposing Trends in U.S. Air Pollution Disparities from Electricity

Danae Hernandez-Cortes, Kyle Meng and Paige E. Weber

30197: The Shift to Remote Work Lessens Wage-Growth Pressures

Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Steven Davis, Brent Meyer and Emil Mihaylov

30196: Is GDP Becoming Obsolete? The “Beyond GDP” Debate

Charles R. Hulten and Leonard Nakamura

30195: Crash Narratives

William Goetzmann, Dasol Kim and Robert J. Shiller

30194: An Evaluation of a National Program to Reduce Student Absenteeism in High School

Michael Baker, Nina Drange and Hege Marie Gjefsen

30193: Price Setting with Strategic Complementarities as a Mean Field Game

Fernando E. Alvarez, Francesco Lippi and Takis Souganidis

30192: Expanding Capacity for Vaccines Against Covid-19 and Future Pandemics: A Review of Economic Issues

Susan Athey, Juan Castillo, Esha Chaudhuri, Michael Kremer, Alexandre Simoes Gomes and Christopher Snyder

30191: On the Role of Learning, Human Capital, and Performance Incentives for Wages

Braz Camargo, Fabian Lange and Elena Pastorino

30190: Why Does Right-to-Carry Cause Violent Crime to Increase?

John Donohue, Samuel V. Cai, Matthew V. Bondy and Philip J Cook

30189: Mechanism Design Approaches to Blockchain Consensus

Joshua Gans and Richard T. Holden

30188: Globalization, Trade Imbalances and Inequality

Rafael Dix-Carneiro and Sharon Traiberman

30187: Aggregate Lapsation Risk

Ralph Koijen, Hae Kang Lee and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

30186: The Effect of Labor Market Liberalization on Political Behavior and Free Market Norms

Ran Abramitzky, Netanel Ben-Porath, Shahar Lahad, Victor Lavy and Michal Palgi

30185: Excess Savings and Twin Deficits: The Transmission of Fiscal Stimulus in Open Economies

Rishabh Aggarwal, Adrien Auclert, Matthew Rognlie and Ludwig Straub

30184: Labor Supply and the Pension-Contribution Link

Eric French, Attila S. Lindner, Cormac O'Dea and Tom A. Zawisza

30183: The Political Polarization of Corporate America

Vyacheslav Fos, Elisabeth Kempf and Margarita Tsoutsoura

30182: Politics At Work

Emanuele Colonnelli, Valdemar Pinho Neto and Edoardo Teso

30181: Uncharted Waters: Effects of Maritime Emission Regulation

Jamie Hansen-Lewis and Michelle M. Marcus

30180: Industrial Robots, Workers' Safety, and Health

Rania Gihleb, Osea Giuntella, Luca Stella and Tianyi Wang

30179: Failing Just Fine: Assessing Careers of Venture Capital-backed Entrepreneurs Via a Non-Wage Measure

Natee Amornsiripanitch, Paul Gompers, George Hu, Will Levinson and Vladimir Mukharlyamov

30178: Labor Market Effects of Short-Cycle Higher Education Programs: Lessons from Colombia

Maria Marta Ferreyra, Camila Galindo and Sergio S. Urzúa

30177: Prediction Machines, Insurance, and Protection: An Alternative Perspective on AI's Role in Production

Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans and Avi Goldfarb

30176: The Geography of Child Penalties and Gender Norms: A Pseudo-Event Study Approach

Henrik Kleven

30175: Determinants of Health Insurance Enrollment and Health Expenditure in Ghana: An Empirical Analysis

Kwame Adjei-Mantey and Charles Yuji Horioka

30174: The Quality of Lower-Track Education: Evidence from Britain

Damon Clark

30173: A Shot at Economic Prosperity: Long-term Effects of India’s Childhood Immunization Program on Earnings and Consumption Expenditure

Amit Summan, Arindam Nandi and David Bloom

30172: Preparing for the (Non-Existent?) Future of Work

Anton Korinek and Megan Juelfs

30171: Age and the labor market for Hispanics in the United States

Joanna Lahey and Roberto Mosquera

30170: Machine Learning Can Predict Shooting Victimization Well Enough to Help Prevent It

Sara B. Heller, Benjamin Jakubowski, Zubin Jelveh and Max Kapustin

30169: Getting to the Core: Inflation Risks Within and Across Asset Classes

Xiang Fang, Yang Liu and Nikolai Roussanov

30168: Was Pandemic Fiscal Relief Effective Fiscal Stimulus? Evidence from Aid to State and Local Governments

Jeffrey Clemens, Philip G. Hoxie and Stan Veuger

30167: Surveillance of Repression: Theory and Implementation

Veli Andirin, Yusuf Neggers, Mehdi Shadmehr and Jesse M. Shapiro

30166: Fighting Communism Supporting Collusion

Sebastian Galiani, Jose Manuel Paz y Miño and Gustavo Torrens

30165: The Fertility Consequences of Air Pollution in China

Xuwen Gao, Ran Song and Christopher Timmins

30164: Public Pension Reforms and Retirement Decisions: Narrative Evidence and Aggregate Implications

Huixin Bi and Sarah Zubairy

30163: The Size and Census Coverage of the U.S. Homeless Population

Bruce Meyer, Angela Wyse and Kevin Corinth

30162: The Costs of Job Displacement over the Business Cycle and Its Sources: Evidence from Germany

Johannes Schmieder, Till von Wachter and Jörg Heining

30161: Investing with the Government: A Field Experiment in China

Emanuele Colonnelli, Bo Li and Ernest Liu

30160: The Big Tech Lending Model

Lei Liu, Guangli Lu and Wei Xiong

30159: Is Our Fiscal System Discouraging Marriage? A New Look at the Marriage Tax

Elias Ilin, Laurence Kotlikoff and Melinda Pitts

30158: Heterogeneous Returns to Active Labour Market Programs for Indigenous Populations

Donna Feir, Kelly Foley and Maggie Jones

30157: Moral Universalism: Global Evidence

Alexander Cappelen, Benjamin Enke and Bertil Tungodden

30156: Estimating the Effect of Easements on Agricultural Production

Nicole Karwowski

30155: NIH Grant Expansion, Ancestral Diversity and Scientific Discovery in Genomics Research

Wei Fu, Shin-Yi Chou and Li-San Wang

30154: Inefficient Automation

Martin Beraja and Nathan Zorzi

30153: Climate Change and Downstream Water Quality in Agricultural Production: The Case of Nutrient Runoff to the Gulf of Mexico

Levan Elbakidze, Yuelu Xu, Philip Gassman, Jeffrey G. Arnold and Haw Yen

30152: Unemployment Insurance, Starting Salaries, and Jobs

Gordon Dahl and Matthew Knepper

30151: Tax Knowledge and Tax Manipulation: A Unifying Model

Ashley Craig and Joel Slemrod

30150: Strategic Investment under Uncertainty with First- and Second-mover Advantages

Min Dai, Zhaoli Jiang and Neng Wang

30149: Four Facts about Human Capital

David Deming

30148: Take-up of Social Benefits

Wonsik Ko and Robert Moffitt

30147: The Returns to Face-to-Face Interactions: Knowledge Spillovers in Silicon Valley

David Atkin, M. Keith Chen and Anton Popov

30146: Estimating Discrete Games with Many Firms and Many Decisions: An Application to Merger and Product Variety

Ying Fan and Chenyu Yang

30145: Intangible Marketing Capital

Bart Bronnenberg, Jean-Pierre H. Dubé and Chad Syverson

30144: Bottlenecks for Evidence Adoption

Stefano DellaVigna, Woojin Kim and Elizabeth Linos

30143: Growing Apart: Declining Within- and Across-Locality Insurance in Rural China

Orazio Attanasio, Costas Meghir, Corina Mommaerts and Yu Zheng

30142: Policy Diffusion and Polarization across U.S. States

Stefano DellaVigna and Woojin Kim

30141: Health Care Centralization: The Health Impacts of Obstetric Unit Closures in the US

Stefanie Fischer, Heather Royer and Corey White

30140: An Equilibrium Model of the Impact of Increased Public Investment in Early Childhood Education

Jonathan Borowsky, Jessica H. Brown, Elizabeth Davis, Chloe Gibbs, Chris M. Herbst, Aaron Sojourner, Erdal Tekin and Matthew Wiswall

30139: Vaccination Policy, Delayed Care, and Health Expenditures

Erkmen Aslim, Wei Fu, Chia-Lun Liu and Erdal Tekin

30138: Targeting Impact versus Deprivation

Johannes Haushofer, Paul Niehaus, Carlos Paramo, Edward Miguel and Michael Walker

30137: Adapting to Flood Risk: Evidence from a Panel of Global Cities

Sahil Gandhi, Matthew Kahn, Rajat Kochhar, Somik Lall and Vaidehi Tandel

30136: Measuring Human Capital

Katharine Abraham and Justine Mallatt

30135: Historical Newspaper Data: A Researcher’s Guide and Toolkit

Brian Beach and W Hanlon

30134: Temporary Layoffs, Loss-of-Recall and Cyclical Unemployment Dynamics

Mark Gertler, Christopher K. Huckfeldt and Antonella Trigari

30133: Cognitive Endurance as Human Capital

Christina Brown, Supreet Kaur, Geeta Kingdon and Heather Schofield

30132: A Monetary Policy Asset Pricing Model

Ricardo Caballero and Alp Simsek

30131: Financing Infrastructure in the Shadow of Expropriation

Viral Acharya, Cecilia Parlatore and Suresh Sundaresan

30130: Discrete-Choice Models and Representative Consumer Theory

Jean-Pierre H. Dubé, Joonhwi Joo and Kyeongbae Kim

30129: The Distributional Impacts of a VMT-Gas Tax Swap

Gilbert Metcalf

30128: Risk Pooling and Precautionary Saving in Village Economies

Marcel Fafchamps and Aditya Shrinivas

30127: Structural Change Within versus Across Firms: Evidence from the United States

Xiang Ding, Teresa Fort, Stephen Redding and Peter K. Schott

30126: Accelerating Vaccine Innovation for Emerging Infectious Diseases via Parallel Discovery

Joseph Barberio, Jacob Becraft, Zied Ben Chaouch, Dimitris Bertsimas, Tasuku Kitada, Michael Lingzhi Li, Andrew Lo, Kevin Shi and Qingyang Xu

30125: The Impact of Minority Representation at Mortgage Lenders

W Frame, Ruidi Huang, Erik J. Mayer and Adi Sunderam

30124: Nutrient Pollution and U.S. Agriculture: Causal Effects, Integrated Assessment, and Implications of Climate Change

Konstantinos Metaxoglou and Aaron Smith

30123: A National Estimate of Irrigation Canal Lining and Piping Water Conservation

R. Aaron Hrozencik, Nicholas A. Potter and Steven Wallander

30122: Cover Crops, Drought, Yield and Risk: an Analysis of U.S. Soybean Production

Fengxia Dong

30121: Weather, Climate, and Technology Adoption: An Application to Drought-Tolerant Corn in the United States

Jonathan R. McFadden, David J. Smith and Steven Wallander

30120: (Co-)Working in Close Proximity: Knowledge Spillovers and Social Interactions

Maria P. Roche, Alexander Oettl and Christian Catalini

30119: Globalization, Fertility and Marital Behavior in a Lowest-Low Fertility Setting

Osea Giuntella, Lorenzo Rotunno and Luca Stella

30118: How Undervalued is the Covid-19 Vaccine? Evidence from Discrete Choice Experiments and VSL Benchmarks

Patrick Carlin, Brian E. Dixon, Kosali I. Simon, Ryan Sullivan and Coady Wing

30117: Escaping Secular Stagnation with Unconventional Monetary Policy

Luba Petersen and Ryan Rholes

30116: Comparing Past and Present Inflation

Marijn Bolhuis, Judd N. L. Cramer and Lawrence H. Summers

30115: Factors Influencing the Choice of Pension Distribution at Retirement

Robert L. Clark and Olivia Mitchell

30114: The Race Between Tax Enforcement and Tax Planning: Evidence From a Natural Experiment in Chile

Sebastián Bustos, Dina Pomeranz, Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato, José Vila-Belda and Gabriel Zucman

30113: Who Benefits from Meritocracy?

Diana Moreira and Santiago Perez

30112: Mothers as Insurance: Family Spillovers in WIC

Marianne Bitler, Janet Currie, Hilary W. Hoynes, Krista Ruffini, Lisa Schulkind and Barton Willage