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NBER Working Papers

From National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A..
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30762: Designing Randomized Controlled Trials with External Validity in Mind Downloads
Sylvain Chassang and Samuel Kapon
30761: Missing Data in Asset Pricing Panels Downloads
Joachim Freyberger, Björn Höppner, Andreas Neuhierl and Michael Weber
30760: The Stench of Failure: How Perception Affects House Prices Downloads
Kristle Cortes, Mandeep Singh, David H. Solomon and Philip Strahan
30759: Wellbeing Rankings Downloads
David Blanchflower and Alex Bryson
30758: Does Performance Pay Enhance Social Accountability? Evidence from Remote Schools in Indonesia Downloads
Arya Gaduh, Menno Pradhan, Jan Priebe and Dewi Susanti
30757: Public Information as a Source of Disagreement Among Shareholders Downloads
Laurent Bouton, Aniol Llorente-Saguer, Antonin Macé, Adam Meirowitz, Shaoting Pi and Dimitrios Xefteris
30756: Using Machine Learning for Efficient Flexible Regression Adjustment in Economic Experiments Downloads
John List, Ian Muir and Gregory K. Sun
30755: Optimal Gradualism Downloads
Nils Haakon Lehr and Pascual Restrepo
30754: Dissecting the Sinews of Power: International Trade and the Rise of Britain’s Fiscal-Military State, 1689-1823 Downloads
Ernesto Dal Bó, Karolina Hutková, Lukas Leucht and Noam Yuchtman
30753: Non-Fundamental Flows and Foreign Exchange Rates Downloads
Felipe E. Aldunate, Zhi Da, Borja Larrain and Clemens Sialm
30752: The 15-Minute City Quantified Using Mobility Data Downloads
Timur Abbiasov, Cate Heine, Edward Glaeser, Carlo Ratti, Sadegh Sabouri, Arianna Salazar Miranda and Paolo Santi
30751: Monetary Policy When the Central Bank Shapes Financial-Market Sentiment Downloads
Anil Kashyap and Jeremy Stein
30750: Hispanic Americans in the Labor Market: Patterns Over Time and Across Generations Downloads
Francisca Antman, Brian Duncan and Stephen Trejo
30749: Quantifying the Costs and Benefits of Quantitative Easing Downloads
Andrew Levin, Brian L. Lu and William R. Nelson
30748: The Disappearing Index Effect Downloads
Robin Greenwood and Marco C. Sammon
30747: Children and Grandchildren of Union Army Veterans: New Data Collections to Study the Persistence of Longevity and Socioeconomic Status Across Generations Downloads
Dora Costa, CoraLee Lewis and Noelle Yetter
30746: How Regressive are Mobility-Related User Fees and Gasoline Taxes? Downloads
Edward Glaeser, Caitlin S. Gorback and James Poterba
30745: The Cost of Imbalance in Clinical Trials Downloads
Sylvain Chassang and Rong Feng
30744: Industrial Clusters in the Long Run: Evidence from Million-Rouble Plants in China Downloads
Stephan Heblich, Marlon Seror, Hao Xu and Yanos Zylberberg
30743: The Effect of Financial Resources on Homeownership, Marriage, and Fertility: Evidence from State Lotteries Downloads
George Bulman, Sarena Goodman and Adam Isen
30742: Immigration and Work Schedules: Theory and Evidence Downloads
Timothy Bond, Osea Giuntella and Jakub Lonsky
30741: The Employment Effects of Mobile Internet in Developing Countries Downloads
Gaurav Chiplunkar and Pinelopi Goldberg
30740: When do "Nudges" Increase Welfare? Downloads
Hunt Allcott, Daniel Cohen, William Morrison and Dmitry Taubinsky
30739: The Impact of Paid Family Leave on Families with Health Shocks Downloads
Courtney Coile, Maya Rossin-Slater and Amanda Su
30738: A Theory of Gross and Net Capital Flows over the Global Financial Cycle Downloads
Jonathan Davis and Eric van Wincoop
30737: Do Foreign Yield Curves Predict U.S. Recessions and GDP Growth? Downloads
Rashad Ahmed and Menzie Chinn
30736: How Abundant Are Reserves? Evidence from the Wholesale Payment System Downloads
Gara Afonso, Darrell Duffie, Lorenzo Rigon and Hyun Song Shin
30735: Why Transform Y? A Critical Assessment of Dependent-Variable Transformations in Regression Models for Skewed and Sometimes-Zero Outcomes Downloads
John Mullahy and Edward Norton
30734: Productivity and Wages: What Was the Productivity-Wage Link in the Digital Revolution of the Past, and What Might Occur in the AI Revolution of the Future? Downloads
Edward Lazear, Kathryn Shaw, Grant E. Hayes and James M. Jedras
30733: Corporate Decision-Making under Uncertainty: Review and Future Research Directions Downloads
Murillo Campello and Gaurav Kankanhalli
30732: When Will Arctic Sea Ice Disappear? Projections of Area, Extent, Thickness, and Volume Downloads
Francis Diebold, Glenn Rudebusch, Maximilian Göbel, Philippe Goulet Coulombe and Boyuan Zhang
30731: State-Building in a Diverse Society Downloads
Ruth Carlitz, Ameet Morjaria, Joris M. Mueller and Philip Osafo-Kwaako
30730: Managers and the Management of Organizations Downloads
John Roberts and Kathryn Shaw
30729: Foreign and Domestic Firms: Long Run Employment Effects of Export Opportunities Downloads
Brian McCaig, Nina Pavcnik and Woan Foong Wong
30728: Private Sanctions Downloads
Oliver Hart, David Thesmar and Luigi Zingales
30727: A Fiscal Theory of Persistent Inflation Downloads
Francesco Bianchi, Renato Faccini and Leonardo Melosi
30726: Noise-Robust De-Duplication at Scale Downloads
Emily Silcock, Luca D'Amico-Wong, Jinglin Yang and Melissa Dell
30725: The Importance of Modeling Income Taxes Over time. U.S. Reforms and Outcomes Downloads
Margherita Borella, Mariacristina De Nardi, Michael Pak, Nicolo Russo and Fang Yang
30724: Wage Garnishment in the United States: New Facts from Administrative Payroll Records Downloads
Anthony DeFusco, Brandon M. Enriquez and Margaret B. Yellen
30723: Are Retirement Planning Tools Substitutes or Complements to Financial Capability? Downloads
Gopi Goda, Matthew R. Levy, Colleen Flaherty Manchester, Aaron Sojourner, Joshua Tasoff and Jiusi Xiao
30722: Preferred Habitats and Timing in the World’s Safe Asset Downloads
Alexandra M. Tabova and Francis E. Warnock
30721: Mutual Fund Revenue Sharing in 401(k) Plans Downloads
Veronika K. Pool, Clemens Sialm and Irina Stefanescu
30720: The Macroeconomic Implications of US Market Power in Safe Assets Downloads
Jason Choi, Rishabh Kirpalani and Diego J. Perez
30719: Adverse Selection and Network Design Under Regulated Plan Prices: Evidence from Medicaid Downloads
Amanda Kreider, Timothy Layton, Mark Shepard and Jacob Wallace
30718: Corporate Governance Implications of the Growth in Indexing Downloads
Alon Brav, Nadya Malenko and Andrey Malenko
30717: Missing Workers and Missing Jobs Since the Pandemic Downloads
Bart Hobijn and Aysegul Sahin
30716: Tax-Loss Harvesting with Cryptocurrencies Downloads
Lin Cong, Wayne Landsman, Edward Maydew and Daniel Rabetti
30715: Heads Up: Does Air Pollution Cause Workplace Accidents? Downloads
Victor Lavy, Genia Rachkovski and Omry Yoresh
30714: Preferences, Inequities, and Incentives in the Substitute Teacher Labor Market Downloads
Matthew Kraft, Megan Lane Conklin and Grace T. Falken
30713: Pros and Cons of Globalization: Income-Based Attitudes Downloads
Assaf Razin
30712: Regulatory Incentives for Innovation: The FDA's Breakthrough Therapy Designation Downloads
Amitabh Chandra, Jennifer Kao, Kathleen L. Miller and Ariel D. Stern
30711: The Impact of School Spending on Civic Engagement: Evidence from School Finance Reforms Downloads
Erdal Asker, Eric Brunner and Stephen Ross
30710: Cultural Stereotypes of Multinational Banks Downloads
Barry Eichengreen and Orkun Saka
30709: Central Bank Digital Currencies, an Old Tale With a New Chapter Downloads
Michael Bordo and William Roberds
30708: Demand for ESG Downloads
Malcolm Baker, Mark L. Egan and Suproteem K. Sarkar
30707: How do Workers and Households Adjust to Robots? Evidence from China Downloads
Osea Giuntella, Yi Lu and Tianyi Wang
30706: (Un)Conventional Monetary and Fiscal Policy Downloads
Jing Cynthia Wu and Yinxi Xie
30705: Economic Research on Privacy Regulation: Lessons from the GDPR and Beyond Downloads
Garrett Johnson
30704: Scaling Agricultural Policy Interventions Downloads
Lauren F. Bergquist, Benjamin Faber, Thibault Fally, Matthias Hoelzlein, Edward Miguel and Andres Rodriguez-Clare
30703: A Quantity-Based Approach to Constructing Climate Risk Hedge Portfolios Downloads
Georgij Alekseev, Stefano Giglio, Quinn Maingi, Julia Selgrad and Johannes Stroebel
30702: Regulating Untaxable Externalities: Are Vehicle Air Pollution Standards Effective and Efficient? Downloads
Mark R. Jacobsen, James Sallee, Joseph Shapiro and Arthur A. van Benthem
30701: What Do Changes in State Test Scores Imply for Later Life Outcomes? Downloads
Elena Doty, Thomas J. Kane, Tyler Patterson and Doug Staiger
30700: Using Measures of Race to Make Clinical Predictions: Decision Making, Patient Health, and Fairness Downloads
Charles Manski, John Mullahy and Atheendar Venkataramani
30699: Picking Winners? Government Subsidies and Firm Productivity in China Downloads
Lee Branstetter, Guangwei Li and Mengjia Ren
30698: Taxes and the Labor Supply of the Stars Downloads
Daniel Keniston and Abigail Allison M. Peralta
30697: How do Behavioral Approaches to Increase Savings Compare? Evidence from Multiple Interventions in the U.S. Army Downloads
Richard Patterson and William Skimmyhorn
30696: Financial Regret at Older Ages and Longevity Awareness Downloads
Abigail Hurwitz and Olivia Mitchell
30695: Internal Adjustment Costs of Firm-Specific Factors and the Neoclassical Theory of the Firm Downloads
V.K. Chetty and James Heckman
30694: Measuring Religion from Behavior: Climate Shocks and Religious Adherence in Afghanistan Downloads
Oeindrila Dube, Joshua Blumenstock and Michael Callen
30693: Maternal and Infant Health Inequality: New Evidence from Linked Administrative Data Downloads
Kate Kennedy-Moulton, Sarah Miller, Petra Persson, Maya Rossin-Slater, Laura Wherry and Gloria Aldana
30692: Inflation Hedging on Main Street? Evidence from Retail TIPS Fund Flows Downloads
Stefan Nagel and Zhen Yan
30691: The Cost of Regulatory Compliance in the United States Downloads
Francesco Trebbi and Miao Ben Zhang
30690: Money (Not) to Burn: Payments for Ecosystem Services to Reduce Crop Residue Burning Downloads
B. Kelsey Jack, Seema Jayachandran, Namrata Kala and Rohini Pande
30689: Supply Chain Resilience: Evidence from Indian Firms Downloads
Gaurav Khanna, Nicolas Morales and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar
30688: Predictable Price Pressure Downloads
Samuel M. Hartzmark and David H. Solomon
30687: Employee Evaluation and Skill Investments: Evidence from Public School Teachers Downloads
Eric S. Taylor
30686: Teachers’ Use of Class Time and Student Achievement Downloads
Simon Burgess, Shenila Rawal and Eric S. Taylor
30685: Families, Labor Markets, and Policy Downloads
Stefania Albanesi, Claudia Olivetti and Barbara Petrongolo
30684: The Impact of Oil and Gas Extraction on Infant Health Downloads
Elaine Hill
30683: Responsible Sourcing? Theory and Evidence from Costa Rica Downloads
Alonso Alfaro-Ureña, Benjamin Faber, Cecile Gaubert, Isabela Manelici and Jose Vasquez
30682: Funding Black High-Growth Startups Downloads
Lisa Cook, Matt Marx and Emmanuel Yimfor
30681: International Climate Agreements and the Scream of Greta Downloads
Giovanni Maggi and Robert Staiger
30680: Overcoming Behavioral Impediments to Maternal Care: Experimental Evidence on Domain Knowledge and Nudgeability from Recalcitrant Pakistan Downloads
Musharraf R. Cyan, Resul Cesur, Yasin Civelek, Bauyrzhan Yedgenov and Richard Rothenberg
30679: Cognitive Decline and Dynamic Selection Downloads
Michael Darden
30678: On the Geographic Implications of Carbon Taxes Downloads
Bruno Conte, Klaus Desmet and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg
30677: Subjective Evaluations and Stratification in Graduate Education Downloads
Jessica Bai, Matthew Esche, W. Bentley Macleod and Yifan Shi
30676: Does "Made in China 2025" Work for China? Evidence from Chinese Listed Firms Downloads
Lee Branstetter and Guangwei Li
30675: How Much Lifetime Social Security Benefits Are Americans Leaving On the Table? Downloads
David Altig, Laurence Kotlikoff and Victor Yifan Ye
30674: Does War Foster Cooperation or Parochialism? Evidence from a Natural Experiment among Turkish Conscripts Downloads
Arzu Kibris and Resul Cesur
30673: Global Profit Shifting, 1975-2019 Downloads
Ludvig S. Wier and Gabriel Zucman
30672: Scope, Scale and Concentration: The 21st Century Firm Downloads
Gerard Hoberg and Gordon Phillips
30671: Intellectual Property Protection Lost and Competition: An Examination Using Machine Learning Downloads
Utku U. Acikalin, Tolga Caskurlu, Gerard Hoberg and Gordon Phillips
30670: Can Anti-Vaping Policies Curb Drinking Externalities? Evidence from E-Cigarette Taxation and Traffic Fatalities Downloads
Dhaval Dave, Yang Liang, Johanna Maclean, Joseph J. Sabia and Matthew Braaksma
30669: Targeting Precision Medicine: Evidence from Prenatal Screening Downloads
Peter Conner, Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, Petra Persson and Heidi Williams
30668: Distributional Effects of Local Minimum Wages: A Spatial Job Search Approach Downloads
Petra Todd and Weilong Zhang
30667: Should Central Banks Have an Inequality Objective? Downloads
Roberto Chang
30666: US Immigration from Latin America in Historical Perspective Downloads
Gordon Hanson, Pia Orrenius and Madeline Zavodny
30665: Can Information and Advising Affect Postsecondary Participation and Attainment for Non-Traditional Students? Evidence from a Large-Scale Experiment with the U.S. Army Downloads
Andrew C. Barr, Kelli A. Bird, Ben Castleman and William Skimmyhorn
30664: Firm Responses to State Hiring Subsidies: Regression Discontinuity Evidence from a Tax Credit Formula Downloads
Benjamin Hyman, Matthew Freedman, Shantanu Khanna and David Neumark
30663: The Gift of a Lifetime: The Hospital, Modern Medicine, and Mortality Downloads
Alex Hollingsworth, Krzysztof Karbownik, Melissa Thomasson and Anthony Wray
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