NBER Working Papers

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15261: Trade, Foreign Investment, and Industrial Policy for Developing Countries

Ann Harrison and Andres Rodriguez-Clare

15260: The Determinants of Stock and Bond Return Comovements

Lieven Baele, Geert Bekaert and Koen Inghelbrecht

15259: Uncertain Outcomes and Climate Change Policy

Robert Pindyck

15258: What - or Who - Started the Great Depression?

Lee Ohanian

15257: Consumption and Labor Supply with Partial Insurance: An Analytical Framework

Jonathan Heathcote, Kjetil Storesletten and Giovanni Violante

15256: Estimating Causal Effects of Early Occupational Choice on Later Health: Evidence Using the PSID

Jason Fletcher and Jody L. Sindelar

15255: Accounting for Incomplete Pass-Through

Emi Nakamura and Dawit Zerom

15254: Aggregate Implications of Micro Asset Market Segmentation

Chris Edmond and Pierre-Olivier Weill

15253: Position Auctions with Consumer Search

Susan Athey and Glenn Ellison

15252: Aggregate Labor Market Outcomes: The Role of Choice and Chance

Per Krusell, Toshihiko Mukoyama, Richard Rogerson and Aysegul Sahin

15251: A Three State Model of Worker Flows in General Equilibrium

Per Krusell, Toshihiko Mukoyama, Richard Rogerson and Aysegul Sahin

15250: On the Death of Distance and Borders: Evidence from the Nineteenth Century

David Jacks

15249: China's Exporters and Importers: Firms, Products and Trade Partners

Kalina Manova and Zhiwei Zhang

15248: Investment and Capital Constraints: Repatriations Under the American Jobs Creation Act

Michael Faulkender and Mitchell Petersen

15247: On the Size Distribution of Macroeconomic Disasters

Robert Barro and Tao Jin

15246: The Simple Economics of Salience and Taxation

Raj Chetty

15245: Work Disability, Work, and Justification Bias in Europe and the U.S

Arie Kapteyn, James Smith and Arthur van Soest

15244: Trending Current Accounts

Horag Choi and Nelson Mark

15243: A Parsimonious Macroeconomic Model for Asset Pricing

Fatih Guvenen

15242: Screening Peers Softly: Inferring the Quality of Small Borrowers

Rajkamal Iyer, Asim Khwaja, Erzo Luttmer and Kelly Shue

15241: Beyond Testing: Empirical Models of Insurance Markets

Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein and Jonathan Levin

15240: Disasters implied by equity index options

David Backus, Mikhail Chernov and Ian Martin

15239: Who Pays a Price on Carbon?

Corbett Grainger and Charles Kolstad

15238: The Gender Gap in Secondary School Mathematics at High Achievement Levels: Evidence from the American Mathematics Competitions

Glenn Ellison and Ashley Swanson

15237: A Search Cost Model of Obfuscation

Glenn Ellison and Alexander Wolitzky

15236: School Entry, Educational Attainment and Quarter of Birth: A Cautionary Tale of LATE

Rashmi Barua and Kevin Lang

15235: International Differences in Longevity and Health and their Economic Consequences

Pierre-Carl Michaud, Dana Goldman, Darius Lakdawalla, Adam Gailey and Yuhui Zheng

15234: Causality, Structure, and the Uniqueness of Rational Expectations Equilibria

Bennett McCallum

15233: Is the U.S. Losing Its Preeminence in Higher Education?

James Adams

15232: The Impact of Job Stress on Smoking and Quitting: Evidence from the HRS

Padmaja Ayyagari and Jody L. Sindelar

15231: Understanding the Economic Consequences of Shifting Trends in Population Health

Pierre-Carl Michaud, Dana Goldman, Darius Lakdawalla, Yuhui Zheng and Adam Gailey

15230: Political Selection and Persistence of Bad Governments

Daron Acemoglu, Georgy Egorov and Konstantin Sonin

15229: Effects of Venue-Specific State Clean Indoor Air Laws on Smoking-Related Outcomes

Marianne Bitler, Christopher Carpenter and Madeline Zavodny

15228: A Tractable Model of Precautionary Reserves, Net Foreign Assets, or Sovereign Wealth Funds

Christopher Carroll and Olivier Jeanne

15227: Costly Portfolio Adjustment

Yosef Bonaparte and Russell Cooper

15226: Nonparametric Identification and Estimation of Nonadditive Hedonic Models

James Heckman, Rosa Matzkin and Lars Nesheim

15225: Risk, Volatility, and the Global Cross-Section of Growth Rates

Craig Burnside and Alexandra Tabova

15224: Partisan Representation in Congress and the Geographic Distribution of Federal Funds

David Albouy

15223: Securitized Banking and the Run on Repo

Gary Gorton and Andrew Metrick

15222: Asset Return Dynamics under Bad Environment Good Environment Fundamentals

Geert Bekaert and Eric Engstrom

15221: Informal Taxation

Benjamin Olken and Monica Singhal

15220: What is the probability your vote will make a difference?

Andrew Gelman, Nate Silver and Aaron Edlin

15219: The stock market and aggregate employment

Long Chen and Lu Zhang

15218: Why Can Modern Governments Tax So Much? An Agency Model of Firms as Fiscal Intermediaries

Henrik Jacobsen Kleven, Claus Kreiner and Emmanuel Saez

15217: The Americanization of European Higher Education and Research

Lex Borghans and Frank Cörvers

15216: Do Expenditures Other Than Instructional Expenditures Affect Graduation and Persistence Rates in American Higher Education

Douglas Webber and Ronald Ehrenberg

15215: Liquidity and Asset Prices: A Unified Framework

Dimitri Vayanos and Jiang Wang

15214: Input Constraints and the Efficiency of Entry: Lessons from Cardiac Surgery

David Cutler, Robert Huckman and Jonathan Kolstad

15213: Low Life Expectancy in the United States: Is the Health Care System at Fault?

Samuel H. Preston and Jessica Y. Ho

15212: Bank CEO Incentives and the Credit Crisis

Ruediger Fahlenbrach and René Stulz

15211: Evaluating Marginal Policy Changes and the Average Effect of Treatment for Individuals at the Margin

Pedro Carneiro, James Heckman and Edward Vytlacil

15210: A Simple Nonparametric Estimator for the Distribution of Random Coefficients

Patrick Bajari, Jeremy Fox, Kyoo il Kim and Stephen Ryan

15209: Electoral Fraud, the Rise of Peron and Demise of Checks and Balances in Argentina

Lee Alston and Andres Gallo

15208: A New Data Set on Monetary Policy: The Economic Forecasts of Individual Members of the FOMC

David Romer

15207: The Composition Matters: Capital Inflows and Liquidity Crunch during a Global Economic Crisis

Hui Tong and Shang-Jin Wei

15206: Do Some Enterprise Zones Create Jobs?

Jed Kolko and David Neumark

15205: Dynamic Trading with Predictable Returns and Transaction Costs

Nicolae B. Garleanu and Lasse Pedersen

15204: Capital Market Integration and Wages

Anusha Chari, Peter Henry and Diego Sasson

15203: The Effect of OEF/OIF Deployment Intensity on the Rate of Posttraumatic Stress Disorder Among Active Duty Population

Yu-Chu Shen, Jeremy Arkes, Boon Wah Kwan, Lai Yee Tan and Thomas V. Williams

15202: Teaching Students and Teaching Each Other: The Importance of Peer Learning for Teachers

C. Kirabo Jackson and Elias Bruegmann

15201: Anger and Regulation

Rafael Di Tella and Juan Dubra

15200: Estimating Treatment Effects from Contaminated Multi-Period Education Experiments: The Dynamic Impacts of Class Size Reductions

Weili Ding and Steven Lehrer

15199: Measuring Economic Growth from Outer Space

J. Vernon Henderson, Adam Storeygard and David Weil

15198: Markups and firm-level export status

Jan De Loecker and Frédéric Warzynski

15197: Illiquidity and Interest Rate Policy

Douglas Diamond and Raghuram Rajan

15196: International Welfare and Employment Linkages Arising from Minimum Wages

Hartmut Egger, Peter Egger and James Markusen

15195: Why did Countries Adopt the Gold Standard? Lessons from Japan

Kris James Mitchener, Masato Shizume and Marc Weidenmier

15194: Growth in the Shadow of Expropriation

Mark Aguiar and Manuel Amador

15193: Firm Dynamics and Financial Development

Cristina Arellano, Yan Bai and Jing Zhang

15192: A Theory of Firm Decline

Gian Luca Clementi, Thomas Cooley and Sonia Di Giannatale

15191: Dynamic Cost-offsets of Prescription Drug Expenditures: Panel Data Analysis Using a Copula-based Hurdle Model

Partha Deb, Pravin Trivedi and David Zimmer

15190: FORTY YEARS OF LATIN AMERICA'S ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT: From the Alliance for Progress to the Washington Consensus

Sebastian Edwards

15189: Market Selection

Leonid Kogan, Stephen Ross, Jiang Wang and Mark Westerfield

15188: A Factor Analysis of Bond Risk Premia

Sydney Ludvigson and Serena Ng

15187: Estimation of DSGE Models When the Data are Persistent

Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Serena Ng

15186: Social Ties and the Job Search of Recent Immigrants

Deepti Goel and Kevin Lang

15185: Income Misattribution under Formula Apportionment

James Hines

15184: Capital Budgeting vs. Market Timing: An Evaluation Using Demographics

Stefano DellaVigna and Joshua M. Pollet

15183: Product Recalls, Imperfect Information, and Spillover Effects: Lessons from the Consumer Response to the 2007 Toy Recalls

Seth Freedman, Melissa Kearney and Mara Lederman

15182: Empirics on the Origins of Preferences: The Case of College Major and Religiosity

Miles Kimball, Colter M. Mitchell, Arland D. Thornton and Linda C. Young-Demarco

15181: The Under-Reporting of Transfers in Household Surveys: Its Nature and Consequences

Bruce Meyer, Wallace K C Mok and James Sullivan

15180: Why Did Some Banks Perform Better During the Credit Crisis? A Cross-Country Study of the Impact of Governance and Regulation

Andrea Beltratti and René Stulz

15179: A Note on Adapting Propensity Score Matching and Selection Models to Choice Based Samples

James Heckman and Petra Todd

15178: The Long and Short (of) Quality Ladders

Amit Khandelwal

15177: The Effects of the Length of the Tax-Loss Carryback Period on Tax Receipts and Corporate Marginal Tax Rates

John R. Graham and Hyunseob Kim

15176: Insulation Impossible: Fiscal Spillovers in a Monetary Union

Russell Cooper, Hubert Kempf and Dan Peled

15175: Local Dividend Clienteles

Bo Becker, Zoran Ivković and Scott Weisbenner

15174: A Quality-Adjusted Price Index for Colorectal Cancer Drugs

Claudio Lucarelli and Sean Nicholson

15173: Policy Responses to Exchange-Rate Movements

Laurence Ball

15172: WHEN CONSENSUS CHOICE DOMINATES INDIVIDUALISM: Jensen's Inequality and Collective Decisions under Uncertainty

Charles Manski

15171: Latin America's Decline: A Long Historical View

Sebastian Edwards

15170: Market Valuation of Accrued Social Security Benefits

John Geanakoplos and Stephen Zeldes

15169: Rebalancing Growth in Asia

Eswar Prasad

15168: Changing Research Perspectives on the Global Health Workforce

Till Bärnighausen and David Bloom

15167: Subgame Perfect Implementation with Almost Perfect Information and the Hold-Up Problem

Philippe Aghion, Drew Fudenberg and Richard Holden

15166: Heterogeneity and Cyclical Unemployment

Mark Bils, Yongsung Chang and Sun-Bin Kim

15165: Some Unpleasant General Equilibrium Implications of Executive Incentive Compensation Contracts

John B. Donaldson, Natalia Gershun and Marc Giannoni

15164: Selection Stories: Understanding Movement Across Health Plans

David Cutler, Bryan Lincoln and Richard Zeckhauser

15163: Does Health Insurance Make You Fat?

Jay Bhattacharya, Kate Bundorf, Noemi Pace and Neeraj Sood

15162: Automobiles on Steroids: Product Attribute Trade-Offs and Technological Progress in the Automobile Sector

Christopher Knittel