NBER Working Papers

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14161: Estimating Derivatives in Nonseparable Models with Limited Dependent Variables

Joseph Altonji, Hidehiko Ichimura and Taisuke Otsu

14160: Random Walk or A Run: Market Microstructure Analysis of the Foreign Exchange Rate Movements based on Conditional Probability

Yuko Hashimoto, Takatoshi Ito, Takaaki Ohnishi, Misako Takayasu, Hideki Takayasu and Tsutomu Watanabe

14159: Influence, Information Overload, and Information Technology in Health Care

James Rebitzer, Mari Rege and Christopher Shepard

14158: Short Sales and Trade Classification Algorithms

Paul Asquith, Rebecca Oman and Christopher Safaya

14157: The Value of Life in General Equilibrium

Anupam Jena, Casey Mulligan, Tomas Philipson and Eric Sun

14156: Family Leave after Childbirth and the Health of New Mothers

Pinka Chatterji and Sara Markowitz

14155: General Education vs. Vocational Training: Evidence from an Economy in Transition

Ofer Malamud and Cristian Pop-Eleches

14154: The Rise and Fall of the Dollar, or When Did the Dollar Replace Sterling as the Leading International Currency?

Barry Eichengreen and Marc Flandreau

14153: Pricing and Welfare in Health Plan Choice

M. Kate Bundorf, Jonathan Levin and Neale Mahoney

14152: An Institutional Theory of Public Contracts: Regulatory Implications

Pablo Spiller

14151: Macroeconomics and ARCH

James Hamilton

14150: From the New Wave to the New Hollywood: The Life Cycles of Important Movie Directors from Godard and Truffaut to Spielberg and Eastwood

David Galenson and Joshua Kotin

14149: Tax Incentives for Affordable Housing: The Low Income Housing Tax Credit

Mihir A. Desai, Dhammika Dharmapala and Monica Singhal

14148: The Opportunity Cost of Capital of US Buyouts

Alexander Peter Groh and Oliver Gottschalg

14147: Comparing Price and Non-Price Approaches to Urban Water Conservation

Sheila M. Olmstead and Robert Stavins

14146: U.S. Defense Contracts During the Tax Expenditure Battles of the 1980s

Susan Guthrie and James Hines

14145: Executive Compensation: A New View from a Long-Term Perspective, 1936-2005

Carola Frydman and Raven E. Saks

14144: A New Method to Estimate Risk and Return of Non-Traded Assets from Cash Flows: The Case of Private Equity Funds

Joost Driessen, Tse-Chun Lin and Ludovic Phalippou

14143: Ambiguity and Extremism in Elections

Alberto Alesina and Richard Holden

14142: Biological Innovation and Productivity Growth in the Antebellum Cotton Economy

Alan Olmstead and Paul Rhode

14141: Henry Agard Wallace, the Iowa Corn Yield Tests, and the Adoption of Hybrid Corn

Richard C. Sutch

14140: Superstar CEOs

Ulrike Malmendier and Geoffrey Tate

14139: Global Trade and the Maritime Transport Revolution

David Jacks and Krishna Pendakur

14138: The Knowledge Trap: Human Capital and Development Reconsidered

Benjamin Jones

14137: Adjusted Estimates of Worker Flows and Job Openings in JOLTS

Steven Davis, Jason Faberman, John Haltiwanger and Ian Rucker

14136: Exclusionary Policies in Urban Development, How under-servicing of migrant households affects the growth and composition of Brazilian cities

Leo Feler and J. Vernon Henderson

14135: Models of Idea Flows

Fernando E. Alvarez, Francisco Buera and Robert Lucas

14134: Crisis and Responses: the Federal Reserve and the Financial Crisis of 2007-2008

Stephen Cecchetti

14133: Ideas and Growth

Robert Lucas

14132: Climate Change and Economic Growth: Evidence from the Last Half Century

Melissa Dell, Benjamin Jones and Benjamin Olken

14131: Vengeance

Naci Mocan

14130: The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Investigation of the Settler Mortality Data

David Albouy

14129: Foreign Influence and Welfare

Pol Antras and Gerard Padró i Miquel

14128: Age, Luck, and Inheritance

Jess Benhabib and Shenghao Zhu

14127: Multi-product Firms and Product Turnover in the Developing World: Evidence from India

Pinelopi Goldberg, Amit Khandelwal, Nina Pavcnik and Petia Topalova

14126: Exchange Rate Regimes and the Extensive Margin of Trade

Paul Bergin and Ching-Yi Lin

14125: State and Federal Approaches to Health Reform: What Works for the Working Poor?

Ellen Meara, Meredith Rosenthal, Anna Sinaiko and Katherine Baicker

14124: The Lengthening of Childhood

David Deming and Susan Dynarski

14123: Direct Democracy and Local Public Goods: Evidence from a Field Experiment in Indonesia

Benjamin Olken

14122: Wages, Unemployment and Inequality with Heterogeneous Firms and Workers

Elhanan Helpman, Oleg Itskhoki and Stephen Redding

14121: Measuring the Location of Production in a World of Intangible Productive Assets, FDI, and Intrafirm Trade

Robert Lipsey

14120: Intensified Regulatory Scrutiny and Bank Distress in New York City During the Great Depression

Gary Richardson and Patrick Van Horn

14119: Crashes and Recoveries in Illiquid Markets

Ricardo Lagos, Guillaume Rocheteau and Pierre-Olivier Weill

14118: Minimum Drinking Age Laws and Infant Health Outcomes

Tara Watson and Angela Fertig

14117: Theory and Empirical Work on Imperfectly Competitive Markets

Ariel Pakes

14116: Credit Rationing, Risk Aversion and Industrial Evolution in Developing Countries

Eric Bond, James Tybout and Hale Utar

14115: Naked Exclusion: An Experimental Study of Contracts with Externalities

Claudia Landeo and Kathryn E. Spier

14114: Will the Stork Return to Europe and Japan? Understanding Fertility Within Developed Nations

Bruce Sacerdote and James Feyrer

14113: Bank Governance, Regulation, and Risk Taking

Luc Laeven and Ross Levine

14112: Financially Constrained Fluctuations in an Evolving Network Economy

Domenico Delli Gatti, Mauro Gallegati, Bruce C. Greenwald, Alberto Russo and Joseph Stiglitz

14111: Inexperienced Investors and Bubbles

Robin Greenwood and Stefan Nagel

14110: Energy Tax Incentives and the Alternative Minimum Tax

Curtis Carlson and Gilbert Metcalf

14109: How Much of Chinese Exports is Really Made In China? Assessing Domestic Value-Added When Processing Trade is Pervasive

Robert Koopman, Zhi Wang and Shang-Jin Wei

14108: Intangible Capital and Productivity: An Exploration on a Panel of Italian Manufacturing Firms

Maria Bontempi and Jacques Mairesse

14107: Making Property Productive: Reorganizing Rights to Real and Equitable Estates in Britain, 1660 to 1830

Dan Bogart and Gary Richardson

14106: Trade, Firms, and Wages: Theory and Evidence

Mary Amiti and Donald Davis

14105: How Changes in Social Security Affect Recent Retirement Trends

Alan Gustman and Thomas Steinmeier

14104: The Impact of Income on the Weight of Elderly Americans

John Cawley, John R. Moran and Kosali Simon

14103: Protecting Minorities in Binary Elections: A Test of Storable Votes Using Field Data

Alessandra Casella, Shuky Ehrenberg, Andrew Gelman and Jie Shen

14102: Marijuana Use and High School Dropout: The Influence of Unobservables

Daniel F. McCaffrey, Rosalie Pacula, Bing Han and Phyllis Ellickson

14101: Banking Globalization, Monetary Transmission, and the Lending Channel

Nicola Cetorelli and Linda Goldberg

14100: Exchange Rate Regimes and Capital Mobility: How Much of the Swoboda Thesis Survives?

Barry Eichengreen

14099: Price and Real Output Measures for the Education Function of Government: Exploratory Estimates for Primary & Secondary Education

Barbara M. Fraumeni, Marshall B. Reinsdorf, Brooks B. Robinson and Matthew P. Williams

14098: On the Welfare Cost of Inflation and the Recent Behavior of Money Demand

Peter Ireland

14097: Nature or Nurture? Learning and the Geography of Female Labor Force Participation

Alessandra Fogli and Laura Veldkamp

14096: Utilisation of Physician Services in the 50+ Population. The Relative Importance of Individual versus Institutional Factors in 10 European Countries

Kristian Bolin, Anna Lindgren, Bjorn Lindgren and Petter Lundborg

14095: Is There a Market for Voluntary Health Insurance in Developing Countries?

Mark Pauly, Fredric E. Blavin and Sudha Meghan

14094: Life-cycle Investing and Leverage: Buying Stock on Margin Can Reduce Retirement Risk

Ian Ayres and Barry Nalebuff

14093: The Cost of Uncertain Life Span

Ryan Edwards

14092: Optimal Monetary Policy in an Operational Medium-Sized DSGE Model

Malin Adolfson, Stefan Laséen, Jesper Lindé and Lars Svensson

14091: Economics and Ideology: Causal Evidence of the Impact of Economic Conditions on Support for Redistribution and Other Ballot Proposals

Eric Brunner, Stephen Ross and Ebonya L. Washington

14090: Institutions, Competition, and Capital Market Integration in Japan

Kris J. Mitchener and Mari Ohnuki

14089: What Good Is Wealth Without Health? The Effect of Health on the Marginal Utility of Consumption

Amy Finkelstein, Erzo Luttmer and Matthew Notowidigdo

14088: Capital Market Imperfections and the Theory of Optimum Currency Areas

Pierre-Richard Agénor and Joshua Aizenman

14087: A Gap-Filling Theory of Corporate Debt Maturity Choice

Robin Greenwood, Samuel Hanson and Jeremy Stein

14086: Use of Propensity Scores in Non-Linear Response Models: The Case for Health Care Expenditures

Anirban Basu, Daniel Polsky and Willard Manning

14085: Earnings Quality and Ownership Structure: The Role of Private Equity Sponsors

Sharon Katz

14084: Financial Literacy: An Essential Tool for Informed Consumer Choice?

Annamaria Lusardi

14083: Subprime Mortgages: What, Where, and to Whom?

Christopher Mayer and Karen Pence

14082: Common Risk Factors in Currency Markets

Hanno Lustig, Nikolai Roussanov and Adrien Verdelhan

14081: Does Professor Quality Matter? Evidence from Random Assignment of Students to Professors

Scott Carrell and James West

14080: Estimation of Random Coefficient Demand Models: Challenges, Difficulties and Warnings

Christopher Knittel and Konstantinos Metaxoglou

14079: Estimating the Productivity Selection and Technology Spillover Effects of Imports

Ram C. Acharya and Wolfgang Keller

14078: Managing Public Investment Funds: Best Practices and New Challenges

Olivia Mitchell, John Piggott and Cagri Kumru

14077: Made in America? The New World, the Old, and the Industrial Revolution

Gregory Clark, Kevin O'Rourke and Alan Taylor

14076: How Social Processes Distort Measurement: The Impact of Survey Nonresponse on Estimates of Volunteer Work

Katharine Abraham, Sara Helms and Stanley Presser

14075: Trends in Men's Earnings Volatility: What Does the Panel Study of Income Dynamics Show?

Donggyun Shin and Gary Solon

14074: Welfare Payments and Crime

C. Fritz Foley

14073: Education and the Age Profile of Literacy into Adulthood

Elizabeth Cascio, Damon Clark and Nora Gordon

14072: Firm Heterogeneity and the Structure of U.S. Multinational Activity: An Empirical Analysis

Stephen Yeaple

14071: The Continuing Puzzle of Short Horizon Exchange Rate Forecasting

Kenneth Rogoff and Vania Stavrakeva

14070: Professional Partnerships and Matching in Obstetrics

Andrew Epstein, Jonathan Ketcham and Sean Nicholson

14069: International R&D Spillovers and Institutions

David Coe, Elhanan Helpman and Alexander Hoffmaister

14068: Hedge Fund Contagion and Liquidity

Nicole M. Boyson, Christof W. Stahel and René Stulz

14067: On the Role and Design of Dispute Settlement Procedures in International Trade Agreements

Giovanni Maggi and Robert Staiger

14066: The Back Story of Twentieth-Century Art

David Galenson

14065: The Persistence of Teacher-Induced Learning Gains

Brian A. Jacob, Lars Lefgren and David Sims

14064: Schools, Skills, and Synapses

James Heckman

14063: The Young, the Old, and the Restless: Demographics and Business Cycle Volatility

Nir Jaimovich and Henry Siu

14062: Who Benefits from Tax-Advantaged Employee Benefits?: Evidence from University Parking

Michael Grubb and Paul Oyer