NBER Working Papers

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24262: Stock Market Returns and Consumption

Marco Di Maggio, Amir Kermani and Kaveh Majlesi

24261: Pricing Assets in a Perpetual Youth Model

Roger Farmer

24260: The Effects of Fair Trade Certification: Evidence from Coffee Producers in Costa Rica

Raluca Dragusanu, Eduardo Montero and Nathan Nunn

24259: From the Bargaining Table to the Ballot Box: Political Effects of Right to Work Laws

James Feigenbaum, Alexander Hertel-Fernandez and Vanessa Williamson

24258: Are Interest Rates Really Low?

Daniel Feenberg, Clinton Tepper and Ivo Welch

24257: Saving and Dissaving with Hyperbolic Discounting

Dan Cao and Iván Werning

24256: Demographics and FDI: Lessons from China's One-Child Policy

John B. Donaldson, Christos Koulovatianos, Jian Li and Rajnish Mehra

24255: Effects of Copyrights on Science - Evidence from the US Book Republication Program

Barbara Biasi and Petra Moser

24254: AI and International Trade

Avi Goldfarb and Daniel Trefler

24253: Artificial Intelligence and Consumer Privacy

Ginger Zhe Jin

24252: The Anatomy of a Trade Collapse: The UK, 1929-33

Alan de Bromhead, Alan Fernihough, Markus Lampe and Kevin O'Rourke

24251: N-S Trade with Weak Institutions

James Anderson

24250: Exchange Traded Funds 101 For Economists

Martin Lettau and Ananth Madhavan

24249: Do Management Interventions Last? Evidence from India

Nicholas Bloom, Aprajit Mahajan, David McKenzie and John Roberts

24248: Do CCTs Improve Employment and Earnings in the Very Long-Term? Evidence from Mexico

Adriana Kugler and Ingrid Rojas

24247: Longevity, Education, and Income: How Large is the Triangle?

Hoyt Bleakley

24246: What do we know about the effects of Austerity?

Alberto Alesina, Carlo Favero and Francesco Giavazzi

24245: AI as the next GPT: a Political-Economy Perspective

Manuel Trajtenberg

24244: Unconventional Fiscal Policy

Francesco D’Acunto, Daniel Hoang and Michael Weber

24243: Prediction, Judgment and Complexity: A Theory of Decision Making and Artificial Intelligence

Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans and Avi Goldfarb

24242: Market Structure in Bitcoin Mining

June Ma, Joshua Gans and Rabee Tourky

24241: Financial Constraints, Institutions, and Foreign Ownership

Ron Alquist, Nicolas Berman, Rahul Mukherjee and Linda Tesar

24240: High-Priced Drugs in Medicare Part D: Diagnosis and Potential Prescription

Richard G. Frank and Richard Zeckhauser

24239: AI, Labor, Productivity and the Need for Firm-Level Data

Robert Seamans and Manav Raj

24238: Reconciling Results on Racial Differences in Police Shootings

Roland Fryer

24237: Signaling Safety

Roni Michaely, Stefano Rossi and Michael Weber

24236: Changing Business Dynamism and Productivity: Shocks vs. Responsiveness

Ryan Decker, John Haltiwanger, Ron Jarmin and Javier Miranda

24235: AI and Jobs: the role of demand

James Bessen

24234: The Macroeconomics of Rational Bubbles: A User's Guide

Alberto Martin and Jaume Ventura

24233: Ramsey Strikes Back: Optimal Commodity Taxes and Redistribution in the Presence of Salience Effects

Hunt Allcott, Benjamin Lockwood and Dmitry Taubinsky

24232: Censored Quantile Instrumental Variable Estimation with Stata

Victor Chernozhukov, Ivan Fernandez-Val, Sukjin Han and Amanda Kowalski

24231: The Impact of Health on Labor Market Outcomes: Experimental Evidence from MRFIT

Melvin Stephens and Desmond Toohey

24230: Risks in China’s Financial System

Zheng Michael Song and Wei Xiong

24229: What Do Workplace Wellness Programs Do? Evidence from the Illinois Workplace Wellness Study

Damon Jones, David Molitor and Julian Reif

24228: Regulating Mismeasured Pollution: Implications of Firm Heterogeneity for Environmental Policy

Eva Lyubich, Joseph Shapiro and Reed Walker

24227: Intergenerational Effects of Incarceration

Manudeep Bhuller, Gordon Dahl, Katrine Løken and Magne Mogstad

24226: The Power of Working Longer

Gila Bronshtein, Jason Scott, John B. Shoven and Sita Slavov

24225: The Effect of Education on Health and Mortality: A Review of Experimental and Quasi-Experimental Evidence

Titus Galama, Adriana Lleras-Muney and Hans van Kippersluis

24224: Shadow Funding Costs: Measuring the Cost of Balance Sheet Constraints

Matthias Fleckenstein and Francis Longstaff

24223: Real Keynesian Models and Sticky Prices

Paul Beaudry and Franck Portier

24222: Liquidity Regimes and Optimal Dynamic Asset Allocation

Pierre Collin-Dufresne, Kent Daniel and Mehmet Saǧlam

24221: Financial Heterogeneity and the Investment Channel of Monetary Policy

Pablo Ottonello and Thomas Winberry

24220: Wage Dynamics and Returns to Unobserved Skill

Lance Lochner, Youngmin Park and Youngki Shin

24219: Children and Gender Inequality: Evidence from Denmark

Henrik Kleven, Camille Landais and Jakob Søgaard

24218: Prices or Quantities Dominate Banking and Borrowing

Martin Weitzman

24217: Sources of Displaced Workers’ Long-Term Earnings Losses

Marta Lachowska, Alexandre Mas and Stephen Woodbury

24216: Identification and Estimation of Dynamic Causal Effects in Macroeconomics Using External Instruments

James Stock and Mark Watson

24215: Why Are Professors "Poorly Paid"?

Daniel Hamermesh

24214: Endogenous and Selective Service Choices After Airline Mergers

Sophia Ying Li, Joe Mazur, Yongjoon Park, James W. Roberts, Andrew Sweeting and Jun Zhang

24213: Corporate Credit Risk Premia

Antje Berndt, Rohan Douglas, Darrell Duffie and Mark Ferguson

24212: E-cigarettes and Adult Smoking

Henry Saffer, Daniel Dench, Dhaval Dave and Michael Grossman

24211: The Distributional Effects of Building Energy Codes

Christopher D. Bruegge, Tatyana Deryugina and Erica Myers

24210: An Evaluation of the CPI Indexes for Prescription Drugs

Barry Bosworth, John Bieler, Michael Kleinrock, Eric Koepcke and Ernst R. Berndt

24209: Kinship and Conflict: Evidence from Segmentary Lineage Societies in Sub-Saharan Africa

Jacob Moscona, Nathan Nunn and James Robinson

24208: A Sufficient Statistics Approach for Aggregating Firm-Level Experiments

David Sraer and David Thesmar

24207: The Impact of International Patent Systems: Evidence from Accession to the European Patent Convention

Bronwyn Hall and Christian Helmers

24206: Preventives Versus Treatments Redux: Tighter Bounds on Distortions in Innovation Incentives with an Application to the Global Demand for HIV Pharmaceuticals

Michael Kremer and Christopher Snyder

24205: A Neoclassical Theory of Liquidity Traps

Sebastian Di Tella

24204: International Tax Reforms with Flexible Prices

Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka

24203: Do School Spending Cuts Matter? Evidence from The Great Recession

C. Kirabo Jackson, Cora Wigger and Heyu Xiong

24202: The Introduction of Tasers and Police Use of Force: Evidence from the Chicago Police Department

Bocar Ba and Jeffrey Grogger

24201: Bureaucratic Competence and Procurement Outcomes

Francesco Decarolis, Leonardo M. Giuffrida, Elisabetta Iossa, Vincenzo Mollisi and Giancarlo Spagnolo

24200: Statistical Discrimination and Duration Dependence in the Job Finding Rate

Gregor Jarosch and Laura Pilossoph

24199: Misallocation Measures: The Distortion That Ate the Residual

John Haltiwanger, Robert Kulick and Chad Syverson

24198: Dinner Table Human Capital and Entrepreneurship

Hans Hvide and Paul Oyer

24197: Match Quality, Search, and the Internet Market for Used Books

Glenn Ellison and Sara Fisher Ellison

24196: Artificial Intelligence, Automation and Work

Daron Acemoglu and Pascual Restrepo

24195: Triffin: dilemma or myth?

Michael Bordo and Robert McCauley

24194: Value for Money? Community Targeting in Vote-Buying and Politician Accountability

Jessica Leight, Dana Foarta, Rohini Pande and Laura Ralston

24193: The Welfare Effects of Encouraging Rural-Urban Migration

David Lagakos, Ahmed Mobarak and Michael Waugh

24192: Environmental Externalities and Free-riding in the Household

B. Kelsey Jack, Seema Jayachandran and Sarojini Rao

24191: Estimating the Direct and Indirect Effects of Major Education Reforms

Michael Gilraine, Hugh Macartney and Robert McMillan

24190: Do Black Politicians Matter?

Trevon Logan

24189: What Can UWE Do for Economics?

Tatyana Avilova and Claudia Goldin

24188: Deaths of Despair or Drug Problems?

Christopher Ruhm

24187: Distrust and Political Turnover during Economic Crises

Nathan Nunn, Nancy Qian and Jaya Wen

24186: The Intergenerational Effects of Parental Incarceration

Will Dobbie, Hans Grönqvist, Susan Niknami, Mårten Palme and Mikael Priks

24185: On the Measurement of Upstreamness and Downstreamness in Global Value Chains

Pol Antras and Davin Chor

24184: Quality of Public Governance and the Capital Structure of Nations and Firms

Shang-Jin Wei and Jing Zhou

24183: Subways and Urban Air Pollution

Nicolas Gendron-Carrier, Marco Gonzalez-Navarro, Stefano Polloni and Matthew Turner

24182: The Fragility of Market Risk Insurance

Ralph Koijen and Motohiro Yogo

24181: The Effects of Rent Control Expansion on Tenants, Landlords, and Inequality: Evidence from San Francisco

Rebecca Diamond, Timothy McQuade and Franklin Qian

24180: Are Lemons Sold First? Dynamic Signaling in the Mortgage Market

Manuel Adelino, Kristopher Gerardi and Barney Hartman-Glaser

24179: Rethinking Stabilization Policy: Evolution or Revolution?

Olivier Blanchard and Lawrence Summers

24178: Frictional Coordination

George-Marios Angeletos

24177: Global Inequality when Unequal Countries Create Unequal People

Martin Ravallion

24176: Should Retail Investors' Leverage Be Limited?

Rawley Heimer and Alp Simsek

24175: Do Taxes Increase Economic Inequality? A Comparative Study Based on the State Personal Income Tax

Ugo antonio Troiano

24174: Artificial Intelligence and Its Implications for Income Distribution and Unemployment

Anton Korinek and Joseph Stiglitz

24173: Parenthood, Family Friendly Workplaces, and the Gender Gaps in Early Work Careers

V. Joseph Hotz, Per Johansson and Arizo Karimi

24172: Impact Evaluation in Matching Markets with General Tie-Breaking

Atila Abdulkadiroglu, Joshua Angrist, Yusuke Narita and Parag Pathak

24171: Intermediation as Rent Extraction

Maryam Farboodi, Gregor Jarosch and Guido Menzio

24170: Crude Oil Price Differentials and Pipeline Infrastructure

Shaun McRae

24169: When Corporate Social Responsibility Backfires: Theory and Evidence from a Natural Field Experiment

John List and Fatemeh Momeni

24168: The Death of a Regulator: Strict Supervision, Bank Lending, and Business Activity

João Granja and Christian Leuz

24167: Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Identification: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Demand Shocks

Christiane Baumeister and James Hamilton

24166: Inferring Inequality with Home Production

Job Boerma and Loukas Karabarbounis

24165: Productivity and Pay: Is the link broken?

Anna Stansbury and Lawrence Summers

24164: The Cross-Section of Risk and Return

Kent Daniel, Lira Mota, Simon Rottke and Tano Santos

24163: Short- and Long-Horizon Behavioral Factors

Kent Daniel, David Hirshleifer and Lin Sun