NBER Working Papers

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24127: The Mortality Effects of Retirement: Evidence from Social Security Eligibility at Age 62

Maria Fitzpatrick and Timothy Moore

24126: A Macroeconomic Model with Financial Panics

Mark Gertler, Nobuhiro Kiyotaki and Andrea Prestipino

24125: Scale versus Scope in the Diffusion of New Technology: Evidence from the Farm Tractor

Daniel Gross

24124: One Markup to Rule Them All: Taxation by Liquor Pricing Regulation

Eugenio Miravete, Katja Seim and Jeff Thurk

24123: Taxes and Turnout

Felix Bierbrauer, Aleh Tsyvinski and Nicolas Werquin

24122: The Effects of Quantitative Easing: Taking a Cue from Treasury Auctions

Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Walker Ray

24121: Geography, Income, and Trade in the 21st Century

Dan Liu and Christopher Meissner

24120: The Affordability Goal and Prices in the National Flood Insurance Program

Matthew Kahn and V. Smith

24119: Low-Skill and High-Skill Automation

Daron Acemoglu and Pascual Restrepo

24118: The Diffusion of New Institutions: Evidence from Renaissance Venice's Patent System

Stefano Comino, Alberto Galasso and Clara Graziano

24117: On the Estimation of Treatment Effects with Endogenous Misreporting

Pierre Nguimkeu, Augustine Denteh and Rusty Tchernis

24116: Endogenous Production Networks

Daron Acemoglu and Pablo Azar

24115: Weak States: Causes and Consequences of the Sicilian Mafia

Daron Acemoglu, Giuseppe De Feo and Giacomo De Luca

24114: The Long-Run Effects of the Earned Income Tax Credit on Women’s Earnings

David Neumark and Peter Shirley

24113: The Influence of Peer Genotypes and Behavior on Smoking Outcomes: Evidence from Add Health

Ramina Sotoudeh, Dalton Conley and Kathleen Mullan Harris

24112: The Rate of Return on Everything, 1870–2015

Oscar Jorda, Katharina Knoll, Dmitry Kuvshinov, Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor

24111: The Effect of Court-Ordered Hiring Guidelines on Teacher Composition and Student Achievement

Cynthia (CC) DuBois and Diane Schanzenbach

24110: The Social Origins of Inventors

Philippe Aghion, Ufuk Akcigit, Ari Hyytinen and Otto Toivanen

24109: Intentions for Doing Good Matter for Doing Well: The (Negative) Signaling Value of Prosocial Incentives

Lea Cassar and Stephan Meier

24108: The Costs of (sub)Sovereign Default Risk: Evidence from Puerto Rico

Anusha Chari, Ryan Leary and Toan Phan

24107: Is Occupational Licensing a Barrier to Interstate Migration?

Janna E. Johnson and Morris M. Kleiner

24106: Austerity and the Rise of the Nazi party

Gregori Galofré-Vilà, Christopher Meissner, Martin McKee and David Stuckler

24105: Financial Spillovers and Macroprudential Policies

Joshua Aizenman, Menzie Chinn and Hiro Ito

24104: Do Public Firms Respond to Investment Opportunities More than Private Firms? The Impact of Initial Firm Quality

Vojislav Maksimovic, Gordon Phillips and Liu Yang

24103: The Efficiency Consequences of Heterogeneous Behavioral Responses to Energy Fiscal Policies

Sébastien Houde and Joseph Aldy

24102: Does the Stock Market Make Firms More Productive?

Benjamin Bennett, René Stulz and Zexi Wang

24101: Behavioral Impediments to Valuing Annuities: Evidence on the Effects of Complexity and Choice Bracketing

Jeffrey Brown, Arie Kapteyn, Erzo Luttmer, Olivia Mitchell and Anya Samek

24100: The Effect of Primary Care Visits on Health Care Utilization: Findings from a Randomized Controlled Trial

Cathy J. Bradley, David Neumark and Lauryn Saxe Walker

24099: Property Rights, Land Misallocation and Agricultural Efficiency in China

Amalavoyal Chari, Elaine Liu, Shing-Yi Wang and Yongxiang Wang

24098: Stock Price Crashes: Role of Slow-Moving Capital

Mila Getmansky, Ravi Jagannathan, Loriana Pelizzon, Ernst Schaumburg and Darya Yuferova

24097: Personality Traits of Entrepreneurs: A Review of Recent Literature

Sari Pekkala Kerr, William Kerr and Tina Xu

24096: Behavioral Inattention

Xavier Gabaix

24095: Cost Sharing in Insurance Coverage for Precision Medicine

Mark V. Pauly

24094: Food Deserts and the Causes of Nutritional Inequality

Hunt Allcott, Rebecca Diamond, Jean-Pierre Dubé, Jessie Handbury, Ilya Rahkovsky and Molly Schnell

24093: Did the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act Help Counties Most Affected by the Great Recession?

Mario Crucini and Nam Vu

24092: Valuing Government Obligations When Markets are Incomplete

Jasmina Hasanhodzic and Laurence Kotlikoff

24091: House Price Beliefs And Mortgage Leverage Choice

Michael Bailey, Eduardo Davila, Theresa Kuchler and Johannes Stroebel

24090: Wealthier, Happier and More Self-Sufficient: When Anti-Poverty Programs Improve Economic and Subjective Wellbeing at a Reduced Cost to Taxpayers

Titus Galama, Robson Morgan and Juan E. Saavedra

24089: Brokers and Order Flow Leakage: Evidence from Fire Sales

Andrea Barbon, Marco Di Maggio, Francesco Franzoni and Augustin Landier

24088: Spatial Patterns of Development: A Meso Approach

Stelios Michalopoulos and Elias Papaioannou

24087: Unhappiness and Pain in Modern America: A Review Essay, and Further Evidence, on Carol Graham’s Happiness for All?

David Blanchflower and Andrew Oswald

24086: The L-Shaped Phillips Curve: Theoretical Justification and Empirical Implications

Narayana Kocherlakota

24085: Household Wealth Trends in the United States, 1962 to 2016: Has Middle Class Wealth Recovered?

Edward N. Wolff

24084: Urban Revival in America, 2000 to 2010

Victor Couture and Jessie Handbury

24083: Who Falls Prey to the Wolf of Wall Street? Investor Participation in Market Manipulation

Christian Leuz, Steffen Meyer, Maximilian Muhn, Eugene Soltes and Andreas Hackethal

24082: Venture Capital Investments and Merger and Acquisition Activity Around the World

Gordon Phillips and Alexei Zhdanov

24081: The Impact of Bank Credit on Labor Reallocation and Aggregate Industry Productivity

John (Jianqiu) Bai, Daniel Carvalho and Gordon Phillips

24080: U.S. Job Flows and the China Shock

Brian Asquith, Sanjana Goswami, David Neumark and Antonio Rodriguez-Lopez

24079: Job Tasks, Time Allocation, and Wages

Ralph Stinebrickner, Todd Stinebrickner and Paul Sullivan

24078: Endowments, Skill-Biased Technology, and Factor Prices: A Unified Approach to Trade

Peter Morrow and Daniel Trefler

24077: Reconsidering the Consequences of Worker Displacements: Firm versus Worker Perspective

Aaron Flaaen, Matthew Shapiro and Isaac Sorkin

24076: Why are Banks Exposed to Monetary Policy?

Sebastian Di Tella and Pablo Kurlat

24075: A Stream of Prospects or a Prospect of Streams: On the Evaluation of Intertemporal Risks

James Andreoni, Paul Feldman and Charles Sprenger

24074: High Wage Workers Work for High Wage Firms

Katarína Borovičková and Robert Shimer

24073: Household Inequality and the Consumption Response to Aggregate Real Shocks

Gene Amromin, Mariacristina De Nardi and Karl Schulze

24072: The Marginal Product of Climate

Tatyana Deryugina and Solomon Hsiang

24071: Investment Responses to Trade Liberalization: Evidence from U.S. Industries and Plants

Justin Pierce and Peter Schott

24070: Shrinking the Cross Section

Serhiy Kozak, Stefan Nagel and Shrihari Santosh

24069: Wages and Employment: The Canonical Model Revisited

Audra Bowlus, Eda Bozkurt, Lance Lochner and Chris Robinson

24068: A New Index of Debt Sustainability

Olivier Blanchard and Mitali Das

24067: New Evidence of Generational Progress for Mexican Americans

Brian Duncan, Jeffrey Grogger, Ana Sofia Leon and Stephen Trejo

24066: The Long-run Effects of Agricultural Productivity on Conflict, 1400-1900

Murat Iyigun, Nathan Nunn and Nancy Qian

24065: Leaving Money on the Table? Suboptimal Enrollment in the New Social Pension Program in China

Xi Chen, Lipeng Hu and Jody L. Sindelar

24064: Credit Default Swaps, Agency Problems, and Management Incentives

Jongsub Lee, Junho Oh and David Yermack

24063: Environmental, Social, and Governance Criteria: Why Investors are Paying Attention

Ravi Jagannathan, Ashwin Ravikumar and Marco Sammon

24062: Who Becomes an Inventor in America? The Importance of Exposure to Innovation

Alex Bell, Raj Chetty, Xavier Jaravel, Neviana Petkova and John van Reenen

24061: The Effect of Education and School Quality on Female Crime

Javier Cano-Urbina and Lance Lochner

24060: Student Loan Nudges: Experimental Evidence on Borrowing and Educational Attainment

Benjamin Marx and Lesley Turner

24059: The Uncovered Interest Parity Puzzle, Exchange Rate Forecasting, and Taylor Rules

Charles Engel, Dohyeon Lee, Chang Liu, Chenxin Liu and Steve Pak Yeung Wu

24058: Learning from Coworkers: Peer Effects on Individual Investment Decisions

Paige Ouimet and Geoffrey Tate

24057: Should we Get rid of the Natural Rate Hypothesis?

Olivier Blanchard

24056: US Exports and Employment

Robert Feenstra, Hong Ma and Yuan Xu

24055: Moral Hazard in Health Insurance: What We Know and How We Know It

Liran Einav and Amy Finkelstein

24054: Personalized Medicine When Physicians Induce Demand

David H. Howard, Jason Hockenberry and Guy David

24053: The Use and Misuse of Patent Data: Issues for Corporate Finance and Beyond

Josh Lerner and Amit Seru

24052: Intrinsic Openness and Endogenous Institutional Quality

Yang Jiao and Shang-Jin Wei

24051: Aggregating from Micro to Macro Patterns of Trade

Stephen Redding and David Weinstein

24050: Moral Hazard Misconceptions: the Case of the Greenspan Put

Gideon Bornstein and Guido Lorenzoni

24049: Tax Simplicity or Simplicity of Evasion? Evidence from Self-Employment Taxes in France

Philippe Aghion, Maxime Gravoueille, Matthieu Lequien and Stefanie Stantcheva

24048: Fresh Air Eases Work – The Effect of Air Quality on Individual Investor Activity

Steffen Meyer and Michaela Pagel

24047: Are Poor Individuals Mainly Found in Poor Households? Evidence using Nutrition Data for Africa

Caitlin Brown, Martin Ravallion and Dominique van de Walle

24046: Fast and Slow Learning From Reviews

Daron Acemoglu, Ali Makhdoumi, Azarakhsh Malekian and Asuman Ozdaglar

24045: Socioeconomic Status and Macroeconomic Expectations

Sreyoshi Das, Camelia Kuhnen and Stefan Nagel

24044: Old-age Labor Force Participation in Germany: What Explains the Trend Reversal among Older Men? And What the Steady Increase among Women?

Axel Börsch-Supan and Irene Ferrari

24043: Friedman's Presidential Address in the Evolution of Macroeconomic Thought

N. Gregory Mankiw and Ricardo Reis

24042: Family Health Behaviors

Itzik Fadlon and Torben Nielsen

24041: Start What You Finish! Ex Ante Risk and Schooling Investments in the Presence of Dynamic Complementarities

Andrew Foster and Esther Gehrke

24040: Upstream, Downstream: Diffusion and Impacts of the Universal Product Code

Emek Basker and Timothy Simcoe

24039: Are Negative Nominal Interest Rates Expansionary?

Gauti Eggertsson, Ragnar Juelsrud and Ella Getz Wold

24038: Service-level Selection: Strategic Risk Selection in Medicare Advantage in Response to Risk Adjustment

Sungchul Park, Anirban Basu, Norma Coe and Fahad Khalil

24037: The Employer Penalty, Voluntary Compliance, and the Size Distribution of Firms: Evidence from a Survey of Small Businesses

Casey Mulligan

24036: The Effect of Air Pollution on Migration: Evidence from China

Shuai Chen, Paulina Oliva and Peng Zhang

24035: Identifying Sources of Inefficiency in Health Care

Amitabh Chandra and Doug Staiger

24034: The Effects of Land Markets on Resource Allocation and Agricultural Productivity

Chaoran Chen, Diego Restuccia and Raul Santaeulalia-Llopis

24033: Horizontal Equity Effects in Energy Regulation

Carolyn Fischer and William Pizer

24032: The Rise and Fall of Local Elections in China: Theory and Empirical Evidence on the Autocrat's Trade-off

Monica Martinez-Bravo, Gerard Padró I Miquel, Nancy Qian and Yang Yao

24031: Sovereign Risk Contagion

Cristina Arellano, Yan Bai and Sandra Lizarazo

24030: Probabilistic States versus Multiple Certainties: The Obstacle of Uncertainty in Contingent Reasoning

Alejandro Martínez-Marquina, Muriel Niederle and Emanuel Vespa

24029: Firm-Level Political Risk: Measurement and Effects

Tarek Hassan, Stephan Hollander, Laurence van Lent and Ahmed Tahoun

24028: Effects and Mechanisms of CEOs Quality in Public Education

Victor Lavy, Genia Rachkovski and Adi Boiko