NBER Working Papers

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19840: Two Tales of Adjustment: East Asian Lessons for European Growth

Anusha Chari and Peter Henry

19839: Alcohol Exposure In Utero and Child Academic Achievement

Stephanie von Hinke, George L. Wehby, Sarah Lewis and Luisa Zuccolo

19838: Advertising and Environmental Stewardship: Evidence from the BP Oil Spill

Lint Barrage, Eric Chyn and Justine Hastings

19837: Return of the Solow Paradox? IT, Productivity, and Employment in U.S. Manufacturing

Daron Acemoglu, David Autor, David Dorn, Gordon Hanson and Brendan Price

19836: Cash-on-Hand & College Enrollment: Evidence from Population Tax Data and Policy Nonlinearities

Dayanand Manoli and Nick Turner

19835: Could a Website Really Have Doomed the Health Exchanges? Multiple Equilibria, Initial Conditions and the Construction of the Fine

Florian Scheuer and Kent Smetters

19834: How Constraining Are Limits to Arbitrage? Evidence from a Recent Financial Innovation

Alexander Ljungqvist and Wenlan Qian

19833: Restoring the Product Variety and Pro-competitive Gains from Trade with Heterogeneous Firms and Bounded Productivity

Robert Feenstra

19832: Voting to Tell Others

Stefano DellaVigna, John List, Ulrike Malmendier and Gautam Rao

19831: Lights, Camera,... Income!: Estimating Poverty Using National Accounts, Survey Means, and Lights

Maxim Pinkovskiy and Xavier Sala-i-Martin

19830: The Future of U.S. Economic Growth

John Fernald and Charles Jones

19829: Marry Your Like: Assortative Mating and Income Inequality

Jeremy Greenwood, Nezih Guner, Georgi Kocharkov and Cezar Santos

19828: Social Implications of Fiscal Policy Responses During Crises

Carlos Vegh and Guillermo Vuletin

19827: Microcredit Impacts: Evidence from a Randomized Microcredit Program Placement Experiment by Compartamos Banco

Manuela Angelucci, Dean Karlan and Jonathan Zinman

19826: Why Has U.S. Policy Uncertainty Risen Since 1960?

Scott Baker, Nicholas Bloom, Brandice Canes-Wrone, Steven Davis and Jonathan A. Rodden

19825: Incentives, Selection and Productivity in Labor Markets: Evidence from Rural Malawi

Raymond Guiteras and B. Kelsey Jack

19824: Linkage of Greenhouse Gas Emissions Trading Systems: Learning from Experience

Matthew Ranson and Robert Stavins

19823: Recovery from Financial Crises: Evidence from 100 Episodes

Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff

19822: A Theory of Income Taxation under Multidimensional Skill Heterogeneity

Casey Rothschild and Florian Scheuer

19821: How Sticky Wages in Existing Jobs Can Affect Hiring

Mark Bils, Yongsung Chang and Sun-Bin Kim

19820: The Information Value of Online Social Networks: Lessons from Peer-to-Peer Lending

Seth Freedman and Ginger Zhe Jin

19819: Why and Wherefore of Increased Scientific Collaboration

Richard Freeman, Ina Ganguli and Raviv Murciano-Goroff

19818: Origins of Stock Market Fluctuations

Daniel Greenwald, Martin Lettau and Sydney Ludvigson

19817: Misinformed Speculators and Mispricing in the Housing Market

Alex Chinco and Christopher Mayer

19816: The Economics of Online Postsecondary Education: MOOCs, Nonselective Education, and Highly Selective Education

Caroline Hoxby

19815: Tax Benefits to Housing and Inefficiencies in Location and Consumption

David Albouy and Andrew Hanson

19814: Market Set-Up in Advance of Federal Reserve Policy Decisions

Dick van Dijk, Robin L. Lumsdaine and Michel van der Wel

19813: State Capacity and Economic Development: A Network Approach

Daron Acemoglu, Camilo García-Jimeno and James Robinson

19812: The Price of Political Uncertainty: Theory and Evidence from the Option Market

Bryan Kelly, Lubos Pastor and Pietro Veronesi

19811: Risk, Insurance and Wages in General Equilibrium

Ahmed Mobarak and Mark Rosenzweig

19810: Missing Gains from Trade?

Marc Melitz and Stephen Redding

19809: Powerful Independent Directors

Kathy Fogel, Liping Ma and Randall Morck

19808: Rainfall Forecasts, Weather and Wages over the Agricultural Production Cycle

Mark Rosenzweig and Christopher Udry

19807: Special Interests and the Media: Theory and an Application to Climate Change

Jesse Shapiro

19806: Corporate Governance and Risk Management at Unprotected Banks: National Banks in the 1890s

Charles Calomiris and Mark Carlson

19805: Motivating Migrants: A Field Experiment on Financial Decision-Making in Transnational Households

Ganesh Seshan and Dean Yang

19804: Public Goods, Hidden Income, and Tax Evasion: Some Nonstandard Results from the Warm-Glow Model

Daniel Hungerman

19803: Using School Choice Lotteries to Test Measures of School Effectiveness

David Deming

19802: Coal and the European Industrial Revolution

Alan Fernihough and Kevin O'Rourke

19801: Cross Border Effects of State Health Technology Regulation

Jill R. Horwitz and Daniel Polsky

19800: The Industrial Organization of Health Care Markets

Martin Gaynor, Kate Ho and Robert Town

19799: Governing Misvalued Firms

Dalida Kadyrzhanova and Matthew Rhodes-Kropf

19798: When Real Estate is the Only Game in Town

Hyun-Soo Choi, Harrison Hong, Jeffrey Kubik and Jeffrey Thompson

19797: Does Planning Regulation Protect Independent Retailers?

Raffaella Sadun

19796: The Housing Market Impacts of Shale Gas Development

Lucija Muehlenbachs, Elisheba Spiller and Christopher Timmins

19795: Media Influences on Social Outcomes: The Impact of MTV's 16 and Pregnant on Teen Childbearing

Melissa Kearney and Phillip Levine

19794: Direct to Consumer Advertising of Pharmaceutical Drugs: Information and Persuasion

Talia Bar and Dean R. Lillard

19793: The Employment Effect of Terminating Disability Benefits

Timothy Moore

19792: Shrinkage Estimation of High-Dimensional Factor Models with Structural Instabilities

Xu Cheng, Zhipeng Liao and Frank Schorfheide

19791: For a Few Dollars More: Reserves and Growth in Times of Crises

Matthieu Bussiere, Gong Cheng, Menzie Chinn and Noëmie Lisack

19790: Time-Varying Phillips Curves

Joseph Vavra

19789: Waging War on Poverty: Historical Trends in Poverty Using the Supplemental Poverty Measure

Liana Fox, Irwin Garfinkel, Neeraj Kaushal, Jane Waldfogel and Christopher Wimer

19788: Dynamic Dispersed Information and the Credit Spread Puzzle

Elias Albagli, Christian Hellwig and Aleh Tsyvinski

19787: Externalities and Taxation of Supplemental Insurance: A Study of Medicare and Medigap

Marika Cabral and Neale Mahoney

19786: Political Risk Spreads

Geert Bekaert, Campbell Harvey, Christian Lundblad and Stephan Siegel

19785: Do In-Work Tax Credits Serve as a Safety Net?

Marianne Bitler, Hilary Hoynes and Elira Kuka

19784: A Note on Variance Estimation for the Oaxaca Estimator of Average Treatment Effects

Patrick Kline

19783: Disentangling Financial Constraints, Precautionary Savings, and Myopia: Household Behavior Surrounding Federal Tax Returns

Brian Baugh, Itzhak Ben-David and Hoonsuk Park

19782: Military CEOs

Efraim Benmelech and Carola Frydman

19781: The Effect of Prices on Nutrition: Comparing the Impact of Product- and Nutrient-Specific Taxes

Matthew Harding and Michael Lovenheim

19780: Optimal Trading Ratios for Pollution Permit Markets

Stephen Holland and Andrew Yates

19779: The Fiscal Stress Arising from State and Local Retiree Health Obligations

Byron Lutz and Louise Sheiner

19778: Is Sell-Side Research More Valuable in Bad Times?

Roger K. Loh and René Stulz

19777: An Economical Business-Cycle Model

Pascal Michaillat and Emmanuel Saez

19776: Aiding Decision-Making to Reduce the Impacts of Climate Change

Howard Kunreuther and Elke U. Weber

19775: Non-Contributory Pensions

Sebastian Galiani, Paul Gertler and Rosangela Bando

19774: The Perils of Peer Effects

Joshua Angrist

19773: Unintended Consequences of LOLR Facilities: The Case of Illiquid Leverage

Viral Acharya and Bruce Tuckman

19772: The Causal Effect of Unemployment Duration on Wages: Evidence from Unemployment Insurance Extensions

Johannes Schmieder, Till von Wachter and Stefan Bender

19771: Wedges, Wages, and Productivity under the Affordable Care Act

Casey Mulligan and Trevor Gallen

19770: Wedges, Labor Market Behavior, and Health Insurance Coverage under the Affordable Care Act

Trevor Gallen and Casey Mulligan

19769: Does Secular Education Impact Religiosity, Electoral Participation and the Propensity to Vote for Islamic Parties? Evidence from an Education Reform in a Muslim Country

Resul Cesur and Naci Mocan

19768: Does Religion Affect Economic Growth and Happiness? Evidence from Ramadan

Filipe Campante and David Yanagizawa-Drott

19767: Technological Learning and Labor Market Dynamics

Martin Gervais, Nir Jaimovich, Henry Siu and Yaniv Yedid-Levi

19766: Market-based Lobbying: Evidence from Advertising Spending in Italy

Stefano DellaVigna, Ruben Durante, Brian Knight and Eliana La Ferrara

19765: Awareness Reduces Racial Bias

Devin Pope, Joseph Price and Justin Wolfers

19764: Dynamic Commercialization Strategies for Disruptive Technologies: Evidence from the Speech Recognition Industry

Matt Marx, Joshua Gans and David H. Hsu

19763: Buy, Keep or Sell: Economic Growth and the Market for Ideas

Ufuk Akcigit, Murat Celik and Jeremy Greenwood

19762: Returns to Skills around the World: Evidence from PIAAC

Eric Hanushek, Guido Schwerdt, Simon Wiederhold and Ludger Woessmann

19761: The Effect of U.S. Health Insurance Expansions on Medical Innovation

Jeffrey Clemens

19760: Employer Contribution and Premium Growth in Health Insurance

Yiyan Liu and Ginger Zhe Jin

19759: The Tradability of Services: Geographic Concentration and Trade Costs

Antoine Gervais and J. Jensen

19758: O.M.W. Sprague (the Man who "Wrote the Book" on Financial Crises) and the Founding of the Federal Reserve

Hugh Rockoff

19757: Simulating the Elimination of the U.S. Corporate Income Tax

Hans Fehr, Sabine Jokisch, Ashwin Kambhampati and Laurence Kotlikoff

19756: Mitigating Long-run Health Effects of Drought: Evidence from South Africa

Taryn Dinkelman

19755: The Nature and Incidence of Software Piracy: Evidence from Windows

Susan Athey and Scott Stern

19754: Per-capita Income as a Determinant of International Trade and Environmental Policies

James Markusen

19753: The Roles of Assimilation and Ethnic Enclave Residence in Immigrant Smoking

Johanna Maclean, Douglas Webber and Jody L. Sindelar

19752: Revenue Tariff Reform

James Anderson and J. Peter Neary

19751: Export or Merge? Proximity vs. Concentration in Product Space

Marc-Andreas Muendler

19750: Culture and Institutions

Alberto Alesina and Paola Giuliano

19749: The Output and Welfare Effects of Government Spending Shocks over the Business Cycle

Eric Sims and Jonathan Wolff

19748: Was This Time Different? Fiscal Policy in Commodity Republics

Luis Cespedes and Andrés Velasco

19747: Is Bitcoin a Real Currency? An economic appraisal

David Yermack

19746: Democracy, Redistribution and Inequality

Daron Acemoglu, Suresh Naidu, Pascual Restrepo and James Robinson

19745: A World of Cities: The Causes and Consequences of Urbanization in Poorer Countries

Edward Glaeser

19744: Mortgages and Monetary Policy

Carlos Garriga, Finn Kydland and Roman Sustek

19743: Flip the Switch: The Spatial Impact of the Rural Electrification Administration 1935-1940

Carl Kitchens and Price Fishback

19742: Endogenous Stratification in Randomized Experiments

Alberto Abadie, Matthew M. Chingos and Martin R. West

19741: The Effects of Paid Family Leave in California on Labor Market Outcomes

Charles Baum and Christopher Ruhm