NBER Working Papers

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23911: The Children of the Missed Pill

Tomás Rau, Miguel Sarzosa and Sergio Urzua

23910: Does the Investment Model Explain Value and Momentum Simultaneously?

Andrei S. Gonçalves, Chen Xue and Lu Zhang

23909: Are There Too Many Farms in the World? Labor-Market Transaction Costs, Machine Capacities and Optimal Farm Size

Andrew Foster and Mark Rosenzweig

23908: Machine Learning from Schools about Energy Efficiency

Fiona Burlig, Christopher Knittel, David Rapson, Mar Reguant and Catherine Wolfram

23907: Do Americans Want to Tax Capital? Evidence from Online Surveys

Raymond Fisman, Keith Gladstone, Ilyana Kuziemko and Suresh Naidu

23906: Labor Supply and the Value of Non-Work Time: Experimental Estimates from the Field

Alexandre Mas and Amanda Pallais

23905: All Together Now: Leveraging Firms to Increase Worker Productivity Growth

Nathaniel Hilger

23904: No Kin In The Game: Moral Hazard and War in the U.S. Congress

Eoin McGuirk, Nathaniel Hilger and Nicholas Miller

23903: How Taxing Is Tax Filing? Using Revealed Preferences to Estimate Compliance Costs

Youssef Benzarti

23902: The Effect of the H-1B Quota on Employment and Selection of Foreign-Born Labor

Anna Maria Mayda, Francesc Ortega, Giovanni Peri, Kevin Shih and Chad Sparber

23901: How Do Peers Influence BMI? Evidence from Randomly Assigned Classrooms in South Korea

Jaegeum Lim and Jonathan Meer

23900: Measuring the Potential Health Impact of Personalized Medicine: Evidence from MS Treatments

Kristopher J. Hult

23899: Sentiments and Economic Activity: Evidence from U.S. States

Jess Benhabib and Mark Spiegel

23898: Group-based Voting in Multicandidate Elections

Laurent Bouton and Benjamin G. Ogden

23897: The Social Implications of Sugar: Living Costs, Real Incomes and Inequality in Jamaica c1774

Trevor Burnard, Laura Panza and Jeffrey Williamson

23896: The Non-Market Benefits of Education and Ability

James J. Heckman, John Humphries and Gregory Veramendi

23895: Squaring Venture Capital Valuations with Reality

William Gornall and Ilya A. Strebulaev

23894: "Nash-in-Nash" Tariff Bargaining with and without MFN

Kyle Bagwell, Robert W. Staiger and Ali Yurukoglu

23893: Sizing up Market Failures in Export Pioneering Activities

Shang-Jin Wei, Ziru Wei and Jianhuan Xu

23892: Pareto Efficient Taxation and Expenditures: Pre- and Re-distribution

Joseph Stiglitz

23891: Uber vs. Taxi: A Driver’s Eye View

Joshua Angrist, Sydnee Caldwell and Jonathan V. Hall

23890: Paralyzed by Panic: Measuring the Effect of School Closures during the 1916 Polio Pandemic on Educational Attainment

Keith Meyers and Melissa Thomasson

23889: Busy Directors: Strategic Interaction and Monitoring Synergies

Alexander Ljungqvist and Konrad Raff

23888: The End of Free College in England: Implications for Quality, Enrolments, and Equity

Richard Murphy, Judith Scott-Clayton and Gillian Wyness

23887: Optimal Regulation with Exemptions

Louis Kaplow

23886: Predicting Relative Returns

Valentin Haddad, Serhiy Kozak and Shrihari Santosh

23885: The Employment Effects of Mexican Repatriations: Evidence from the 1930's

Jongkwan Lee, Giovanni Peri and Vasil Yasenov

23884: Directed Search: A Guided Tour

Randall Wright, Philipp Kircher, Benoit Julien and Veronica Guerrieri

23883: A Tough Act to Follow: Contrast Effects In Financial Markets

Samuel M. Hartzmark and Kelly Shue

23882: The Distribution of Environmental Damages

Solomon Hsiang, Paulina Oliva and Reed Walker

23881: Demystifying the Destination-Based Cash-Flow Tax

Alan Auerbach

23880: Healthy Business? Managerial Education and Management in Healthcare

Nicholas Bloom, Renata Lemos, Raffaella Sadun and John van Reenen

23879: The Loan Covenant Channel: How Bank Health Transmits to the Real Economy

Gabriel Chodorow-Reich and Antonio Falato

23878: The Impact of Trade on Inequality in Developing Countries

Nina Pavcnik

23877: Cognitive and Noncognitive Skills and the Selection and Sorting of Migrants

Aline Bütikofer and Giovanni Peri

23876: Selection in Health Insurance Markets and Its Policy Remedies

Michael Geruso and Timothy Layton

23875: Older and Slower: The Startup Deficit’s Lasting Effects on Aggregate Productivity Growth

Titan Alon, David Berger, Robert Dent and Benjamin Pugsley

23874: Reducing Information Frictions in Venture Capital: The Role of New Venture Competitions

Sabrina T. Howell

23873: Civil Asset Forfeiture, Crime, and Police Incentives: Evidence from the Comprehensive Crime Control Act of 1984

Shawn Kantor, Carl Kitchens and Steven Pawlowski

23872: The Benefits and Costs of Donor Advised Funds

James Andreoni

23871: Does Multispecialty Practice Enhance Physician Market Power?

Laurence C. Baker, M. Kate Bundorf and Daniel P. Kessler

23870: Delivering Education to the Underserved Through a Public-Private Partnership Program in Pakistan

Felipe Barrera-Osorio, David Blakeslee, Matthew Hoover, Leigh Linden, Dhushyanth Raju and Stephen Ryan

23869: Bankruptcy and the Cost of Organized Labor: Evidence from Union Elections

Murillo Campello, Janet Gao, Jiaping Qiu and Yue Zhang

23868: Real Exchange Rate Policies for Economic Development

Martin Guzman, Jose Antonio Ocampo and Joseph Stiglitz

23867: A Theory of Experimenters

Abhijit Banerjee, Sylvain Chassang, Sergio Montero and Erik Snowberg

23866: Is Pollution Value-Maximizing? The DuPont Case

Roy Shapira and Luigi Zingales

23865: Should Flavors be Banned in E-cigarettes? Evidence on Adult Smokers and Recent Quitters from a Discrete Choice Experiment

John Buckell, Joachim Marti and Jody L. Sindelar

23864: Sovereign Bond Prices, Haircuts and Maturity

Tamon Asonuma, Dirk Niepelt and Romain Ranciere

23863: Diagnostic Expectations and Stock Returns

Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli, Rafael La Porta and Andrei Shleifer

23862: Marijuana legalization and disability claiming

Johanna Maclean, Keshar Ghimire and Lauren Nicholas

23861: The Effect of House Prices on Household Borrowing: A New Approach

James Cloyne, Kilian Huber, Ethan Ilzetzki and Henrik Kleven

23860: ProPelled: The Effects of Grants on Graduation, Earnings, and Welfare

Jeffrey Denning, Benjamin Marx and Lesley Turner

23859: The Effects of Accountability Incentives in Early Childhood Education

Daphna Bassok, Thomas Dee and Scott Latham

23858: What Lies Beneath: Pipeline Awareness and Aversion

Evan Herrnstadt and Richard L. Sweeney

23857: Agricultural Trade Reform, Reallocation and Technical Change: Evidence from the Canadian Prairies

William Brown, Shon Ferguson and Crina Viju

23856: Attribute Substitution in Household Vehicle Portfolios

James Archsmith, Kenneth Gillingham, Christopher Knittel and David Rapson

23855: Environmental Consequences of Hydrocarbon Infrastructure Policy

Thomas R. Covert and Ryan Kellogg

23854: Flood Risk Belief Heterogeneity and Coastal Home Price Dynamics: Going Under Water?

Laura A. Bakkensen and Lint Barrage

23853: The Productivity Slowdown and the Declining Labor Share: A Neoclassical Exploration

Gene Grossman, Elhanan Helpman, Ezra Oberfield and Thomas Sampson

23852: The External Costs of Transporting Petroleum Products by Pipelines and Rail: Evidence From Shipments of Crude Oil from North Dakota

Karen Clay, Akshaya Jha, Nicholas Muller and Randall Walsh

23851: Vocational and Career Tech Education in American High Schools: The Value of Depth Over Breadth

Daniel Kreisman and Kevin Stange

23850: How Credit Cycles across a Financial Crisis

Arvind Krishnamurthy and Tyler Muir

23849: What Goes Up May Not Come Down: Asymmetric Incidence of Value-Added Taxes

Youssef Benzarti, Dorian Carloni, Jarkko Harju and Tuomas Kosonen

23848: Who Really Benefits from Consumption Tax Cuts? Evidence from a Large VAT Reform in France

Youssef Benzarti and Dorian Carloni

23847: Central Banks: Evolution and Innovation in Historical Perspective

Michael Bordo and Pierre L. Siklos

23846: Premium Levels and Demand Response in Health Insurance: Relative Thinking and Zero-Price Effects

Rudy Douven, Ron van der Heijden, Thomas McGuire and Frederik T. Schut

23845: East Asian Financial and Economic Development

Randall Morck and Bernard Yeung

23844: Employment Hysteresis from the Great Recession

Danny Yagan

23843: The Decline of Big-Bank Lending to Small Business: Dynamic Impacts on Local Credit and Labor Markets

Brian S. Chen, Samuel G. Hanson and Jeremy C. Stein

23842: Returns to Pharmaceutical Innovation in the Market for Oral Chemotherapy in Response to Insurance Coverage Expansion

Caroline S. Bennette, Anirban Basu, Scott D. Ramsey, Zachary Helms and Peter B. Bach

23841: International Credit Supply Shocks

Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi, Andrea Ferrero and Alessandro Rebucci

23840: Comparing 2SLS vs 2SRI for Binary Outcomes and Binary Exposures

Anirban Basu, Norma Coe and Cole G. Chapman

23839: Longitudinal Determinants of End-of-Life Wealth Inequality

James Poterba, Steven Venti and David Wise

23838: General Equilibrium Effects of (Improving) Public Employment Programs: Experimental Evidence from India

Karthik Muralidharan, Paul Niehaus and Sandip Sukhtankar

23837: Keynesian Economics without the Phillips Curve

Roger Farmer and Giovanni Nicolò

23836: Macro Needs Micro

Fabio Ghironi

23835: Default Risk, Sectoral Reallocation, and Persistent Recessions

Cristina Arellano, Yan Bai and Gabriel Mihalache

23834: Too Much of a Good Thing? Labor Market Imperfections as a Source of Exceptional Exporter Performance

Carsten Eckel and Stephen Yeaple

23833: The Economic Implications of Housing Supply

Edward Glaeser and Joseph Gyourko

23832: Are CEOs Different? Characteristics of Top Managers

Steven Kaplan and Morten Sorensen

23831: Optimal Financing for R&D-Intensive Firms

Richard Thakor and Andrew Lo

23830: Negative Bubbles: What Happens After a Crash

William Goetzmann and Dasol Kim

23829: How Efficient is Dynamic Competition? The Case of Price as Investment

David Besanko, Ulrich Doraszelski and Yaroslav Kryukov

23828: Deposit Insurance and Depositor Monitoring: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from the Creation of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation

Haelim Park Anderson, Gary Richardson and Brian S. Yang

23827: Ethnic Differences in Demographic Behavior in the United States: What Can We Learn from Vital Statistics about Inequality?

Michael R. Haines

23826: A Simple Approximation for Evaluating External Validity Bias

Isaiah Andrews and Emily Oster

23825: Two Great Trade Collapses: The Interwar Period & Great Recession Compared

Kevin O'Rourke

23824: Allocating Effort and Talent in Professional Labor Markets

Gadi Barlevy and Derek Neal

23823: Attention Manipulation and Information Overload

Petra Persson

23822: How Segregated is Urban Consumption?

Donald Davis, Jonathan Dingel, Joan Monras and Eduardo Morales

23821: March Madness: NCAA Tournament Participation and College Alcohol Use

Dustin White, Benjamin Cowan and Jadrian Wooten

23820: Smoking, Health Capital, and Longevity: Evaluation of Personalized Cessation Treatments in a Lifecycle Model with Heterogeneous Agents

Li-Shiun Chen, Ping Wang and Yao Yao

23819: Rural-Urban Migration, Structural Transformation, and Housing Markets in China

Carlos Garriga, Aaron Hedlund, Yang Tang and Ping Wang

23818: The U.S. Shale Oil Boom, the Oil Export Ban, and the Economy: A General Equilibrium Analysis

Nida Cakir Melek, Michael Plante and Mine Yucel

23817: Signaling to Experts

Pablo Kurlat and Florian Scheuer

23816: Is There Still Son Preference in the United States?

Francine Blau, Lawrence Kahn, Peter Brummund, Jason Cook and Miriam Larson-Koester

23815: Search Engines and Data Retention: Implications for Privacy and Antitrust

Lesley Chiou and Catherine Tucker

23814: Mis-classified, Binary, Endogenous Regressors: Identification and Inference

Francis DiTraglia and Camilo García-Jimeno

23813: Racial Segregation and Southern Lynching

Lisa Cook, Trevon Logan and John Parman

23812: Changes in Corporate Governance and Top Executive Turnover: The Evidence from Japan

Hideaki Miyajima, Ryo Ogawa and Takuji Saito