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The Long-Run Effects of California’s Paid Family Leave Act on Women’s Careers and Childbearing: New Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design and U.S. Tax Data

Martha Bailey, Tanya Byker, Elena Patel and Shanthi Ramnath

No 26416, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: We use administrative tax data to analyze the cumulative, long-run effects of California’s 2004 Paid Family Leave Act (CPFL) on women’s employment, earnings, and childbearing. A regression-discontinuity design exploits the sharp increase in the weeks of paid leave available under the law. We find no evidence that CPFL increased employment, boosted earnings, or encouraged childbearing, suggesting that CPFL had little effect on the gender pay gap or child penalty. For first-time mothers, we find that CPFL reduced employment and earnings roughly a decade after they gave birth.

JEL-codes: J08 J1 J13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dem and nep-lab
Note: CH DAE LS
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (13)

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Related works:
Working Paper: The Long-Run Effects of California’s Paid Family Leave Act on Women’s Careers and Childbearing: New Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design and U.S. Tax Data (2024) Downloads
Working Paper: The Long-Run Effects of California's Paid Family Leave Act On Women's Careers and Childbearing: New Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design and U.S. Tax Data (2024) Downloads
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