NBER Working Papers

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14561: Inflation Targeting and Real Exchange Rates in Emerging Markets

Joshua Aizenman, Michael Hutchison and Ilan Noy

14560: Did Economics Cause World War II?

Robert Gordon

14559: Rebate Rules in Threshold Public Good Provision

Michael Spencer, Stephen Swallow, Jason Shogren and John List

14558: Does Openness to International Financial Flows Raise Productivity Growth?

Ayhan Kose, Eswar Prasad and Marco Terrones

14557: The Evolution of Corporate Ownership After IPO: The Impact of Investor Protection

C. Fritz Foley and Robin Greenwood

14556: A Resource Belief-Curse? Oil and Individualism

Rafael Di Tella, Juan Dubra and Robert MacCulloch

14555: Great Fortunes of the Gilded Age

Hugh Rockoff

14554: Task Trade between Similar Countries

Gene Grossman and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg

14553: The Slow Decline of East Germany

Harald Uhlig

14552: An Exploration of Local R&D Spillovers in France

Jacques Mairesse and Benoît Mulkay

14551: What are the Effects of Fiscal Policy Shocks?

Andrew Mountford and Harald Uhlig

14550: Improving Educational Outcomes for Poor Children

Brian Jacob and Jens Ludwig

14549: Bankruptcy: Past Puzzles, Recent Reforms, and the Mortgage Crisis

Michelle White

14548: What is a Company Really Worth? Intangible Capital and the "Market to Book Value" Puzzle

Charles R. Hulten and Xiaohui Hao

14547: Can Structural Small Open Economy Models Account for the Influence of Foreign Disturbances?

Alejandro Justiniano and Bruce Preston

14546: Why are Saving Rates of Urban Households in China Rising?

Marcos Chamon and Eswar Prasad

14545: Mandates and the Affordability of Health Care

Sherry A. Glied

14544: Mispricing of S&P 500 Index Options

George Constantinides, Jens Carsten Jackwerth and Stylianos Perrakis

14543: Asset Pricing Tests with Long Run Risks in Consumption Growth

George Constantinides and Anisha Ghosh

14542: The Estimated Effects of the Euro on Trade: Why Are They Below Historical Effects of Monetary Unions Among Smaller Countries?

Jeffrey Frankel

14541: More Women Missing, Fewer Girls Dying: The Impact of Abortion on Sex Ratios at Birth and Excess Female Mortality in Taiwan

Ming-Jen Lin, Nancy Qian and Jin-Tan Liu

14540: Labor Supply Responses to Marginal Social Security Benefits: Evidence from Discontinuities

Jeffrey Liebman, Erzo Luttmer and David G. Seif

14539: Happiness Adaptation to Income beyond "Basic Needs"

Rafael Di Tella and Robert MacCulloch

14538: Financial Literacy, Information, and Demand Elasticity: Survey and Experimental Evidence from Mexico

Justine Hastings and Lydia Tejeda-Ashton

14537: Top Wage Incomes in Japan, 1951-2005

Chiaki Moriguchi

14536: Heights and Human Welfare: Recent Developments and New Directions

Richard Steckel

14535: Estimating the Effect of Student Aid on College Enrollment: Evidence from a Government Grant Policy Reform

Helena Nielsen, Torben Sørensen and Christopher R. Taber

14534: Inflation Determination with Taylor Rules: Is New Keynesian Analysis Critically Flawed?

Bennett McCallum

14533: Assessing the Emerging Global Financial Architecture: Measuring the Trilemma's Configurations over Time

Joshua Aizenman, Menzie Chinn and Hiro Ito

14532: Bretton Woods and the Great Inflation

Michael Bordo and Barry Eichengreen

14531: Credit Constraints, Heterogeneous Firms, and International Trade

Kalina Manova

14530: Do Enterprise Zones Create Jobs? Evidence from California's Enterprise Zone Program

David Neumark and Jed Kolko

14529: Business Cycles in the Euro Area

Domenico Giannone, Michele Lenza and Lucrezia Reichlin

14528: Emerging Market Currency Excess Returns

Stephen Gilmore and Fumio Hayashi

14527: Dynamic Globalization and Its Potentially Alarming Prospects for Low-Wage Workers

Hans Fehr, Sabine Jokisch and Laurence Kotlikoff

14526: Dynamic Merger Review

Volker Nocke and Michael Whinston

14525: Impossible Frontiers

Thomas J. Brennan and Andrew Lo

14524: High Birth Weight and Cognitive Outcomes

Resul Cesur and Inas Rashad

14523: An Institutional Theory of Momentum and Reversal

Dimitri Vayanos and Paul Woolley

14522: Estimating Marginal Returns to Medical Care: Evidence from At-Risk Newborns

Douglas Almond, Joseph J. Doyle, Jr., Amanda Kowalski and Heidi Williams

14521: Financial Crash, Commodity Prices and Global Imbalances

Ricardo Caballero, Emmanuel Farhi and Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas

14520: The Unofficial Economy and Economic Development

Rafael La Porta and Andrei Shleifer

14519: Re-Evaluating Swedish Membership in EMU: Evidence from an Estimated Model

Ulf Söderström

14518: Did Mergers Help Japanese Mega-Banks Avoid Failure? Analysis of the Distance to Default of Banks

Kimie Harada and Takatoshi Ito

14517: Intermediary Asset Pricing

Zhiguo He and Arvind Krishnamurthy

14516: The Value of School Facilities: Evidence from a Dynamic Regression Discontinuity Design

Stephanie Riegg Cellini, Fernando Ferreira and Jesse Rothstein

14515: Physical Capital, Knowledge Capital and the Choice Between FDI and Outsourcing

Yongmin Chen, Ignatius Horstmann and James Markusen

14514: A Depressing Scenario: Mortgage Debt Becomes Unemployment Insurance

Casey Mulligan

14513: No Time to Lose? Time Constraints and Physical Activity

John Mullahy and Stephanie A. Robert

14512: Tobit at Fifty: A Brief History of Tobin's Remarkable Estimator, of Related Empirical Methods, and of Limited Dependent Variable Econometrics in Health Economics

Kohei Enami and John Mullahy

14511: Term Length and Political Performance

Ernesto Dal Bó and Martín Rossi

14510: Monetary Policy Trade-Offs in an Estimated Open-Economy DSGE Model

Malin Adolfson, Stefan Laséen, Jesper Lindé and Lars Svensson

14509: An Exploration of the Japanese Slowdown during the 1990s

Diego Comin

14508: Self-Esteem, Moral Capital, and Wrongdoing

Ernesto Dal Bó and Marko Terviö

14507: Life Satisfaction and Quality of Development

John Helliwell

14506: The Strategic Timing Incentives of Commercial Radio Stations: An Empirical Analysis Using Multiple Equilibria

Andrew Sweeting

14505: Equilibrium Price Dynamics in Perishable Goods Markets: The Case of Secondary Markets for Major League Baseball Tickets

Andrew Sweeting

14504: Sacred Cars? Optimal Regulation of Stationary and Non-stationary Pollution Sources

Meredith Fowlie, Christopher Knittel and Catherine Wolfram

14503: Tracing the Woes: An Empirical Analysis of the Airline Industry

Steven Berry and Panle Jia

14502: On the Sorting of Physicians across Medical Occupations

Pascal Courty and Gerald Marschke

14501: Contracts as Reference Points - Experimental Evidence

Ernst Fehr, Oliver Hart and Christian Zehnder

14500: Price Momentum In Stocks: Insights From Victorian Age Data

Benjamin Chabot, Eric Ghysels and Ravi Jagannathan

14499: Understanding PPPs and PPP-based national accounts

Angus Deaton and Alan Heston

14498: The Future of American Fertility

Samuel H. Preston and Caroline Sten Hartnett

14497: China and the Manufacturing Exports of Other Developing Countries

Gordon Hanson and Raymond Robertson

14496: Taxes on Tax-Exempt Bonds

Andrew Ang, Vineer Bhansali and Yuhang Xing

14495: Adjusting to Trade Policy: Evidence from U.S. Antidumping Duties on Vietnamese Catfish

Irene Brambilla, Guido Porto and Alessandro Tarozzi

14494: Taxing Corporate Income

Alan Auerbach, Michael Devereux and Helen Simpson

14493: The Structure of Protection and Growth in the Late 19th Century

Sibylle Lehmann-Hasemeyer and Kevin O'Rourke

14492: Understanding Crude Oil Prices

James Hamilton

14491: The Flattening Firm and Product Market Competition: The Effect of Trade Liberalization

Maria Guadalupe and Julie Wulf

14490: The Economic Consequences of the International Migration of Labor

Gordon Hanson

14489: How Central Bankers See It: The First Decade of ECB Policy and Beyond

Stephen Cecchetti and Kermit Schoenholtz

14488: Capital Structure and Debt Structure

Joshua Rauh and Amir Sufi

14487: Storable Votes and Agenda Order Control. Theory and Experiments

Alessandra Casella

14486: The Role of Boards of Directors in Corporate Governance: A Conceptual Framework and Survey

Renee Adams, Benjamin Hermalin and Michael Weisbach

14485: Can You Recognize an Effective Teacher When You Recruit One?

Jonah E. Rockoff, Brian A. Jacob, Thomas J. Kane and Doug Staiger

14484: Luddites and the Demographic Transition

Kevin O'Rourke, Ahmed Rahman and Alan Taylor

14483: Reality versus Propaganda in the Formation of Beliefs about Privatization

Rafael Di Tella, Sebastian Galiani and Ernesto Schargrodsky

14482: Child Health and Young Adult Outcomes

Janet Currie, Mark Stabile, Phongsack Manivong and Leslie L. Roos

14481: Globalization and innovation in emerging markets

Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Jan Svejnar and Katherine Terrell

14480: Self-Enforcing Stochastic Monitoring and the Separation of Debt and Equity Claims

Harold Cole

14479: The Euro and Structural Reforms

Alberto Alesina, Silvia Ardagna and Vincenzo Galasso

14478: Inequality and Unemployment in a Global Economy

Elhanan Helpman, Oleg Itskhoki and Stephen Redding

14477: Outsourcing when Investments are Specific and Complementary

Alla Lileeva and Johannes Van Biesebroeck

14476: Why the European Securities Market is Not Fully Integrated

Alberto Giovannini

14475: Peer Effects, Teacher Incentives, and the Impact of Tracking: Evidence from a Randomized Evaluation in Kenya

Esther Duflo, Pascaline Dupas and Michael Kremer

14474: Child Care Subsidies and Child Development

Chris M. Herbst and Erdal Tekin

14473: Carry Trades and Currency Crashes

Markus Brunnermeier, Stefan Nagel and Lasse Pedersen

14472: Are Big Cities Bad Places to Live? Estimating Quality of Life across Metropolitan Areas

David Albouy

14471: Mental Health Parity Legislation, Cost-Sharing and Substance Abuse Treatment Admissions

Dhaval Dave and Swati Mukerjee

14470: Are Mixed Neighborhoods Always Unstable? Two-Sided and One-Sided Tipping

David Card, Alexandre Mas and Jesse Rothstein

14469: Identification and Estimation of 'Irregular' Correlated Random Coefficient Models

Bryan Graham and James Powell

14468: The Political Economy of the U.S. Mortgage Default Crisis

Atif Mian, Amir Sufi and Francesco Trebbi

14467: The Experimental Approach to Development Economics

Abhijit Banerjee and Esther Duflo

14466: Effects of Welfare Reform on Educational Acquisition of Young Adult Women

Dhaval Dave, Nancy E. Reichman and Hope Corman

14465: What Happened To The Quants In August 2007?: Evidence from Factors and Transactions Data

Amir E. Khandani and Andrew Lo

14464: Risk Taking and Gender in Hierarchies

Suzanne Scotchmer

14463: An Arbitrage-Free Generalized Nelson-Siegel Term Structure Model

Jens Christensen, Francis Diebold and Glenn Rudebusch

14462: The Rise of Retirement Among African Americans: Wealth and Social Security Effects

Dora Costa