NBER Working Papers

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18361: Recessions, Older Workers, and Longevity: How Long Are Recessions Good For Your Health?

Courtney Coile, Phillip Levine and Robin McKnight

18360: The Asymmetric Effects of Financial Frictions

Guillermo Ordonez

18359: Consumer Inertia and Firm Pricing in the Medicare Part D Prescription Drug Insurance Exchange

Keith Ericson

18358: Valuation, Adverse Selection, and Market Collapses

Michael J. Fishman and Jonathan Parker

18357: A Long-Run Risks Explanation of Predictability Puzzles in Bond and Currency Markets

Ravi Bansal and Ivan Shaliastovich

18356: Syndicated Loan Spreads and the Composition of the Syndicate

Jongha Lim, Bernadette A. Minton and Michael Weisbach

18355: Elections and the Quality of Public Officials: Evidence from U.S. State Courts

Claire S.H. Lim and James Snyder

18354: A Theory of Political and Economic Cycles

Laurence Ales, Pricila Maziero and Pierre Yared

18353: Foreclosure externalities: Some new evidence

Kristopher Gerardi, Eric Rosenblatt, Paul Willen and Vincent Yao

18352: A Tale of Politically-Failing Single-Currency Area

Assaf Razin and Steven Rosefielde

18351: Network Structure and the Aggregation of Information: Theory and Evidence from Indonesia

Vivi Alatas, Abhijit Banerjee, Arun Chandrasekhar, Rema Hanna and Benjamin Olken

18350: From Empty Pews to Empty Cradles: Fertility Decline Among European Catholics

Eli Berman, Laurence Iannaccone and Giuseppe Ragusa

18349: Does the Effect of Pollution on Infant Mortality Differ Between Developing and Developed Countries? Evidence from Mexico City

Eva Arceo-Gomez, Rema Hanna and Paulina Oliva

18348: Refining Linear Rational Expectations Models and Equilibria

Seonghoon Cho and Bennett McCallum

18347: Wages and Informality in Developing Countries

Costas Meghir, Renata Narita and Jean-Marc Robin

18346: R&D and the Incentives from Merger and Acquisition Activity

Gordon Phillips and Alexei Zhdanov

18345: Temperature, Human Health, and Adaptation: A Review of the Empirical Literature

Olivier Deschenes

18344: Knowledge is (Less) Power: Experimental Evidence from Residential Energy Use

Katrina Jessoe and David Rapson

18343: The Labor Market Returns to a For-Profit College Education

Stephanie Riegg Cellini and Latika Chaudhary

18342: The Distributional Effects of the Social Security Windfall Elimination Provision

Jeffrey Brown and Scott Weisbenner

18341: The Impact of Physical Education on Obesity among Elementary School Children

John Cawley, David Frisvold and Chad Meyerhoefer

18340: Promotional Reviews: An Empirical Investigation of Online Review Manipulation

Dina Mayzlin, Yaniv Dover and Judith Chevalier

18339: Mortgage Market Design

John Campbell

18338: Back to the Future? Abortion Before & After Roe

Ted Joyce, Ruoding Tan and Yuxiu Zhang

18337: Sources of Comparative Advantage in Polluting Industries

Fernando Broner, Paula Bustos and Vasco Carvalho

18336: The Output Effect of Fiscal Consolidations

Alberto Alesina, Carlo Favero and Francesco Giavazzi

18335: Which Financial Frictions? Parsing the Evidence from the Financial Crisis of 2007-9

Tobias Adrian, Paolo Colla and Hyun Song Shin

18334: Job Polarization and Jobless Recoveries

Nir Jaimovich and Henry Siu

18333: Entrepreneurship and Urban Growth: An Empirical Assessment with Historical Mines

Edward Glaeser, Sari Pekkala Kerr and William Kerr

18332: Equalizing Outcomes and Equalizing Opportunities: Optimal Taxation when Children's Abilities Depend on Parents' Resources

Alexander Gelber and Matthew Weinzierl

18331: Mussa Redux and Conditional PPP

Paul Bergin, Reuven Glick and Jyh-Lin Wu

18330: Taylor Rule Exchange Rate Forecasting During the Financial Crisis

Tanya Molodtsova and David Papell

18329: Debt- and Equity-Led Capital Flow Episodes

Kristin Forbes and Francis Warnock

18328: Development, Discouragement, or Diversion? New Evidence on the Effects of College Remediation

Judith Scott-Clayton and Olga Rodriguez

18327: Lead Policy and Academic Performance: Insights from Massachusetts

Jessica Wolpaw Reyes

18326: Do Higher Tobacco Taxes Reduce Adult Smoking? New Evidence of the Effect of Recent Cigarette Tax Increases on Adult Smoking

Kevin Callison and Robert Kaestner

18325: Hoping to Win, Expected to Lose: Theory and Lessons on Micro Enterprise Development

Dean Karlan, Ryan Knight and Christopher Udry

18324: The Effect of School Choice on Intrinsic Motivation and Academic Outcomes

Justine Hastings, Christopher Neilson and Seth Zimmerman

18323: A Continuity Refinement for Rational Expectations Solutions

Bennett McCallum

18322: The Effect of Income and Immigration Policies on International Migration

Francesc Ortega and Giovanni Peri

18321: The Cost of Financial Frictions for Life Insurers

Ralph Koijen and Motohiro Yogo

18320: Race and the Politics of Close Elections

Tom Vogl

18319: Marriage Institutions and Sibling Competition: Evidence from South Asia

Tom Vogl

18318: Height, Skills, and Labor Market Outcomes in Mexico

Tom Vogl

18317: The Value of Bosses

Edward Lazear, Kathryn Shaw and Christopher T. Stanton

18316: Do Patent Pools Encourage Innovation? Evidence from 20 U.S. Industries under the New Deal

Ryan L. Lampe and Petra Moser

18315: Is U.S. Economic Growth Over? Faltering Innovation Confronts the Six Headwinds

Robert Gordon

18314: International Prices and Endogenous Quality

Robert Feenstra and John Romalis

18313: The Need for Enemies

Leopoldo Fergusson, James Robinson, Ragnar Torvik and Juan Vargas

18312: Resident Networks and Firm Trade

Lauren Cohen, Umit Gurun and Christopher Malloy

18311: Policy Intervention in Debt Renegotiation: Evidence from the Home Affordable Modification Program

Sumit Agarwal, Gene Amromin, Itzhak Ben-David, Souphala Chomsisengphet, Tomasz Piskorski and Amit Seru

18310: Immigration and Production Technology

Ethan Lewis

18309: Saving Teens: Using a Policy Discontinuity to Estimate the Effects of Medicaid Eligibility

Bruce Meyer and Laura Wherry

18308: The Validity of Consumption Data: Are the Consumer Expenditure Interview and Diary Surveys Informative?

C. Bee, Bruce Meyer and James Sullivan

18307: Open Borders

John Kennan

18306: The SO2 Allowance Trading System: The Ironic History of a Grand Policy Experiment

Richard Schmalensee and Robert Stavins

18305: Risks For the Long Run: Estimation with Time Aggregation

Ravi Bansal, Dana Kiku and Amir Yaron

18304: An Empirical Analysis of the Fed's Term Auction Facility

Efraim Benmelech

18303: Banks, Sovereign Debt and the International Transmission of Business Cycles

Luca Guerrieri, Matteo Iacoviello and Raoul Minetti

18302: Did the Americanization Movement Succeed? An Evaluation of the Effect of English-Only and Compulsory Schools Laws on Immigrants' Education

Adriana Lleras-Muney and Allison Shertzer

18301: The Choice of Discount Rate for Climate Change Policy Evaluation

Lawrence H. Goulder and Roberton Williams

18300: Risk and Returns to Education

Jeffrey Brown, Chichun Fang and Francisco Gomes

18299: Removing Financial Barriers to Organ and Bone Marrow Donation: The Effect of Leave and Tax Legislation in the U.S

Nicola Lacetera, Mario Macis and Sarah Stith

18298: Have the Poor Always Been Less Likely to Migrate? Evidence From Inheritance Practices During the Age of Mass Migration

Ran Abramitzky, Leah Boustan and Katherine Eriksson

18297: Private Equity and the Innovation Strategies of Entrepreneurial Firms: Empirical Evidence from the Small Business Innovation Research Program

Albert Link, Christopher Ruhm and Donald Siegel

18296: When the Levee Breaks: Black Migration and Economic Development in the American South

Richard Hornbeck and Suresh Naidu

18295: Convergence and Modernization Revisited

Robert Barro

18294: The Impact of Right to Carry Laws and the NRC Report: The Latest Lessons for the Empirical Evaluation of Law and Policy

Abhay Aneja, John Donohue and Alexandria Zhang

18293: Measuring Price Elasticities for Residential Water Demand with Limited Information

Henry Klaiber, V. Smith, Michael Kaminsky and Aaron Strong

18292: Lens or Prism? Patent Citations as a Measure of Knowledge Flows from Public Research

Michael Roach and Wesley M. Cohen

18291: Legislating Stock Prices

Lauren Cohen, Karl B. Diether and Christopher Malloy

18290: The Great Leveraging

Alan Taylor

18289: The Financial Sector in Burundi

Janvier D. Nkurunziza, Leonce Ndikumana and Prime Nyamoya

18288: International Trade and Institutional Change: Medieval Venice's Response to Globalization

Diego Puga and Daniel Trefler

18287: Defying Gravity: How Long Will Japanese Government Bond Prices Remain High?

Takeo Hoshi and Takatoshi Ito

18286: Does it Matter if Your Health Insurer is For-Profit? Effects of Ownership on Premiums, Insurance Coverage, and Medical Spending

Leemore Dafny and Subramaniam Ramanarayanan

18285: The Price Theory of Money, Prospero's Liquidity Trap, and Sudden Stop: Back to Basics and Back

Guillermo Calvo

18284: The Evolution of Endogenous Business Cycles

Roger Farmer

18283: Over-optimistic Official Forecasts in the Eurozone and Fiscal Rules

Jeffrey Frankel and Jesse Schreger

18282: Private Information and Insurance Rejections

Nathaniel Hendren

18281: The Trillion Dollar Conundrum: Complementarities and Health Information Technology

David Dranove, Christopher Forman, Avi Goldfarb and Shane Greenstein

18280: Fiscal Unions

Iván Werning and Emmanuel Farhi

18279: Am I my Brother's Keeper? Sibling Spillover Effects: The Case of Developmental Disabilities and Externalizing Behavior

Jason Fletcher, Nicole L. Hair and Barbara Wolfe

18278: Airports and Urban Growth: Evidence from a Quasi-Natural Policy Experiment

Bruce Blonigen and Anca Cristea

18277: Heterogeneity in High Math Achievement Across Schools: Evidence from the American Mathematics Competitions

Glenn Ellison and Ashley Swanson

18276: Homework in Monetary Economics: Inflation, Home Production, and the Production of Homes

S. Boragan Aruoba, Morris Davis and Randall Wright

18275: National Institutions and Subnational Development in Africa

Stelios Michalopoulos and Elias Papaioannou

18274: Time to Ship During Financial Crises

Nicolas Berman, José De Sousa, Philippe Martin and Thierry Mayer

18273: The Cyclicality of Sales, Regular and Effective Prices: Business Cycle and Policy Implications

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Gee Hee Hong

18272: New Multi-City Estimates of the Changes in Home Values, 1920-1940

Price Fishback and Trevor Kollmann

18271: What Was New About the New Deal?

Price Fishback and John Joseph Wallis

18270: Did Capital Requirements and Fair Value Accounting Spark Fire Sales in Distressed Mortgage-Backed Securities?

Craig B. Merrill, Taylor D. Nadauld, René Stulz and Shane Sherlund

18269: A New Look at Second Liens

Donghoon Lee, Christopher Mayer and Joseph Tracy

18268: Letter Grading Government Efficiency

Alberto Chong, Rafael La Porta, Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shleifer

18267: Defensive Investments and the Demand for Air Quality: Evidence from the NOx Budget Program and Ozone Reductions

Olivier Deschenes, Michael Greenstone and Joseph Shapiro

18266: Endogenous Skill Acquisition and Export Manufacturing in Mexico

David Atkin

18265: Mismatch Unemployment

Aysegul Sahin, Joseph Song, Giorgio Topa and Giovanni Violante

18264: Economic Effects of Runs on Early 'Shadow Banks': Trust Companies and the Impact of the Panic of 1907

Carola Frydman, Eric Hilt and Lily Y. Zhou

18263: As Certain as Debt and Taxes: Estimating the Tax Sensitivity of Leverage from Exogenous State Tax Changes

Florian Heider and Alexander Ljungqvist

18262: Risk and Return in Environmental Economics

Robert Pindyck