NBER Working Papers

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33241: LASH risk and Interest Rates

Laura Alfaro, Saleem Bahaj, Robert Czech, Jonathon Hazell and Ioana Neamtu

33240: Beyond Bruen: Can Firearm Training Replace Local Discretion in Concealed Carry Permitting?

John Donohue, Matthew Benavides, Amy L. Zhang and Alex Oktay

33239: Toward an Understanding of the Political Economy of Using Field Experiments in Policymaking

Guglielmo Briscese and John List

33238: Assessing Assessors

Huaizhi Chen and Lauren Cohen

33237: Hustling From Home? Work From Home Flexibility and Entrepreneurial Entry

John Barrios, Yael Hochberg and Hanyi (Livia) Yi

33236: A Practical Guide to Shift-Share Instruments

Kirill Borusyak, Peter Hull and Xavier Jaravel

33235: The Effects of Gender Integration on Men: Evidence from the U.S. Military

Kyle Greenberg, Melanie Wasserman and Anna Weber

33234: How Curvy is the Phillips Curve?

Philip Bunn, Lena Anayi, Nicholas Bloom, Paul Mizen, Gregory Thwaites and Ivan Yotzov

33233: A Theory of How Workers Keep Up With Inflation

Hassan Afrouzi, Andrés Blanco, Andrés Drenik and Erik Hurst

33232: Halloween, ADHD, and Subjectivity in Medical Diagnosis

Christopher Worsham, Charles Bray and Anupam Jena

33231: Are Some Angels Better than Others?

Johan Karlsen, Katja Kisseleva, Aksel Mjøs and David Robinson

33230: You Can Take Them With You: Recruiting Coworkers to One's Own New Firm

Marc-Andreas Muendler, James Rauch and Sérgio Koyama

33229: Why Aren't There More Minority Entrepreneurs?

Victor M. Bennett and David Robinson

33228: A Market Interpretation of Treatment Effects

Robert Minton and Casey Mulligan

33227: Minimum Viable Signal: Venture Funding, Social Movements, and Race

Matt Marx, Qian Wang and Emmanuel Yimfor

33226: Investor Memory and Biased Beliefs: Evidence from the Field

Zhengyang Jiang, Hongqi Liu, Cameron Peng and Hongjun Yan

33225: Valuing Policy Characteristics and New Products using a Simple Linear Program

Spencer Banzhaf

33224: Business Applications as a Leading Economic Indicator?

Jose Asturias, Emin Dinlersoz, John Haltiwanger, Rebecca J. Hutchinson and Alyson Plumb

33223: Gender Composition and Group Behavior: Evidence from US City Councils

Emilia Brito Rebolledo, Jesse Bruhn, Thea How Choon and Anna Weber

33222: Is Swedish Household Debt Too High? Solvency, Liquidity, and Debt-Financed Overconsumption

Lars Svensson

33221: Search Costs, Intermediation, and Trade: Experimental Evidence from Ugandan Agricultural Markets

Lauren F. Bergquist, Craig McIntosh and Meredith Startz

33220: Tearing the Paper Ceiling: The Impact of State Commitments to Remove Degree Requirements on Public Awareness and Job Opportunities for STARs

Justin Heck, Blair Corcoran de Castillo, Peter Q. Blair and Papia Debroy

33219: Careers and Wages in Family Firms: Evidence from Matched Employer-Employee Data

Edoardo Di Porto, Marco Pagano, Vincenzo Pezone, Raffaele Saggio and Fabiano Schivardi

33218: Growth and Fluctuations: An Overview

Joseph Stiglitz

33217: Painful Bargaining: Evidence from Anesthesia Rollups

Aslihan Asil, Paulo Ramos, Amanda Starc and Thomas G. Wollmann

33216: Predicting College Closures and Financial Distress

Robert J. Kelchen, Dubravka Ritter and Douglas Webber

33215: Dispersed Information, Nominal Rigidities and Monetary Business Cycles: A Hayekian Perspective

Christian Hellwig and Venky Venkateswaran

33214: The Causal Effects of Income on Political Attitudes and Behavior: A Randomized Field Experiment

David E. Broockman, Elizabeth Rhodes, Alexander Bartik, Karina Dotson, Sarah Miller, Patrick K. Krause and Eva Vivalt

33213: Subsidizing Medical Spending through the Tax Code: Take-Up, Targeting and the Cost of Claiming

Gopi Goda

33212: The Political Economy of School Finance Systems with Endogenous State and Local Tax Policies

Stephen Calabrese, Dennis Epple and Richard Romano

33211: Systemic Risk Measures: From the Panic of 1907 to the Banking Stress of 2023

Viral Acharya, Markus Brunnermeier and Diane Pierret

33210: Unresolved Conflict in Workers' Compensation: The Impact of Legal Representation on Workers' Compensation Benefits

Bogdan Savych and David Neumark

33209: Household Responses to Guaranteed Income: Experimental Evidence from Compton, California

Sidhya Balakrishnan, Sewin Chan, Sara Constantino, Johannes Haushofer and Jonathan Morduch

33208: FinTech Lending to Borrowers with No Credit History

Laura Chioda, Paul Gertler, Sean Higgins and Paolina C. Medina

33207: The End of Oil

Ryan Kellogg

33206: Financial Conditions Targeting

Ricardo Caballero, Tomás E. Caravello and Alp Simsek

33205: Estimating Gross Output Production Functions

Markus Trunschke and Kenneth Judd

33204: From Novelty to Norm: Uncovering the Drivers of Virtual Tour Effectiveness in Real Estate Sales

Miremad Soleymanian and Yi Qian

33203: Gender-Based Violence in Schools and Girls’ Education: Experimental Evidence from Mozambique

Sofia Amaral, Aixa Garcia-Ramos, Selim Gulesci, Alejandra Ramos, Sarita P. Ore-Quispe and Maria Micaela Sviatschi

33202: r-g before and after the Great Wars 1507-2023

Kenneth Rogoff and Paul Schmelzing

33201: Market Power and Redeemable Loyalty Token Design

Kenneth Rogoff, Zhiheng He and Yang You

33200: Labor Force Transitions

Rui Castro, Fabian Lange and Markus Poschke

33199: The Effects of Lump-Sum Food Benefits during the COVID-19 Pandemic on Spending, Hardship, and Health

Lauren L. Bauer, Krista Ruffini and Diane Schanzenbach

33198: Generative AI for Economic Research: LLMs Learn to Collaborate and Reason

Anton Korinek

33197: Rate-Based Emissions Trading with Overlapping Policies: Insights from Theory and an Application to China

Carolyn Fischer, Chenfei Qu and Lawrence H. Goulder

33196: Using Stock Price Movements to Estimate the Harm from Collusive Drug Patent Litigation Settlements

Keith M. Drake and Thomas McGuire

33195: Liquidity Traps: A Unified Theory of the Great Depression and Great Recession

Gauti Eggertsson and Sergey Egiev

33194: Private Equity for Pension Plans? Evaluating Private Equity Performance from an Investor's Perspective

Arthur Korteweg, Stavros Panageas and Anand Systla

33193: How Institutions Interact with Exchange Rates After the 2024 US Presidential Election: New High-Frequency Evidence

Joshua Aizenman and Jamel Saadaoui

33192: How Important Are Cultural Frictions for Internal Migration? Evidence from the Nineteenth Century United States

Taylor Jaworski, Erik Kimbrough and Nicole Saito

33191: Development Mismatch? Evidence from Agricultural Projects in Pastoral Africa

Eoin McGuirk and Nathan Nunn

33190: Sticky Inflation: Monetary Policy when Debt Drags Inflation Expectations

Saki Bigio, Nicolas Caramp and Dejanir Silva

33189: Taxing the Wealth of the Poor: Evidence from the Danish Old-Age Support Asset Test

Niels Johannesen, Johan Sæverud and Emmanuel Saez

33188: Why Has Construction Productivity Stagnated? The Role of Land-Use Regulation

Leonardo D'Amico, Edward Glaeser, Joseph Gyourko, William Kerr and Giacomo Ponzetto

33187: Adverse Selection and (un)Natural Monopoly in Insurance Markets

Edward Kong, Timothy Layton and Mark Shepard

33186: Racial Screening on the Big Screen? Evidence from the Motion Picture Industry

Liang Zhong, Angela Crema and M. Daniele Paserman

33185: Shifting Patterns of Social Interaction: Exploring the Social Life of Urban Spaces Through A.I

Arianna Salazar-Miranda, Zhuangyuan Fan, Michael B. Baick, Keith N. Hampton, Fabio Duarte, Becky P.Y. Loo, Edward Glaeser and Carlo Ratti

33184: Assortative Matching and Wages: The Role of Selection

Katarína Borovičková and Robert Shimer

33183: Fintech, Visual Attention, and Financial Inclusion: A Field Experiment on Migrant Remittances

Eduardo Nakasone, Maximo Torero and Angelino Viceisza

33182: Long-Run Effects of Food Assistance: Evidence from the Food Stamp Program and Administrative Data

Marianne Bitler and Theodore F. Figinski

33181: Household Saving in Japan: The Past, Present, and Future

Charles Horioka

33180: The Forward Guidance Puzzle is not a Puzzle

Gauti Eggertsson and Finn D. Schüle

33179: Overcoming Racial Gaps in School Preferences: The Effect of Peer Diversity on School Choice

Clemence M. Idoux and Viola Corradini

33178: The Rise of E-Wallet Super-Apps and Buy-Now-Pay-Later

Wenlong Bian, Lin Cong and Yang Ji

33177: Flexible Pay and Labor Supply: Evidence from Uber’s Instant Pay

M. Keith Chen, Katherine Feinerman and Kareem Haggag

33176: Couch-Locked with the Munchies: Effects of Recreational Marijuana Laws on Exercise and Nutrition

Thomas Wilk, Monica Deza, Timothy Hodge and Shooshan Danagoulian

33175: A New Measure of Surviving Children that Sheds Light on Long-term Trends in Fertility

Anup Malani and Ari Jacob

33174: Federal Reserve Independence and Congressional Intent: A Reappraisal of Marriner Eccles’ Role in the Reformulation of the Fed in 1935

Gary Richardson and David Wilcox

33173: FinTech Platforms and Asymmetric Network Effects: Theory and Evidence from Marketplace Lending

Lin Cong, Ke Tang, Danxia Xie and Weiyi Zhao

33172: From Labor to Intermediates: Firm Growth, Input Substitution, and Monopsony

Matthias Mertens and Benjamin Schoefer

33171: Investing in Customer Capital

Bianca He, Lauren I. Mostrom and Amir Sufi

33170: Greens are Right to be Suspicious of Carbon Offsets

Geoffrey Heal

33169: The Signaling Value of Government Action: The Effect of Istanbul Convention on Female Murders

Gunes Asik and Naci Mocan

33168: Textual Factors: A Scalable, Interpretable, and Data-driven Approach to Analyzing Unstructured Information

Lin Cong, Tengyuan Liang, Xiao Zhang and Wu Zhu

33167: Minimum Wages and Race Disparities

David Neumark and Jyotsana Kala

33166: Immobility As Memory: Some New Approaches to Characterizing Intergenerational Persistence via Markov Chains

Lawrence Blume, Neil A. Cholli, Steven Durlauf and Aleksandra Lukina

33165: The Value of Statistical Life for Seniors

Jonathan D. Ketcham, Nicolai Kuminoff and Nirman Saha

33164: The G.I. Bill, Standardized Testing, and Socioeconomic Origins of the U.S. Educational Elite Over a Century

Ran Abramitzky, Jennifer K. Kowalski, Santiago Perez and Joseph Price

33163: The Misery of Diversity

Resul Cesur and Sadullah Yıldırım

33162: The Politics of Global Public Goods

Bard Harstad

33161: On International Cooperation

Bard Harstad

33160: A Simple Model of Average Inflation Targeting

Laurence Ball and Junnan Zhang

33159: Beyond the Fundamentals: How Media-Driven Narratives Influence Cross-Border Capital Flows

Isha Agarwal, Wentong Chen and Eswar Prasad

33158: Economic Surveillance using Corporate Text

Tarek Hassan, Stephan Hollander, Aakash Kalyani, Laurence van Lent, Markus Schwedeler and Ahmed Tahoun

33157: The Distributional Implications of Itemized Medical Deductions

Gopi Goda, Ithai Lurie, Priyanka S. Parikh and Chelsea Swete

33156: Forecasting Natural Gas Prices in Real Time

Christiane Baumeister, Florian Huber, Thomas K. Lee and Francesco Ravazzolo

33155: Nonpayment and Eviction in the Rental Housing Market

John Humphries, Scott T. Nelson, Dam Linh Nguyen, Winnie van Dijk and Daniel C. Waldinger

33154: Unwarranted Racial Disparity in U.S. Foster Care Placement

E. Jason Baron, Joseph J. Doyle, Natalia Emanuel and Peter Hull

33153: The Evolution of Gender in the Labor Market

Claudia Olivetti, Jessica Pan and Barbara Petrongolo

33152: The Economics of “Buy Now, Pay Later”: A Merchant’s Perspective

Tobias Berg, Valentin Burg, Jan Keil and Manju Puri

33151: Estimating Aggregate Human Capital Externalities

Junjie Guo, Nicolas Roys and Ananth Seshadri

33150: The Color of Ideas: Racial Dynamics and Citations in Economics

Marlène Koffi, Roland Pongou and Leonard Wantchekon

33149: Wage Adjustment in Efficient Long-Term Employment Relationships

Michael Elsby, Axel Gottfries, Pawel Krolikowski and Gary Solon

33148: The Economics of Net Zero Banking

Adair Morse and Parinitha R. Sastry

33147: Therapy to Reduce Violence and Improve Institutional Safety During Incarceration

Mary Kate Batistich, William Evans, Tyler Giles and Rebecca Margolit-Chan

33146: The Power of Daughters: How Physicians' Family Influences Female Patients' Health

Mette Gørtz, Ida L. Kristiansen and Tianyi Wang

33145: Capital Flow Stability and Policy Challenges in Southeast Asia: Historical Perspectives from the 19th to the 21st Century

Christopher Meissner and Kensuke Molnar-Tanaka

33144: Nonlinear Pricing and Misallocation

Gideon Bornstein and Alessandra Peter

33143: Trade, Trees, and Lives

Xinming Du, Lei Li and Eric Zou

33142: Liquidity Shocks and Firm Exports: Evidence from Cash Shortages During India’s Demonetization

Ritam Chaurey, Ryan Kim and Pravin Krishna