NBER Working Papers

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12609: Equilibrium Yield Curves

Monika Piazzesi and Martin Schneider

12608: Methodological Issues in the Evaluation of Parental Involvement Laws: Evidence from Texas

Silvie Colman, Ted Joyce and Robert Kaestner

12607: Further Tests of Abortion and Crime: A Response to Donohue and Levitt (2001,2004, 2006)

Ted Joyce

12606: The Conquest of South American Inflation

Thomas Sargent, Noah Williams and Tao Zha

12605: Sticky Information in General Equilibrium

N. Gregory Mankiw and Ricardo Reis

12604: Strategic Incompatibility in ATM Markets

Christopher Knittel and Victor Stango

12603: Lead Pipes and Child Mortality

Karen Clay, Werner Troesken and Michael Haines

12602: Trade Costs in the First Wave of Globalization

David Jacks, Christopher Meissner and Dennis Novy

12601: The Causes and Consequences of Land Use Regulation: Evidence from Greater Boston

Edward Glaeser and Bryce Ward

12600: Progressive Estate Taxation

Emmanuel Farhi and Iván Werning

12599: You Cannot be Serious: The Conceptual Innovator as Trickster

David Galenson

12598: The Assignment of Property Rights on the Western Frontier: Lessons for Contemporary Environmental and Resource Policy

Gary Libecap

12597: Defined Contribution Plans, Defined Benefit Plans, and the Accumulation of Retirement Wealth

James Poterba, Joshua Rauh, Steven Venti and David Wise

12596: Professor Qualities and Student Achievement

Florian Hoffmann and Philip Oreopoulos

12595: What Drove First Year Premiums in Stand-Alone Medicare Drug Plans?

Kosali Simon and Claudio Lucarelli

12594: Deposit Insurance and the Composition of Bank Suspensions in Developing Economies: Lessons from the State Deposit Insurance Experiments of the 1920S

Ching-Yi Chung and Gary Richardson

12593: David Laidler on Monetarism

Michael Bordo and Anna Schwartz

12592: Skill vs. Luck in Entrepreneurship and Venture Capital: Evidence from Serial Entrepreneurs

Paul Gompers, Anna Kovner, Josh Lerner and David Scharfstein

12591: Monetary Intervention Mitigated Banking Panics During the Great Depression: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from the Federal Reserve District Border in Mississippi, 1929 to 1933

Gary Richardson and William Troost

12590: Bank Distress During the Great Contraction, 1929 to 1933, New Data from the Archives of the Board of Governors

Gary Richardson

12589: Cross-border Listings, Capital Controls, and Equity Flows To Emerging Markets

Hali Edison and Francis Warnock

12588: Optimal Inequality/Optimal Incentives: Evidence from a Tournament

Richard Freeman and Alexander Gelber

12587: Volatility in International Financial Market Issuance: The Role of the Financial Center

Marco Cipriani and Graciela Kaminsky

12586: Fiscal Policy and Macroeconomic Uncertainty in Developing Countries: The Tale of the Tormented Insurer

Enrique Mendoza and P. Marcelo Oviedo

12585: Baby Boomer Retirement Security: the Roles of Planning, Financial Literacy, and Housing Wealth

Annamaria Lusardi and Olivia Mitchell

12584: Shooting the Auctioneer

Roger Farmer and Andrew Hollenhorst

12583: When Knowledge is an Asset: Explaining the Organizational Structure of Large Law Firms

James Rebitzer and Lowell Taylor

12582: National Survey Evidence on Disasters and Relief: Risk Beliefs, Self-Interest, and Compassion

W Viscusi and Richard Zeckhauser

12581: Technology and Labor Regulations

Alberto Alesina and Joseph Zeira

12580: Losing our Marbles in the New Century? The Great Rebalancing in Historical Perspective

Christopher Meissner and Alan Taylor

12579: Testing the Theory of Trade Policy: Evidence from the Abrupt End of the Multifibre Arrangement

James Harrigan and Geoffrey Barrows

12578: Optimal Liability for Terrorism

Darius Lakdawalla and Eric Talley

12577: Intellectual Property and Marketing

Darius Lakdawalla, Tomas Philipson and Y. Richard Wang

12576: Commercial Policy in a Predatory World

James Anderson

12575: How to Advance Theory with Structural VARs: Use the Sims-Cogley-Nason Approach

Patrick Kehoe

12574: Understanding Instrumental Variables in Models with Essential Heterogeneity

James Heckman, Sergio Urzua and Edward Vytlacil

12573: The Control of Politicians in Divided Societies: The Politics of Fear

Gerard Padro i Miquel

12572: American Indian Mortality in the Late Nineteenth Century: The Impact of Federal Assimilation Policies on a Vulnerable Population

J. David Hacker and Michael Haines

12571: The Puzzle of the Antebellum Fertility Decline in the United States: New Evidence and Reconsideration

Michael Haines and J. David Hacker

12570: Behavioral Theories of the Business Cycle

Nir Jaimovich and Sergio Rebelo

12569: Inheritance and Saving

David Joulfaian

12568: Federal Tax Policy Towards Energy

Gilbert Metcalf

12567: Trade, Growth, and Convergence in a Dynamic Heckscher-Ohlin Model

Claustre Bajona and Timothy Kehoe

12566: Demographics in Dynamic Heckscher-Ohlin Models: Overlapping Generations Versus Infinitely Lived Consumers

Claustre Bajona and Timothy Kehoe

12565: Understanding South Africa's Economic Puzzles

Dani Rodrik

12564: Endogenous Sudden Stops in a Business Cycle Model with Collateral Constraints:A Fisherian Deflation of Tobin's Q

Enrique Mendoza

12563: Entry and Patenting in the Software Industry

Iain Cockburn and Megan MacGarvie

12562: Valuing New Goods in a Model with Complementarities: Online Newspapers

Matthew Gentzkow

12561: Do Television and Radio Destroy Social Capital? Evidence from Indonesian Villages

Benjamin Olken

12560: International Capital Flows and U.S. Interest Rates

Francis Warnock and Veronica Warnock

12559: Labor Market Shocks and Retirement: Do Government Programs Matter?

Courtney Coile and Phillip Levine

12558: The Evolution of Income Concentration in Japan, 1886-2002: Evidence from Income Tax Statistics

Chiaki Moriguchi and Emmanuel Saez

12557: Aggregate Shocks or Aggregate Information? Costly Information and Business Cycle Comovement

Laura Veldkamp and Justin Wolfers

12556: Does How Much and How You Pay Matter? Evidence from the Inpatient Rehabilitation Facility Prospective Payment System

Neeraj Sood, Melinda Buntin and Jose J. Escarce

12555: Financially Constrained Stock Returns

Dmitry Livdan, Horacio Sapriza and Lu Zhang

12554: Differential Mortality, Uncertain Medical Expenses, and the Saving of Elderly Singles

Mariacristina De Nardi, Eric French and John Jones

12553: Inequality and Schooling Responses to Globalization Forces: Lessons from History

Jeffrey Williamson

12552: Local Currency Bond Markets

John Burger and Francis Warnock

12551: Are Currency Appreciations Contractionary in China?

Jianhuai Shi

12550: Wealth Inequality: Data and Models

Marco Cagetti and Mariacristina De Nardi

12549: Poverty Traps, Distance, and Diversity: The Migration Connection

Jeffrey Williamson

12548: Foreign Participation in Local Currency Bond Markets

John Burger and Francis Warnock

12547: Pass Through of Exchange Rates to Consumption Prices: What has Changed and Why?

Jose Campa and Linda Goldberg

12546: Colonialism and Modern Income -- Islands as Natural Experiments

James Feyrer and Bruce Sacerdote

12545: Multilateralising Regionalism: Spaghetti Bowls as Building Blocs on the Path to Global Free Trade

Richard Baldwin

12544: Growth, Reform Indicators and Policy Complementaries

Jorge Braga de Macedo and Joaquim Oliveira Martins

12543: International Trade and Finance under the Two Hegemons: Complementaries in the United Kingdom 1870-1913 and the United States 1920-30

Alan Taylor and Janine Wilson

12542: Measuring the Macroeconomic Risks Posed by Asset Price Booms

Stephen Cecchetti

12541: Is A Great Labor Shortage Coming? Replacement Demand in the Global Economy

Richard Freeman

12540: Indeterminacy in a Forward Looking Regime Switching Model

Roger Farmer, Daniel Waggoner and Tao Zha

12539: Importation and Innovation

Frank Lichtenberg

12538: Why Has House Price Dispersion Gone Up?

Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh and Pierre-Olivier Weill

12537: Can News About the Future Drive the Business Cycle?

Nir Jaimovich and Sergio Rebelo

12536: Medicaid Crowd-Out of Private Long-Term Care Insurance Demand: Evidence from the Health and Retirement Survey

Jeffrey Brown, Norma Coe and Amy Finkelstein

12535: A Comment on The Role of Prices for Excludable Public Goods

Gilbert Metcalf and Jongsang Park

12534: Why Do U.S. Firms Hold So Much More Cash Than They Used To?

Thomas W. Bates, Kathleen M. Kahle and René Stulz

12533: Does It Pay, at the Margin, to Work and Save? -- Measuring Effective Marginal Taxes on Americans' Labor Supply and Saving

Laurence Kotlikoff and David Rapson

12532: Do State Expenditures on Tobacco Control Programs Decrease Use of Tobacco Products Among College Students?

Christina Czart Ciecierski, Pinka Chatterji, Frank Chaloupka and Henry Wechsler

12531: Explaining Import Variety and Quality: The Role of the Income Distribution

Yo Chul Choi, David Hummels and Chong Xiang

12530: Evidence of a Shift in the Short-Run Price Elasticity of Gasoline Demand

Jonathan Hughes, Christopher Knittel and Daniel Sperling

12529: High School Alcohol Use and Young Adult Labor Market Outcomes

Pinka Chatterji and Jeffrey DeSimone

12528: Do Female Physicians Capture Their Scarcity Value? The Case of OB/GYNs

Jessica Wolpaw Reyes

12527: The Effectiveness of Cigarette Regulations in Reducing Cases of Sudden Infant Death Syndrome

Sara Markowitz

12526: What Has Mattered to Economics Since 1970

E. Han Kim, Adair Morse and Luigi Zingales

12525: The Corporate Governance Role of the Media: Evidence from Russia

Isaac Dyck, Natalya Volchkova and Luigi Zingales

12524: Customer Risk from Real-Time Retail Electricity Pricing: Bill Volatility and Hedgability

Severin Borenstein

12523: Climbing Atop the Shoulders of Giants: The Impact of Institutions on Cumulative Research

Jeffrey L. Furman and Scott Stern

12522: How Does Foreign Direct Investment Promote Economic Growth? Exploring the Effects of Financial Markets on Linkages

Laura Alfaro, Areendam Chanda, Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan and Selin Sayek

12521: Endogenous Skill Bias in Technology Adoption: City-Level Evidence from the IT Revolution

Paul Beaudry, Mark Doms and Ethan Lewis

12520: Creative Destruction in Industries

Boyan Jovanovic and Chung-Yi Tse

12519: Evaluating the Effectiveness of Child Safety Seats and Seat Belts in Protecting Children from Injury

Steven Levitt and Joseph J. Doyle

12518: Immigration and African-American Employment Opportunities: The Response of Wages, Employment, and Incarceration to Labor Supply Shocks

George Borjas, Jeffrey Grogger and Gordon Hanson

12517: Land and Power: Theory and Evidence from Chile

Jean-Marie Baland and James Robinson

12516: Gravity for Dummies and Dummies for Gravity Equations

Richard Baldwin and Daria Taglioni

12515: Monetary Policy Strategy: How Did We Get Here?

Frederic Mishkin

12514: Temporary Investment Tax Incentives: Theory with Evidence from Bonus Depreciation

Christopher House and Matthew Shapiro

12513: Linear Approximations and Tests of Conditional Pricing Models

Michael W. Brandt and David Chapman

12512: From Groundnuts to Globalization: A Structural Estimate of Trade and Growth

Christian Broda, Joshua Greenfield and David Weinstein

12511: The Health Effects of Medicare for the Near-Elderly Uninsured

Daniel Polsky, Jalpa A. Doshi, Jose Escarce, Willard Manning, Susan M. Paddock, Liyi Cen and Jeannette Rogowski

12510: Contingent Valuation Analysis of Willingness to Pay To Reduce Childhood Obesity

John Cawley