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NBER Working Papers

From National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A..
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35227: The Optimal Use of AI in Financial Regulation Downloads
Christopher Clayton and Antonio Coppola
35226: A Promise Worth Keeping? Impacts of Free Community College on Degrees and Earnings Downloads
Paige Schoonover, Jonathon Attridge, Celeste Carruthers and Jilleah G. Welch
35225: States as Financiers: International Lending in War and Peace Downloads
Sebastian Horn, Carmen Reinhart and Christoph Trebesch
35224: Credit Supply, Firms, and Earnings Inequality Downloads
Christian Moser, Farzad Saidi, Benjamin Wirth and Stefanie Wolter
35223: Management of Health Care Facilities and Patient Attendance during Major Disruptions: Evidence from Kenya Downloads
Kathryn Andrews, Fabiano Dal-Ri, Roberta Gatti, Renata Lemos, Mario Macis and Lydia Nakhone
35222: Explaining Movements in Government Debt Downloads
Tatiana Kirsanova, Eric Leeper, Campbell Leith and Ding Liu
35221: Proposed Mergers Where Efficiencies Are Needed Most Might Be the Least Likely to Deliver Them Downloads
Robert Metcalfe, Alexandre B. Sollaci and Chad Syverson
35220: Trust, Financial Literacy, and Financial Behaviors: Shaping Retirement Security Downloads
Maya Haran Rosen, Annamaria Lusardi and Olivia Mitchell
35219: Lands of Opportunity: Differences in the Geography of Wealth and Income Mobility in the United States Downloads
Ariel Binder, Max Risch and John L. Voorheis
35218: California Billionaires: Wealth, Taxes, and Wealth Tax Revenue Estimates Downloads
Jasper Boll, Emmanuel Saez and Gabriel Zucman
35217: The Limits of Political Representation: Evidence from India Downloads
Veda Narasimhan and Jeffrey Weaver
35216: Divergence in Climate Change Communication: LLM-Based Evidence from the IPCC and the Press Downloads
Sebastian Galiani, Franco Mettola La Giglia and Raul A. Sosa
35215: Valuing Disaster Prevention: Desert Locust Monitoring and Control Downloads
Joséphine Gantois, Anouch Missirian, Evelina Linnros, Anna Tompsett, Amir Jina, Gordon McCord and Eyal G. Frank
35214: The Psychology of Macroeconomic Expectations Downloads
Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli, Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes, Simon G. Schröder, Andrei Shleifer and Maarten van Rooij
35213: Sophisticated Borrowing Constraints and Macroeconomic Dynamics Downloads
Al-Mahdi Ebsim, Chen Lian, Yueran Ma, Pablo Ottonello and Diego J. Perez
35212: Old Space, New Space: A Commercial Revolution in Innovation? Downloads
Ruben Gaetani and Alexander Whalley
35211: Endogenous Task Bundling, Skills and Automation Downloads
Joshua Gans
35210: Medical Innovation and Racial Health Disparities: Evidence from a Breakthrough Treatment Downloads
D. Mark Anderson, Kerwin Kofi Charles and Daniel Rees
35209: State Dependence of Monetary Policy During Global Supply Chain Disruptions Downloads
Xiwen Bai, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Yiliang Li and Francesco Zanetti
35208: Estimating the Present Value of R&D Tax Benefits in the United States Downloads
Brandon Pecoraro, Nicholas Hoffman, Martin Lopez-Daneri, Elena C. Derby, Rachel Moore and Shannon E. Sledz
35207: More Paths or More Contrast? A Theory of Experimentation Breadth Downloads
Joshua Gans and Luca Gius
35206: The Cost of Intermediary Market Power for Distressed Borrowers Downloads
Winston Dou, Wei Wang and Wenyu Wang
35205: Tatonnement and Price Setting in General Equilibrium Downloads
Iván Werning and Guido Lorenzoni
35204: Flood Risk, Insurance, and Housing in the United States Downloads
Suvy Qin and John L. Voorheis
35203: The Geography of Lifecycle Human Capital Accumulation Downloads
Ben Sprung-Keyser and Sonya Porter
35202: Fiscal Policy and Transition Risk Downloads
Stefano Carattini, Garth Heutel, Givi Melkadze and Inès Mourelon
35201: Intertemporal Arbitrage and Optimal Operation of Pumped Hydro Energy Storage Downloads
Isabel Figuerola-Ferretti and Eduardo S. Schwartz
35200: Credibility and Precommitment in Socialist Constitutionalism Downloads
Sebastian Edwards
35199: How do Workers Learn? Theory and Evidence on the Roots of Lifecycle Human Capital Accumulation Downloads
Xiao Ma, Alejandro Nakab and Daniela Vidart
35198: The Effects of GLP-1 Use on Mental Health, Self-rated Health, Employment and Marriage Downloads
Robert Kaestner and Cuiping Schiman
35197: Global Policy Spillovers: How Environmental Policies Propagate through Product Attributes Downloads
Koichiro Ito, James Sallee, Caleb Halvorson-Fried and Andrew Smith
35196: Making Sense of Labor Market Indicators Amid Data Imperfections Downloads
Scott A. Brave, Erin E. Crust, Stefano Eusepi, Bart Hobijn and Aysegul Sahin
35195: AlphaPortfolio: Goal-Oriented Investment Management Through Deep Reinforcement Learning Downloads
Lin Cong, Ke Tang and Jingyuan Wang
35194: Data Centers and Local Economies in the Age of AI: A Shift--Share Approach Downloads
Fernando E. Alvarez, David Argente, Joyce Chow and Diana Van Patten
35193: Mortality Rates by Race and Ethnicity Among People with Disabilities Downloads
Madeline S. Helfer, Becky Staiger and Jessica Van Parys
35192: Algorithmic Credentialism Downloads
Peter Q. Blair and Rui Guo
35191: Organization Capital, Large Startups, and the Dearth of IPOs Downloads
Ruediger Fahlenbrach, Leandro Sanz and René M. Stulz
35190: The Long-Run Effects of the Affordable Care Act: Evidence from a Partially Pre-Committed Research Design Over the COVID-19 Recession and Recovery Downloads
Jeffrey Clemens, Anwita Mahajan and Joseph J. Sabia
35189: Crimes Against Campbell-Shiller Downloads
Itzhak Ben-David and Alex Chinco
35188: Deep Research on a Loop: Using AI Agents to Construct Economic Datasets Downloads
Santiago Afonso, Sebastian Galiani, Ramiro Gálvez and Raul A. Sosa
35187: Anti-Harassment Policy and the Startup Labor Market Downloads
Jun Chen, Song Ma and Feng Zhang
35186: AlphaGlass: Interpretable Characteristic-Based Portfolio Choice Downloads
Sebastian Bell, Ali Kakhbod, Martin Lettau and Abdolreza Nazemi
35185: Revealing Life Preferences Through LLMs Downloads
Omar Abdel Haq, Amitabh Chandra, Tomáš Jagelka, Erzo Luttmer and Joshua Schwartzstein
35184: Breaking the Early Bell: Lessons from the First Statewide Mandate on School Start Times Downloads
Jialu (Gloria) Dou, Rania Gihleb, Osea Giuntella and Jakub Lonsky
35183: What Does A Grade Mean? Informativeness and Strategic Manipulation of Grading Systems Downloads
Joshua Gans and Scott Kominers
35182: Growth is Getting Harder to Find, Not Ideas Downloads
Teresa Fort, Nathan Goldschlag, Jack Liang, Peter Schott and Nikolas Zolas
35181: Youth Mental Health and School Smartphone Bans: Early Evidence Downloads
Henry Saffer
35180: The Persistence of Power: How Family Origins Shape Political Representation and Policy Downloads
Eric Chyn, Katherine Cohen, Kareem Haggag and Bryan Stuart
35179: Bachelors Without Bachelor's: Gender Gaps in Education and Declining Marriage Rates Downloads
Clara Chambers, Benjamin Goldman and Joseph Winkelmann
35178: Earnings Management and Price Informativeness Downloads
Zhiguo He, Wenxi Jiang and Wei Xiong
35177: Separations Revisited: Do Layoffs or Quits Drive Lower Separation Rates in High-Quality Firms? Downloads
Caue Dobbin, Daniel Fernandez and Tom Zohar
35176: Measuring Water Misallocation in California Downloads
Will Rafey
35175: The Causal Effects of Expected Depreciations Downloads
Martha Elena Delgado Rojas, Juan Herreño, Marc Hofstetter and Mathieu Pedemonte
35174: Authority Figures and the Polarization of Gender Norms Downloads
Ali Abboud, Samuel Bazzi, Serena Canaan, Antoine Deeb and Pierre Mouganie
35173: How does Medicare Eligibility affect Choice and Utilization? Evidence from Veterans Downloads
Marion Aouad, Liam Rose and Todd Wagner
35172: Competitive Exposure and Entrepreneurial Experimentation Downloads
Joshua Gans
35171: Labor Market Effects of California’s $20 Fast-Food Minimum Wage Downloads
Arindrajit Dube
35170: Extreme Equilibria: The Benefits of Correlation Downloads
Kirill Rudov, Fedor Sandomirskiy and Leeat Yariv
35169: Opt In? Opt Out? Downloads
Alex Chan, Ayush Gupta and Yetong Xu
35168: The Postpandemic U.S. Immigration Surge: New Facts and Inflationary Implications Downloads
Anton Cheremukhin, Sewon Hur, Ronald Mau, Karel Mertens, Alexander Richter and Xiaoqing Zhou
35167: On the Negative Consequences of Low-Wage Offshoring for Innovation Downloads
Wulong Gu, Alla Lileeva and Daniel Trefler
35166: Interest Rate Caps, Competition, and Strategic Borrowing: Evidence from Kenya Downloads
Aroon Narayanan, Tavneet Suri and Prashant Bharadwaj
35165: Health Inequalities Among Danish Retirees 2004-2022 Downloads
Paul Bingley, Nabanita Datta Gupta, Malene Kallestrup-Lamb and Alexander O.K. Marin
35164: How Should Central Banks Respond to Commodity Price Shocks? Optimal Monetary and Exchange Rate Frameworks for Commodity-Exposed Economies Downloads
Thomas Drechsel, Michael McLeay, Silvana Tenreyro and Enrico D. Turri
35163: How Poverty Fell Downloads
Vincent J. Armentano, Paul Niehaus and Tom Vogl
35162: Why Bans Fail: Tipping Points and Australia's Social Media Ban Downloads
Leonardo Bursztyn, Angela L. Duckworth, Rafael Jiménez-Durán, Aaron Leonard, Filip Milojević, Christopher Roth and Cass Sunstein
35161: Shaping Society's Character: The Role of Schools in Developing Social and Emotional Skills Downloads
Sule Alan
35160: Adolescent Behavior, Learning, and Knowledge Diffusion: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment Downloads
Sule Alan, Kumar Biswas, Christina S. Hauser and Shwetlena Sabarwal
35159: Data Neutrality, Data Supply, and Market Competition Downloads
Hanming Fang and Soo Jin Kim
35158: Mosaics of Predictability Downloads
Lin Cong, Guanhao Feng, Jingyu He and Yuanzhi Wang
35157: Automation, Learning, and Career Dynamics Downloads
Hassan Afrouzi, Andres Blanco, Andrés Drenik and Erik Hurst
35156: Trade and the End of Antiquity Downloads
Johannes Boehm and Thomas Chaney
35155: When Does Automating AI Research Produce Explosive Growth? Feedback Loops in Innovation Networks Downloads
Tom Davidson, Basil Halperin, Thomas Houlden and Anton Korinek
35154: Replacement and Reputation Downloads
Navin Kartik, Elliot Lipnowski and Harry Pei
35153: AI Managed Household Portfolios: A Preliminary Report Downloads
Bruce I. Carlin, Ryan Israelsen and Christopher F. Wazzan
35152: Mothers, Schools, and the Making of American Human Capital Mobility Downloads
Lukas Althoff, Harriet M. Brookes Gray and Hugo Reichardt
35151: Retrospective Versus Prospective Meritocracy Downloads
Steven Durlauf
35150: Beliefs, Attention, and Investments in Early Childhood Downloads
Flavio Cunha, Snejana Nihtianova, Jessica Rood and Anja-Lize van der Merwe
35149: Firm Pay, Amenities, and Inequality Downloads
Sydnee Caldwell, Ingrid Haegele and Jörg Heining
35148: The Labor Market as an Equilibrium Newsvendor Problem Downloads
Alexandre Mas
35147: Learning by Mail: The Impact of Correspondence Schools in Early 20th Century America Downloads
Daniela Vidart
35146: Understanding Medicaid Managed Care: The Procured Competition Model Downloads
Mark Shepard and Jacob Wallace
35145: The Annuity Puzzle Revisited: Barriers, Behavior, and Policy Paths to Lifetime Income Downloads
Hal E. Hershfield, Suzanne Shu, Jeffrey Brown, Abigail Hurwitz, Moshe Milevsky, Olivia Mitchell and Tamiko Toland
35144: Characteristics of a Sufficient Statistic to Measure City Housing Prices Downloads
Daniel Broxterman, William Larson and Anthony Yezer
35143: How Artificial Intelligence Shapes Science: Evidence from AlphaFold Downloads
Ryan R. Hill and Carolyn Stein
35142: Seeing the Goal, Missing the Truth: Human Accountability for AI Bias Downloads
Sean S. Cao, Wei Jiang and Hui Xu
35141: The Microstructure of AI Diffusion: Evidence from Firms, Business Functions, and Worker Tasks Downloads
Kathryn Bonney, Cory L. Breaux, Emin Dinlersoz, Lucia Foster, John Haltiwanger and Aditya A. Pande
35140: Who Marries Whom? The Role of Segregation by Race and Class Downloads
Benjamin Goldman, Jamie Gracie and Sonya Porter
35139: Filling the Gaps with MICE: Addressing Missing Data in Real Estate Price Indices Downloads
Miriam Steurer and Sabrina S. Spiegel
35138: Power to the Personnel? The Impacts of Managerial Discretion vs. Worker Democracy in Employee Recognition Downloads
Namrata Kala and Madeline McKelway
35137: Till the IRS Do Us Part: (Optimal) Taxation of Households Downloads
Hans Holter, Dirk Krueger and Serhiy Stepanchuk
35136: The State-Contingent Debt Premium: Evidence from French Public Bonds Downloads
Kris James Mitchener and Goncalo Pina
35135: The Value of Reliable Statistics Downloads
Nicholas Bloom, Erica Groshen, Duncan Hobbs and Michael Strain
35134: Taxes and Financial Distress: Evidence from Establishment-Level Data Downloads
Mara Faccio and Stefano Manfredonia
35133: Technology Adoption and Optimal Policy Downloads
Fernando E. Alvarez, Francisco Buera and Nicholas Trachter
35132: The Effects of School Phone Bans: National Evidence from Lockable Pouches Downloads
Hunt Allcott, E. Jason Baron, Thomas Dee, Angela L. Duckworth, Matthew Gentzkow and Brian Jacob
35131: Wind Turbine Proximity and Health: Longitudinal Evidence from U.S. Households Downloads
Niklas Rott, Douglas Almond and Osea Giuntella
35130: The Success of the Embedded State in England Downloads
Leander Heldring, Davis Kedrosky, James Robinson and Matthias Weigand
35129: Labor Market Impacts of ICE Activity in Trump 2.0 Downloads
Elizabeth Cox and Chloe East
35128: Complementary Climate Policies for Supply and Demand Downloads
Geir Asheim and Bard Harstad
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