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NBER Working Papers

From National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A..
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35586: Staged Access and Liability for Dual-Use Artificial Intelligence Downloads
Joshua Gans
35585: Cycles of Infertility: Intergenerational Transmission and the Role of Assisted Reproduction Downloads
Viktoria Falk, Andreas Madestam and Emilia Simeonova
35584: The Displacement Effects of Domestic Outsourcing Downloads
Mayara Felix and Michael B. Wong
35583: Spending to Save: The Subscription Model for Eradicating Hepatitis C in Louisiana Downloads
Kevin Callison, Rena Conti, Jonathan Gruber and Jacob Wallace
35582: Immigrant Earnings Assimilation, 1981–2021 Downloads
Randall Akee, Jimmy Chin and Daniel L. Crown
35581: How Steep is the Phillips Curve in Developing Economies? A Sufficient Statistics Approach and Estimates for India Downloads
Juan Herreño, Noémie Pinardon-Touati and Malte Thie
35580: Cautious Careers: Job Mobility under Incomplete Markets Downloads
Alex Clymo, Piotr Denderski, Yusuf Mercan and Benjamin Schoefer
35579: Common Risk Factors in the Returns on Stocks, Bonds (and Options), Redux Downloads
Zhongtian Chen, Nikolai Roussanov, Xiaoliang Wang and Dongchen Zou
35578: Reconstructing a Century of U.S. Corporate Bonds: Credit Risk in Historical Perspective Downloads
Mohammad Ghaderi, Sébastien Plante, Nikolai Roussanov and Sang Byung Seo
35577: The Value Gap: Europe Cannot Scale Downloads
Bo Becker, Efraim Benmelech and João Monteiro
35576: Do Children's Genes Evoke Educational Expectations? Direct Genetic Effects on Parents' and Teachers' College Encouragement Downloads
Philipp Dierker and Dalton Conley
35575: Observability and Social Interactions in Consumption Downloads
Tullio Jappelli and Luigi Pistaferri
35574: AI Financial Advice: Supply, Demand, and Life Cycle Implications Downloads
Taha Choukhmane, Tim de Silva, Weidong Lin and Matthew Akuzawa
35573: Balancing Growth in a Warming World Downloads
Adrien Bilal, Thibault Ingrand and Diego Känzig
35572: A Currency Premium Puzzle Downloads
Tarek Hassan, Thomas Mertens and Jingye Wang
35571: Winning is Contagious: Social Learning and the Dynamics of Union Support Downloads
Ellora Derenoncourt, Arindrajit Dube, Suresh Naidu, Heather Sarsons and Niharika Singh
35570: Robust Signal Maximization in Spillover Experiments Downloads
Kirill Borusyak, Peter Hull and Evan M. Munro
35569: Fortunate Sons: Elite Political Selection in American History Downloads
James Feigenbaum, Andrew B. Hall, Daniel M. Thompson and Jesse Yoder
35568: The Economics of Civil Service Protections Downloads
Guo Xu
35567: The Value of Behavioral Policies Downloads
John List, Matthias Rodemeier, Sutanuka Roy and Gregory K. Sun
35566: Childhood Cognitive and Behavioral Impairments and Adult Health Downloads
Hope Corman, Kelly Noonan and Nancy Reichman
35565: Common Ownership and Collusion Downloads
Vincent Abraham, Florian Ederer and Catarina Marvao
35564: Improving Financial Literacy: From Corporate Finance to Personal Finance Downloads
Annamaria Lusardi
35563: Incomplete Information and Self-Fulfilling Inflation Dynamics—Lucas meets Keynes Downloads
Jess Benhabib, Pengfei Wang and Yi Wen
35562: Monetary Policy in Mandarin Capitalism Downloads
Jeffery (Jinfan) Chang and Wei Xiong
35561: The Anatomy of Tariff Pass-through into Consumer Prices Downloads
Mary Amiti, Sebastian Heise and David Weinstein
35560: Long-Run Effects of H-1B Immigration on the U.S. Economy Downloads
Ran Abramitzky, Leah Boustan, Ahmet Gulek and Jens Hainmueller
35559: Replaceable but Employed: Automation and the Meaning of Work Downloads
Joshua Gans
35558: Unpacking Treatment Effect Heterogeneity in a Large-Scale Dropout-Prevention Experiment Downloads
Thomas Dee, Chloe Gibbs, Rebecca Margolit-Chan, Lillian Morrell and James Sullivan
35557: Demand for Safety in the Crypto Ecosystem Downloads
Murillo Campello, Angela Gallo, Lira Mota and Tammaro Terracciano
35556: Meritocracy and the Networks It Forged: China’s Imperial Examination Downloads
Ying Bai and Ruixue Jia
35555: The United States and Its Creditors: Assessing Foreign Demand for U.S. Assets Downloads
Anusha Chari and Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti
35554: A Theory of Firm Wage Dynamics Downloads
Marc de la Barrera and Masao Fukui
35553: Sharing the Burden: The Impacts of Pharmacy Sector Reforms on the Labor Market for Pharmacists in Portugal Downloads
David Card, Ana Rute Cardoso and Pedro Luis Silva
35552: The Equilibrium Impact of Credit Frictions: Evidence from Default Risk Using Firm-Level Data Downloads
Timothy Besley, Peter John Lambert, Isabelle A. Michalski-Roland and John van Reenen
35551: Chinese Sputnik Moments? Downloads
Josh Lerner, Namrata Narain, Dimitris Papanikolaou, Amit Seru and Zunda Winston Xu
35550: Ambiguous Attribution: Theory and Evidence Downloads
Ricardo Alonso, Monica Martinez-Bravo, Gerard Padró I Miquel, Carlos Sanz and Silvia Vannutelli
35549: Selecting Innovation Funding Mechanisms: A Framework for Policymakers Downloads
Matthew S. Clancy, Matthew Esche, Siddhartha Haria, Claire T. McMahon, Christopher Snyder and Caleb Watney
35548: Reserves and the Buyer of Last Resort Downloads
Frédéric Boissay and Harald Uhlig
35547: Designing Around Selection: Identification and Inference Under Multi-Dimensional Unobserved Heterogeneity Downloads
Brent R. Hickman, John List, Ian Muir and Gregory K. Sun
35546: Time Travel on Professional Profiles Downloads
Nicholas Bloom, Gideon Moore, Lisa Simon and Caelan Wilkie-Rogers
35545: Detecting Critical Junctures as They Unfold: Foundations, Measurement, and Applications from 120 Years of Reporting Downloads
Michael Callen, Gregory Levy, Saipremnath Muthukumaran, Jonathan L. Weigel and Noam Yuchtman
35544: Two Selection Problems, One Bias Term: Experimental Sign-Up Is Treatment Choice in Disguise Downloads
John List
35543: Tying Incentives to Information: Diagnosis-Contingent Contracts and Biased Beliefs in Healthcare Downloads
Maria Dieci, Paul Gertler, Jonathan Kolstad and Carlos Paramo
35542: Winners and Losers: Competition, Creative Destruction, and Labor Income Risk Downloads
Brice C. Green, Leonid Kogan, Dimitris Papanikolaou and Lawrence Schmidt
35541: Financial Interdependence and Currency Internationalization Downloads
Zhengyang Jiang
35540: Predictive Risk Scores in the Public Sector: Experimental Evidence from Child-Protection Investigations Downloads
E. Jason Baron, Arkadev Ghosh and Richard Lombardo
35539: The China Backlash: Quantifying the Narrative Discourse on China Downloads
Mert Geyiktepe and Dani Rodrik
35538: Cognitive Limitations and Long-Term Care Use in the Netherlands: Evidence from the Lifelines Cohort Study Downloads
Gaia Bagnasco, Pieter Bakx, Stijn Coremans and Bram Wouterse
35537: Effects of Lottery Incentives for Influenza Vaccination: Evidence from a Large-Scale Randomized Trial and Causal Forest Analysis Downloads
Kelsey Moran, Gail M. Rosenbaum, Amir Goren, Michelle N. Meyer, Christopher F. Chabris and Joseph J. Doyle
35536: Does Progressivity Raise Tax Capacity? Experimental Evidence from the D.R. Congo Downloads
Gabriel Tourek, Arthur Laroche, Augustin Bergeron, Joana Naritomi, Jonathan L. Weigel and Marina Mavungu Ngoma
35535: The Scientific Return of Biodiversity Conservation: Evidence from Fishing Bans Along the Yangtze River Downloads
Minhao Chen, Lin Cong, Haoyu Gao, G. Karolyi and Hui Wang
35534: Personal Holding Companies, Tax Progressivity, and Inequality Downloads
Marius A. K. Ring, David G. Seim and Gabriel Zucman
35533: Early Life Healthcare Access and Later-life Mortality: Evidence Using Openings of County Health Departments Downloads
Hamid Noghanibehambari and Jason Fletcher
35532: The Confucian Fertility Paradox: Education Competition and Ultra-Low Fertility in East Asia Downloads
Hanming Fang and Chang Liu
35531: Elite Capture, Meritocracy and Social Stability: Evidence from the Chinese Imperial Examinations Downloads
Jingjing Chen, Jianlei Han, Shing-Yi Wang and Yongxiang Wang
35530: A Demand-Side Alternative to Renewable Curtailment: Natural Field Experimental Evidence from Two Countries Downloads
Daniel Lopez Garcia, Robert Metcalfe, Andrew R. Schein and Yixin Sun
35529: Temperature Fluctuations and Economic Conditions: Evidence from Weekly U.S. Data Downloads
Kimberly Berg, Chadwick Curtis and Nelson Mark
35528: Beliefs That Predict Returns and Beliefs That Attract Flows: Policy Insights and Sentiment Catering in Mutual Funds Downloads
Zhenyu Gao, Wei Xiong and Jian Yuan
35527: From Field to Firm: College Sports and Early-Stage Career Choice Downloads
Paul Gompers, George Hu, Will Levinson and Sachin Srivastava
35526: Relating Cognitive Skills and Personality Traits to Economic Preferences: Decision-Making under Cognitive Shocks and Guessing Downloads
Carlos Chavez, Shuaizhang Feng, James Heckman and Zhe Yang
35525: Evidence of How Electronic Reporting and Automated Auditing Affects Regulatory Compliance and Environmental Performance Downloads
Wayne Gray, Ron Shadbegian and Ann Wolverton
35524: The Welfare Effects of Conditioning the Potential Duration of UI Benefits on Prior Work History Downloads
Leonard Goff and Simon Quach
35523: Immigration and Macroeconomic Outcomes in OECD Countries Downloads
Gaetano Basso, Mitali R. Mathur and Giovanni Peri
35522: Spillover Effects in Complementary Markets: A Study of the Indian Cell Phone and Wireless Service Markets Downloads
Chirantan Chatterjee, Ying Fan and Debi Prasad Mohapatra
35521: Profits and Social Impacts: Complements vs. Tradeoffs for Lenders in Three Countries Downloads
Susan Athey, Bruno Fava, Dean Karlan, Adam Osman and Jonathan Zinman
35520: Retail Betting Markets Downloads
Scott Baker, Justin Balthrop, Mark J. Johnson, Jason Kotter and Kevin Pisciotta
35519: Counterproductive Sustainable Investing: The Impact Elasticity of Brown and Green Firms Downloads
Samuel M. Hartzmark and Kelly Shue
35518: Equity as Tribute: The Market for Passive State Equity Downloads
Joshua Gans
35517: The Effects of U.S. Public R&D on Global Growth Downloads
Gustavo De Souza, Andrew Fieldhouse, Karel Mertens, Ishan B. Nath and Valerie Ramey
35516: The Price and Distributional Impact of Flood Risk Disclosure: Evidence from US Housing Platforms Downloads
Stephen B. Billings, Sophie Calder-Wang and Weiling Liu
35515: Beyond Price: Rights Trading in Strategic Factor Markets Downloads
Anparasan Mahalingam and Matthew Higgins
35514: Investing in Mothers? The Long-Run Impact of a Universal Child Care Program on Maternal Work and Income Downloads
Michael Baker, Jonathan Gruber and Kevin Milligan
35513: Industry Distress Anomaly Downloads
Hui Chen, Winston Dou, Hongye Guo and Yan Ji
35512: The Environmental Costs of Sanctions: Flaring and Venting in Venezuela Downloads
Michele Fioretti, Kavanaugh FitzPatrick and Alessandro Iaria
35511: Information and Macroeconomic Expectations: Global Evidence Downloads
Francesco D’Acunto and Michael Weber
35510: Who is Afraid of Eurobonds? Downloads
Francesco Bianchi, Qingyuan Fang, Leonardo Melosi and Anna Rogantini Picco
35509: Trading Off Openness: Economic Information and Immigration Policy Preferences Downloads
Cristina Cattaneo, Daniela Grieco, Nicola Lacetera and Mario Macis
35508: Self-Fulfilling Credit Scores Downloads
Victor Duarte and Julia Fonseca
35507: Global Pension Asset Allocations and Debt Markets Downloads
Ding Ding, Xiang Fang, Bryan Hardy and Karen Lewis
35506: Economic Models of Identity Formation and Cultural Transmission Downloads
Alberto Bisin and Thierry Verdier
35505: Global Financial Transparency and Offshore Wealth Accumulation Downloads
Annette Alstadsæter, Niels Johannesen, Ségal Le Guern Herry and Gabriel Zucman
35504: Bank Runs With and Without Bank Failure Downloads
Sergio A. Correia, Stephan Luck and Emil Verner
35503: Who Wants to Break Up Big Firms? Harm, Fairness, and the Demand for Antitrust Downloads
Ricardo Perez-Truglia and Jeffrey Yusof
35502: Physician Learning and Forgetting: Evidence from the US Military Downloads
Trevor Fitzgerald, Atul Gupta and Stephen D. Schwab
35501: Human Capital in Venture Capital: Evidence From 100,000 Venture Capitalists Downloads
Blake Jackson and Ilya Strebulaev
35500: Volatility Disagreement in the Options Market Downloads
Turan G. Bali, Bryan T. Kelly and Mathis Mörke
35499: Spreading Out Across Expanding Idea Space Downloads
Ina Ganguli, Jeffrey Lin, Vitaly Meursault and Nicholas Reynolds
35498: Optimal Currency Strategies Under Deviations From Interest Parity Downloads
Luis Viceira and Sally Shen
35497: Exorbitant Privilege of the Periodic Table? Geoeconomics, Endogenous Centrality and Strategic Minerals for the Green Transition Downloads
Josh Kirk, Evgenia Passari and Helene Rey
35496: Supply Chain Risk, Trade and Economic Fragility Downloads
Juanma Castro-Vincenzi, Adry Gracio, Gaurav Khanna and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar
35495: Human Enhancement Technologies: A Survey Experiment on Private Demand and Governance Preferences Downloads
Giovanni Immordino, Mario Macis, Immacolata Marino and Fabrizio Panebianco
35494: The Price of Political Ties: Reputational Risk and the Strategic Divestment of Corporate PACs Downloads
Eric A. Baldwin, Takuma Iwasaki, John Donohue and Charlie Grabois
35493: Immigrants' Legal Status and Firms: Evidence from the 2007 EU Enlargement Downloads
Vittoria Dicandia and Silvia Vannutelli
35492: No-Poach Agreements Downloads
Axel Gottfries and Gregor Jarosch
35491: Retreating from Science: The Long-Run Effects of the 1970s U.S. Military Disinvestment from University Research Downloads
Daniel Gross, Bhaven Sampat and Hansen Zhang
35490: Training AI for When Humans Will Use It Downloads
Kevin Bryan and Joshua Gans
35489: Diagnostic Thresholds, Written Consent Requirements, and the Utilization of Scarce Organs Downloads
Hannah Bae and Jeffrey Clemens
35488: Ambiguity vs. Risk in Investment Decisions: A Continuous Decomposition Downloads
Geoffrey Heal and Marcella Lucchetta
35487: Structural Estimation with Unstructured Data Downloads
Sara Casella, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Stephen Hansen, Ryohei Oishi and Minchul Shin
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