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NBER Working Papers

From National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A..
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35697: Do Online Job Postings Capture Job Vacancies? Downloads
Michael Dalton, Lisa B. Kahn and Andreas Mueller
35696: Loan Rates as Incentive Instruments Downloads
Kinda Hachem
35695: Rain Follows the Forest: Land Use Policy, Climate Change, and Adaptation Downloads
Florian Grosset-Touba, Anna Papp and Charles A. Taylor
35694: Comparisons Downloads
Thomas Graeber and Benjamin Enke
35693: Pensions and Turbulence: Automatic Adjustment, Risk, and Fairness in Long-Term Pension Design Downloads
Peter Diamond
35692: Health Insurance Underwriting and the Heterogeneous Effects of the Affordable Care Act Downloads
Pietro Tebaldi, Andrea Scalenghe and Joseph Orsini
35691: Accounting for Credibility: Fiscal-Monetary Interactions and the Credibility of Central Bank Mandates Downloads
Luigi Bocola, Gastón Chaumont, Alessandro Dovis and Rishabh Kirpalani
35690: Inefficiencies in Local Infrastructure: Evidence from Drinking Water in California Downloads
Pierre Bodere, Giulia Brancaccio and Karam Kang
35689: Artificial Intelligence and Political Advice Downloads
Georgy Egorov and Konstantin Sonin
35688: Designing AI-Augmented Peer Review Downloads
Joshua Gans
35687: The Safe-Debt Laffer Curve Downloads
Ricardo Caballero
35686: Legislating Longevity: State Public Health Laws and Mortality in the Early Twentieth Century Downloads
Martin Saavedra
35685: A Deep Case for Shallow Integration Downloads
John Sturm Becko and Arnaud Costinot
35684: Canaries in the Gold Mine: Early Productivity Gains from Artificial Intelligence Creating Organization Capital Downloads
Tania Babina, Alex X. He and Renhao Jiang
35683: Can Private Markets Fill the Gap? Graduate Student Lending After the Elimination of GradPLUS Downloads
Sarah Turner
35682: Pollution Pricing in Equilibrium: Production, Reallocation, and Aggregate Impacts Downloads
R. Andrew Butters, Jackson Dorsey and Ivan Rudik
35681: Spillover Effects of Transfer Programs Downloads
Travis Baseler, Jules Gazeaud and Erik Snowberg
35680: The Anatomy and Evolution of Survey Error Downloads
Bruce Meyer, Nikolas Mittag, Derek Wu, Anthony Tatarka and Patrick Langetieg
35679: An Efficient Liquidity Savings Mechanism Downloads
Darrell Duffie, Srisht F. Singh and Chaojun Wang
35678: Smart Contracting in Network Markets Downloads
Darrell Duffie and Chaojun Wang
35677: What Work Does Generative AI Do? Downloads
Alexander Bick, Adam Blandin, David Deming and Tyler R. Schumacher
35676: Firms as Electoral Monopsonies Downloads
Carlos Avenancio-Leon, Adelina Barbalau, Cyndi Hou and Alessio Piccolo
35675: The Distribution and Consequences of Natural Disasters: Evidence from U.S. Wildfire Victims Downloads
Patrick Baylis, Judson Boomhower, Jonathan Colmer and John L. Voorheis
35674: Can We Build More Effective Place-Based Policies? Theory and Evidence Downloads
Matthew Freedman and David Neumark
35673: This Time Is (Mostly) Different: U.S. Tightening Cycles and Global Resilience in the 1980s vs 2020s Downloads
Drishan Banerjee, Galina Hale and Harrison Shieh
35672: Explaining the Predictive Performance of Police in Cases of Domestic Abuse Downloads
Jeffrey Grogger, Andrew Jordan and Tom Kirchmaier
35671: Kumon Up: Private Tutoring Centers and Student Achievement Downloads
Joshua Goodman and Samuel Nitkin
35670: Air Pollution and Learning Downloads
A. Patrick Behrer, Joshua Goodman, J. Parker Goyer and R. Jisung Park
35669: Fool's Gold? How the USD lost its Shine Downloads
Kai Arvai, Nuno Coimbra and Marco Pinchetti
35668: Labor Mobility and the Level of Unemployment in a Currency Union Downloads
Erin P. Gibson, Christopher House, Christian Proebsting and Linda Tesar
35667: A Theory of International Official Lending Downloads
Qing Liu, Zanhui Liu and Vivian Yue
35666: Making Everyone’s Preferences Count: A Prospect Theory Approach to Valuing Health Improvements Downloads
Karen Mulligan, Drishti Baid, Jason Doctor and Darius Lakdawalla
35665: Democratizing Private Markets: Equilibrium Predictions Downloads
Lubos Pastor, Robert Stambaugh and Lucian A. Taylor
35664: Rising Income Risk at the Top Downloads
J. Carter Braxton, Kyle F. Herkenhoff, Chengdai Huang, Michael Nattinger, Jonathan Rothbaum and Lawrence Schmidt
35663: CentaurBench: Benchmarking LLM Capabilities on Augmenting vs. Automating Real-World Work Tasks Downloads
Pattaraphon Kenny Wongchamcharoen, Kris Gulati, Min Min Fong and Abhishek Nagaraj
35662: The Impact of Fiscal Policy to Promote Healthy Diets: Evidence from the Navajo Nation Downloads
John Cawley, Mallory Dreyer and Kosali Simon
35661: Tariff-Dispersion Shocks: The Mean is the Variance Downloads
Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe and Martín Uribe
35660: Fear as a Campaign Tool: Evidence from the 2014 U.S. Ebola Scare Downloads
Filipe Campante, Emilio Depetris-Chauvin and Ruben Durante
35659: The Effects of SNAP Sugary Drink Restrictions on Consumption and Welfare Downloads
Hunt Allcott, Amy Finkelstein, Anna Grummon and Matthew Notowidigdo
35658: Measuring the Welfare Gains from Cardinal-Preference Mechanisms in School Choice Downloads
Hülya Eraslan, Jeremy Fox and YingHua He
35657: The Data Revolution, and Its Uses, in International Trade Downloads
David Atkin and Benjamin Faber
35656: Cultural Evolution Downloads
Oded Galor, Marc Klemp and Daniel Wainstock
35655: Crypto Capture of Foreign Aid Downloads
Sumit Agarwal, Peiyi Jin, Eswar Prasad and Daniel Rabetti
35654: Critical Minerals, Geopolitics, and the Green Transition Downloads
Tomás Domínguez-Iino, Jonathan T. Elliott and Allan Hsiao
35653: To Tax or To Ax? Marginal Tax and Spending Multipliers in Consolidations Downloads
Roberto Perotti and Luca Sala
35652: A Model of Global Firms and Capital Markets Downloads
Loukas Karabarbounis, Bruno Pellegrino and Juliana Salomao
35651: Falling Fertility: The Changing Value of Freedom, Fulfillment, and Family Downloads
Raquel Fernandez, Inés Berniell and Milagros Onofri
35650: The Meritocratic Consensus and Stratification in Higher Education Downloads
Zachary Bleemer and Jesse Rothstein
35649: The Effect of Childcare on Female Labor Supply and Child Development in Low and Middle Income Countries Downloads
Serena Goldberg and Costas Meghir
35648: Do Local Synthetic Opioid Overdose Deaths Affect Provider Prescribing of Buprenorphine? Downloads
Nicole Siegal, Sumedha Gupta, Matthew C. Aalsma, Stephen Crystal, Jennifer Miles, Hillary Samples, Allen Campbell, Kosali Simon and Rosalie Pacula
35647: Currency Dominance Is Not Forever: Some Insights from a Non-Linear Dynamic Model Downloads
Michael Bordo and Cécile Bastidon
35646: Spillover Effects of Regulatory Inspections: Evidence from OSHA Downloads
Matthew S. Johnson, David Levine and Michael Toffel
35645: Stress Testing Cardiac Care Markets through Deregulation Downloads
Daniel R. Arnold, Michael R. Richards, Yashaswini Singh and Christopher Whaley
35644: Where the Grass Seems Greener: Economic Misperceptions and Support for Democracy Downloads
Daron Acemoglu, Nicolas Ajzenman, Guillermo Cruces, Martin Fiszbein, Gaston Garcia Zavaleta and Carlos Molina
35643: Survival Analysis with Limited Overlap and Censoring Distribution Shift Downloads
Meera Krishnamoorthy, Donna Tjandra, Divya Shanmugam, Amanda E. Kowalski and Jenna Wiens
35642: Monetary-Fiscal Interactions: A Reappraisal Downloads
George-Marios Angeletos, Chen Lian, Christian Wolf and Dalton Rongxuan Zhang
35641: Benchmark Mineability and the Financing of AI Innovation Downloads
Alex Chan
35640: Labor Market Power with Worker and Firm Heterogeneity Downloads
David Berger, Kyle F. Herkenhoff, Jaehun Jeong and Simon Mongey
35639: Local Labor Demand and Achievement Gaps: Evidence from the Great Recession Downloads
Karla Cordova and Jessamyn Schaller
35638: Tracing the Impact of Payment Convenience on Deposits: Evidence from Depositor Activeness Downloads
Xu Lu, Yang Song and Yao Zeng
35637: Political Entrepreneurs Downloads
Aaron Chatterji, Jorge Guzman, Joyce Ma and Ryan McDevitt
35636: Rate Risk and Rate Insurance Downloads
Olivier Wang
35635: Occupational Licensing of Uber Drivers Downloads
Jonathan Hall, Jason Hicks, Morris M. Kleiner and Yun taek Oh
35634: The Yeoman's Portfolio: Measuring Historical Risk Preferences Using Crop Choice Downloads
Remy Levin and Daniela Vidart
35633: Instrument Hacking Downloads
Michael Keane, Timothy Neal and Patrick Vu
35632: Taxpayer Behavior in the Age of AI: A Field Experiment on Property Tax Appeals Downloads
Justin Holz, Ricardo Perez-Truglia, Andrew Simon and Alejandro Zentner
35631: Selection into Medicine Downloads
Diane Alexander and Molly Schnell
35630: Tariffs, Investment, and the Missing Trade Collapse Downloads
Francesco Ferrante, Andrea Prestipino, Andrea Raffo and Michael Waugh
35629: Optimal Experimental Design and Estimation when Potential Outcomes are Bounded Downloads
Peter Hull
35628: Do Minimum Wages Help Workers in Poor and Low-Income Families? Downloads
David Neumark and Emma Wohl
35627: Provider Altruism and Medical Fraud: Evidence from an Audit Study of Malaria Treatment Downloads
Paul Gertler and Ada Kwan
35626: Outside Options and Labor Supply: Evidence from the Gig Economy Downloads
Sydnee Caldwell and Emily Oehlsen
35625: When Public Signals Backfire: Strategic Disclosure and Information Crowd-Out Downloads
Marty Haoyuan Chen and Ginger Zhe Jin
35624: Sticky Wage Norms and the Real Wage Cost of Unexpected Inflation Downloads
Erik Hurst, Christina Patterson, Nela Thomas Richardson and Ye Liv Wang
35623: Race and Redistricting in Local Governments Downloads
Carlos Avenancio-Leon, Daniel Jones and Ying Shi
35622: Virtual Tutoring with Computer-Assisted Learning: An Experiment in Take-Up and Learning Downloads
Philip Oreopoulos, Ruochong Dong and Nina Low
35621: Making AI Tutoring Productive: Evidence from a Mastery-Based Math Practice Experiment Downloads
Philip Oreopoulos, Michael Liut, Alp Sungu and Nina Low
35620: One Click Away: AI Tutoring with Khanmigo in a Two-Year School Experiment Downloads
Philip Oreopoulos and Nina Low
35619: Institutional Variation in Child Maltreatment Reporting Downloads
E. Jason Baron, Micah Y. Baum, Joseph J. Doyle, Maria Fitzpatrick, Brian Jacob and Joseph P. Ryan
35618: The Global Transition – The Impact of Demographics and AI on Economic Power Downloads
Seth G. Benzell, Laurence Kotlikoff and Victor Yifan Ye
35617: The Cov-lite Liquidity Advantage, Regulatory Pressures, and the Evolution of the Leveraged Loan Market Downloads
Robert Prilmeier and René M. Stulz
35616: Do Children Derail Women from the CEO Track? Downloads
Santiago Campos-Rodríguez and David Neumark
35615: Identifying Policy Causal Effects from Rule Changes Downloads
Ed Manuel and Christian Wolf
35614: Declining Occupations and Career Outcomes in the United States Downloads
Erling Barth, Maria Hoen, Sari Pekkala Kerr and William Kerr
35613: Short-Run Impacts of SNAP Restriction Waivers on Beverage Purchases Downloads
David Frisvold and Felipe Lozano Rojas
35612: Beliefs about Government Debt Valuation and Sustainability Downloads
Ricardo Delao and Wenhao Li
35611: Social Clubs and Political Office Downloads
Julien Labonne, Pablo Querubin, Martín Rossi, Sebastian M. Saiegh, Ivan San Miguel and Shanker Satyanath
35610: The Limits of Government Outsourcing: Property Tax Re-Assessments in India Downloads
Esther Duflo, Rema Hanna, Benjamin Olken and Shreya Tandon
35609: Exchange Rates, Structural Change, and Productivity Growth Downloads
Paul Bergin, Woo Jin Choi and Ju Hyun Pyun
35608: Monopsony Makes it Big Downloads
Sydnee Caldwell, Arindrajit Dube and Suresh Naidu
35607: Credit Card Banking Downloads
Itamar Drechsler, Hyeyoon Jung, Weiyu Peng, Dominik Supera and Guanyu Zhou
35606: Supplemental Medicare Insurance Coverage for Older Adults with Probable Dementia Downloads
Melissa McInerney, Lorena Moreno and Jennifer M. Mellor
35605: Search and Negotiation with Biased Beliefs in Consumer Credit Markets Downloads
Erik Berwart, Sean Higgins, Sheisha Kulkarni and Santiago Truffa
35604: Algorithm-Driven SVARs: Navigating the Wilderness of Big Data Downloads
Yucheng Yang and Tao Zha
35603: Teen Suicide and the Outcomes of Surviving Peers Downloads
Emily Cuddy, Janet Currie, Elisa Jácome and Lucy Manly
35602: Colleges, Assortative Mating, and Intergenerational Mobility in Twentieth-Century America Downloads
Ran Abramitzky, Santiago Perez and Joseph Price
35601: The Impact of Suicide Hotlines on Health: Evidence from 988 Implementation Downloads
Benjamin Hansen, Niketana Kannan and Jonathan Zhang
35600: Recall Fluency, Beliefs and Behavior Downloads
Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli, Matthew O'Brien and Andrei Shleifer
35599: From Social Savings to Spatial Equilibrium: Evaluating Transportation Improvements in Quantitative Spatial Models Downloads
Treb Allen, Simon Fuchs and Woan Foong Wong
35598: Choosing To Fail: Managerial Liability, Risk Management and Voluntary Exits of Banks Downloads
Haelim Anderson, Charles Calomiris and Jennifer S. Rhee
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