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NBER Working Papers

From National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A..
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31662: A Theory of Trade Policy Transitions Downloads
T. Renee Bowen, J. Lawrence Broz and B. Rosendorff
31661: Global Supply Chains: The Looming “Great Reallocation” Downloads
Laura Alfaro and Davin Chor
31660: Limits to Competition: Strategies for Promoting Jurisdictional Cooperation Downloads
David Agrawal
31659: Large Shocks Travel Fast Downloads
Alberto Cavallo, Francesco Lippi and Ken Miyahara
31658: Quantifying Climate Change Loss and Damage Consistent with a Social Cost of Greenhouse Gases Downloads
Marshall Burke, Mustafa Zahid, Noah Diffenbaugh and Solomon M. Hsiang
31657: Climate Change, Directed Innovation, and Energy Transition: The Long-run Consequences of the Shale Gas Revolution Downloads
Daron Acemoglu, Philippe Aghion, Lint Barrage and David Hemous
31656: Composite Sorting Downloads
Job Boerma, Aleh Tsyvinski, Ruodu Wang and Zhenyuan Zhang
31655: 'We Are Not Guinea Pigs’: The Effects of Disclosure of Medical Misconduct on Vaccine Compliance Downloads
Belinda Archibong and Francis Annan
31654: The Importance of Sound Monetary Policy: Some Lessons for Today from Canada’s Experience with Floating Exchange Rates Since 1950 Downloads
Michael Bordo and Pierre Siklos
31653: Contexts of Convenience: Generalizing from Published Evaluations of School Finance Policies Downloads
Danielle V. Handel and Eric Hanushek
31652: Price Discrimination and Mortgage Choice Downloads
Jamie Coen, Anil Kashyap and May Rostom
31651: A Cognitive View of Policing Downloads
Oeindrila Dube, Sandy Jo MacArthur and Anuj K. Shah
31650: Game, Sweat, Match: Temperature and Elite Worker Productivity Downloads
Marshall Burke, Vincent Tanutama, Sam Heft-Neal, Miyuki Hino and David Lobell
31649: The Child Penalty Atlas Downloads
Henrik Kleven, Camille Landais and Gabriel Leite-Mariante
31648: The Outlook for Long-Term Economic Growth Downloads
Charles Jones
31647: Stress Testing Structural Models of Unobserved Heterogeneity: Robust Inference on Optimal Nonlinear Pricing Downloads
Aaron L. Bodoh-Creed, Brent R. Hickman, John List, Ian Muir and Gregory K. Sun
31646: Regulatory Arbitrage or Random Errors? Implications of Race Prediction Algorithms in Fair Lending Analysis Downloads
Daniel Greenwald, Sabrina T. Howell, Cangyuan Li and Emmanuel Yimfor
31645: Committing to Grow: Privatizations and Firm Dynamics in East Germany Downloads
Ufuk Akcigit, Harun Alp, André Diegmann (geb. Nolte) and Nicolas Serrano-Velarde
31644: Keep Calm and Bank On: Panic-Driven Bank Runs and the Role of Public Communication Downloads
Damiano Sandri, Francesco Grigoli, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Olivier Coibion
31643: Encouraging Preventative Care to Manage Chronic Disease at Scale Downloads
Claire E. Boone, Pablo Celhay, Paul Gertler and Tadeja Gracner
31642: The Fast, the Slow, and the Congested: Urban Transportation in Rich and Poor Countries Downloads
Prottoy Akbar, Victor Couture, Gilles Duranton and Adam Storeygard
31641: The Limits of Educational Attainment in Mitigating Occupational Segregation Between Black and White Workers Downloads
Ashley Jardina, Peter Q. Blair, Justin Heck and Papia Debroy
31640: Target Date Funds as Asset Market Stabilizers: Evidence from the Pandemic Downloads
Jonathan Parker and Yang Sun
31639: Insuring those Who Bear the Risk: The Impact of Gender-inclusive Insurance in Kenya Downloads
Julian Arteaga, Michael Carter and Andrew Hobbs
31638: The Value of Communication for Mental Health Downloads
Francis Annan and Belinda Archibong
31637: Prison Labor: The Price of Prisons and the Lasting Effects of Incarceration Downloads
Belinda Archibong and Nonso Obikili
31636: Voting Choice Downloads
Andrey Malenko and Nadya Malenko
31635: Judging Banks’ Risk by the Profits They Report Downloads
Ben Meiselman, Stefan Nagel and Amiyatosh Purnanandam
31634: The Effect of Immigration Policy on Founding Location Choice: Evidence from Canada's Start-up Visa Program Downloads
Saerom (Ronnie) Lee and Britta Glennon
31633: Corporate Social Responsibility and Voting over Public Goods Downloads
Andrew Samwick and Sophie Wang
31632: Hidden Figures: Uncovering Quantities Behind Zeros with Econometrics Downloads
Anirban Basu
31631: How People Use Statistics Downloads
Pedro Bordalo, John J. Conlon, Nicola Gennaioli, Spencer Yongwook Kwon and Andrei Shleifer
31630: Show Me the Money! Incentives and Nudges to Shift Electric Vehicle Charge Timing Downloads
Megan R. Bailey, David Brown, Blake Shaffer and Frank A. Wolak
31629: Welfare Estimates of Shifting Peak Travel Downloads
Robert W. Hahn, Robert Metcalfe and Eddy Tam
31628: Retirement Consumption and Pension Design Downloads
Jonas Kolsrud, Camille Landais, Daniel Reck and Johannes Spinnewijn
31627: Are Software Automation and Teleworkers Substitutes? Preliminary Evidence from Japan Downloads
Richard Baldwin and Toshihiro Okubo
31626: Do PCI Facility Openings Differentially Affect AMI Patients by Individual Race and Community Segregation? Downloads
Renee Y. Hsia and Yu-Chu Shen
31625: Supporting Women’s Livelihoods at Scale: Evidence from a Nationwide Multi-Faceted Program Downloads
Ioana Botea, Andrew Brudevold-Newman, Markus Goldstein, Corinne Low and Gareth Roberts
31624: Sex, Power, and Adolescence: Intimate Partner Violence and Sexual Behaviors Downloads
Manisha Shah, Jennifer Seager, Joao Montalvao and Markus Goldstein
31623: Which Mexicans Are White? Enumerator-Assigned Race in the 1930 Census and the Socioeconomic Integration of Mexican Americans Downloads
Brian Duncan and Stephen Trejo
31622: Innovation Market Failures and the Design of New Climate Policy Instruments Downloads
Sarah C. Armitage, Noël Bakhtian and Adam Jaffe
31621: Tax Credits for Clean Electricity: The Distributional Impacts of Supply-Push Policies in the Power Sector Downloads
Maxwell L. Brown, Jon M. Becker, Jared Carbone, Teagan Goforth, James McFarland, Destenie Nock, Kristina Pitman and Daniel C. Steinberg
31620: What Predicts the Growth of Small Firms? Evidence from Tanzanian Commercial Loan Data Downloads
Mia Ellis, Cynthia Kinnan, Margaret McMillan and Sarah Shaukat
31619: Political Sentiment and Innovation: Evidence from Patenters Downloads
Joseph Engelberg, Runjing Lu, William Mullins and Richard R. Townsend
31618: Greed? Profits, Inflation, and Aggregate Demand Downloads
Florin Bilbiie and Diego Känzig
31617: Protests Downloads
Davide Cantoni, Andrew Kao, David Yang and Noam Yuchtman
31616: CEO Gender Bias in the Formation of Firm-to-Firm Transactions Downloads
Yutaro Izumi, Hitoshi Shigeoka and Masayuki Yagasaki
31615: Clean Growth Downloads
Costas Arkolakis and Conor Walsh
31614: Cooking, health, and daily exposure to pollution spikes Downloads
Susanna Berkouwer and Joshua Dean
31613: Managing Mental Accounts: Payment Cards and Consumption Expenditures Downloads
Michael Gelman and Nikolai Roussanov
31612: An Experimental Evaluation of Deferred Acceptance: Evidence from Over 100 Army Officer Labor Markets Downloads
Jonathan Davis, Kyle Greenberg and Damon Jones
31611: Psychosocial Constraints, Impact Heterogeneity and Spillovers in a Multifaceted Graduation Program in Kenya Downloads
Geyi Zheng, Michael Carter, Nathan Jensen and Laurel Krovetz
31610: Firm Export Dynamics in Interdependent Markets Downloads
Alonso Alfaro-Ureña, Juanma Castro-Vincenzi, Sebastian Fanelli and Eduardo Morales
31609: From Addiction to Aggression: The Spillover Effects of Opioid Policies on Intimate Partner Violence Downloads
Dhaval Dave, Bilge Erten, Pinar Keskin and Shuo Zhang
31608: Distributional Equity in the Employment and Wage Impacts of Energy Transitions Downloads
Ben Gilbert, Hannah Gagarin and Ben Hoen
31607: Biased Surveys Downloads
Luca Gemmi and Rosen Valchev
31606: Market Response to Racial Uprisings Downloads
Bocar A. Ba, Roman Rivera and Alexander Whitefield
31605: Incorporating Micro Data into Differentiated Products Demand Estimation with PyBLP Downloads
Christopher Conlon and Jeff Gortmaker
31604: Who (Actually) Gets the Farm? Intergenerational Farm Succession in the United States Downloads
Adrian Haws, David Just and Joseph Price
31603: The Macroeconomic Effects of the Federal Reserve's Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies Downloads
Eric Swanson
31602: Supply Chain Adjustments to Tariff Shocks: Evidence from Firm Trade Linkages in the 2018-2019 U.S. Trade War Downloads
Kyle Handley, Fariha Kamal and Ryan Monarch
31601: Automatic Enrollment with a 12% Default Contribution Rate Downloads
John Beshears, Ruofei Guo, David Laibson, Brigitte Madrian and James Choi
31600: An Import(ant) Price of Brexit Uncertainty Downloads
Alejandro Graziano, Kyle Handley and Nuno Limão
31599: Global Capital Allocation Downloads
Sergio Florez-Orrego, Matteo Maggiori, Jesse Schreger, Ziwen Sun and Serdil Tinda
31598: Women and the Econometrics of Family Trees Downloads
José-Antonio Espín-Sánchez, Joseph P. Ferrie and Christopher Vickers
31597: Antitrust Enforcement Increases Economic Activity Downloads
Tania Babina, Simcha Barkai, Jessica Jeffers, Ezra Karger and Ekaterina Volkova
31596: The Zero-Beta Interest Rate Downloads
Sebastian Di Tella, Benjamin Hebert, Pablo Kurlat and Qitong Wang
31595: The Impact of Bretton Woods International Capital Controls on the Global Economy and the Value of Geopolitical Stability: A General Equilibrium Analysis Downloads
Lee Ohanian, Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria, Diana Van Patten and Mark Wright
31594: Do Cops Know Who to Stop? Assessing Optimizing Models of Police Behavior with a Natural Experiment Downloads
David Abrams, Hanming Fang and Priyanka Goonetilleke
31593: “Invisible Killer”: Seasonal Allergies and Accidents Downloads
Mika Akesaka and Hitoshi Shigeoka
31592: Inventor Gender and Patent Undercitation: Evidence from Causal Text Estimation Downloads
Yael Hochberg, Ali Kakhbod, Peiyao Li and Kunal Sachdeva
31591: State Capacity as an Organizational Problem. Evidence from the Growth of the U.S. State Over 100 Years Downloads
Nicola Mastrorocco and Edoardo Teso
31590: Infrastructure and Finance: Evidence from India's GQ Highway Network Downloads
Abhiman Das, Ejaz Ghani, Arti Grover, William Kerr and Ramana Nanda
31589: Domino Secessions: Evidence from the U.S Downloads
Jean Lacroix, Kris James Mitchener and Kim Oosterlinck
31588: Industry Wage Differentials: A Firm-Based Approach Downloads
David Card, Jesse Rothstein and Moises Yi
31587: Location, Location, Location Downloads
David Card, Jesse Rothstein and Moises Yi
31586: Plata y Plomo: How Higher Wages Expose Politicians to Criminal Violence Downloads
Massimo Pulejo and Pablo Querubin
31585: Population Aging and Economic Growth: From Demographic Dividend to Demographic Drag? Downloads
Rainer Kotschy and David Bloom
31584: Micro MPCs and Macro Counterfactuals: The Case of the 2008 Rebates Downloads
Jacob Orchard, Valerie Ramey and Johannes Wieland
31583: Machine Forecast Disagreement Downloads
Turan G. Bali, Bryan T. Kelly, Mathis Mörke and Jamil Rahman
31582: Organizational Responses to Product Cycles Downloads
Achyuta Adhvaryu, Vittorio Bassi, Anant Nyshadham, Jorge A. Tamayo and Nicolas Torres
31581: The Impact of Criminal Financial Sanctions: A Multi-State Analysis of Survey and Administrative Data Downloads
Keith Finlay, Matthew Gross, Carl Lieberman, Elizabeth Luh and Michael G. Mueller-Smith
31580: Roots of Inequality Downloads
Oded Galor, Marc Klemp and Daniel Wainstock
31579: Broadband Internet Access and Health Outcomes: Patient and Provider Responses in Medicare Downloads
Jessica Van Parys and Zach Brown
31578: Long Term Expectations and Aggregate Fluctuations Downloads
Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli, Rafael La Porta, Matthew O'Brien and Andrei Shleifer
31577: Did the U.S. Really Grow Out of Its World War II Debt? Downloads
Julien Acalin and Laurence Ball
31576: The Changing Skill Content of Private Sector Union Coverage Downloads
Samuel Dodini, Michael Lovenheim and Alexander Willén
31575: The Value of Intermediaries for GSE Loans Downloads
Joshua Bosshardt, Ali Kakhbod and Amir Kermani
31574: Accounting for Environmental Activity: Measuring Public Environmental Expenditures and the Environmental Goods and Services Sector in the US Downloads
Dennis Fixler, Julie L. Hass, Tina Highfill, Kelly M. Wentland and Scott A. Wentland
31573: On the Source and Instability of Probability Weighting Downloads
Cary Frydman and Lawrence Jin
31572: Skills, Majors, and Jobs: Does Higher Education Respond? Downloads
Johnathan G. Conzelmann, Steven W. Hemelt, Brad Hershbein, Shawn M. Martin, Andrew Simon and Kevin Stange
31571: How to Fund Unemployment Insurance with Informality and False Claims: Evidence From Senegal Downloads
Abdoulaye Ndiaye, Kyle Herkenhoff, Abdoulaye Cisse, Alessandro Dell'Acqua and Ahmadou Aly Mbaye
31570: The Search for Good Jobs: Evidence from a Six-year Field Experiment in Uganda Downloads
Oriana Bandiera, Vittorio Bassi, Robin Burgess, Imran Rasul, Munshi Sulaiman and Anna Vitali
31569: Productivity Variation and Input Misallocation: Evidence from Hospitals Downloads
Amitabh Chandra, Carrie Colla and Jonathan Skinner
31568: Causal Effects of Renewable Portfolio Standards on Renewable Investments and Generation: The Role of Heterogeneity and Dynamics Downloads
Olivier Deschenes, Christopher Malloy and Gavin G. McDonald
31567: Drinking Water Contaminant Concentrations and Birth Outcomes Downloads
Richard DiSalvo and Elaine Hill
31566: The Summer Drop in Female Employment Downloads
Brendan M. Price and Melanie Wasserman
31565: Author Country of Origin and Attention on Open Science Platforms: Evidence from COVID-19 Preprints Downloads
Caroline Fry and Megan MacGarvie
31564: Testing Above the Limit: Drinking Water Contamination and Test Scores Downloads
Michelle M. Marcus
31563: Seniority Downloads
DongIk Kang and Miles Kimball
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