NBER Working Papers

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11874: Generalizing the Taylor Principle

Troy Davig and Eric Leeper

11873: The Impact of Regulations on the Supply and Quality of Care in Child Care Markets

V. Joseph Hotz and Mo Xiao

11872: Games Parents and Adolescents Play: Risky Behaviors, Parental Reputation, and Strategic Transfers

Lingxin Hao, V. Joseph Hotz and Ginger Z. Jin

11871: The Economic Impact of AIDS Treatment: Labor Supply in Western Kenya

Harsha Thirumurthy, Joshua Graff-Zivin and Markus Goldstein

11870: The Response of Prices, Sales, and Output to Temporary Changes in Demand

Adam Copeland and George Hall

11869: Are Countercyclical Fiscal Policies Counterproductive?

David Gordon and Eric Leeper

11868: The Net Asset Position of the U.S. National Government, 1784-1802: Hamilton's Blessing or the Spoils of War?

Farley Grubb

11867: Thinking Ahead: The Decision Problem

Patrick Bolton and Antoine Faure-Grimaud

11866: A Dual Policy Paradox: Why Have Trade and Immigration Policies Always Differed in Labor-Scarce Economies

Timothy Hatton and Jeffrey Williamson

11865: Confronting Divergent Interests in Cross-Country Regulatory Arrangements

Edward Kane

11864: Equilibrium Commodity Prices with Irreversible Investment and Non-Linear Technology

Jaime Casassus, Pierre Collin-Dufresne and Bryan Routledge

11863: The Perception and Valuation of the Risks of Climate Change: A Rational and Behavioral Blend

W Viscusi and Richard Zeckhauser

11862: How Do Budget Deficits and Economic Growth Affect Reelection Prospects? Evidence from a Large Cross-Section of Countries

Adi Brender and Allan Drazen

11861: Can Standard Preferences Explain the Prices of out of the Money S&P 500 Put Options

Luca Benzoni, Pierre Collin-Dufresne and Robert S. Goldstein

11860: Can the European Community Afford to Neglect the Need for More Accountable Safety-Net Management?

Edward Kane

11859: The Generational Divide in Support for Environmental Policies: European Evidence

Joni Hersch and W Viscusi

11858: Simulating the Dynamic Macroeconomic and Microeconomic Effects of the FairTax

Sabine Jokisch and Laurence Kotlikoff

11857: Myths and Realities of American Political Geography

Edward Glaeser and Bryce Ward

11856: Monetary Policy in a Changing International Environment: The Role of Global Capital Flows

Martin Feldstein

11855: The Impact of Provider Choice on Workers' Compensation Costs and Outcomes

David Neumark, Peter S. Barth and Richard Victor

11854: Optimal Inflation Stabilization in a Medium-Scale Macroeconomic Model

Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe and Martín Uribe

11853: Three Current Account Balances: A "Semi-Structuralist" Interpretation

Menzie Chinn and Jaewoo Lee

11852: Platform Owner Entry and Innovation in Complementary Markets: Evidence from Intel

Annabelle Gawer and Rebecca Henderson

11851: Limits of Arbitrage: Theory and Evidence from the Mortgage-Backed Securities Market

Xavier Gabaix, Arvind Krishnamurthy and Olivier Vigneron

11850: Aging, Pension Reform, and Capital Flows: A Multi-Country Simulation Model

Axel Boersch-Supan, Alexander Ludwig and Joachim Winter

11849: Inertia and Incentives: Bridging Organizational Economics and Organizational Theory

Rebecca Henderson and Sarah Kaplan

11848: Search Profiling with Partial Knowledge of Deterrence

Charles Manski

11847: Competition in Large Markets

Jeffrey Campbell

11846: Improving the Performance of the Education Sector: The Valuable, Challenging, and Limited Role of Random Assignment Evaluations

Richard Murnane and Richard Nelson

11845: Equilibrium Bias of Technology

Daron Acemoglu

11844: How Changes in Entry Requirements Alter the Teacher Workforce and Affect Student Achievement

Donald Boyd, Pamela Grossman, Hamilton Lankford, Susanna Loeb and James Wyckoff

11843: Demand-Based Option Pricing

Nicolae Garleanu, Lasse Pedersen and Allen M. Poteshman

11842: Where Did the Productivity Growth Go? Inflation Dynamics and the Distribution of Income

Ian Dew-Becker and Robert Gordon

11841: The Myth of Long-Horizon Predictability

Jacob Boudoukh, Matthew Richardson and Robert Whitelaw

11840: The Information in Long-Maturity Forward Rates: Implications for Exchange Rates and the Forward Premium Anomaly

Jacob Boudoukh, Matthew Richardson and Robert Whitelaw

11839: Firm Fragmentation and Urban Patterns

Esteban Rossi-Hansberg, Pierre Daniel Sarte and Raymond Owens

11838: Persuasion in Finance

Sendhil Mullainathan and Andrei Shleifer

11837: The Cost of Caring for Young Children

Dan Rosenbaum and Christopher Ruhm

11836: Rising Family Income Inequality in the United States, 1968-2000: Impacts of Changing Labor Supply, Wages, and Family Structure

Chulhee Lee

11835: New Evidence on the Causal Link Between the Quantity and Quality of Children

Joshua Angrist, Victor Lavy and Analia Schlosser

11834: Financial System Risk and Flight to Quality

Ricardo Caballero and Arvind Krishnamurthy

11833: Who's Going Broke? Comparing Growth in Healthcare Costs in Ten OECD Countries

Christian Hagist and Laurence Kotlikoff

11832: Universal Childcare, Maternal Labor Supply, and Family Well-Being

Michael Baker, Jonathan Gruber and Kevin Milligan

11831: Comparing Average and Marginal Tax Rates Under the FairTax and the Current System of Federal Taxation

Laurence Kotlikoff and David Rapson

11830: Do Capital Adequacy Requirements Matter for Monetary Policy?

Stephen Cecchetti and Lianfi Li

11829: The Effect of Firm-Level Contracts on the Structure of Wages: Evidence from Matched Employer-Employee Data

David Card and Sara De La Rica

11828: Trade in Ideal Varieties: Theory and Evidence

David Hummels and Volodymyr Lugovskyy

11827: Modeling the Offshoring of White-Collar Services: From Comparative Advantage to the New Theories of Trade and FDI

James Markusen

11826: Efficiency and Welfare with Complementarities and Asymmetric Information

George-Marios Angeletos and Alessandro Pavan

11825: Surviving Andersonville: The Benefits of Social Networks in POW Camps

Dora Costa and Matthew Kahn

11824: Downside Risk

Andrew Ang, Joseph Chen and Yuhang Xing

11823: Current Account Deficits in Industrial Countries: The Bigger They are, the Harder They Fall?

Caroline Freund and Francis Warnock

11822: Insurer-Provider Networks in the Medical Care Market

Kate Ho

11821: Towards a Theory of Firm Entry and Stabilization Policy

Paul Bergin and Giancarlo Corsetti

11820: Inattentive Producers

Ricardo Reis

11819: The Welfare Effects of Restricted Hospital Choice in the US Medical Care Market

Kate Ho

11818: Medical Expenditure Risk and Household Portfolio Choice

Dana Goldman and Nicole Maestas

11817: Salary or Benefits?

Paul Oyer

11816: Cash-Flow Risk, Discount Risk, and the Value Premium

Tano Santos and Pietro Veronesi

11815: Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Policy in a Currency Union

Jordi Galí and Tommaso Monacelli

11814: How Big a Problem is Too Big to Fail?

Frederic Mishkin

11813: Racial Sorting and Neighborhood Quality

Patrick Bayer and Robert McMillan

11812: How Much is Too Much? The Influence of Preschool Centers on Children's Social and Cognitive Development

Susanna Loeb, Margaret Bridges, Bruce Fuller, Russ Rumberger and Daphna Bassok

11811: Aching to Retire? The Rise in the Full Retirement Age and its Impact on the Disability Rolls

Mark Duggan, Perry Singleton and Jae Song

11810: Who Benefits from New Medical Technologies? Estimates of Consumer and Producer Surpluses for HIV/AIDS Drugs

Tomas Philipson and Anupam Jena

11809: Consumer Benefits from Increased Competition in Shopping Outlets: Measuring the Effect of Wal-Mart

Jerry Hausman and Ephraim Leibtag

11808: Searching for Better Prospects: Endogenizing Falling Job Tenure and Private Pension Coverage

Leora Friedberg, Michael Owyang and Tara Sinclair

11807: Well-Being, Social Capital and Public Policy: What's New?

John Helliwell

11806: Real Wage Rigidities and the New Keynesian Model

Olivier Blanchard and Jordi Galí

11805: Parental Preferences and School Competition: Evidence from a Public School Choice Program

Justine Hastings, Thomas J. Kane and Doug Staiger

11804: Market Structure, Outgrower contracs and Farm Output. Evidence from Cotton Reforms in Zambia

Irene Brambilla and Guido Porto

11803: What Can Rational Investors Do About Excessive Volatility and Sentiment Fluctuations?

Bernard Dumas, Alexander Kurshev and Raman Uppal

11802: Choice and Competition in Local Education Markets

Patrick Bayer and Robert McMillan

11801: Information Technology and the Japanese Economy

Dale Jorgenson and Kazuyuki Motohashi

11800: The Industry Origins of Japanese Economic Growth

Dale Jorgenson and Koji Nomura

11799: Creative Careers: The Life Cycles of Nobel Laureates in Economics

Bruce Weinberg and David Galenson

11798: Foreign Subsidization and Excess Capacity

Bruce Blonigen and Wesley Wilson

11797: Motivations for Public Equity Offers: An International Perspective

Woojin Kim and Michael Weisbach

11796: From the Cradle to the Labor Market? The Effect of Birth Weight on Adult Outcomes

Sandra Black, Paul Devereux and Kjell G Salvanes

11795: Stuck on Gold: Real Exchange Rate Volatility and the Rise and Fall of the Gold Standard

Natalia Chernyshoff, David Jacks and Alan Taylor

11794: The Effect of Randomized School Admissions on Voter Participation

Justine Hastings, Thomas J. Kane, Doug Staiger and Jeffrey M. Weinstein

11793: An Analysis of the Impact of Affirmative Action Programs on Self-Employment in the Construction Industry

David Blanchflower and Jon Wainwright

11792: Establishing Credibility: Evolving Perceptions of the European Central Bank

Linda Goldberg and Michael Klein

11791: Output Costs, Currency Crises, and Interest Rate Defense of a Peg

Amartya Lahiri and Carlos Vegh

11790: Does Hazardous Waste Matter? Evidence from the Housing Market and the Superfund Program

Michael Greenstone and Justin Gallagher

11789: Paternalism and Psychology

Edward Glaeser

11788: Robustness of the Estimates of the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve

Jordi Galí, Mark Gertler and David Lopez-Salido

11787: Openness Can be Good for Growth: The Role of Policy Complementarities

Roberto Chang, Linda Kaltani and Norman Loayza

11786: Pay Inequality, Pay Secrecy, and Effort: Theory and Evidence

Gary Charness and Peter Kuhn

11785: Evaluation of Currency Regimes: The Unique Role of Sudden Stops

Assaf Razin and Yona Rubinstein

11784: Two Theories of Money Reconciled: The Colonial Puzzle Revisited with New Evidence

Farley Grubb

11783: The U.S. Constitution and Monetary Powers: An Analysis of the 1787 Constitutional Convention and Constitutional Transformation of the Nation's Monetary System Emerged

Farley Grubb

11782: The Effects of Wal-Mart on Local Labor Markets

David Neumark, Junfu Zhang and Stephen Ciccarella

11781: Liability for Accidents

Steven Shavell

11780: The Theory of Public Enforcement of Law

A. Mitchell Polinsky and Steven Shavell

11779: Financial Crises and Political Crises

Roberto Chang

11778: The 1920s and the 1990s in Mutual Reflection

Robert Gordon

11777: What Caused the Decline in U.S. Business Cycle Volatility?

Robert Gordon

11776: A Century of Housing Shelter Prices: Is There a Downward Bias in the CPI?

Robert Gordon and Todd vanGoethem

11775: Roughing it Up: Including Jump Components in the Measurement, Modeling and Forecasting of Return Volatility

Torben Andersen, Tim Bollerslev and Francis Diebold