NBER Working Papers

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20661: Does Conflict of Interest Lead to Biased Coverage? Evidence from Movie Reviews

Stefano DellaVigna and Johannes Hermle

20660: Momentum Trading, Return Chasing, and Predictable Crashes

Benjamin Chabot, Eric Ghysels and Ravi Jagannathan

20659: One Step at a Time: The Effects of an Early Literacy Text Messaging Program for Parents of Preschoolers

Benjamin N. York and Susanna Loeb

20658: The Cambridge History of "Capitalism"

Peter Temin

20657: Validating Teacher Effect Estimates Using Changes in Teacher Assignments in Los Angeles

Andrew Bacher-Hicks, Thomas J. Kane and Doug Staiger

20656: Federal Reserve Policy and Bretton Woods

Michael Bordo and Owen Humpage

20655: Political Polarization, Anticipated Health Insurance Uptake and Individual Mandate: A view from the Washington State

Anirban Basu, Norma Coe, David E. Grembowski and Larry Kessler

20654: Is it all worth it? The experiences of new PhDs on the job market, 2007-2010

Brooke Helppie McFall, Marta Murray-Close, Robert Willis and Uniko Chen

20653: The War on Poverty's Experiment in Public Medicine: Community Health Centers and the Mortality of Older Americans

Martha Bailey and Andrew Goodman-Bacon

20652: Safe Assets

Robert Barro, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Oren Levintal and Andrew Mollerus

20651: Growth Expectations, Dividend Yields, and Future Stock Returns

Zhi Da, Ravi Jagannathan and Jianfeng Shen

20650: Monetary Policy and Debt Fragility

Antoine Camous and Russell Cooper

20649: Do Beliefs Justify Actions or Do Actions Justify Beliefs? An Experiment on Stated Beliefs, Revealed Beliefs, and Social-Image Manipulation

James Andreoni and Alison Sanchez

20648: The Impact of Short Term Exposure to Ambient Air Pollution on Cognitive Performance and Human Capital Formation

Victor Lavy, Avraham Ebenstein and Sefi Roth

20647: The Long Run Human Capital and Economic Consequences of High-Stakes Examinations

Victor Lavy, Avraham Ebenstein and Sefi Roth

20646: Liquidity and Foreign Asset Management Challenges for Latin American Countries

Joshua Aizenman and Daniel Riera-Crichton

20645: The Evolution of Charter School Quality

Patrick L. Baude, Marcus Casey, Eric Hanushek and Steven Rivkin

20644: W.U.I. on Fire: Risk, Salience & Housing Demand

Shawn J. McCoy and Randall Walsh

20643: Optimal Fiscal Limits

Stephen Coate

20642: Adverse Selection and Self-fulfilling Business Cycles

Jess Benhabib, Feng Dong and Pengfei Wang

20641: “Nash-in-Nash” Bargaining: A Microfoundation for Applied Work

Allan Collard-Wexler, Gautam Gowrisankaran and Robin Lee

20640: The Demand for Effective Charter Schools

Christopher Walters

20639: Inputs in the Production of Early Childhood Human Capital: Evidence from Head Start

Christopher Walters

20638: Quantifying Liquidity and Default Risks of Corporate Bonds over the Business Cycle

Hui Chen, Rui Cui, Zhiguo He and Konstantin Milbradt

20637: A Schumpeterian Model of Top Income Inequality

Charles Jones and Jihee Kim

20636: Adam Smith's "Tolerable Administration of Justice" and the Wealth of Nations

Douglas Irwin

20635: Tariff Incidence: Evidence from U.S. Sugar Duties, 1890-1930

Douglas Irwin

20634: International Trade, Multinational Activity, and Corporate Finance

C. Fritz Foley and Kalina Manova

20633: Social Insurance, Information Revelation, and Lack of Commitment

Mikhail Golosov and Luigi Iovino

20632: Optimal Time-Consistent Government Debt Maturity

Davide Debortoli, Ricardo Nunes and Pierre Yared

20631: The Contribution of Behavior Change and Public Health to Improved U.S. Population Health

Susan T. Stewart and David Cutler

20630: Wheat or Strawberries? Intermediated Trade with Limited Contracting

Kala Krishna and Lena Sheveleva

20629: Affirmative Action and Stereotypes in Higher Education Admissions

Prasad Krishnamurthy and Aaron Edlin

20628: What Should I Be When I Grow Up? Occupations and Unemployment over the Life Cycle

Martin Gervais, Nir Jaimovich, Henry Siu and Yaniv Yedid-Levi

20627: Tax Farming Redux: Experimental Evidence on Performance Pay for Tax Collectors

Adnan Q. Khan, Asim Khwaja and Benjamin Olken

20626: Recovering Ex Ante Returns and Preferences for Occupations using Subjective Expectations Data

Peter Arcidiacono, V. Joseph Hotz, Arnaud Maurel and Teresa Romano

20625: Wealth Inequality in the United States since 1913: Evidence from Capitalized Income Tax Data

Emmanuel Saez and Gabriel Zucman

20624: Dodging the Taxman: Firm Misreporting and Limits to Tax Enforcement

Paul Carrillo, Dina Pomeranz and Monica Singhal

20623: Markets with Multidimensional Private Information

Veronica Guerrieri and Robert Shimer

20622: Estimation of Dynamic Discrete Choice Models by Maximum Likelihood and the Simulated Method of Moments

Phillipp Eisenhauer, James Heckman and Stefano Mosso

20621: Sources of Firm Life-Cycle Dynamics: Differentiating Size vs. Age Effects

Lorenz Kueng, Mu-Jeung Yang and Bryan Hong

20620: Benchmarks in Search Markets

Darrell Duffie, Piotr Dworczak and Haoxiang Zhu

20619: More on Recent Evidence on the Effects of Minimum Wages in the United States

David Neumark, John Michael Ian Salas and William Wascher

20618: Evaluating Deliberative Competence: A Simple Method with an Application to Financial Choice

Sandro Ambuehl, B. Douglas Bernheim and Annamaria Lusardi

20617: Credit, Bankruptcy, and Aggregate Fluctuations

Makoto Nakajima and José-Víctor Ríos-Rull

20616: Microeconomic Uncertainty, International Trade, and Aggregate Fluctuations

George Alessandria, Horag Choi, Joseph Kaboski and Virgiliu Midrigan

20615: Tax Credits and Small Firm R&D Spending

Ajay Agrawal, Carlos Rosell and Timothy S. Simcoe

20614: Will They Take the Money and Work? An Empirical Analysis of People's Willingness to Delay Claiming Social Security Benefits for a Lump Sum

Raimond Maurer, Olivia Mitchell, Ralph Rogalla and Tatjana Schimetschek

20613: Monetary Policy with Interest on Reserves

John Cochrane

20612: Reserve Requirement Policy over the Business Cycle

Pablo Federico, Carlos Vegh and Guillermo Vuletin

20611: Effective Monetary Policy Strategies in New Keynesian Models: A Re-examination

Hess Chung, Edward Herbst and Michael Kiley

20610: Investment under Uncertainty with Financial Constraints

Patrick Bolton, Neng Wang and Jinqiang Yang

20609: Behavioral Economics of Education: Progress and Possibilities

Adam Lavecchia, Heidi Liu and Philip Oreopoulos

20608: Competing for Order Flow in OTC Markets

Benjamin Lester, Guillaume Rocheteau and Pierre-Olivier Weill

20607: Knowledge-based Hierarchies: Using Organizations to Understand the Economy

Luis Garicano and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg

20606: Capital Depreciation and Labor Shares Around the World: Measurement and Implications

Loukas Karabarbounis and Brent Neiman

20605: Directed Giving: Evidence from an Inter-Household Transfer Experiment

Catia Batista, Dan Silverman and Dean Yang

20604: Why You Can't Find a Taxi in the Rain and Other Labor Supply Lessons from Cab Drivers

Henry S. Farber

20603: The Evolution of Bank Supervision: Evidence from U.S. States

Kris James Mitchener and Matthew Jaremski

20602: The Comparative Advantage of Cities

Donald Davis and Jonathan Dingel

20601: High Marginal Tax Rates on the Top 1%? Lessons from a Life Cycle Model with Idiosyncratic Income Risk

Fabian Kindermann and Dirk Krueger

20600: Saving for a (not so) Rainy Day: A Randomized Evaluation of Savings Groups in Mali

Lori Beaman, Dean Karlan and Bram Thuysbaert

20599: Second Trimester Sunlight and Asthma: Evidence from Two Independent Studies

Nils Wernerfelt, David Slusky and Richard Zeckhauser

20598: Climate and Conflict

Marshall Burke, Solomon M. Hsiang and Edward Miguel

20597: The Early Impact of the Affordable Care Act State-By-State

Amanda Kowalski

20596: A Tale of Repetition: Lessons from Florida Restaurant Inspections

Ginger Zhe Jin and Jungmin Lee

20595: The Effects of Research & Development Funding On Scientific Productivity: Academic Chemistry, 1990-2009

Joshua Rosenbloom, Donna Ginther, Ted Juhl and Joseph Heppert

20594: Monetary Policy Uncertainty and Economic Fluctuations

Drew Creal and Jing Cynthia Wu

20593: Foreclosure, Vacancy and Crime

Lin Cui and Randall Walsh

20592: ... and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns

Campbell Harvey, Yan Liu and Heqing Zhu

20591: Understanding Defensive Equity

Robert Novy-Marx

20590: The Value of Regulatory Discretion: Estimates from Environmental Inspections in India

Esther Duflo, Michael Greenstone, Rohini Pande and Nicholas Ryan

20589: Valuing Thinly-Traded Assets

Francis Longstaff

20588: Welfare and Optimal Trading Frequency in Dynamic Double Auctions

Songzi Du and Haoxiang Zhu

20587: Patent Collateral, Investor Commitment, and the Market for Venture Lending

Yael V. Hochberg, Carlos Serrano and Rosemarie H. Ziedonis

20586: Family Planning: Program Effects

Grant Miller and Kimberly Singer Babiarz

20585: Beyond Ricardo: Assignment Models in International Trade

Arnaud Costinot and Jonathan Vogel

20584: The Great Recession, Decline and Rebound in Household Wealth for the Near Retirement Population

Alan Gustman, Thomas L. Steinmeier and Nahid Tabatabai

20583: Financing Constraints, Home Equity and Selection into Entrepreneurship

Thais Lærkholm Jensen, Søren Leth-Petersen and Ramana Nanda

20582: How Much Are Public School Teachers Willing to Pay for Their Retirement Benefits?

Maria Fitzpatrick

20581: How Does Government Borrowing Affect Corporate Financing and Investment?

John Graham, Mark T. Leary and Michael Roberts

20580: The New Full-time Employment Taxes

Casey Mulligan

20579: Outside Purchase Contracts, Human Capital and Firm Capital Structure

S. Katie Moon and Gordon Phillips

20578: Financing Decisions and Product Introductions of Private and Publicly Traded Firms

Gordon Phillips and Giorgo Sertsios

20577: A Distant Mirror of Debt, Default, and Relief

Carmen Reinhart and Christoph Trebesch

20576: Inflation Expectations, Learning and Supermarket Prices

Alberto Cavallo, Guillermo Cruces and Ricardo Perez-Truglia

20575: Dynamic Prediction Pools: An Investigation of Financial Frictions and Forecasting Performance

Marco Del Negro, Raiden B. Hasegawa and Frank Schorfheide

20574: A Model of Secular Stagnation

Gauti Eggertsson and Neil R. Mehrotra

20573: Asiaphoria Meets Regression to the Mean

Lant Pritchett and Lawrence Summers

20572: Inspecting the Mechanism: Leverage and the Great Recession in the Eurozone

Philippe Martin and Thomas Philippon

20571: U.S. Investment in Global Bonds: As the Fed Pushes, Some EMEs Pull

John Burger, Rajeswari Sengupta, Francis Warnock and Veronica Warnock

20570: Political Budget Cycles: Evidence from Italian Cities

Alberto Alesina and Matteo Paradisi

20569: Investment Hangover and the Great Recession

Matthew Rognlie, Andrei Shleifer and Alp Simsek

20568: In Search of Labor Demand

Paul Beaudry, David Green and Benjamin Sand

20567: Contagion in the European Sovereign Debt Crisis

Brent Glover and Seth Richards-Shubik

20566: Constrained Discretion and Central Bank Transparency

Francesco Bianchi and Leonardo Melosi

20565: Expanding Patients' Property Rights In Their Medical Records

Laurence C. Baker, Kate Bundorf and Daniel Kessler

20564: Fiscal Challenges in Multilayered Unions: An Overview and Case Study

Joshua Aizenman and Gunnar Gunnarsson

20563: Product and Labor Market Regulations, Production Prices, Wages and Productivity

Gilbert Cette, Jimmy Lopez and Jacques Mairesse

20562: The Perception Of Social Security Incentives For Labor Supply And Retirement: The Median Voter Knows More Than You'd Think

Jeffrey Liebman and Erzo Luttmer