NBER Working Papers

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7809: The Expectations Trap Hypothesis

Lawrence Christiano and Christopher Gust

7808: Firm Value, Risk, and Growth Opportunities

Hyun-Han Shin and René Stulz

7807: The Asian Flu and Russian Virus: Firm-level Evidence on How Crises are Transmitted Internationally

Kristin Forbes

7806: Child Care Subsidy Programs

David Blau

7805: Evolving Standards for Academic Publishing: A q-r Theory

Glenn Ellison

7804: The Slowdown of the Economics Publishing Process

Glenn Ellison

7803: Does Diversification Destroy Value? Evidence From Industry Shocks

Owen Lamont and Christopher Polk

7802: Collective Choice and Voluntary Provision of Public Goods

Dennis Epple and Richard Romano

7801: Interest Rates, Contagion and Capital Controls

Sebastian Edwards

7800: Technical Change, Inequality, and the Labor Market

Daron Acemoglu

7799: Market Responses to Interindustry Wage Differentials

George Borjas and Valerie Ramey

7798: Winning Isn't Everything: Corruption in Sumo Wrestling

Mark Duggan and Steven Levitt

7797: Looking for Contagion: Evidence from the ERM

Carlo Favero and Francesco Giavazzi

7796: On the Gains to International Trade in Risky Financial Assets

Steven Davis, Jeremy Nalewaik and Paul Willen

7795: Country Portfolios

Aart Kraay, Norman Loayza, Luis Servén and Jaume Ventura

7794: When Unions "Mattered": Assessing the Impact of Strikes on Financial Markets: 1925-1937

John DiNardo and Kevin Hallock

7793: Inequality and Growth: What Can the Data Say?

Abhijit Banerjee and Esther Duflo

7792: Dollarization of Liabilities: Underinsurance and Domestic Financial Underdevelopment

Ricardo Caballero and Arvind Krishnamurthy

7791: Bequests as Signals: An Explanation for the Equal Division Puzzle

B. Douglas Bernheim and Sergei Severinov

7790: Consumer City

Edward Glaeser, Jed Kolko and Albert Saiz

7789: Hospital Ownership and Public Medical Spending

Mark Duggan

7788: Product Prices and the OECD Cycle

Aart Kraay and Jaume Ventura

7787: Simon S. Kuznets: April 30, 1901-July 9, 1985

Robert Fogel

7786: Building the IPO Order Book: Underpricing and Participation Limits With Costly Information

Ann Sherman and Sheridan Titman

7785: The Dynamics of Car Sales: A Discrete Choice Approach

Jerome Adda and Russell Cooper

7784: Land, Labor and Globalization in the Pre-Industrial Third World

Jeffrey Williamson

7783: Why Stocks May Disappoint

Andrew Ang, Geert Bekaert and Jun Liu

7782: Macroeconomic Volatility in Latin America: A View and Three Case Studies

Ricardo Caballero

7781: Risky Behavior Among Youths: An Economic Analysis

Jonathan Gruber

7780: Youth Smoking in the U.S.: Evidence and Implications

Jonathan Gruber and Jonathan Zinman

7779: Evaluating and Investing in Equity Mutual Funds

Lubos Pastor and Robert Stambaugh

7778: The Equity Premium and Structural Breaks

Lubos Pastor and Robert Stambaugh

7777: The Six Major Puzzles in International Macroeconomics: Is There a Common Cause?

Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff

7776: Tariff-Jumping Antidumping Duties

Bruce Blonigen

7775: A Framework for Assessing Estate and Gift Taxation

Louis Kaplow

7774: Tax and Subsidy Combinations for the Control of Car Pollution

Don Fullerton and Sarah West

7773: The Cost of Job Security Regulation: Evidence from Latin American Labor Markets

James Heckman and Carmen Pages

7772: Consumption Externalities and Diffusion in Pharmaceutical Markets: Antiulcer Drugs

Ernst R. Berndt, Robert Pindyck and Pierre Azoulay

7771: The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Empirical Investigation

Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson and James Robinson

7770: Pensions and Contemporary Socioeconomic Change

Assar Lindbeck

7769: Estimating the Return to Schooling: Progress on Some Persistent Econometric Problems

David Card

7768: On the Instability of Variance Decompositions of the Real Exchange Rate across Exchange-Rate-Regimes: Evidence from Mexico and the United States

Enrique Mendoza

7767: Allocating Payroll Tax Revenue to Personal Retirement Accounts to Maintain Social Security Benefits and the Payroll Tax Rate

Martin Feldstein and Andrew Samwick

7766: Quality of Bureaucracy and Open-Economy Macro Policies

Chong-En Bai and Shang-Jin Wei

7765: Natural Openness and Good Government

Shang-Jin Wei

7764: Banks, Short Term Debt and Financial Crises: Theory, Policy Implications and Applications

Douglas Diamond and Raghuram Rajan

7763: Emerging Equity Markets and Economic Development

Geert Bekaert, Campbell Harvey and Christian Lundblad

7762: Generational Conflict, Human Capital Accumulation, and Economic Growth

Douglas Holtz-Eakin, Mary Lovely and Mehmet Tosun

7761: Borrowing Constraints and the Returns to Schooling

Stephen Cameron and Christopher Taber

7760: The Economic Impacts of the Tobacco Settlement

David Cutler, Jonathan Gruber, Raymond S. Hartman, M.B. Landrum, Joseph Newhouse and Meredith B. Rosenthal

7759: The Boskin Commission Report and its Aftermath

Robert Gordon

7758: Alcohol Consumption and Alcohol Advertising Bans

Henry Saffer

7757: The US Economic Model at Y2K: Lodestar for Advanced Capitalism?

Richard Freeman

7756: Hope for Whom? Financial Aid for the Middle Class and Its Impact on College Attendance

Susan Dynarski

7755: What is an Oil Shock?

James Hamilton

7754: Benevolent Colluders? The Effects of Antitrust Action on College Financial Aid and Tuition

Caroline Hoxby

7753: Robust-H-infinity Forecasting and Asset Pricing Anomalies

Aaron Tornell

7752: Interpreting the "One Big Wave" in U.S. Long-Term Productivity Growth

Robert Gordon

7751: The Rise and Fall of Foreign Exchange Market Intervention

Anna Schwartz

7750: Determinants of Long-Term Growth: A Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) Approach

Gernot Doppelhofer, Ronald I. Miller and Xavier Sala-i-Martin

7749: Race and the Value of Owner-Occupied Housing, 1940-1990

William Collins and Robert Margo

7748: Cephalon, Inc. Taking Risk Management Theory Seriously

George Chacko, Peter Tufano and Geoffrey Verter

7747: How Good a Deal Was the Tobacco Settlement?: Assessing Payments to Massachusetts

David Cutler, Arnold M. Epstein, Richard G. Frank, Raymond Hartman, Charles King, Joseph Newhouse, Meredith B. Rosenthal and Elizabeth Richardson Vigdor

7746: Financial Crisis, Health Outcomes and Aging: Mexico in the 1980s and 1990s

David Cutler, Felicia Knaul, Rafael Lozano, Oscar Mendez and Beatriz Zurita

7745: Does Trade Raise Income? Evidence from the Twentieth Century

Douglas Irwin and Marko Terviö

7744: Estimating the General Equilibrium Benefits of Large Policy Changes: The Clean Air Act Revisited

Holger Sieg, V. Smith, Spencer Banzhaf and Randall Walsh

7743: Savings and the Terms of Trade Under Borrowing Constraints

Pierre-Richard Agénor and Joshua Aizenman

7742: Examining the Incidence of Downsizing and Its Effect on Establishment Performance

Peter Cappelli

7741: Market Value and Patent Citations: A First Look

Bronwyn Hall, Adam Jaffe and Manuel Trajtenberg

7740: International Liquidity Management: Sterilization Policy in Illiquid Financial Markets

Ricardo Caballero and Arvind Krishnamurthy

7739: The Effects of Investing Social Security Funds in the Stock Market When Fixed Costs Prevent Some Households from Holding Stocks

Andrew Abel

7738: Exchange Rate Regimes and Financial-Market Imperfections

Joshua Aizenman and Ricardo Hausmann

7737: Language-Skill Complementarity: Returns to Immigrant Language Acquisition

Eli Berman, Kevin Lang and Erez Siniver

7736: Do Debt Flows Crowd Out Equity Flows Or the Other Way Round?

Assaf Razin, Efraim Sadka and Chi-Wa Yuen

7735: Participation and Investment Decisions in a Retirement Plan: The Influence of Colleagues' Choices

Esther Duflo and Emmanuel Saez

7734: Delaying the Inevitable: Optimal Interest Rate Policy and BOP Crises

Amartya Lahiri and Carlos Vegh

7733: An Introduction to School-To-Work Programs in the NLSY97: How Prevalent are They, and Which Youths do They Serve?

David Neumark and Mary Joyce

7732: Gender Differences in Pay

Francine Blau and Lawrence Kahn

7731: Uncertainty and Labor Contract Durations

Robert Rich and Joseph Tracy

7730: Changes in Managerial Pay Structures 1986-1992 and Rising Returns to Skill

K.C. O'Shaughnessy, David I. Levine and Peter Cappelli

7729: Last Minute Bidding and the Rules for Ending Second-Price Auctions: Theory and Evidence from a Natural Experiment on the Internet

Alvin Roth and Axel Ockenfels

7728: The Economic Approach to Social Capital

Edward Glaeser, David Laibson and Bruce Sacerdote

7727: Controlling Stocks and Flows to Promote Quality: The Environment, With Applications to Physical and Human Capital

Nathaniel Keohane, Benjamin Van Roy and Richard Zeckhauser

7726: The Structure and Conduct of Corporate Lobbying: How Firms Lobby the Federal Communications Commission

John M. de Figueiredo and Emerson H. Tiller

7725: Alternative Monetary Policy Rules: A Comparison with Historical Settings for the United States, the United Kingdom, and Japan

Bennett McCallum

7724: The International Monetary Fund: Its Present Role in Historical Perspective

Michael Bordo and Harold James

7723: Should the Government Subsidize Supply or Demand in the Market for Scientists and Engineers?

Paul Romer

7722: Debt Restructuring

Benjamin M. Friedman

7721: The Old and the New in U.S. Economic Expansion of the 1990s

Victor Zarnowitz

7720: Institutions, Restructuring, and Macroeconomic Performance

Ricardo Caballero and Mohamad L. Hammour

7719: Evaluating School-To-Work Programs Using the New NLSY

David Neumark and Mary Joyce

7718: Who is Selling the Ivory Tower? Sources of Growth in University Licensing

Jerry Thursby and Marie Thursby

7717: Creating Markets for New Vaccines Part II: Design Issues

Michael Kremer

7716: Creating Markets for New Vaccines Part I: Rationale

Michael Kremer

7715: Can Emerging Market Bank Regulators Establish Credible Discipline? The Case of Argentina, 1992-1999

Charles Calomiris and Andrew Powell

7714: Foreign and Domestic Bank Participation in Emerging Markets: Lessons from Mexico and Argentina

Linda Goldberg, B. Gerard Dages and Daniel Kinney

7713: Explaining the Rise in Youth Suicide

David Cutler, Edward Glaeser and Karen Norberg

7712: The Strategic Positioning of Store Brands in Retailer - Manufacturer Bargaining

Fiona Scott Morton and Florian Zettelmeyer

7711: Reexamining the Empirical Evidence for an Environmental Kuznets Curve

William Harbaugh, Arik Levinson and David Wilson

7710: A Dynamic Analysis of the Market for Wide-Bodied Commercial Aircraft

C. Lanier Benkard