NBER Working Papers

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34552: Long-run Effects of Universal Pre-Primary Education Expansion: Evidence from Argentina

Samuel Berlinski, Guillermo Cruces, Sebastian Galiani, Paul Gertler and Fabian Gonzalez

34551: Fiscal Policy: Financing and Indebtedness

Jing Cynthia Wu, Shihan Xie, Yinxi Xie and Ji Zhang

34550: Harvesting Differences-in-Differences and Event-Study Evidence

Alberto Abadie, Joshua Angrist, Brigham Frandsen and Jorn-Steffen Pischke

34549: Division of Labor in the Global Economy

Sascha Becker, Hartmut Egger, Michael Koch and Marc-Andreas Muendler

34548: The Consequences of Abortion Funding Bans

Lauren Hoehn-Velasco, Nikita Dhingra and Mayra Pineda-Torres

34547: The Impacts of Guaranteed Basic Income on Crime Perpetration and Victimization

Mikko Aaltonen, Martti Kaila and Emily E. Nix

34546: Africa as a Success Story: Political Organization in Pre-Colonial Africa

Soeren Henn and James Robinson

34545: Delivering Higher Pay? The Impacts of a Task-Level Pay Standard in the Gig Economy

Yuan An, Andrew Garin and Brian Kovak

34544: Are E-Cigarette Taxes Losing their Bite?

Dhaval Dave, Tessie Krishna, Yang Liang and Joseph J. Sabia

34543: Waiting for the Right Offer: Laboratory Evidence on How News Affects Bargaining

Tingting Ding and Steven Lehrer

34542: The Effect of Paid Sick Leave Mandates on Individuals with Disabilities: Evidence from Social Security Disability Claims

Anwar Assamidanov, Dhaval Dave, Jooyoung Kim, Brandy Lipton, Xuechao Qian and Joseph J. Sabia

34541: Medicaid Coverage and Postpartum Opioid Use Disorder Treatment

Sumedha Gupta, Yimin Ge, Johanna Maclean and Matthew D. Eisenberg

34540: How to Build a Diverse Nation: Lessons from the Indonesian Experience

Samuel Bazzi

34539: Moral Regulation and Cultural Production: Evidence from Hollywood

Ruixue Jia and David Strömberg

34538: Patient Peer Effects: Evidence from Nursing Home Room Assignments

Alden Cheng and Martin B. Hackmann

34537: Financial Returns to Equity Investments in Infrastructure in Emerging-Market and Developing Economies

Anusha Chari, Peter Henry, Yanru Lee and Paolo Mauro

34536: Measurement Matters: Financial Reporting and Productivity

John Barrios, Brian C. Fujiy, Petro Lisowsky and Michael Minnis

34535: Imputation-Powered Inference for Missing Covariates

Junting Duan and Markus Pelger

34534: Trials Avoid High Risk Patients and Underestimate Drug Harms

Jason Abaluck, Leila Agha and Sachin Shah

34533: A Model of the Model: Unpacking CGE Results on Carbon Leakage

Daniel H. Karney, Don Fullerton and Kathy Baylis

34532: The Innovation Race: Experimental Evidence on Advanced Technologies

Zoë B. Cullen, Ester Faia, Elisa Guglielminetti, Ricardo Perez-Truglia and Concetta Rondinelli

34531: Tariffs on Medical Goods: Pass-through, Geography, and Aggregate Costs to the US Healthcare System

Manho Kang, Xiangtao Meng, Katheryn Russ and James Waters

34530: Accommodating Emerging Giants in the Global Economy

Zhuokai Huang, Benny Kleinman, Ernest Liu and Stephen Redding

34529: The Intersection of Place and Need: How Lack of Enrollment Offices Deters Participation in the Safety Net

Marianne Bitler, Jason Cook, Chloe East, Sonya R. Porter and Laura Tiehen

34528: How (Not) to Identify Demand Elasticities in Dynamic Asset Markets

Jules van Binsbergen, Benjamin David and Christian Opp

34527: California’s Firearm Excise Tax is Almost Fully Passed on to Consumers

Sara Drango, Sarah Moshary and Bradley Shapiro

34526: Avoiding Prejudice: Islamophobia and the Labor Supply of Arabs and Muslims in the U.S

Kerwin Kofi Charles, Konstantin Kunze, Hani Mansour, Daniel Rees and Bryson Rintala

34525: Who Bears the Burden of Climate Inaction?

Kimberly Clausing, Christopher Knittel and Catherine Wolfram

34524: "Captain Gains" on Capitol Hill

Shang-Jin Wei and Yifan Zhou

34523: The Economic Legacy of Racial Trauma in the American South

Luke N. Condra, Daniel Jones and Randall Walsh

34522: The Effects of Widespread Online Education on Market Structure and Enrollment

Nano Barahona, Caue Dobbin and Sebastián Otero

34521: Effects of WIC on Birth Outcomes: Evidence from Newly Digitized Data from the National Archives

Marianne Bitler, Danea Horn, Esra Kose, Maria Rosales-Rueda and Arian Seifoddini

34520: Information Acquisition By Mutual Fund Investors: Evidence from Stock Trading Suspensions

Clemens Sialm and David X. Xu

34519: Marijuana Legalization and Suicides Among Older Adults

Sara Markowitz and Katie E. Leinenbach

34518: Unanticipated Effects of Electronic Benefits Transfer on WIC Stores and Redemptions: Evidence from Administrative Data on Vendors

Charlotte E. Ambrozek, Timothy Beatty, Marianne Bitler, Xinzhe H. Cheng and Matthew P. Rabbitt

34517: A Sufficient Statistics Approach to Optimal Corporate Taxes

Dustin L. Swonder and Damián Vergara

34516: Ambiguity vs. Risk in Investment Decisions: An Illustration from Green Finance

Caroline Flammer, Thomas Giroux, Geoffrey Heal and Marcella Lucchetta

34515: Moving to Fluidity: Regional Growth and Labor Market Churn

Eran B. Hoffmann, Monika Piazzesi and Martin Schneider

34514: Good Data and Bad Data: The Welfare Effects of Price Discrimination

Maryam Farboodi, Nima Haghpanah and Ali Shourideh

34513: The Rise of Market Power and the Macroeconomic Implications: Comment

C. Lanier Benkard, Nathan H. Miller and Ali Yurukoglu

34512: Dilution vs. Risk Taking: Capital Gains Taxes and Entrepreneurship

Eduardo M. Azevedo, Florian Scheuer, Kent Smetters and Min Yang

34511: Unraveling the Drivers of Energy-saving Technical Change

Diego Känzig and Charles T. Williamson

34510: Shutting Down Japantown: The Effects of WWII Internment on Japanese American Enclaves

Martin Saavedra and Tate Twinam

34509: Target Allocation Funds, Strategic Complementarities, and Market Fragility

Chuck Fang and Itay Goldstein

34508: The Local-Area Incidence of Exporting

Christoph Boehm, Aaron B. Flaaen, Nitya Pandalai-Nayar and Jan Schlupp

34507: Linear Regressions with Combined Data

Xavier D'Haultfoeuille, Christophe Gaillac and Arnaud Maurel

34506: Paternalistic Social Assistance: Evidence and Implications from Cash vs. In-Kind Transfers

Anna Chorniy, Amy Finkelstein and Matthew Notowidigdo

34505: The Spatial Distribution of Income in Cities: New Global Evidence and Theory

Peter Deffebach, David Lagakos, Yuhei Miyauchi and Eiji Yamada

34504: Misaligned by Design: Incentive Failures in Machine Learning

David Autor, Andrew Caplin, Daniel Martin and Philip Marx

34503: The Global Value of Cities

Aakash Bhalothia, Gavin Engelstad, Gaurav Khanna and Harrison Mitchell

34502: Malleable Minds: The Effects of STEM- vs. Humanities-Focused Curricula

Robert Ainsworth, Rajeev Dehejia, Andrei Munteanu, Cristian Pop-Eleches and Miguel Urquiola

34501: The Social Rate of Return on Road Infrastructure Investments

Anusha Chari, Peter Henry and Pablo Picardo

34500: The Lending Technology of Direct Lenders in Private Credit

Young Soo Jang, Dasol Kim and Amir Sufi

34499: Playing Catch-up with Health Savings

Jacob Berman, Adam Bloomfield and Sita Slavov

34498: Labor Market Strength and Declining Community College Enrollment

Joshua Goodman and Joseph Winkelmann

34497: Internal vs. External Shocks in Weakening Democracies: Evidence on Migration and Foreign Investment

Assaf Razin

34496: Tracking the Short-Run Price Impact of U.S. Tariffs

Alberto Cavallo, Paola Llamas and Franco M. Vazquez

34495: Laptops in the Long Run: Evidence from the One Laptop per Child Program in Rural Peru

Santiago Cueto, Diether Beuermann, Julian Cristia, Ofer Malamud and Francisco Pardo

34494: GCAP Public Security-Level Data on U.S. Fund Holdings

Bruno Cavani, Matteo Maggiori and Jesse Schreger

34493: Forecasting Social Science: Evidence from 100 Projects

Stefano DellaVigna and Eva Vivalt

34492: The Logic of State Surveillance

Gemma Dipoppa and Annalisa Pezone

34491: Predictably Unpredictable Inspections

Ashvin Gandhi, Andrew Olenski and Maggie Shi

34490: An Anatomy of the Great Reallocation in US Supply Chain Trade

Laura Alfaro and Davin Chor

34489: Beliefs and Portfolios: Causal Evidence

Johannes Beutel and Michael Weber

34488: Social Dynamics of AI Adoption

Leonardo Bursztyn, Alex Imas, Rafael Jiménez-Durán, Aaron Leonard and Christopher Roth

34487: A Cold Stop: Temperature, Unemployment and Joblessness Dynamics

Joshua Graff Zivin, Anthony Lepinteur, Matthew Neidell and Adrian Nieto Castro

34486: Branching Fixed Effects: A Proposal for Communicating Uncertainty

Patrick Kline

34485: The Impact of State Paid Sick Leave Mandates on Medicaid-financed Prescription Medications

Sumedha Gupta, Johanna Maclean, Christopher Ruhm and Kosali Simon

34484: Do Test Scores Misrepresent Test Results? An Item-by-Item Analysis

Jesse Bruhn, Michael Gilraine, Jens Ludwig and Sendhil Mullainathan

34483: Economic Development According to Chandler

Niklas Engbom, Hannes Malmberg, Tommaso Porzio, Federico Rossi and Todd Schoellman

34482: Violent Peers at School: Impacts and Mechanisms

Victor Lavy and Assaf Yancu

34481: Occupations, Human Capital Accumulation and Inequality

Andres Erosa, Luisa Fuster, Gueorgui Kambourov and Richard Rogerson

34480: The Impact of Pay Transparency in Job Postings on the Labor Market

David Arnold, Simon Quach and Bledi Taska

34479: Rating Government Procurement Markets

Tatyana Deryugina, Alminas Žaldokas, Anastassia Fedyk, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, James Hodson and Ilona Sologoub

34478: Our Underappreciated International Reserve System

Serkan Arslanalp, Barry Eichengreen and Chima Simpson-Bell

34477: Middlemen in Search Equilibrium: A Survey

Xun (Grace) Gong, Ziqi Qiao and Randall Wright

34476: Taxing Identity

Joel Slemrod

34475: Stablecoins: A Revolutionary Payment Technology with Financial Risks

Rashad Ahmed, James A. Clouse, Fabio Natalucci, Alessandro Rebucci and Geyue Sun

34474: Portfolio Choice and Settlement Frictions: A Theory of Endogenous Convenience Yields

Javier Bianchi and Saki Bigio

34473: Leniency Designs: An Operator’s Manual

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Peter Hull and Michal Kolesár

34472: A Note on Factors Influencing Trust in Government

Michael J. Boskin, Alexander Kleiner and Ian T. Whiton

34471: Selling to Yourself: Continuation Funds in Private Equity

Rustam Abuzov, Will Gornall, Sophie Shive, Ilya Strebulaev and Michael S. Weisbach

34470: The Race Between Asset Supply and Asset Demand

Adrien Auclert, Hannes Malmberg, Matthew Rognlie and Ludwig Straub

34469: Disentangling Sources of Variation in C-Section Rates

Stefanie Fischer, Shuhei Kaneko, Heather Royer and Corey White

34468: The Coasean Singularity? Demand, Supply, and Market Design with AI Agents

Peyman Shahidi, Gili Rusak, Benjamin S. Manning, Andrey Fradkin and John Horton

34467: Welfare Implications of Increased Retailer Participation in SNAP

Anne T. Byrne, Xiao Dong, Jessie Handbury, Erik James, Katherine Meckel and Andrés C. Rovira

34466: Is Video Watching Bad for Kids? The Effect of Video Watching on Children's Skills

Carolina Caetano, Gregorio Caetano, Débora Mazetto and Meghan Skira

34465: Does Public Health Insurance Cause Crowding Into Public Facilities and Informality? The Case of Seguro Popular

Janet Currie, Lucy G. Hackett and Fernanda Marquez-Padilla

34464: Affordable Housing During Childhood Improves Long-term Outcomes of Women and their Children

Janet Currie and Jessica Van Parys

34463: Path Dependence in the Labor Market: The Long-run Effects of Early Career Occupational Experience

Jesse Bruhn, Jacob Fabian, Luke Gallagher, Matthew Gudgeon, Adam Isen and Aaron R. Phipps

34462: The Implications of Sorting for Immigrant Wage Assimilation and Changing Cohort Quality in Canada

Steven Lehrer and Luke Rawling

34461: The Mortgage Debt Channel of Monetary Policy when Mortgages are Liquid

Matthew Elias, Christian Gillitzer, Greg Kaplan, Gianni La Cava and Nalini V. Prasad

34460: Optimizing Retirement Financial Strategies: Integrating Annuities, Defined Contribution Plans, and Long-Term Care Costs

Vanya Horneff, Raimond Maurer, Olivia Mitchell and Julius Odenbreit

34459: The Economic Impact of Brexit

Nicholas Bloom, Philip Bunn, Paul Mizen, Pawel Smietanka and Gregory Thwaites

34458: Restrictive Marriage Migration Policies and Family Outcomes

So Yoon Ahn and Darren Lubotsky

34457: Branching Out: Capital Mobility and Long-Run Growth

Sarah Quincy and Chenzi Xu

34456: The Consequences of Faculty Sexual Misconduct

Sarah Cohodes and Katherine B. Leu

34455: Then and Now: A Look Back and Ahead at the Federal Budget

Alan Auerbach and William Gale

34454: Does Regulation Distort Exit Decisions? Evidence from U.S. Power Plants

Lucas Davis and Paige E. Weber

34453: Present Bias and Discount Rate Risk

Lars A. Lochstoer, Stig R. H. Lundeby and Zhaneta K. Tancheva