NBER Working Papers

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33411: Moral Hazard and the Sustainability of Income-Driven Repayment Plans

Chao Fu, Xiaomeng Li and Basit Zafar

33410: Sources of Market Power in Web Search: Evidence from a Field Experiment

Hunt Allcott, Juan Castillo, Matthew Gentzkow, Leon Musolff and Tobias Salz

33409: Environmental Migration and Race during the Great American Drought, 1935-1940

Christopher Sichko, Ariell Zimran and Aparna Howlader

33408: Housing Subsidies for Refugees: Experimental Evidence on Life Outcomes and Social Integration in Jordan

Abdulrazzak Tamim, Emma C. Smith, Bailey Palmer, Edward Miguel, Samuel Leone, Sandra Rozo and Sarah Stillman

33407: The Evolution of Unobserved Skill Returns in the U.S.: A New Approach Using Panel Data

Lance Lochner, Youngmin Park and Youngki Shin

33406: Financial Looting and Controls on Resident Outflows

Bo Li, Alessandro Rebucci and Hui Tong

33405: Does the Gender Wage Gap Actually Reflect Taste Discrimination Against Women?

Molly Maloney and David Neumark

33404: The Granular Origins of Inflation

Santiago Alvarez-Blaser, Raphael Auer, Sarah Lein and Andrei Levchenko

33403: Understanding Racial Disparities in Criminal Court Outcomes

Shawn Bushway, Andrew Jordan, Derek Neal and Steven Raphael

33402: Estimating the Economic and Budgetary Effects of Research Investments

Theresa Gullo, Benjamin Page, David Weiner and Heidi Williams

33401: Information and the Welfare Benefits from Differentiated Products

Imke Reimers, Christoph Riedl and Joel Waldfogel

33400: Have We Got News For You: Firm-Level Evidence on the Optimal Choice of Expected Capacity Utilization

Niklas Amberg, Richard Friberg and Chad Syverson

33399: Pricing Inequality

Simon Mongey and Michael Waugh

33398: Human Capital Impacts of In Utero Exposure to War Conflict in Afghanistan

Erkmen Aslim, Rafiuddin Najam and Erdal Tekin

33397: Optimal Estimation of Discrete Choice Demand Models with Consumer and Product Data

Paul L. E. Grieco, Charles Murry, Joris Pinkse and Stephan Sagl

33396: Bargaining and Inequality in the Labor Market

Sydnee Caldwell, Ingrid Haegele and Jörg Heining

33395: From Fiscal Deadlock to Financial Repression: Anatomy of a Fall

Olivier Jeanne

33394: Passing as White: Racial Identity and Old-Age Longevity

Hamid Noghanibehambari and Jason Fletcher

33393: Winning the Bread and Baking it Too: Gendered Frictions in the Allocation of Home Production

Kyle Hancock, Jeanne Lafortune and Corinne Low

33392: Crisis Bargaining with Collective Decision Making

Jeongbin Kim, Thomas Palfrey and Jeffrey Zeidel

33391: Toward an Understanding of Discrimination When Multiple Channels Exist

Majid Ahmadi, Gwen-Jirō Clochard, Jeff Lachman and John List

33390: Currency Development Through Liquidity Provision

Antonio Coppola, Arvind Krishnamurthy and Chenzi Xu

33389: How Test Optional Policies in College Admissions Disproportionately Harm High Achieving Applicants from Disadvantaged Backgrounds

Bruce Sacerdote, Douglas O. Staiger and Michele Tine

33388: Is There Intersectional Labor Market Discrimination?

Joanne S. McLaughlin and David Neumark

33387: Do Behavioral Frictions Prevent Firms from Adopting Profitable Opportunities?

Paul Gertler, Sean Higgins, Ulrike Malmendier and Waldo Ojeda

33386: Demographic Preferences and Income Segregation

Victor Couture, Jonathan Dingel, Allison E. Green and Jessie Handbury

33385: Fiscal Progressivity of the U.S. Federal and State Governments

Johannes Fleck, Jonathan Heathcote, Kjetil Storesletten and Giovanni Violante

33384: Rationalizing Firm Forecasts

Nicholas Bloom, Mihai A. Codreanu and Robert Fletcher

33383: Home Sweet Home: How Much Do Employees Value Remote Work?

Zoe B. Cullen, Bobak Pakzad-Hurson and Ricardo Perez-Truglia

33382: The Impact of World War II Army Service on Income and Mobility in the 1960s by Ethnoracial Group

Sergio E. Barrera, Andreas Ferrara, Price Fishback and Misty L. Heggeness

33381: Does Old Age Social Security Help Children? The Impact of Social Security on Grandchild Resources

Lucie Schmidt, Lara Shore-Sheppard and Tara Watson

33380: Metacognitive Awareness and Academic Performance

Jarod T. Apperson, A. Nayena Blankson, Francesina Jackson, Angelino Viceisza, Bruce Wade and Jimmeka Guillory Wright

33379: Empirically Distinguishing Health Impacts of Transboundary and Domestic Air Pollution in Mixture

Jaecheol Lee, Andrew J. Wilson and Solomon M. Hsiang

33378: Drive Down the Cost: Learning by Doing and Government Policies in the Global EV Battery Industry

Panle Barwick, Hyuk-Soo Kwon, Shanjun Li and Nahim B. Zahur

33377: Spatial Environmental Economics

Clare A. Balboni and Joseph S. Shapiro

33376: What is the general Welfare? Welfare Economic Perspectives

Charles Manski

33375: The Growth Dividend and Excess Interest

Danny Yagan

33374: Robust Fiscal Stabilization

Alan Auerbach and Danny Yagan

33373: American Life Histories

David Lagakos, Stelios Michalopoulos and Hans-Joachim Voth

33372: Racial Inequality in the Labor Market

Patrick Bayer, Kerwin Kofi Charles and Ellora Derenoncourt

33371: Welfare Effects of Buyer and Seller Power

Mert Demirer and Michael Rubens

33370: The Role of Digital Platforms in Shaping Tech Venture Innovation

Ginger Zhe Jin, Mario Leccese and Liad Wagman

33369: Mean Reversion in Randomized Controlled Trials: Implications for Program Targeting and Heterogeneous Treatment Effects

Marcella Alsan, John Cawley, Joseph J. Doyle and Nicholas Skelley

33368: Valuing Solar Subsidies

Bryan Bollinger, Kenneth Gillingham and Justin Kirkpatrick

33367: Modernizing Access to Credit for Younger Entrepreneurs: From FICO to Cash Flow

Christopher M. Hair, Sabrina T. Howell, Mark J. Johnson and Siena Matsumoto

33366: We Are Not in a Gaussian World Anymore: Implications for the Composition of Official Foreign Assets

José Andrée Camarena, Juan Medina, Daniel Riera-Crichton, Carlos Vegh and Guillermo Vuletin

33365: A Different World: Enduring Effects of School Desegregation on Ideology and Attitudes

Ethan Kaplan, Jörg Spenkuch and Cody Tuttle

33364: Does Unilateral Decarbonization Pay For Itself?

Adrien Bilal and Diego Känzig

33363: AI-Powered (Finance) Scholarship

Robert Novy-Marx and Mihail Z. Velikov

33362: Enclaves and Assimilation in the Age of Mass Migration: Evidence from Ethnic Catholic Churches

Ran Abramitzky, Leah Boustan and Osea Giuntella

33361: Nature Loss and Climate Change: The Twin-Crises Multiplier

Stefano Giglio, Theresa Kuchler, Johannes Stroebel and Olivier Wang

33360: Gun Policy and the Steel Paradox: Evidence from Oregunians

Katie Bollman, Benjamin Hansen, Edward Rubin and Garrett O. Stanford

33359: Survivors' Mental Health and the Protective Role of Income Stability

Itzik Fadlon, Astrid Sophie Fugleholm and Torben Heien Nielsen

33358: Technology Sophistication Across Establishments

Diego Comin, Xavier Cirera and Marcio Cruz

33357: The Hidden Health Care Crisis Behind Bars: A Randomized Trial to Accredit U.S. Jails

Marcella Alsan and Crystal Yang

33356: The Mental Health of the Young in Ex-Soviet States

David Blanchflower and Alex Bryson

33355: The Gilded Age and Beyond: The Persistence of Elite Wealth in American History

Priti Kalsi and Zachary Ward

33354: Changes in Marital Sorting: Theory and Evidence from the US

Pierre Chiappori, Monica Costa Dias, Costas Meghir and Hanzhe Zhang

33353: The Political Economy of Geoeconomic Power

Christopher Clayton, Matteo Maggiori and Jesse Schreger

33352: The Cost of Species Protection: The Land Market Impacts of the Endangered Species Act

Eyal G. Frank, Maximilian Auffhammer, David McLaughlin, Elisheba Spiller and David L. Sunding

33351: Artificial Intelligence Asset Pricing Models

Bryan T. Kelly, Boris Kuznetsov, Semyon Malamud and Teng Andrea Xu

33350: Prediction with Differential Covariate Classification: Illustrated by Racial/Ethnic Classification in Medical Risk Assessment

Charles Manski, John Mullahy and Atheendar Venkataramani

33349: Accounting for Individual-Specific Heterogeneity in Intergenerational Income Mobility

Yoosoon Chang, Steven Durlauf, Bo Hu and Joon Park

33348: The Effects of Digital Surveillance and Managerial Clarity on Performance

Namrata Kala and Elizabeth Lyons

33347: Entrepreneurship and the Gig Economy: Evidence from U.S. Tax Returns

Matthew R. Denes, Spyridon Lagaras and Margarita Tsoutsoura

33346: Daughters as Safety Net? Family Responses to Parental Employment Shocks: Evidence from Alcohol Prohibition

Anna Aizer, Gabrielle Grafton and Santiago Perez

33345: Externalities and the Taxation of Top Earners

Henrik Kleven

33344: Large Language Models: An Applied Econometric Framework

Jens Ludwig, Sendhil Mullainathan and Ashesh Rambachan

33343: The Economy, the Ghost in Your Gene, and the Escape from Premature Mortality

Dora Costa, Lars Olov Bygren, Benedikt Graf, Martin Karlsson and Joseph Price

33342: Charging Uncertainty: Real-Time Charging Data and Electric Vehicle Adoption

Omar Isaac Asensio, Elaine Buckberg, Cassandra Cole, Luke Heeney, Christopher Knittel and James H. Stock

33341: Can Early Intervention Reduce Future Child Maltreatment?

Anna Aizer and Emilia Brito Rebolledo

33340: Corporate Resiliency and the Choice Between Financial and Operational Hedging

Viral Acharya, Heitor Almeida, Yakov Amihud and Ping Liu

33339: The Comovement of Voter Preferences: Insights from U.S. Presidential Election Prediction Markets Beyond Polls

Mikhail Chernov, Vadim Elenev and Dongho Song

33338: Calling All Parents: Leveraging Behavioral Insights to Boost Early Childhood Outcomes in the Developing World

Juanita Bloomfield, Ana Balsa, Alejandro Cid and Philip Oreopoulos

33337: Distance to Degrees: How College Proximity Shapes Students’ Enrollment Choices and Attainment Across Race-Ethnicity and Socioeconomic Status

Riley Acton, Kalena Cortes, Lois Miller and Camila Morales

33336: Limited Risk Transfer Between Investors: A New Benchmark for Macro-Finance Models

Xavier Gabaix, Ralph Koijen, Federico Mainardi, Sangmin Simon Oh and Motohiro Yogo

33335: Strategic Commitments to Decarbonize: The Role of Large Firms, Common Ownership, and Governments

Viral Acharya, Robert Engle and Olivier Wang

33334: Are Big Cities Important for Economic Growth?

Matthew Turner and David Weil

33333: Time Consistent Infrastructure Investments: Optimal Flood Protection Policies in Spatial Equilibrium

Amine Ouazad and Matthew Kahn

33332: New Keynesian Economics through the Extensive Margin

Saki Bigio and Akira Ishide

33331: HANK's Response to Aggregate Uncertainty in an Estimated Business Cycle Model

Cosmin Ilut, Ralph Luetticke and Martin Schneider

33330: Intergenerational Mobility over Two Centuries

Ran Abramitzky, Leah Boustan and Tamar Matiashvili

33329: Immigrant Age at Arrival and the Intergenerational Transmission of Ethnic Identification among Mexican Americans

Brian Duncan and Stephen Trejo

33328: Are People Fleeing States with Abortion Bans?

Daniel Dench, Kelly Lifchez, Jason Lindo and Jancy Ling Liu

33327: The Impact of Counterfeit Victims in the Victim Marketplace

Mingyuan Ban, Yi Qian, Qiang Gong and Karl Aquino

33326: E-Cigarette Taxation and Queer Youth

Anthony Chuo, Chad Cotti, Charles Courtemanche, Johanna Maclean, Erik Nesson and Joseph J. Sabia

33325: Fisher-Schultz Lecture: Linear Estimation of Structural and Causal Effects for Nonseparable Panel Data

Victor Chernozhukov, Ben Deaner, Ying Gao, Jerry A. Hausman and Whitney Newey

33324: CEO-Firm Matches and Productivity in 42 Countries

Amanda Dahlstrand, Dávid László, Helena Schweiger, Oriana Bandiera, Andrea Prat and Raffaella Sadun

33323: Technological Disruption in the Labor Market

David Deming, Christopher Ong and Lawrence H. Summers

33322: Community Targeting at Scale

Sudarno Sumarto, Elan Satriawan, Benjamin Olken, Abhijit Banerjee, Achmad Tohari, Vivi Alatas and Rema Hanna

33321: Revenue-Sharing Teams with Remote Workers

E. Dutcher and Krista J. Saral

33320: Glass Box Machine Learning and Corporate Bond Returns

Sebastian Bell, Ali Kakhbod, Martin Lettau and Abdolreza Nazemi

33319: Linear Estimation of Global Average Treatment Effects

Stefan Faridani and Paul Niehaus

33318: Harmonization...What Else? The Role for International Regulatory Agreements

Giovanni Maggi and Monika Mrázová

33317: In-Person Schooling and Juvenile Violence

Benjamin Hansen, Kyutaro Matsuzawa and Joseph J. Sabia

33316: Coverage, Counter-cyclicality and Targeting of Work Requirement Waivers in the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program

Richard Burkhauser, Kevin Corinth, Thomas O'Rourke and Angela K. Rachidi

33315: From Crisis to Norm: Remote Work Trends and Employee Engagement Across Industries, Occupations, and Geography

Christos A. Makridis and Jason Schloetzer

33314: The Contribution of Foreign Master's Students to US Start-Ups

Michel Beine, Giovanni Peri and Morgan Raux

33313: Currency Wars and Trade

Kris James Mitchener and Kirsten Wandschneider

33312: The Uncharted Waters of International Trade

Pol Antras