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NBER Working Papers

From National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A..
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35327: 'Nobody Wants to Work Anymore': Lifetime Labor Market Experiences and the Decline of Male LFP in the United States Downloads
Remy Levin and Daniela Vidart
35326: A Cohort Perspective on Latin America's Fertility Transition Downloads
Regina Calles and Tom Vogl
35325: Dynamic Risk Adjustment in Markets with Persistent Risk and Manipulable Signals: Market Design for Health Insurance Downloads
Alex Chan
35324: The Female Sensitivity Hypothesis: Evidence From Experimental Economics Downloads
Felipe Araujo, Neeraja Gupta and Lise Vesterlund
35323: How Do Financial and Longevity Literacy Affect Annuity Demand? Downloads
Jeffrey Brown
35322: Can Online Activity Be Regulated? Evidence from Adult Websites Downloads
Matthew Brown, Emily J. Davis and Devin G. Pope
35321: Optimal Medical Liability for AI Downloads
Alex Chan
35320: Data-Driven Automation Downloads
Maryam Farboodi, Andrew J. Koh and Anchi Xia
35319: Beliefs and Actions under Government Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from Student Loan Forgiveness Downloads
Dmitri K. Koustas, Michael Weber and Constantine Yannelis
35318: Sent Away: Displacement, Neighborhoods, and Children’s Outcomes under Slum Clearance Policies Downloads
Fernanda Rojas-Ampuero and Felipe Carrera
35317: Air Pollution and Internal Migration in the United States Downloads
Michael Keller, Christopher Knittel, Benjamin Krebs and Simon Luechinger
35316: Decomposing Shifts in the Beveridge Curve: Implications for Labor Market Dynamics and Inflation Downloads
Katharine Abraham, John Haltiwanger and Lea E. Rendell
35315: The Income Channel to Labor-Market Polarization Downloads
Diego Comin, Ana Danieli and Martí Mestieri
35314: Innovation without Borders? The Geography of Technological Diffusion Downloads
Ursel Baumann, Zoë B. Cullen, Ester Faia, Annalisa Ferrando, Ricardo Perez-Truglia and Judit Rariga
35313: Intergenerational Mobility in Late Qing Dynasty: Evidence from Northeast China Downloads
Kristina Butaeva, Steven Durlauf and Alexander Shapoval
35312: Bayesian Non-Persuasion Downloads
Joshua Gans
35311: How Small is Small? Non-linearities in Heterogeneous Agent Models Downloads
Javier Bianchi and Greg Kaplan
35310: Is the iPhone Birth Control? Causal Evidence from AT&T’s 2007–2011 Carrier Monopoly Downloads
Caitlin Myers and Ezekiel Hooper
35309: But I Like Doing This! Enjoyable Tasks, Contracting, and Automation Downloads
Joshua Gans
35308: Do Female Leaders Reduce Corruption? New Evidence from Brazil Downloads
Julieta Peveri and Clemence Tricaud
35307: Are carbon tariffs climate policy? Downloads
Gregory Casey, Kyle Meng and Ivan Rudik
35306: How Frontline Supervisors Shape Priorities: Evidence from Police Lieutenants Downloads
Matthew Gudgeon, Andrew Jordan and Taeho Kim
35305: Wagering the Bread Money: Sports Betting Legalization and Food Sufficiency Downloads
Xiaohui Guo, Lizhong Peng and Chad Meyerhoefer
35304: Regional Economic Impacts and Emission Responses under Solar Radiation Modification Downloads
Jenny Bjordal, Evelien van Dijk, Henri Cornec, Anthony Smith and Trude Storelvmo
35303: Falling Dominoes? The Impact of the US Exit from Free Trade on the Sustainability of Trade Cooperation Downloads
Barthélémy Bonadio, Andrei Levchenko and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar
35302: Leveraging Artificial Intelligence and Field Experiments to Explore Novel Features of Parental Speech and Foster Child Development Downloads
Julie Pernaudet, John List, Arnoldo Müller-Molina, Majid Ahmadi, Imrul Huda, Ajay Sailopal and Dana Suskind
35301: Do Voters Punish Inflation or Pay Cuts? Inflation and Real Wages in U.S. Elections Downloads
Juan Felipe Riaño and Francesco Trebbi
35300: Explaining the Historical Rise and Recent Decline in Social Security Disability Insurance Enrollment Downloads
ManasI Deshpande, Maxwell Kellogg, Magne Mogstad and Kuan-Ju Tseng
35299: Characterizing the File Drawer: Evidence from a Meta-Analysis of Parent-Interventions Around the World Downloads
Peter Bergman and Nat Chowanajin
35298: Does Regional Variation in Wage Levels Identify the Effects of a National Minimum Wage? Downloads
Daniel Haanwinckel
35297: Macroeconomic and Fiscal Consequences of Quantitative Easing Downloads
Tobias Adrian, Christopher Erceg, Marcin Kolasa, Jesper Lindé and Pawel Zabczyk
35296: GLP-1 Therapy and the Reshaping of Socioeconomic Gradients in Health Downloads
J. Felipe Montano-Campos, Bryan Tysinger, Dana Goldman and Darius Lakdawalla
35295: Predicting Labor Force Types Downloads
Rui Castro, Jiyoung Kim, Fabian Lange, Jérôme Larivière and Markus Poschke
35294: Measuring Housing Quality Using Revealed Preference: A Geographic PageRank Approach Downloads
Alex Bell, Sophie Calder-Wang and Shusheng Zhong
35293: The Effect of Height on Adolescents' Body Image Perceptions and Behaviors Downloads
Monica Deza, Neiva J. Fortes and Maria Zhu
35292: Reducing Gun Violence at Scale Downloads
Max Kapustin, Aaron Chalfin, Jeremy Biddle, Brian A. Wade, Natasha Khade, Cristina Layana, Ben Struhl and Anthony A. Braga
35291: Incentives, Evidence, and Reminders for Bureaucrats: Overcoming Barriers to Policy Scale Up Downloads
Patrick Agte, Daniel R. Morales, Christopher Neilson, Sebastián Otero and Gautam Rao
35290: What Investment Data Implies about the AI Transition Downloads
Jessica Wachter and Jonathan Wachter
35289: What do news readers want? Downloads
Gregory J. Martin, Shoshana Vasserman and Cameron Pfiffer
35288: Water Works: Causes and Consequences of Safe Drinking Water in America
David A. Keiser, Bhashkar Mazumder, David Molitor and Joseph Shapiro
35287: The U.S. Civil War's Impact on Women's Work and Political Participation Downloads
Madison K. Arnsbarger, Andreas Ferrara and Paige Montrose
35286: Beliefs and Stock Market Fluctuations: New Evidence from the Past Seven Decades Downloads
David Thesmar and Emil Verner
35285: Does the Import Invasion Explain the Mysterious Disappearance of Productivity Growth in U.S. Manufacturing? Downloads
Robert Gordon and Kenneth Ryu
35284: Optimal Long-Term Care Provision and Insurance with Heterogeneous Preferences and Risks Downloads
Nicholas-James Clavet, Pierre-Carl Michaud and Julien Navaux
35283: AI for Structural Estimation Downloads
Victor Duarte and Julia Fonseca
35282: Insurer Risk and Public Risk-Sharing: Quantifying the Value of Reinsurance Downloads
Paul H.S. Kim and Anran Li
35281: College Affirmative Action and Students' Outcomes: A Matter of the Dose Downloads
Yi Chen, Chao Fu, Hongbin Li, Teng Li and Siyan Tang
35280: Medicare Home Health Fraud: How Much, Where, and Who? Downloads
Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, Yunan Ji, Neale Mahoney and Gideon Moore
35279: Non-User Externalities Downloads
Leonardo Bursztyn, Jan Fasnacht, Benjamin R. Handel, Rafael Jiménez-Durán, Aaron Leonard, Filip Milojević, Christopher Roth and Cass Sunstein
35278: An Ethical Pollution Tax Downloads
Garth Heutel
35277: Deadly Stigma Downloads
Manasvini Singh
35276: The AGI Race and Existential Risk Downloads
Ethan Bueno de Mesquita, Wioletta Dziuda and Mattias Polborn
35275: Writing Code vs. Shipping Code: Productivity Effects Across Generations of AI Coding Tools Downloads
Mert Demirer, Leon Musolff and Liyuan Yang
35274: Factor Bias and Heterogeneous Output Quality in Multiproduct Production Downloads
Yi Lee, Shengyu Li and Mark Roberts
35273: The Growth and Performance of Artificial Intelligence in Asset Management Downloads
Shuang Chen, Clemens Sialm and David X. Xu
35272: Geopolitical Fragmentation, Sovereign Debt, and Dollar Dominance Downloads
Felipe Benguria, Eugenio I. Rojas and Felipe Saffie
35271: Beyond Exposure: Predicting AI Adoption Based on Comparative Advantage Downloads
Ilse Lindenlaub, Ryungha Oh, Maria Alejandra Rodriguez and Laura Veldkamp
35270: Dust in the Wind: The Health Costs of Great Salt Lake Desiccation Downloads
Lena Harris, Eric Edwards and Danae Hernandez-Cortes
35269: Frontier Knowledge in College and Student Success Downloads
Barbara Biasi and Song Ma
35268: An Unfunded Mandate? Medicaid Continuous Coverage Requirements and State Fiscal Burdens During COVID-19 Downloads
Jeffrey Clemens and Anwita Mahajan
35267: Persistent Effects of Early Academic Rank on Cognitive and Noncognitive Outcomes Downloads
Eunsik Chang, María Padilla-Romo and Cecilia Peluffo
35266: The Missing Value of Data Downloads
Ankit Bhutani, Guillermo Ordonez and Laura Veldkamp
35265: Off the Labor Supply Curve: The Zero Employer Size Wage Effect Within Large Firms Downloads
André Diegmann, Steffen Müller and Benjamin Schoefer
35264: Where There’s Smoke: Stochastic Caregiving Shocks and Mothers’ Labor Market Outcomes Downloads
Joshua Graff Zivin and Seunghoon Lee
35263: How Efficient was the Affordable Care Act at Reducing Uninsured Rates? Downloads
Anuj Gangopadhyaya and Robert Kaestner
35262: How Much and How Fast Do Investors Respond to Equity Premium Changes? Evidence from Wealth Taxation Downloads
Andreas Fagereng, Luigi Guiso and Marius A. K. Ring
35261: Startups in Africa Downloads
Emanuele Colonnelli, Marcio Cruz, Mariana Pereira-López, Tommaso Porzio and Chun Zhao
35260: The Risk-free Rate and the Risk-adjusted Growth Rate Downloads
Stavros Panageas
35259: A Bayesian Critic for Frequentist Procedures Downloads
Isaiah Andrews, Simon C. Essig Aberg and Jesse Shapiro
35258: Towards a Methodology for Measuring Rental Property Ownership in the United States Downloads
Stephanie Kestelman, Rebecca Diamond, John Humphries, Kate Pennington, Winnie van Dijk and John L. Voorheis
35257: The Federal Government's Discretionary Spending Downloads
Karen Dynan, Douglas Elmendorf and Theresa Gullo
35256: Housing Capital and Intergenerational Mobility in the United States Downloads
Ariel Binder, Max Risch and John L. Voorheis
35255: Deep-Tech Innovation: A Multi-Method Study toward a Conceptual Framework and Research Agenda Downloads
Johann Kortsch, Stefan Raff-Heinen, David Bendig, Martin Murmann, Colin Schulz and Fiona Murray
35254: Defining Innovatisation: The Case of NewSpace and the Changing Space Sector Downloads
Benoit Cornet, Marc-André Chavy-Macdonald and Dominique Foray
35253: The Sisyphean Pursuit of Evidence for Poverty Traps Downloads
Dean Karlan, Amol Singh Raswan and Christopher Udry
35252: Distribution Costs Downloads
Cian Ruane and Alessandra Peter
35251: The Word Is Not Enough: Testing the Effects of Information Treatments on Perceived Corruption in Ukraine Downloads
Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Ilona Sologoub and Yuriy Fedyk
35250: Nonresponse Imputations and Related Measurement Issues in the CPI for Shelter Downloads
Lara Loewenstein, Hugh G. Montag and Randal Verbrugge
35249: The Price of Protection: Tariff Incidence and Import Collapse under the Infamous Smoot-Hawley Tariff Downloads
Kris James Mitchener and Mathieu Pedemonte
35248: Electoral Incentives and Government Transparency: Evidence from Freedom of Information Requests Downloads
Raymond Fisman, Aron Malatinszky and Eyub Yegen
35247: Scaling Point-in-Time Language Models Downloads
Bryan T. Kelly, Semyon Malamud, Johannes Schwab and Teng Andrea Xu
35246: Complex Modern Portfolio Theory Downloads
Oliver Hellum, Theis I. Jensen, Bryan T. Kelly and Semyon Malamud
35245: How Much Has Shale Gas Saved U.S. Consumers? Downloads
Lucas Davis
35244: Will The University Endowment Tax Slow Scientific Progress? Evidence from Elite Economics PhD Programs Downloads
Joshua Angrist, Marc Diederichs and Glenn Ellison
35243: A Tale of Two Market Returns: The Broad Market Factor and The Idiosyncratic Financial Factor Downloads
Sung Je Byun, Johnathan Loudis and Lawrence Schmidt
35242: Comparative Advantage and Openness under Global Fragmentation: Lessons from the Past 65 Years Downloads
Joshua Aizenman, Hiro Ito and Jamel Saadaoui
35241: From People’s War to People’s Rule: Rebel Governance and the Foundations of Inclusive Democracy Downloads
Bhishma Bhusal, Michael Callen, Rohini Pande, Soledad A. Prillaman, Deepak Singhania and Apurva Subedi
35240: Preference for Explainable AI Downloads
Alex Chan
35239: The Heterogeneous Bank Lending Channel of Monetary Policy Downloads
Jorge Abad, Saki Bigio, Salomon Garcia-Villegas, Joël Marbet and Galo Nuño Barrau
35238: The Human Capital Production Function: New Estimates and Implications for Labor Supply and Taxes Downloads
Han Gao, Michael Keane, Kaja Kierulf and Alan Woodland
35237: Unlocking Mortgage Lock-In: Equilibrium Effects in a Spatial Housing Ladder Model Downloads
Julia Fonseca, Lu Liu and Pierre Mabille
35236: Firm-Worker Matches: Experience or Inspection Goods? Downloads
Victoria Gregory, Guido Menzio and Giovanni M. Topa
35235: Cheapflation Cycles Downloads
Kunal Sangani
35234: Attorney Value-Added and Racial Disparities in the Criminal Justice System Downloads
Maya Mikdash, Mark Hoekstra and Suhyeon Oh
35233: The Educational Impacts of School Phone Bans: Evidence from Brazil Downloads
Guilherme Lichand, Luca Moreno-Louzada, Thiago da Costa and Matthew Gentzkow
35232: Designing More Informative Tests: Separating Execution from Recognition Downloads
Andrew Caplin and Leo Zhu
35231: Has the United States Bent the Health Care Cost Curve? Downloads
David Cutler and Lev R. Klarnet
35230: The (Lack of) Efficacy of Social Belonging and Growth Mindset Interventions Among College Students Downloads
Abid N. Alam, Philip Oreopoulos and Uros Petronijevic
35229: The Limits of Targeted Hiring Subsidies: Evidence from the Work Opportunity Tax Credit Downloads
Manisha Jain, Corina Mommaerts and Jeffrey Weaver
35228: Industrial Concentration, Property Values, and Municipal Bond Spreads Downloads
Kenneth Ahern
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