NBER Working Papers

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35797: Property Rights Uncertainty, Prices, and Speculation: Evidence from China's Housing Market

Hanming Fang, Jing Wu and Vincent Yao

35796: The Early Impacts of AI on Employment among Recent College Graduates

Robert Fairlie and Jane Wu

35795: Innovation, Business Cycles, and the Climate Transition

Diego Känzig, Maximilian Konradt, Lixing Wang and Donghai Zhang

35794: Permits as Real Options: Anticipation and Regulatory Leakage

Anna French and Nicholas Vreugdenhil

35793: The Macroeconomic Effect of AI: Sizing the Software Engineering Channel

Alex Blumenfeld, Jonathon Hazell, Chen Lian and Andreas Schaab

35792: Impact of Adults’ College Completion on their Parents’ Mortality: Evidence from the 1993 Korean Higher Education Reform

Ah-Reum Lee, William Dow and Jacqueline M. Torres

35791: Here, There, and Everywhere: Remote Work’s Impact on Employment in the UK

Ian Burn, Melissa Gentry and Joanna Lahey

35790: Price Setting During a Currency Changeover

Fernando E. Alvarez, David Argente, Alberto Cavallo and Francesco Lippi

35789: (How) Do We Teach Emotions?

Anjali Adukia, Matthew Bonci, Paula Dastres Gallardo, Emileigh Harrison, Jake Nicoll and Teodora Szasz

35788: Beliefs Over Contracts

Francis Annan and Collin B. Raymond

35787: Using Policy Functions to Estimate Merger Impacts: An Application to JetBlue-Spirit

Gautam Gowrisankaran, Christopher D. Bruegge and Alex Gross

35786: The Macroeconomic Effect of Stimulus Checks: Evidence from Postwar Veterans’ Payments

Joao Guerreiro, Jonathon Hazell, Diego Känzig and Ed Manuel

35785: The Remains of the Trade: The U.S.–China Trade War and its Aftermath

Pol Antras, Adrian Kulesza and Andrea F. Presbitero

35784: The Protective Effects of a Healthy Spouse: Medicare as the Family Member of Last Resort

Itzik Fadlon, Tal Gross, Alex Hoagland and Timothy Layton

35783: Unbundling Labor

Chris Edmond and Simon Mongey

35782: An LLM Workflow That Reproduces, Improves, and Extends Published Economics Research

Matthew Schwartz, Isaiah Andrews and Jesse Shapiro

35781: Risk Premia, Firm Insurance, and Endogenous Labor Income Risk

Maarten Meeuwis, Dimitris Papanikolaou and Lawrence Schmidt

35780: Regulating Entrepreneurship: The Case of Capital Requirements

Annika Bacher, Andreas Fagereng, Marius A. K. Ring and Ella Getz Wold

35779: Measuring and Projecting U.S. Investment in Semiconductor Manufacturing Capacity

David Byrne, Robert J. Kurtzman and Heidi Williams

35778: Governing Global Externalities: Investor Voice Amid Fragmented Policy

Robin Döttling, Doron Levit, Nadya Malenko and Magdalena Rola-Janicka

35777: Migration, Identity and Political Economy in a Globalizing World

Vasiliki Fouka and Marco Tabellini

35776: Can Early Exposure to the Teaching Profession Increase Teacher Supply and Diversity? New Evidence on the Teacher Pipeline

Danielle Sanderson Edwards and Matthew Kraft

35775: When Tax Shields Shrink: Interest Deductibility Limitations and Corporate Innovation

Xinru Chen, Mara Faccio, Stefano Manfredonia and Jin Xu

35774: The Returns to International Migration in a Free Mobility Setting: Evidence from Austria and Germany

Andrea Weber, David Card, Wolfgang Dauth, Wolfgang Frimmel, Julia Schmieder and Rudolf Winter-Ebmer

35773: Compound Delay: The Causes and Consequences of Later Grandmotherhood

Dora Costa and Matthew Kahn

35772: Cooler Laws, Safer Workers: Evaluating California’s Heat Standard and Injury Reduction

Olesya Fomenko, Melissa McInerney and Sebastian Negrusa

35771: Integration Without Decentralization: The Financial Geography of U.S. Life Insurance, 1880–1940

Pawel Janas

35770: Advertising Claims, Pricing, and Customer Evidence

Joshua Gans

35769: Diversification as a Process: Geographic Expansion and the Formation of National Insurers

Pawel Janas

35768: Money and Power: Historical Lessons for Stablecoins and U.S. Dollar Dominance

Michael Bordo and Carolyn Wilkins

35767: Borrowing in the Shadow of China

Illenin O. Kondo, Cesar Sosa-Padilla and Zachary J. Swaziek

35766: Expectations and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

Pooya Molavi, Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi and Andrea Vedolin

35765: The Evolving Marriage Gap in Children’s Outcomes: Family Structure and Young Adult Outcomes Revisited

Melissa Kearney, Phillip Levine and Alden Q. Barson

35764: Incentivizing Self-Protection From Wildfires

Patrick Baylis, Judson Boomhower, Bob Horton and Chris Mulverhill

35763: The Impact of Fertility on Mothers’ Remote Work

Benjamin Cowan and Mohamed Hafis Zida

35762: Digital (Killer?) Acquisitions

Florian Ederer, Regina Seibel and Timothy Simcoe

35761: Measuring Gender Attitudes Toward Men and Women

Joshua T. Dean, Christine L. Exley, Muriel Niederle and Heather Sarsons

35760: Well-Being Salience in Corporate Disclosures and Worker Health

Riccardo Di Francesco, Peter Hull and Seetha Menon

35759: Responses to Extreme Price Changes: Evidence from the Residential Demand for Natural Gas

Anna Alberini, Levan Bezhanishvili, Milan Ščasný and Roberton Williams

35758: Fiscal Populism and Monetary Policy Rules

Luis I. Jácome, Nicolas Magud, Samuel Pienknagura and Martín Uribe

35757: Buying a Station or Relaxing a Constraint? Spectrum Repacking and Dirac's Conjecture

Alex Chan

35756: Do Social Norms Substitute for Enforcement? Evidence from Public Officials’ Home Purchases in Singapore

Tomasz Piskorski, Amit Seru, Jian Zhang and Chun Zhao

35755: The Macroeconomic Returns to School Finance Reforms: Micro-Calibrated Predictions Meet Causal Evidence

C. Kirabo Jackson

35754: Asset Privatization as Intergenerational Redistribution

Kaiji Chen, Hanming Fang and Yang Tang

35753: Correlation Neglect in Asset Prices

Hongye Guo and Jessica Wachter

35752: Did COVID Change the Black Neighborhood Startup Deficit? Evidence from the Startup Cartography Project

Catherine E. Fazio, Jorge Guzman, Scott Stern and Yan Xu

35751: Did the Affordable Care Act Save Lives?

Anuj Gangopadhyaya, Cuiping Schiman and Robert Kaestner

35750: Informed Choices: Gender Gaps in Career Advice

Yana Gallen and Melanie Wasserman

35749: We've Got You Covered: Establishment-Level Evidence on California's Fast-Food Minimum Wage

Vitor C. Melo, David Neumark, Liam Sigaud and Gary A. Wagner

35748: Does Information Influence the Choice between Social Security Disability and Early Retirement Benefits?

Priyanka Anand, Tran Thi Phu-Duyen and Sita Slavov

35747: Automation and Optimal Taxation: A Task-Based Theory

Henrik Kleven and Owen Zidar

35746: Heritability and Social Interaction in Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from the Population of Twins in the United States

David Card, Jesse Rothstein and Moises Yi

35745: The Federal Lands: An Economic Property Rights Perspective

Gary Libecap

35744: The Measurement Revolution? Credible Measurement and Inference in the Age of AI

Melissa Dell and Ashesh Rambachan

35743: Immigration and Child Mortality during the Age of Mass Migration

Katherine Eriksson, Peter Lin and Gregory Niemesh

35742: Disappearing Dollar Convenience?

Arvind Krishnamurthy and Miguel Chumbo

35741: Diamond-Mirrlees meets Sims: Optimal Taxation with Rational Inattention

George-Marios Angeletos and Matias Bayas-Erazo

35740: When Resources Meet Relationships: The Returns to Personalized Supports for Low-Income Students

Benjamin Goldman, Jamie Gracie and Sonya Porter

35739: A Sin Ban, Not a Sin Tax? Consumption and Incidence of SNAP Soda Restrictions

Crossan Cooper, Katja Seim and Jintaek Song

35738: The City Through Her Eyes: Gender-Based Harassment in Public Spaces in Urban India

Lori Beaman, Seema Jayachandran and Anisha Sharma

35737: Food Labeling Policies: Aggregate Impacts and Heterogeneity Across Categories

Nano Barahona, Cristóbal Otero, Sebastián Otero and Joshua J. Kim

35736: The Welfare Impacts of Urban Renewal and Forced Relocation: Evidence from Chicago’s HOPE VI Demolitions

Milena Almagro, Eric Chyn and Bryan Stuart

35735: Flowers of Invention: The Economic Impacts of Patent Rights

Jacob Moscona

35734: Strategic Sovereignty: U.S.–Israeli Strikes and the Reversal of Anti-Regime Protest in Iran

Sultan Mehmood, Yaroslav Prokhorskoy and Leonard Wantchekon

35733: (Mis)measuring Uncertainty: Bunching in Probabilistic Expectations

Carola Binder, Laura Crespo, Carlos Gento, Luis Guirola and Ernesto Villanueva

35732: Social Capital and Innovation: Evidence from Facebook Friendship Networks

Brad Cannon, David Hirshleifer and Joshua Thornton

35731: Housing Wealth Accumulation and Electoral Representation

Carlos Avenancio-Leon, Yutao He and Michael Reher

35730: Beyond the Conventional Narrative: Economic Heterogeneity and Human Capital Among American Indians

Randall Akee and Emilia Simeonova

35729: When Microenterprises Grow, Are Consumers Better Off? Evidence from Large Loans to Microenterprises in Chile

Dean Karlan, Natalia Rigol and Benjamin N. Roth

35728: Who Matters in College? Familiarity, Ability Signals, and Student Achievement

Isaac Ahimbisibwe, Scott Carrell and Travis Lybbert

35727: Measuring Racial Disparities in Police Stops: Evidence from Telemetric Mobility Data

Xiaofeng Gong, Yuling Han, Susan T. Parker, Matthew B. Ross and Stephen Ross

35726: Racial Dynamics of Federal Property Buyouts in Flood-Prone Areas

Kay Jowers, Lala Ma and Christopher D. Timmins

35725: How Disability Benefits in Early Life Affect Adult Outcomes

ManasI Deshpande, Alessandra Voena and Jason B. Weitze

35724: Risk Perceptions of E-Cigarettes and the Evaluation of EVALI Messaging

Lawrence Jin, Donald Kenkel, Alan Mathios, Grace N. Phillips, Revathy Suryanarayana and Hua Wang

35723: An Empirically-Grounded Theory of Voting Based on Prosocial Motives

Dan M. Bernhardt, Laurent Bouton, Stefan Krasa and Francesco Squintani

35722: The Multigenerational Effects of Legal Access to the Pill on Infant Health

Hamid Noghanibehambari, David Slusky, Erdal Tekin and Hoa Vu

35721: Politics-driven Market Access and Its Cost: Evidence from China’s Grand Canal

Ying Bai, Xiaoyu Bian and Ruixue Jia

35720: Does AI Assistance Enhance or Erode Expertise? Evidence from a Three-Month Field Experiment in Patent Drafting

David Autor, Tanya Rodchenko, Josh Martin, Zanna Iscenko, Scott Strand, David Pearl and Melissa Ferere

35719: The Utility of AI Tools in Auditing Adherence to Pre-Analysis Plans

Jeffrey Clemens and Anwita Mahajan

35718: Will New Transportation Technologies Increase Urban Density

Edward Glaeser

35717: The No Surprises Act’s Surprises: Arbitration, Provider Network, and Insurer Pricing

Panle Barwick, Anran Li, Tianli Xia and Shizhe Yu

35716: Expectations-based Capital Inflow Shocks

Jongrim Ha, Dohan Kim, Ayhan Kose and Francis E. Warnock

35715: Fiscal Policy and the Saving Glut of the Rich

Francesco Bianchi, Nicolò Ceneri, Leonardo Melosi and Alessandro T. Villa

35714: Behavioral Signatures of Cognitive Noise

Ryan Oprea and Michael Woodford

35713: Rust in Motion: The Political Environmental Trap of Vehicle Tax Exemptions

Gabriel Facundes Monteiro and Edson Severnini

35712: The Limits of Verifiability: Credibility and Flexibility in Communication

Alessandro Lizzeri, Yichuan Lou and Jacopo Perego

35711: The Impact of Patient Capital

Yingxiang Li, Tong Liu and Ting Xu

35710: Female Micro-Entrepreneurship and Child Development

Andrew Foster, Moritz Poll and Hyun Soo Suh

35709: Signals, Steps, and Setbacks: Age Discrimination in a Laddered Labor Market

Shuaizhang Feng, Lars Lefgren, Jieyi Liu, Brennan Platt and Xiaoyu Xia

35708: “Non-Marginal” Investor Beliefs

William Goetzmann, Dasol Kim and Robert Shiller

35707: Dynamic Investment and Product Market Rivalry: the Network Q Model

M. Cecilia Bustamante and Bruno Pellegrino

35706: Meetings

David Deming, Katrine Løken, Alexander Willén and Yaling Xu

35705: Unemployment Insurance in Macroeconomic Stabilization with Imperfect Expectations

Bence Bardóczy and Joao Guerreiro

35704: The Allocative Cost of War: A View to a Kill...ing of Productivity

Marvin Amann, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Oleksandr Talavera

35703: How Big is Small? The Economic Effects of Access to Small Business Government Support

J. David Brown, Matthew Denes, Ran Duchin and John Hackney

35702: Rational Inattention to Discrete Choices with Stable Priors

Bruno Pellegrino

35701: Tracking Inequality: Teachers and the Allocation of Educational Opportunities

Michela Carlana, Francesca Miserocchi and Eleonora Patacchini

35700: Cross-Section Estimation of Long-Run Relations Using Time-Compressed Data

Serena Ng and Nikolay Gospodinov

35699: PLRD: Partially Linear Regression Discontinuity Inference

Aditya Ghosh, Guido Imbens and Stefan Wager

35698: Is a Dollar a Dollar? How Transfer Design Shapes Household Spending

Therese Bonomo, Krista Ruffini and Diane Schanzenbach