NBER Working Papers

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15379: Financial Crises and Economic Activity

Stephen Cecchetti, Marion Kohler and Christian Upper

15378: Persistence of Civil Wars

Daron Acemoglu, Davide Ticchi and Andrea Vindigni

15377: Clusters of Entrepreneurship

Edward Glaeser, William Kerr and Giacomo Ponzetto

15376: The Fundamental Law of Road Congestion: Evidence from US cities

Gilles Duranton and Matthew Turner

15375: Methods versus Substance: Measuring the Effects of Technology Shocks on Hours

José-Víctor Ríos-Rull, Frank Schorfheide, Cristina Fuentes-Albero, Maxym Kryshko and Raul Santaeulalia-Llopis

15374: Riding the Wave of Trade: Explaining the Rise of Labor Regulation in the Golden Age of Globalization

Michael Huberman and Christopher Meissner

15373: The Economic and Policy Consequences of Catastrophes

Robert Pindyck and Neng Wang

15372: Measuring How Risk Tradeoffs Adjust With Income

Mary Evans and V. Smith

15371: The Impact of Tort Reform on Employer-Sponsored Health Insurance Premiums

Ronen Avraham, Leemore S. Dafny and Max M. Schanzenbach

15370: Level versus Equivalent Intensity Carbon Mitigation Commitments

Huifang Tian and John Whalley

15369: Macroeconomic Effects from Government Purchases and Taxes

Robert Barro and Charles J. Redlick

15368: Do Leaders Affect Government Spending Priorities?

Adi Brender and Allan Drazen

15367: Measuring Central Bank Communication: An Automated Approach with Application to FOMC Statements

David Lucca and Francesco Trebbi

15366: Who Counts in Evaluating the Effects of Air Pollution Policies on Households? Non-Market Valuation in the Presence of Dependencies

Mary Evans, Christine Poulos and V. Smith

15365: Party Affiliation, Partisanship, and Political Beliefs: A Field Experiment

Alan S. Gerber, Gregory A. Huber and Ebonya Washington

15364: Inheritances, Health and Death

Beomsoo Kim and Christopher Ruhm

15363: Model Structure and the Combined Welfare and Trade Effects of China's Trade Related Policies

Yan Dong and John Whalley

15362: Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect

Amir E. Khandani, Andrew Lo and Robert Merton

15361: The Role of Simplification and Information in College Decisions: Results from the H&R Block FAFSA Experiment

Eric Bettinger, Bridget Long, Philip Oreopoulos and Lisa Sanbonmatsu

15360: The Political Economy of Ethnolinguistic Cleavages

Klaus Desmet, Ignacio Ortuño-Ortín and Romain Wacziarg

15359: Lost in Transit: Product Replacement Bias and Pricing to Market

Emi Nakamura and Jon Steinsson

15358: Cross-Country Causes and Consequences of the 2008 Crisis: International Linkages and American Exposure

Andrew Rose and Mark Spiegel

15357: Cross-Country Causes and Consequences of the 2008 Crisis: Early Warning

Andrew Rose and Mark Spiegel

15356: Financial Innovation and Endogenous Growth

Stelios Michalopoulos, Luc Laeven and Ross Levine

15355: Women's Rights and Development

Raquel Fernandez

15354: A Cure for Crime? Psycho-Pharmaceuticals and Crime Trends

Dave Marcotte and Sara Markowitz

15353: Towards a Common European Monetary Union Risk Free Rate

Sergio Mayordomo, Juan Ignacio Peña and Eduardo S. Schwartz

15352: Financial Literacy among the Young: Evidence and Implications for Consumer Policy

Annamaria Lusardi, Olivia Mitchell and Vilsa Curto

15351: Misperceptions About the Magnitude and Timing of Changes in American Income Inequality

Robert Gordon

15350: How Ordinary Consumers Make Complex Economic Decisions: Financial Literacy and Retirement Readiness

Annamaria Lusardi and Olivia Mitchell

15349: Spatial Development

Klaus Desmet and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg

15348: Mom-and-Pop Meet Big-Box: Complements or Substitutes?

John Haltiwanger, Ron Jarmin and C.J. Krizan

15347: Professionals Do Not Play Minimax: Evidence from Major League Baseball and the National Football League

Kenneth Kovash and Steven Levitt

15346: Selection and Comparative Advantage in Technology Adoption

Tavneet Suri

15345: Poverty Alleviation and Child Labor

Eric Edmonds and Norbert Schady

15344: The Right Amount of Trust

Jeffrey Butler, Paola Giuliano and Luigi Guiso

15343: How Far Are We From The Slippery Slope? The Laffer Curve Revisited

Mathias Trabandt and Harald Uhlig

15342: Export Prices Across Firms and Destinations

Kalina Manova and Zhiwei Zhang

15341: Growth Accounting

Charles R. Hulten

15340: Technological Growth and Asset Pricing

Nicolae B. Gârleanu, Stavros Panageas and Jianfeng Yu

15339: How large are returns to schooling? Hint: Money isn't everything

Philip Oreopoulos and Kjell G Salvanes

15338: Macroeconomic Effects of Financial Shocks

Urban Jermann and Vincenzo Quadrini

15337: Unintended Consequences from Nested State & Federal Regulations: The Case of the Pavley Greenhouse-Gas-per-Mile Limits

Lawrence H. Goulder, Mark R. Jacobsen and Arthur A. van Benthem

15336: Hedge Funds as Liquidity Providers: Evidence from the Lehman Bankruptcy

George O. Aragon and Philip E. Strahan

15335: Risk and Expected Returns of Private Equity Investments: Evidence Based on Market Prices

Narasimhan Jegadeesh, Roman Kräussl and Joshua Pollet

15334: The Subprime Crisis and House Price Appreciation

William Goetzmann, Liang Peng and Jacqueline Yen

15333: Risk Aversion and Clientele Effects

Douglas W. Blackburn, William Goetzmann and Andrey D. Ukhov

15332: New Evidence on the First Financial Bubble

Rik Frehen, William Goetzmann and K. Rouwenhorst

15331: Tiebreaker: Certification and Multiple Credit Ratings

Dion Bongaerts, K.J. Martijn Cremers and William Goetzmann

15330: Insurer Bargaining and Negotiated Drug Prices in Medicare Part D

Darius Lakdawalla and Wesley Yin

15329: Income Distribution, Product Quality, and International Trade

Pablo Fajgelbaum, Gene Grossman and Elhanan Helpman

15328: Behavioral Economics and Tax Policy

William Congdon, Jeffrey Kling and Sendhil Mullainathan

15327: Mutual Fund Tax Clienteles

Clemens Sialm and Laura Starks

15326: Genetic Adverse Selection: Evidence from Long-Term Care Insurance and Huntington Disease

Emily Oster, Ira Shoulson, Kimberly Quaid and E. Ray Dorsey

15325: The Financing of R&D and Innovation

Bronwyn Hall and Josh Lerner

15324: Dynamic Incentive Accounts

Alex Edmans, Xavier Gabaix, Tomasz Sadzik and Yuliy Sannikov

15323: Teacher Performance Pay: Experimental Evidence from India

Karthik Muralidharan and Venkatesh Sundararaman

15322: Estimating the Employer Switching Costs and Wage Responses of Forward-Looking Engineers

Jeremy Fox

15321: Growing Up in a Recession: Beliefs and the Macroeconomy

Paola Giuliano and Antonio Spilimbergo

15320: Recent Trends in Top Income Shares in the USA: Reconciling Estimates from March CPS and IRS Tax Return Data

Richard Burkhauser, Shuaizhang Feng, Stephen Jenkins and Jeff Larrimore

15319: The CHAT Dataset

Diego Comin and Bart Hobijn

15318: Measuring the Timing Ability and Performance of Bond Mutual Funds

Yong Chen, Wayne Ferson and Helen Peters

15317: The Efficiency of Sponsor and Participant Portfolio Choices in 401(k) Plans

Ning Tang, Olivia Mitchell, Gary R. Mottola and Stephen Utkus

15316: Induced Innovation and Social Inequality: Evidence from Infant Medical Care

David Cutler, Ellen Meara and Seth Richards-Shubik

15315: Specific and General Information Sharing Among Academic Scientists

Carolin Haeussler, Lin Jiang, Jerry Thursby and Marie Thursby

15314: The Effect of Maternal Depression and Substance Abuse on Child Human Capital Development

Richard G. Frank and Ellen Meara

15313: Entry, Exit, and the Determinants of Market Structure

Timothy Dunne, Shawn Klimek, Mark Roberts and Yi Xu

15312: News Shocks

Robert Barsky and Eric Sims

15311: The Short-Term Mortality Consequences of Income Receipt

William Evans and Timothy Moore

15310: Liquidity, Activity, Mortality

William Evans and Timothy Moore

15309: Estimating Heterogeneity in the Benefits of Medical Treatment Intensity

William Evans and Craig L. Garthwaite

15308: The financial crisis and sizable international reserves depletion: From 'fear of floating' to the 'fear of losing international reserves'?

Joshua Aizenman and Yi Sun

15307: Portfolio Choice in Retirement: Health Risk and the Demand for Annuities, Housing, and Risky Assets

Motohiro Yogo

15306: Nature of Oil Price Shocks and Monetary Policy

Junhee Lee and Joonhyuk Song

15305: Five Centuries of Latin American Inequality

Jeffrey Williamson

15304: Intracompany Governance and Innovation

Sharon Belenzon, Tomer Berkovitz and Patrick Bolton

15303: How large are the effects of tax changes?

Carlo Favero and Francesco Giavazzi

15302: Political Economy of Ramsey Taxation

Daron Acemoglu, Mikhail Golosov and Aleh Tsyvinski

15301: Matching on the Estimated Propensity Score

Alberto Abadie and Guido Imbens

15300: Soft Budgets and Renegotiations in Public-Private Partnerships

Eduardo Engel, Ronald Fischer and Alexander Galetovic

15299: Do Universities Generate Agglomeration Spillovers? Evidence from Endowment Value Shocks

Shawn Kantor and Alexander Whalley

15298: Persuasion: Empirical Evidence

Stefano DellaVigna and Matthew Gentzkow

15297: When Everyone Runs for the Exit

Lasse Pedersen

15296: Numerically Stable Stochastic Simulation Approaches for Solving Dynamic Economic Models

Kenneth Judd, Lilia Maliar and Serguei Maliar

15295: Professor Zipf goes to Wall Street

Yannick Malevergne, Pedro Santa-Clara and Didier Sornette

15294: Explaining the Price of Voluntary Carbon Offsets

Marc Conte and Matthew Kotchen

15293: Impacts of Alternative Emissions Allowance Allocation Methods under a Federal Cap-and-Trade Program

Lawrence H. Goulder, Marc Hafstead and Michael S. Dworsky

15292: Low-Frequency Robust Cointegration Testing

Ulrich Müller and Mark Watson

15291: Katrina's Children: Evidence on the Structure of Peer Effects from Hurricane Evacuees

Scott Imberman, Adriana D. Kugler and Bruce Sacerdote

15290: Economic Conditions and U.S. National Security in the 1930s and Today

Martin Feldstein

15289: Credit Spreads and Monetary Policy

Vasco Cúrdia and Michael Woodford

15288: Variance in Death and Its Implications for Modeling and Forecasting Mortality

Shripad Tuljapurkar and Ryan Edwards

15287: Alternative Measures of Offshorability: A Survey Approach

Alan Blinder and Alan Krueger

15286: The Granular Origins of Aggregate Fluctuations

Xavier Gabaix

15285: The Impact of Information Technology on Scientists' Productivity, Quality and Collaboration Patterns

Waverly W. Ding, Sharon Levin, Paula Stephan and Anne Winkler

15284: The Rug Rat Race

Garey Ramey and Valerie Ramey

15283: House Prices, Home Equity-Based Borrowing, and the U.S. Household Leverage Crisis

Atif Mian and Amir Sufi

15282: Labor-Market Matching with Precautionary Savings and Aggregate Fluctuations

Per Krusell, Toshihiko Mukoyama and Aysegul Sahin

15281: Means-Tested Mortgage Modification: Homes Saved or Income Destroyed?

Casey Mulligan

15280: Spring Cleaning: Rural Water Impacts, Valuation and Property Rights Institutions

Michael Kremer, Jessica Leino, Edward Miguel and Alix Peterson Zwane