NBER Working Papers

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31211: Inflation Strikes Back: The Role of Import Competition and the Labor Market

Mary Amiti, Sebastian Heise, Fatih Karahan and Ayşegül Şahin

31210: Toward an Understanding of Tax Amnesties: Theory and Evidence from a Natural Field Experiment

Patricia Gil, Justin E. Holz, John List, Andrew Simon and Alejandro Zentner

31209: Information Flows, Organizational Structure, and Corporate Governance

Nadya Malenko

31208: Building Resilient Education Systems: Evidence from Large-Scale Randomized Trials in Five Countries

Noam Angrist, Micheal Ainomugisha, Sai Pramod Bathena, Peter Bergman, Colin Crossley, Claire Cullen, Thato Letsomo, Moitshepi Matsheng, Rene Marlon Panti, Shwetlena Sabarwal and Tim Sullivan

31207: Monetary Policy without Commitment

Hassan Afrouzi, Marina Halac, Kenneth Rogoff and Pierre Yared

31206: Who Benefits from State Corporate Tax Cuts? A Local Labor Market Approach with Heterogeneous Firms: Further Results

Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato and Owen Zidar

31205: Work Hours Mismatch

Marta Lachowska, Alexandre Mas, Raffaele Saggio and Stephen Woodbury

31204: War Discourse and Disaster Premia: 160 Years of Evidence from Stock and Bond Markets

David Hirshleifer, Dat Y. Mai and Kuntara Pukthuanthong

31203: Randomized Regulation: The Impact of Minimum Quality Standards on Health Markets

Guadalupe Bedoya, Jishnu Das and Amy Dolinger

31202: The Rise of E-Wallets and Buy-Now-Pay-Later: Payment Competition, Credit Expansion, and Consumer Behavior

Wenlong Bian, Lin Cong and Yang Ji

31201: Learning, Sophistication, and the Returns to Advertising: Implications for Differences in Firm Performance

Steven Tadelis, Christopher Hooton, Utsav Manjeer, Daniel Deisenroth, Nils Wernerfelt, Nick Dadson and Lindsay Greenbaum

31200: Mortality Differentials, the Racial and Ethnic Retirement Wealth Gap, and the Great Pandemic

Edward N. Wolff

31199: Estimating a Theoretically Consistent Human Capital Production Function With an Application to Head Start

Robert Kaestner and Luis F. Faundez

31198: A Simple Model of a Central Bank Digital Currency

Bineet Mishra and Eswar Prasad

31197: It’s Baaack: The Surge in Inflation in the 2020s and the Return of the Non-Linear Phillips Curve

Pierpaolo Benigno and Gauti Eggertsson

31196: Minimum Wage Effects Within Census Based Statistical Areas: A Matched Pair Cross-Border Analysis

Garrett C. Taylor and James West

31195: Efficiency in Household Decision Making: Evidence from the Retirement Savings of U.S. Couples

Taha Choukhmane, Lucas Goodman and Cormac O'Dea

31194: Nonlinear Budget Set Regressions for the Random Utility Model

Sören Blomquist, Anil Kumar, Che-Yuan Liang and Whitney Newey

31193: How Many Americans Work Remotely? A Survey of Surveys and Their Measurement Issues

Erik Brynjolfsson, John J. Horton, Christos Makridis, Alexandre Mas, Adam Ozimek, Daniel Rock and Hong-Yi TuYe

31192: Managers and Productivity in Retail

Robert Metcalfe, Alexandre Sollaci and Chad Syverson

31191: The Effects of Minimum Wages on (Almost) Everything? A Review of Recent Evidence on Health and Related Behaviors

David Neumark

31190: Inflation Expectations and Misallocation of Resources: Evidence from Italy

Tiziano Ropele, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Olivier Coibion

31189: Microdata and the Valuation of Natural Capital

Jonathan Colmer and John L. Voorheis

31188: The Path of Student Learning Delay During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from Michigan

Katharine O. Strunk, Bryant G. Hopkins, Tara Kilbride, Scott Imberman and Dongming Yu

31187: Why Did Putin Invade Ukraine? A Theory of Degenerate Autocracy

Georgy Egorov and Konstantin Sonin

31186: Where Do STEM Graduates Stem From? The Intergenerational Transmission of Comparative Skill Advantages

Eric A. Hanushek, Babs Jacobs, Guido Schwerdt, Rolf Van der Velden, Stan Vermeulen and Simon Wiederhold

31185: Can Deficits Finance Themselves?

George-Marios Angeletos, Chen Lian and Christian Wolf

31184: A Local Projections Approach to Difference-in-Differences

Arindrajit Dube, Daniele Girardi, Oscar Jorda and Alan Taylor

31183: From Carry Trades to Trade Credit: Financial Intermediation by Non-Financial Corporations

Bryan Hardy and Felipe Saffie

31182: Minimum Wages and Poverty: New Evidence from Dynamic Difference-in-Differences Estimates

Richard Burkhauser, Drew McNichols and Joseph J. Sabia

31181: Incorporating Theory-Consistent Endogenous Markups into Applied General-Equilibrium Models

James Markusen

31180: The Secular Decrease in UK Safe Asset Market Power

Jason Choi, Duong Q. Dang, Rishabh Kirpalani and Diego J. Perez

31179: Supply Chain Constraints and Inflation

Diego Comin, Robert Johnson and Callum J. Jones

31178: Mild Government Failure

Shang-Jin Wei, Jianhuan Xu, Ge Yin and Xiaobo Zhang

31177: Parental and Student Time Use Around the Academic Year

Benjamin Cowan, Todd Jones and Jeffrey M. Swigert

31176: Traditional Institutions in Modern Times: Dowries as Pensions When Sons Migrate

Natalie Bau, Gaurav Khanna, Corinne Low and Alessandra Voena

31175: Why Do Older Scholars Slow Down?

Daniel S. Hamermesh and Lea-Rachel Kosnik

31174: Search Theory of Imperfect Competition with Decreasing Returns to Scale

Guido Menzio

31173: Inflation Surge and Sovereign Borrowing: The Role of Policy Practices in Strengthening Sovereign Resilience

Joshua Aizenman and Huanhuan Zheng

31172: Applications or Approvals: What Drives Racial Disparities in the Paycheck Protection Program?

Sergey Chernenko, Nathan Kaplan, Asani Sarkar and David S. Scharfstein

31171: The 2014 Russia Shock and Its Effects on Italian Firms and Banks

Stefano Federico, Giuseppe Marinelli and Francesco Palazzo

31170: Does Monetary Policy Matter? The Narrative Approach after 35 Years

Christina Romer and David Romer

31169: Logrolling in Congress

Marco Battaglini, Valerio Leone Sciabolazza and Eleonora Patacchini

31168: International Diversification, Reallocation, and the Labor Share

Joel David, Romain Ranciere and David Zeke

31167: How Far Goods Travel: Global Transport and Supply Chains from 1965-2020

Sharat Ganapati and Woan Foong Wong

31166: Do Banks Hedge Using Interest Rate Swaps?

Lihong McPhail, Philipp Schnabl and Bruce Tuckman

31165: CHOICE – What Can Go Wrong?

Daniel McFadden

31164: Collateral Advantage: Exchange Rates, Capital Flows and Global Cycles

Michael Devereux, Charles Engel and Steve Pak Yeung Wu

31163: Wage Inequality in American Manufacturing, 1820-1940: New Evidence

Jeremy Atack, Robert Margo and Paul Rhode

31162: Intergenerational Child Mortality Impacts of Deworming: Experimental Evidence from Two Decades of the Kenya Life Panel Survey

Michael Walker, Alice H. Huang, Suleiman Asman, Sarah Baird, Lia Fernald, Joan Hamory Hicks, Fernando Hoces de la Guardia, Satoshi Koiso, Michael Kremer, Matthew N. Krupoff, Michelle Layvant, Eric Ochieng, Pooja Suri and Edward Miguel

31161: Generative AI at Work

Erik Brynjolfsson, Danielle Li and Lindsey Raymond

31160: Anatomy of a Run: The Terra Luna Crash

Jiageng Liu, Igor Makarov and Antoinette Schoar

31159: Foreign Technology Adoption as a Flying Propeller

Yunfang Hu, Takuma Kunieda, Kazuo Nishimura and Ping Wang

31158: Covid and Cities, Thus Far

Gilles Duranton and Jessie Handbury

31157: Bound by Ancestors: Immigration, Credit Frictions, and Global Supply Chain Formation

Jaerim Choi, Jay Hyun and Ziho Park

31156: “There She Is, Your Ideal” Negative Social Comparisons and Health Behaviors

Christopher Carpenter and Brandyn Churchill

31155: Tracing Sustainability in the Long Run: Genuine Savings Estimates 1850 - 2018

Eoin McLaughlin, Cristián Ducoing and Les Oxley

31154: FinTech Lending with LowTech Pricing

Mark J. Johnson, Itzhak Ben-David, Jason Lee and Vincent Yao

31153: Breaks in the Phillips Curve: Evidence from Panel Data

Simon Smith, Allan Timmermann and Jonathan Wright

31152: Judging Nudging: Understanding the Welfare Effects of Nudges Versus Taxes

John List, Matthias Rodemeier, Sutanuka Roy and Gregory K. Sun

31151: Has China’s Growth Gone From Miracle to Malady?

Eswar Prasad

31150: AGING IN STYLE: Seniority and Sentiment in Scholarly Writing

Lea-Rachel Kosnik and Daniel S. Hamermesh

31149: An Anatomy of Monopsony: Search Frictions, Amenities and Bargaining in Concentrated Markets

David Berger, Kyle F. Herkenhoff, Andreas Kostøl and Simon Mongey

31148: Should History Change The Way We Think About Populism?

Alan de Bromhead and Kevin O'Rourke

31147: Merger Guidelines for the Labor Market

David Berger, Thomas Hasenzagl, Kyle F. Herkenhoff, Simon Mongey and Eric A. Posner

31146: Empirical Analyses of Selection and Welfare in Insurance Markets: A Self-Indulgent Survey

Liran Einav and Amy Finkelstein

31145: The Importance of Financial Literacy: Opening a New Field

Annamaria Lusardi and Olivia Mitchell

31144: Women's Colleges and Economics Major Choice: Evidence from Wellesley College Applicants

Kristin Butcher, Patrick McEwan and Akila Weerapana

31143: Global Risk, Non-Bank Financial Intermediation, and Emerging Market Vulnerabilities

Anusha Chari

31142: Investigating the Complexity of Naloxone Distribution: Which Policies Matter for Pharmacies and Potential Recipients

Rosanna Smart, David Powell, Rosalie Pacula, Evan D. Peet, Rahi Abouk and Corey S. Davis

31141: Partial Outsourcing of Public Programs: Evidence on Determinants of Choice in Medicare

Marika Cabral, Colleen Carey and Jinyeong Son

31140: The Optimal Taxation of Couples

Mikhail Golosov and Ilia Krasikov

31139: Projected Health Benefits and Health Care Savings from the United States National Hepatitis C Elimination Initiative

Jagpreet Chhatwal, Alec Aaron, Huaiyang Zhong, Neeraj Sood, Risha Irvin, Harvey J. Alter, Yueran Zhuo, Joshua M. Sharfstein and John W. Ward

31138: Deposit Franchise Runs

Itamar Drechsler, Alexi Savov, Philipp Schnabl and Olivier Wang

31137: Biodiversity Risk

Stefano Giglio, Theresa Kuchler, Johannes Stroebel and Xuran Zeng

31136: Beyond Racial Attitudes: The Role of Outside Options in the Dynamics of White Flight

Peter Q. Blair

31135: Class Peers as Competitors and Educators: The Consequences of Rank-Based Rewards in US High Schools

Mark Rosenzweig and Bing Xu

31134: Supply Chain Risk: Changes in Supplier Composition and Vertical Integration

Nuri Ersahin, Mariassunta Giannetti and Ruidi Huang

31133: Consumption Segregation

Corina Boar and Elisa Giannone

31132: Understanding the Impacts of a Natural Disaster: Evidence from the 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami

Elizabeth Frankenberg, Cecep Sumantri and Duncan Thomas

31131: What Can Historically Black Colleges and Universities Teach about Improving Higher Education Outcomes for Black Students?

Gregory Price and Angelino Viceisza

31130: Local and National Concentration Trends in Jobs and Sales: The Role of Structural Transformation

David Autor, Christina Patterson and John van Reenen

31129: Disinflation and the Stock Market: Third World Lessons for First World Monetary Policy

Anusha Chari and Peter Blair Henry

31128: FDI and Superstar Spillovers: Evidence from Firm-to-Firm Transactions

Mary Amiti, Cédric Duprez, Jozef Konings and John van Reenen

31127: Day Traders, Noise, and Cost of Immediacy

Manoj Dalvi, Prachi Deuskar, Lawrence R. Glosten and Ravi Jagannathan

31126: M&A and Technological Expansion

Ginger Zhe Jin, Mario Leccese and Liad Wagman

31125: Modeling Managers As EPS Maximizers

Itzhak Ben-David and Alexander M. Chinco

31124: Are Inflationary Shocks Regressive? A Feasible Set Approach

Felipe N. Del Canto, John R. Grigsby, Eric Qian and Conor Walsh

31123: Merger Effects and Antitrust Enforcement: Evidence from US Consumer Packaged Goods

Vivek Bhattacharya, Gastón Illanes and David Stillerman

31122: Large Language Models as Simulated Economic Agents: What Can We Learn from Homo Silicus?

John J. Horton

31121: Asset Pricing with Optimal Under-Diversification

Vadim Elenev and Tim Landvoigt

31120: Skill Depreciation during Unemployment: Evidence from Panel Data

Jonathan Cohen, Andrew Johnston and Attila S. Lindner

31119: Equity Term Structures without Dividend Strips Data

Stefano Giglio, Bryan T. Kelly and Serhiy Kozak

31118: Derisking Real Estate in China’s Hybrid Economy

Wei Xiong

31117: Dreaming of Leaving the Nest? Immigration Status and the Living Arrangements of DACAmented

Rania Gihleb, Osea Giuntella and Jakub Lonsky

31116: On the Efficiency of Competitive Equilibria with Pandemics

Varadarajan Chari, Rishabh Kirpalani and Luis Perez

31115: Is the Global Economy Deglobalizing? And if so, why? And what is next?

Pinelopi Goldberg and Tristan Reed

31114: Four Facts About ESG Beliefs and Investor Portfolios

Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori, Johannes Stroebel, Zhenhao Tan, Stephen Utkus and Xiao Xu

31113: Post COVID-19 Test Score Recovery: Initial Evidence from State Testing Data

Clare Halloran, Claire E. Hug, Rebecca Jack and Emily Oster

31112: Policies, Projections, and the Social Cost of Carbon: Results from the DICE-2023 Model

Lint Barrage and William Nordhaus