NBER Working Papers

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30982: Inflation and Asset Returns

Anna Cieslak and Carolin Pflueger

30981: Automating Automaticity: How the Context of Human Choice Affects the Extent of Algorithmic Bias

Amanda Y. Agan, Diag Davenport, Jens Ludwig and Sendhil Mullainathan

30980: Mutual Fund Flows and the Supply of Capital in Municipal Financing

Manuel Adelino, Sophia Chiyoung Cheong, Jaewon Choi and Ji Yeol Jimmy Oh

30979: The Nature of Long-Term Unemployment: Predictability, Heterogeneity and Selection

Andreas Mueller and Johannes Spinnewijn

30978: Relational Contracts: Recent Empirical Advancements and Open Questions

Rocco Macchiavello and Ameet Morjaria

30977: The Slow Diffusion of Earnings Inequality

Isaac Sorkin and Melanie Wallskog

30976: Similarities and Differences in the Adoption of General Purpose Technologies

Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans and Avi Goldfarb

30975: Government Audits

Martina Cuneo, Jetson Leder-Luis and Silvia Vannutelli

30974: Effects of Enhanced Legal Aid in Child Welfare: Evidence from a Randomized Trial of Mi Abogado

Ryan Cooper, Joseph J. Doyle and Andrés P. Hojman

30973: Behavioral Economics in Education Market Design: A Forward-Looking Review

Alex Rees-Jones and Ran Shorrer

30972: Cross-State Strategic Voting

Gordon Dahl, Joseph Engelberg, Runjing Lu and William Mullins

30971: State-Dependent Local Projections: Understanding Impulse Response Heterogeneity

James Cloyne, Oscar Jorda and Alan Taylor

30970: Lottery-Based Evaluations of Early Education Programs: Opportunities and Challenges for Building the Next Generation of Evidence

Christina Weiland, Rebecca Unterman, Susan Dynarski, Rachel Abenavoli, Howard Bloom, Breno Braga, Ann-Marie Faria, Erica H. Greenberg, Brian Jacob, Jane Arnold Lincove, Karen Manship, Meghan McCormick, Luke Miratrix, Tomás E. Monarrez, Pamela Morris-Perez, Anna Shapiro, Jon Valant and Lindsay Weixler

30969: Behavior Mediates the Health Effects of Extreme Wildfire Smoke Events

Sam Heft-Neal, Carlos F. Gould, Marissa Childs, Mathew V. Kiang, Kari Nadeau, Mark Duggan, Eran Bendavid and Marshall Burke

30968: Pediatric Drug Adherence and Parental Attention: Evidence from Comprehensive Claims Data

Josh Feng, Matthew Higgins and Elena Patel

30967: RIM-Based Value Premium and Factor Pricing Using Value-Price Divergence

Lin Cong, Nathan Darden George and Guojun Wang

30966: Cooling Externality of Large-Scale Irrigation

Thomas Braun and Wolfram Schlenker

30965: Unconditional Cash Transfers for Families with Children in the U.S.: A Scoping Review

Hema Shah and Lisa A. Gennetian

30964: Parental Education and Invention: The Finnish Enigma

Philippe Aghion, Ufuk Akcigit, Ari Hyytinen and Otto Toivanen

30963: Beware the Side Effects: Capital Controls, Trade, Misallocation and Welfare

Eugenia Andreasen, Sofia Bauducco, Evangelina Dardati and Enrique Mendoza

30962: A Mother’s Voice: Impacts of Spousal Communication Training on Child Health Investments

Martina Björkman-Nyqvist, Seema Jayachandran and Celine P. Zipfel

30961: Optimal Monetary Policy with Heterogeneous Agents: Discretion, Commitment, and Timeless Policy

Eduardo Davila and Andreas Schaab

30960: Immigration, The Long-Term Care Workforce, and Elder Outcomes in the U.S

David C. Grabowski, Jonathan Gruber and Brian McGarry

30959: A Tractable Income Process for Business Cycle Analysis

Fatih Guvenen, Alisdair McKay and Conor B. Ryan

30958: Loose Monetary Policy and Financial Instability

Maximilian Grimm, Oscar Jorda, Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor

30957: Language Models and Cognitive Automation for Economic Research

Anton Korinek

30956: The Economic Opportunity Cost of Green Recovery Plans

Timothy Fitzgerald and Casey Mulligan

30955: Estimating Causal Effects of Fertility on Life Course Outcomes: Evidence Using A Dyadic Genetic Instrumental Variable Approach

Boyan Zheng, Qiongshi Lu and Jason Fletcher

30954: Production Network Formation, Trade, and Welfare

Costas Arkolakis, Federico Huneeus and Yuhei Miyauchi

30953: Measuring Domestic Factor Content in Bilateral and Sectoral-Level Trade Flows

Zhi Wang, Shang-Jin Wei and Kunfu Zhu

30952: Dynamic Pricing Regulation and Welfare in Insurance Markets

Naoki Aizawa and Ami Ko

30951: Direct and Spillover Effects of Provider Vaccination Facilitation

Julie Cullen, Maria Humlum, Agne Suziedelyte and Peter Rønø Thingholm

30950: The Effect of R&D on Quality, Productivity, and Welfare

Mons Chan, Amil Petrin and Frédéric Warzynski

30949: Inclusion and Democratization Through Web3 and DeFi? Initial Evidence from the Ethereum Ecosystem

Lin Cong, Ke Tang, Yanxin Wang and Xi Zhao

30948: Donor Contracting Conditions and Public Procurement: Causal Evidence from Kenyan Electrification

Catherine Wolfram, Edward Miguel, Eric Hsu and Susanna Berkouwer

30947: Ideas Mobilize People: The Diffusion of Communist Ideology in China

Ying Bai, Ruixue Jia and Runnan Wang

30946: Unsupervised Machine Learning for Explainable Health Care Fraud Detection

Shubhranshu Shekhar, Jetson Leder-Luis and Leman Akoglu

30945: Hobbesian Wars and Separation of Powers

Weijia Li, Gérard Roland and Yang Xie

30944: Catching Up by ‘Deglobalizing’: Capital Account Policy and Economic Growth

Paul Bergin, Woo Jin Choi and Ju Hyun Pyun

30943: The Economics of Digital Privacy

Avi Goldfarb and Verina F. Que

30942: To Starve or to Stoke? Understanding Whether Divestment vs. Investment Can Steer (Green) Innovation

Jacquelyn Pless

30941: The Impact of COVID-19 on Workers’ Expectations and Preferences for Remote Work

Yuting Chen, Patricia Cortés, Gizem Kosar, Jessica Pan and Basit Zafar

30940: Varying Impacts of Letters of Recommendation on College Admissions

Eli Ben-Michael, Avi Feller and Jesse Rothstein

30939: How the Internet Changed the Market for Print Media

Manudeep Bhuller, Tarjei Havnes, Jeremy McCauley and Magne Mogstad

30938: Frames, Incentives, and Education: Effectiveness of Interventions to Delay Public Pension Claiming

Franca Glenzer, Pierre-Carl Michaud and Stefan Staubli

30937: The Cyclicality of Births and Babies’ Health, Revisited: Evidence from Unemployment Insurance

Lisa Dettling and Melissa Schettini Kearney

30936: Does School Choice Increase Crime?

Andrew Bibler, Stephen B. Billings and Stephen Ross

30935: On the Effectiveness of Foreign Exchange Reserves During the 2021-22 U.S. Monetary Tightening Cycle

Rashad Ahmed, Joshua Aizenman, Jamel Saadaoui and Gazi Uddin

30934: Preferences for Firearms and Their Implications for Regulation

Sarah Moshary, Bradley Shapiro and Sara Drango

30933: Life After Death: A Field Experiment with Small Businesses on Information Frictions, Stigma, and Bankruptcy

Shai Bernstein, Emanuele Colonnelli, Mitchell Hoffman and Benjamin Iverson

30932: The Benefits of Revealing Race: Evidence from Minority-owned Local Businesses

Abhay Aneja, Michael Luca and Oren Reshef

30931: Paying Moms to Stay Home: Short and Long Run Effects on Parents and Children

Jonathan Gruber, Tuomas Kosonen and Kristiina Huttunen

30930: Customized Cash Transfers: Financial Lives and Cash-flow Preferences in Rural Kenya

Carolina Kansikas, Anandi Mani and Paul Niehaus

30929: Crowding in Private Quality: The Equilibrium Effects of Public Spending in Education

Tahir Andrabi, Natalie Bau, Jishnu Das, Naureen Karachiwalla and Asim Khwaja

30928: The Impact of Vertical Integration on Physician Behavior and Healthcare Delivery: Evidence from Gastroenterology Practices

Soroush Saghafian, Lina D. Song, Joseph Newhouse, Mary Beth Landrum and John Hsu

30927: Do Conflict of Interests Disclosures Work? Evidence from Citations in Medical Journals

Christian Leuz, Anup Malani, Maximilian Muhn and Laszlo Jakab

30926: Harm Reduction: When Does It Improve Health, and When Does it Backfire?

John Cawley and Davide Dragone

30925: Which Firms Gain from Digital Advertising? Evidence from a Field Experiment

Weijia Dai, Hyunjin Kim and Michael Luca

30924: New Institutional Economics and Cliometrics

Eric C. Alston, Lee Alston and Bernardo Mueller

30923: Bitcoin Mining Meets Wall Street: A Study of Publicly Traded Crypto Mining Companies

Hanna Halaburda and David Yermack

30922: Distorted Innovation: Does the Market Get the Direction of Technology Right?

Daron Acemoglu

30921: Back to the 1980s or Not? The Drivers of Inflation and Real Risks in Treasury Bonds

Carolin Pflueger

30920: Digital Hermits

Jeanine Miklós-Thal, Avi Goldfarb, Avery M. Haviv and Catherine Tucker

30919: Task Mismatch and Salary Penalties: Evidence from the Biomedical PhD Labor Market

Holden A. Diethorn and Gerald Marschke

30918: Financial Crisis in a Socialist Setting: Impact on Political Behavior, Social Trust, and Economic Values

Ran Abramitzky, Netanel Ben-Porath, Victor Lavy and Michal Palgi

30917: Reversals and the Returns to Liquidity Provision

Wei Dai, Mamdouh Medhat, Robert Novy-Marx and Savina Rizova

30916: Missing Discussions: Institutional Constraints in the Islamic Political Tradition

A. Arda Gitmez, James Robinson and Mehdi Shadmehr

30915: Growth and Risk: A View from International Trade

Pravin Krishna, Andrei Levchenko, Lin Ma and William Maloney

30914: Florida (Un)Chained

Charles Calomiris and Matthew Jaremski

30913: Blockchain for Timely Transfer of Intellectual Property

Dongling Cai, Yi Qian and Ning Nan

30912: Scaling Smart Contracts via Layer-2 Technologies: Some Empirical Evidence

Lin Cong, Xiang Hui, Catherine Tucker and Luofeng Zhou

30911: The Internet, Search Frictions and Aggregate Unemployment

Manudeep Bhuller, Domenico Ferraro, Andreas Kostøl and Trond C. Vigtel

30910: Dynamic Inconsistency in Risky Choice: Evidence from the Lab and Field

Rawley Heimer, Zwetelina Iliewa, Alex Imas and Martin Weber

30909: Societal Disruptions And Child Mental Health: Evidence From ADHD Diagnosis During The COVID-19 Pandemic

Seth Freedman, Kelli R. Marquardt, Dario Salcedo, Kosali Simon and Coady Wing

30908: Child Labor Standards in Regional Trade Agreements: Theory and Evidence

Ryan M. Abman, Clark C. Lundberg, John McLaren and Michele Ruta

30907: Bank Funding Risk, Reference Rates, and Credit Supply

Harry R. Cooperman, Darrell Duffie, Stephan Luck, Zachry Z. Wang and Yilin Yang

30906: Inflationary Effects of Fiscal Support to Households and Firms

Galina Hale, John C. Leer and Fernanda Nechio

30905: The Marginal Disutility from Corruption in Social Programs: Evidence from Program Administrators and Beneficiaries

Arya Gaduh, Rema Hanna and Benjamin Olken

30904: Trading Places: Mobility Responses of Native and Foreign-Born Adults to the China Trade Shock

David Autor, David Dorn and Gordon Hanson

30903: Peak-Hour Road Congestion Pricing: Experimental Evidence and Equilibrium Implications

Gabriel Kreindler

30902: Exposure to Economic Distress during Pregnancy and Birth Outcomes

Mevlude Akbulut-Yuksel, Seyit Cilasun, Erdal Tekin and Belgi Turan

30901: An 'Austrian' Model of Global Value Chains

Pol Antras

30900: The Trickling Up of Excess Savings

Adrien Auclert, Matthew Rognlie and Ludwig Straub

30899: The Market for CEOs: Evidence from Private Equity

Paul Gompers, Steven N. Kaplan and Vladimir Mukharlyamov

30898: Corporate Valuation: An Empirical Comparison of Discounting Methods

Nicolas Hommel, Augustin Landier and David Thesmar

30897: A Theory of Fear of Floating

Javier Bianchi and Louphou Coulibaly

30896: The Cost of Curbing Externalities with Market Power: Alcohol Regulations and Tax Alternatives

Christopher Conlon and Nirupama Rao

30895: Beyond Burnout: from Measuring to Forecasting

Bart Blackburn, Tiffany Chan, Elizabeth Cherot, Richard Freeman, Xi Hu, Eric Matt and C. Aubrey Rhodes

30894: Self-Preferencing at Amazon: Evidence from Search Rankings

Chiara Farronato, Andrey Fradkin and Alexander MacKay

30893: The Stock Connect to China

Zhiguo He, Yuehan Wang and Xiaoquan Zhu

30892: Quantifying the Inflationary Impact of Fiscal Stimulus Under Supply Constraints

Julian di Giovanni, Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, Álvaro Silva and Muhammed A. Yildirim

30891: Real Exchange Rate and International Reserves in the Era of Financial Integration

Joshua Aizenman, Sy-Hoa Ho, Luu Duc Toan Huynh, Jamel Saadaoui and Gazi Uddin

30890: Measuring the Share of Imports in Final Consumption

Emmanuel Dhyne, Ken Kikkawa, Magne Mogstad and Felix Tintelnot

30889: The Effects of Competition on Physician Prescribing

Janet Currie, Anran Li and Molly Schnell

30888: Measuring Returns to Experience Using Supervisor Ratings of Observed Performance: The Case of Classroom Teachers

Courtney A. Bell, Jessalynn K. James, Eric S. Taylor and James Wyckoff

30887: International Capital Flow Pressures and Global Factors

Linda Goldberg and Signe Krogstrup

30886: Algorithmic Writing Assistance on Jobseekers’ Resumes Increases Hires

Emma Wiles, Zanele T. Munyikwa and John Horton

30885: Reducing Administrative Barriers Increases Take-up of Subsidized Health Insurance Coverage: Evidence from a Field Experiment

Keith Marzilli Ericson, Timothy Layton, Adrianna McIntyre and Adam Sacarny

30884: Criminal Charges, Risk Assessment, and Violent Recidivism in Cases of Domestic Abuse

Dan Black, Jeffrey Grogger, Tom Kirchmaier and Koen Sanders

30883: Ride-Sharing Markets Re-Equilibrate

Jonathan V. Hall, John Horton and Daniel T. Knoepfle