NBER Working Papers

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31180: The Secular Decrease in UK Safe Asset Market Power

Jason Choi, Duong Q. Dang, Rishabh Kirpalani and Diego J. Perez

31179: Supply Chain Constraints and Inflation

Diego Comin, Robert Johnson and Callum J. Jones

31178: Mild Government Failure

Shang-Jin Wei, Jianhuan Xu, Ge Yin and Xiaobo Zhang

31177: Parental and Student Time Use Around the Academic Year

Benjamin Cowan, Todd Jones and Jeffrey M. Swigert

31176: Traditional Institutions in Modern Times: Dowries as Pensions When Sons Migrate

Natalie Bau, Gaurav Khanna, Corinne Low and Alessandra Voena

31175: Why Do Older Scholars Slow Down?

Daniel Hamermesh and Lea-Rachel Kosnik

31174: Search Theory of Imperfect Competition with Decreasing Returns to Scale

Guido Menzio

31173: Inflation Surge and Sovereign Borrowing: The Role of Policy Practices in Strengthening Sovereign Resilience

Joshua Aizenman and Huanhuan Zheng

31172: Applications or Approvals: What Drives Racial Disparities in the Paycheck Protection Program?

Sergey Chernenko, Nathan Kaplan, Asani Sarkar and David Scharfstein

31171: The 2014 Russia Shock and Its Effects on Italian Firms and Banks

Stefano Federico, Giuseppe Marinelli and Francesco Palazzo

31170: Does Monetary Policy Matter? The Narrative Approach after 35 Years

Christina Romer and David Romer

31169: Logrolling in Congress

Marco Battaglini, Valerio Leone Sciabolazza and Eleonora Patacchini

31168: International Diversification, Reallocation, and the Labor Share

Joel David, Romain Ranciere and David Zeke

31167: How Far Goods Travel: Global Transport and Supply Chains from 1965-2020

Sharat Ganapati and Woan Foong Wong

31166: Do Banks Hedge Using Interest Rate Swaps?

Lihong McPhail, Philipp Schnabl and Bruce Tuckman

31165: CHOICE – What Can Go Wrong?

Daniel McFadden

31164: Collateral Advantage: Exchange Rates, Capital Flows and Global Cycles

Michael Devereux, Charles Engel and Steve Pak Yeung Wu

31163: Wage Inequality in American Manufacturing, 1820-1940: New Evidence

Jeremy Atack, Robert Margo and Paul Rhode

31162: Intergenerational Child Mortality Impacts of Deworming: Experimental Evidence from Two Decades of the Kenya Life Panel Survey

Michael Walker, Alice H. Huang, Suleiman Asman, Sarah Baird, Lia Fernald, Joan Hamory Hicks, Fernando Hoces de la Guardia, Satoshi Koiso, Michael Kremer, Matthew N. Krupoff, Michelle Layvant, Eric Ochieng, Pooja Suri and Edward Miguel

31161: Generative AI at Work

Erik Brynjolfsson, Danielle Li and Lindsey Raymond

31160: Anatomy of a Run: The Terra Luna Crash

Jiageng Liu, Igor Makarov and Antoinette Schoar

31159: Foreign Technology Adoption as a Flying Propeller

Yunfang Hu, Takuma Kunieda, Kazuo Nishimura and Ping Wang

31158: Covid and Cities, Thus Far

Gilles Duranton and Jessie Handbury

31157: Bound by Ancestors: Immigration, Credit Frictions, and Global Supply Chain Formation

Jaerim Choi, Jay Hyun and Ziho Park

31156: “There She Is, Your Ideal” Negative Social Comparisons and Health Behaviors

Christopher Carpenter and Brandyn Churchill

31155: Tracing Sustainability in the Long Run: Genuine Savings Estimates 1850 - 2018

Eoin McLaughlin, Cristián Ducoing and Les Oxley

31154: FinTech Lending with LowTech Pricing

Mark J. Johnson, Itzhak Ben-David, Jason Lee and Vincent Yao

31153: Breaks in the Phillips Curve: Evidence from Panel Data

Simon Smith, Allan Timmermann and Jonathan Wright

31152: Judging Nudging: Understanding the Welfare Effects of Nudges Versus Taxes

John List, Matthias Rodemeier, Sutanuka Roy and Gregory K. Sun

31151: Has China’s Growth Gone From Miracle to Malady?

Eswar Prasad

31150: AGING IN STYLE: Seniority and Sentiment in Scholarly Writing

Lea-Rachel Kosnik and Daniel Hamermesh

31149: An Anatomy of Monopsony: Search Frictions, Amenities and Bargaining in Concentrated Markets

David Berger, Kyle Herkenhoff, Andreas Kostøl and Simon Mongey

31148: Should History Change The Way We Think About Populism?

Alan de Bromhead and Kevin O'Rourke

31147: Merger Guidelines for the Labor Market

David Berger, Thomas Hasenzagl, Kyle Herkenhoff, Simon Mongey and Eric A. Posner

31146: Empirical Analyses of Selection and Welfare in Insurance Markets: A Self-Indulgent Survey

Liran Einav and Amy Finkelstein

31145: The Importance of Financial Literacy: Opening a New Field

Annamaria Lusardi and Olivia Mitchell

31144: Women's Colleges and Economics Major Choice: Evidence from Wellesley College Applicants

Kristin Butcher, Patrick McEwan and Akila Weerapana

31143: Global Risk, Non-Bank Financial Intermediation, and Emerging Market Vulnerabilities

Anusha Chari

31142: Investigating the Complexity of Naloxone Distribution: Which Policies Matter for Pharmacies and Potential Recipients

Rosanna Smart, David Powell, Rosalie Pacula, Evan D. Peet, Rahi Abouk and Corey S. Davis

31141: Partial Outsourcing of Public Programs: Evidence on Determinants of Choice in Medicare

Marika Cabral, Colleen Carey and Jinyeong Son

31140: The Optimal Taxation of Couples

Mikhail Golosov and Ilia Krasikov

31139: Projected Health Benefits and Health Care Savings from the United States National Hepatitis C Elimination Initiative

Jagpreet Chhatwal, Alec Aaron, Huaiyang Zhong, Neeraj Sood, Risha Irvin, Harvey J. Alter, Yueran Zhuo, Joshua M. Sharfstein and John W. Ward

31138: Deposit Franchise Runs

Itamar Drechsler, Alexi Savov, Philipp Schnabl and Olivier Wang

31137: Biodiversity Risk

Stefano Giglio, Theresa Kuchler, Johannes Stroebel and Xuran Zeng

31136: Beyond Racial Attitudes: The Role of Outside Options in the Dynamics of White Flight

Peter Q. Blair

31135: Class Peers as Competitors and Educators: The Consequences of Rank-Based Rewards in US High Schools

Mark Rosenzweig and Bing Xu

31134: Supply Chain Risk: Changes in Supplier Composition and Vertical Integration

Nuri Ersahin, Mariassunta Giannetti and Ruidi Huang

31133: Consumption Segregation

Corina Boar and Elisa Giannone

31132: Understanding the Impacts of a Natural Disaster: Evidence from the 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami

Elizabeth Frankenberg, Cecep Sumantri and Duncan Thomas

31131: What Can Historically Black Colleges and Universities Teach about Improving Higher Education Outcomes for Black Students?

Gregory Price and Angelino Viceisza

31130: Local and National Concentration Trends in Jobs and Sales: The Role of Structural Transformation

David Autor, Christina Patterson and John van Reenen

31129: Disinflation and the Stock Market: Third World Lessons for First World Monetary Policy

Anusha Chari and Peter Henry

31128: FDI and Superstar Spillovers: Evidence from Firm-to-Firm Transactions

Mary Amiti, Cédric Duprez, Jozef Konings and John van Reenen

31127: Day Traders, Noise, and Cost of Immediacy

Manoj Dalvi, Prachi Deuskar, Lawrence R. Glosten and Ravi Jagannathan

31126: M&A and Technological Expansion

Ginger Zhe Jin, Mario Leccese and Liad Wagman

31125: Modeling Managers As EPS Maximizers

Itzhak Ben-David and Alexander M. Chinco

31124: Are Inflationary Shocks Regressive? A Feasible Set Approach

Felipe Del Canto Monge, John R. Grigsby, Eric Qian and Conor Walsh

31123: Merger Effects and Antitrust Enforcement: Evidence from US Consumer Packaged Goods

Vivek Bhattacharya, Gastón Illanes and David Stillerman

31122: Large Language Models as Simulated Economic Agents: What Can We Learn from Homo Silicus?

John Horton

31121: Asset Pricing with Optimal Under-Diversification

Vadim Elenev and Tim Landvoigt

31120: Skill Depreciation during Unemployment: Evidence from Panel Data

Jonathan Cohen, Andrew Johnston and Attila S. Lindner

31119: Equity Term Structures without Dividend Strips Data

Stefano Giglio, Bryan T. Kelly and Serhiy Kozak

31118: Derisking Real Estate in China’s Hybrid Economy

Wei Xiong

31117: Dreaming of Leaving the Nest? Immigration Status and the Living Arrangements of DACAmented

Rania Gihleb, Osea Giuntella and Jakub Lonsky

31116: On the Efficiency of Competitive Equilibria with Pandemics

Varadarajan Chari, Rishabh Kirpalani and Luis Perez

31115: Is the Global Economy Deglobalizing? And if so, why? And what is next?

Pinelopi Goldberg and Tristan Reed

31114: Four Facts About ESG Beliefs and Investor Portfolios

Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori, Johannes Stroebel, Zhenhao Tan, Stephen Utkus and Xiao Xu

31113: Post COVID-19 Test Score Recovery: Initial Evidence from State Testing Data

Clare Halloran, Claire E. Hug, Rebecca Jack and Emily Oster

31112: Policies, Projections, and the Social Cost of Carbon: Results from the DICE-2023 Model

Lint Barrage and William Nordhaus

31111: Trade Shocks and Credit Reallocation

Stefano Federico, Fadi Hassan and Veronica Rappoport

31110: The Short-Term Labor Supply Response to the Expanded Child Tax Credit

Brandon Enriquez, Damon Jones and Ernie Tedeschi

31109: Nurse Practitioner Scope of Practice and Patient Harm: Evidence from Medical Malpractice Cases and Adverse Action Reports

Sara Markowitz and Andrew J.D. Smith

31108: Natural Capital Considerations for an Extension of the U.S. Marine Economy Satellite Account

Jeffrey Wielgus, Monica Grasso, Charles Colgan, Jennifer Zhuang, Sarah C. Siegel, Joseph Conran and Tadesse Wodajo

31107: Business Group Spillovers

S. Lakshmi Naaraayanan and Daniel Wolfenzon

31106: Do Entrepreneurs Want Control? And Should They Get What They Want? A Historical and Theoretical Exploration

Naomi R. Lamoreaux and Jean-Laurent Rosenthal

31105: China as an International Lender of Last Resort

Sebastian Horn, Bradley C. Parks, Carmen Reinhart and Christoph Trebesch

31104: Five Myths About Carbon Pricing

Gilbert Metcalf

31103: Solving Heterogeneous Agent Models with the Master Equation

Adrien Bilal

31102: Evolution of Risk Aversion over Five Years after a Major Natural Disaster

Nicholas Ingwersen, Elizabeth Frankenberg and Duncan Thomas

31101: The Macroeconomics of Intensive Agriculture

Timo Boppart, Patrick Kiernan, Per Krusell and Hannes Malmberg

31100: No Ground Truth? No Problem: Improving Administrative Data Linking Using Active Learning and a Little Bit of Guile

Sarah Tahamont, Zubin Jelveh, Melissa McNeill, Shi Yan, Aaron Chalfin and Benjamin Hansen

31099: Inflation is Conflict

Guido Lorenzoni and Iván Werning

31098: Flow Trading

Eric Budish, Peter Cramton, Albert Kyle, Jeongmin Lee and David Malec

31097: Climate Stress Testing

Viral Acharya, Richard Berner, Robert Engle, Hyeyoon Jung, Johannes Stroebel, Xuran Zeng and Yihao Zhao

31096: Inequality and Measured Growth

Ezra Oberfield

31095: Beyond Pigou: Externalities and Civil Society in the Supply-Demand Framework

Casey Mulligan

31094: Analyst Bias and Mispricing

Mark Grinblatt, Gergana Jostova and Alexander Philipov

31093: The Impact of the Level and Timing of Parental Resources on Child Development and Intergenerational Mobility

Sadegh Eshaghnia, James Heckman and Rasmus Landersø

31092: Banking Crises in Historical Perspective

Carola Frydman and Chenzi Xu

31091: The Health Wedge and Labor Market Inequality

Amy Finkelstein, Casey C. McQuillan, Owen Zidar and Eric Zwick

31090: On the Law of the Household: The Principles Used by Parents in Disciplining Their Children

Steven Shavell

31089: Helping Small Businesses become more Data-Driven: A Field Experiment on eBay

Sagit Bar-Gill, Erik Brynjolfsson and Nir Hak

31088: Signals and Stigmas from Banking Interventions: Lessons from the Bank Holiday in 1933

Matthew Jaremski, Gary Richardson and Angela Vossmeyer

31087: Identifying Preference for Early Resolution from Asset Prices

Hengjie Ai, Ravi Bansal, Hongye Guo and Amir Yaron

31086: Measuring the Characteristics and Employment Dynamics of U.S. Inventors

Ufuk Akcigit and Nathan Goldschlag

31085: Where Have All the "Creative Talents" Gone? Employment Dynamics of US Inventors

Ufuk Akcigit and Nathan Goldschlag

31084: Continuances and Uncertainty in the Course of Adjudication

Steven Shavell

31083: Unpacking Social Capital

Ruben Durante, Nicola Mastrorocco, Luigi Minale and James Snyder

31082: Capital Controls and Trade Policy

Simon Lloyd and Emile Marin

31081: Model-free and Model-based Learning as Joint Drivers of Investor Behavior

Nicholas C. Barberis and Lawrence Jin