NBER Working Papers

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19710: Colonial New Jersey's Paper Money Regime, 1709-1775: A Forensic Accounting Reconstruction of the Data

Farley Grubb

19709: Efficiency and Foreclosure Effects of Vertical Rebates: Empirical Evidence

Christopher Conlon and Julie Mortimer

19708: Financial Dependence and Innovation: The Case of Public versus Private Firms

Viral Acharya and Zhaoxia Xu

19707: Bank Capital and Dividend Externalities

Viral Acharya, Hanh Le and Hyun Song Shin

19706: Are Commodity Futures Prices Barometers of the Global Economy?

Conghui Hu and Wei Xiong

19705: Parameter Learning in General Equilibrium: The Asset Pricing Implications

Pierre Collin-Dufresne, Michael Johannes and Lars A. Lochstoer

19704: Optimal Time-Consistent Macroprudential Policy

Javier Bianchi and Enrique Mendoza

19703: An Experimental Approach to Merger Evaluation

Christopher Conlon and Julie Mortimer

19702: After the Drought: The Impact of Microinsurance on Consumption Smoothing and Asset Protection

Sarah Janzen and Michael Carter

19701: The Value of Connections in Turbulent Times: Evidence from the United States

Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson, Amir Kermani, James Kwak and Todd Mitton

19700: Is This Time Different? The Slowdown in Healthcare Spending

Amitabh Chandra, Jonathan Holmes and Jonathan Skinner

19699: Accounting for Income Changes over the Great Recession (2007-2010) Relative to Previous Recessions: The Importance of Taxes and Transfers

Jeff Larrimore, Richard Burkhauser and Philip Armour

19698: Advancing the Empirical Research on Lobbying

John M. de Figueiredo and Brian Kelleher Richter

19697: Internal Geography, International Trade, and Regional Specialization

A. Kerem Coşar and Pablo Fajgelbaum

19696: Follow the Money: Methods for Identifying Consumption and Investment Responses to a Liquidity Shock

Dean Karlan, Adam Osman and Jonathan Zinman

19695: Salience Theory of Judicial Decisions

Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli and Andrei Shleifer

19694: Does Knowledge Accumulation Increase the Returns to Collaboration?

Ajay Agrawal, Avi Goldfarb and Florenta Teodoridis

19693: Assessing DSGE Model Nonlinearities

S. Boragan Aruoba, Luigi Bocola and Frank Schorfheide

19692: Using the New Products Margin to Predict the Industry-Level Impact of Trade Reform

Timothy Kehoe, Jack Rossbach and Kim Ruhl

19691: The Great Pyramids of America: A Revised History of US Business Groups, Corporate Ownership and Regulation, 1930-1950

Eugene Kandel, Konstantin Kosenko, Randall Morck and Yishay Yafeh

19690: School, what is it good for? Useful Human Capital and the History of Public Education in Central Europe

Tomas Cvrcek and Miroslav Zajicek

19689: Comparative Advantage and Optimal Trade Policy

Arnaud Costinot, Dave Donaldson, Jonathan Vogel and Iván Werning

19688: Corporate Cash Holding in Asia

Charles Horioka and Akiko Hagiwara

19687: The Endless Frontier: Reaping what Bush Sowed?

Paula Stephan

19686: Inflation's Role in Optimal Monetary-Fiscal Policy

Eric Leeper and Xuan Zhou

19685: Health and the Economy in the United States, from 1750 to the Present

Dora Costa

19684: Maximum likelihood estimation of the equity premium

Efstathios Avdis and Jessica Wachter

19683: Jobless Recoveries During Financial Crises: Is Inflation the Way Out?

Guillermo Calvo, Fabrizio Coricelli and Pablo Ottonello

19682: Consumer Credit: Too Much or Too Little (or Just Right)?

Jonathan Zinman

19681: Buffett's Alpha

Andrea Frazzini, David Kabiller and Lasse Pedersen

19680: Housing Collateral and Entrepreneurship

Martin Schmalz, David Sraer and David Thesmar

19679: Deals Not Done: Sources of Failure in the Market for Ideas

Ajay Agrawal, Iain Cockburn and Laurina Zhang

19678: The Cyclicality of the Opportunity Cost of Employment

Gabriel Chodorow-Reich and Loukas Karabarbounis

19677: Quantifying International Production Sharing at the Bilateral and Sector Levels

Zhi Wang, Shang-Jin Wei and Kunfu Zhu

19676: Sovereign Debt Markets in Turbulent Times: Creditor Discrimination and Crowding-Out Effects

Fernando Broner, Aitor Erce, Alberto Martin and Jaume Ventura

19675: Ideology and Online News

Matthew Gentzkow and Jesse Shapiro

19674: Learning by Doing in a Multi-Product Manufacturing Environment: Product Variety, Customizations, and Overlapping Product Generations

Carolyn D. Egelman, Dennis Epple, Linda Argote and Erica R.H. Fuchs

19673: Reinventing the Wheel: The Economic Benefits of Wheeled Transportation in Early British Colonial West Africa

Isaías N. Chaves, Stanley L. Engerman and James Robinson

19672: Unemployment Insurance and Disability Insurance in the Great Recession

Andreas Mueller, Jesse Rothstein and Till von Wachter

19671: Are Capital Controls Prudential? An Empirical Investigation

Andrés Fernández Martin, Alessandro Rebucci and Martín Uribe

19670: Why Do Hedgers Trade So Much?

Ing-Haw Cheng and Wei Xiong

19669: Liquidity and Governance

Kerry Back, Tao Li and Alexander Ljungqvist

19668: Distributional Effects of Macroeconomic Policy Choices in Emerging Market Economies

Eswar Prasad

19667: Idea Flows, Economic Growth, and Trade

Fernando E. Alvarez, Francisco Buera and Robert Lucas

19666: On the Generalizability of Experimental Results in Economics: With A Response To Camerer

Omar Al-Ubaydli and John List

19665: Toward an Understanding of why Suggestions Work in Charitable Fundraising: Theory and Evidence from a Natural Field Experiment

James T. Edwards and John List

19664: Standard-Essential Patents

Josh Lerner and Jean Tirole

19663: Better Luck Next Time: Learning Through Retaking

Veronica Frisancho, Kala Krishna, Sergey Lychagin and Cemile Yavas

19662: China: An Institutional View of an Unusual Macroeconomy

David Dollar and Benjamin Jones

19661: Human Capital and Fertility in Chinese Clans Before Modern Growth

Carol Shiue

19660: Testing the Theory of Multitasking: Evidence from a Natural Field Experiment in Chinese Factories

Fuhai Hong, Tanjim Hossain, John List and Migiwa Tanaka

19659: People, Places and Public Policy: Some Simple Welfare Economics of Local Economic Development Programs

Patrick Kline and Enrico Moretti

19658: Skilled Immigration and the Employment Structures of U.S. Firms

Sari Pekkala Kerr, William Kerr and William Lincoln

19657: Heterogeneous Technology Diffusion and Ricardian Trade Patterns

William Kerr

19656: Fostering and Measuring Skills: Interventions That Improve Character and Cognition

James Heckman and Tim Kautz

19655: Asia Chartbook: Crises, Credit and Debt, 1835-2013

Carmen Reinhart

19654: Making Nutritional Information Digestible: Effects of a Receipt-Based Intervention on Restaurant Purchases

Kelly Bedard and Peter Kuhn

19653: Collaboration, Stars, and the Changing Organization of Science: Evidence from Evolutionary Biology

Ajay Agrawal, John McHale and Alexander Oettl

19652: Crowding Out Redefined: The Role of Reserve Accumulation

Carmen Reinhart and Takeshi Tashiro

19651: Volatility and Pass-through

David Berger and Joseph Vavra

19650: Distilling the Macroeconomic News Flow

Alessandro Beber, Michael W. Brandt and Maurizio Luisi

19649: Dishonesty and Selection into Public Service

Rema Hanna and Shing-Yi Wang

19648: The Economics of China: Successes and Challenges

Shenggen Fan, Ravi Kanbur, Shang-Jin Wei and Xiaobo Zhang

19647: Patent Value and Citations: Creative Destruction or Strategic Disruption?

David Abrams, Ufuk Akcigit and Jillian Grennan

19646: Targeting ultra-poor households in Honduras and Peru

Dean Karlan and Bram Thuysbaert

19645: Reducing Moral Hazard in Employment Relationships: Experimental Evidence on Managerial Control and Performance Pay

C. Kirabo Jackson and Henry Schneider

19644: Can Negotiating a Uniform Carbon Price Help to Internalize the Global Warming Externality?

Martin Weitzman

19643: The Cost of Capital for Alternative Investments

Jakub W. Jurek and Erik Stafford

19642: The Financialization of Commodity Markets

Ing-Haw Cheng and Wei Xiong

19641: Ricardian Productivity Differences and the Gains from Trade

Andrei Levchenko and Jing Zhang

19640: Recall and Unemployment

Shigeru Fujita and Giuseppe Moscarini

19639: Enrollment in Medicare Advantage Plans in Miami-Dade County: Evidence of Status Quo Bias?

Anna D. Sinaiko, Christopher C. Afendulis and Richard G. Frank

19638: Macroeconomic Determinants of Retirement Timing

Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Jae Song and Dmitriy Stolyarov

19637: Price and Quality Dispersion in an Offshoring Market: Evidence from Semiconductor Production Services

David Byrne, Brian Kovak and Ryan Michaels

19636: Unintended Consequences of Transportation Carbon Policies: Land-Use, Emissions, and Innovation

Stephen Holland, Jonathan Hughes, Christopher Knittel and Nathan C. Parker

19635: The Effects of the Saving and Banking Glut on the U.S. Economy

Alejandro Justiniano, Giorgio Primiceri and Andrea Tambalotti

19634: Understanding Media Markets in the Digital Age: Economics and Methodology

Brett Danaher, Samita Dhanasobhon, Michael D. Smith and Rahul Telang

19633: Financing as a Supply Chain: The Capital Structure of Banks and Borrowers

William Gornall and Ilya Strebulaev

19632: Surprising Similarities: Recent Monetary Regimes of Small Economies

Andrew Rose

19631: When Ideas Trump Interests: Preferences, World Views, and Policy Innovations

Dani Rodrik

19630: Wait-and-See: Investment Options under Policy Uncertainty

Nancy L. Stokey

19629: Multiple Dimensions of Private Information in Life Insurance Markets

Xi Wu and Li Gan

19628: The Agricultural Productivity Gap

Douglas Gollin, David Lagakos and Michael Waugh

19627: The Consequences of Teenage Childbearing Before Roe v Wade

Kevin Lang and Russell Weinstein

19626: Enforcement and Immigrant Location Choice

Tara Watson

19625: Betting on Secession: Quantifying Political Events Surrounding Slavery and the Civil War

Charles Calomiris and Jonathan Pritchett

19624: The Evolving Geography of China's Industrial Production: Implications for Pollution Dynamics and Urban Quality of Life

Siqi Zheng, Cong Sun, Ye Qi and Matthew Kahn

19623: The Term Structure of Currency Carry Trade Risk Premia

Hanno Lustig, Andreas Stathopoulos and Adrien Verdelhan

19622: Moral Hazard and Economies of Scope in Physician Ownership of Complementary Medical Services

Brian K. Chen, Paul Gertler and Chuh-Yuh Yang

19621: The Impact of Headquarter and Subsidiary Locations on Multinationals' Effective Tax Rates

Kevin S. Markle and Douglas Shackelford

19620: Pollution Control Effort at China's River Borders: When Does Free Riding Cease?

Matthew Kahn, Pei Li and Daxuan Zhao

19619: Moral Hazard, Informed Trading, and Stock Prices

Pierre Collin-Dufresne and Vyacheslav Fos

19618: Economic Development, Flow of Funds and the Equilibrium Interaction of Financial Frictions

Benjamin Moll, Robert Townsend and Victor Zhorin

19617: Dynamic Financial Constraints: Distinguishing Mechanism Design from Exogenously Incomplete Regimes

Alexander Karaivanov and Robert Townsend

19616: Moving out of Agriculture: Structural Change in Vietnam

Brian McCaig and Nina Pavcnik

19615: Confucianism and Preferences: Evidence from Lab Experiments in Taiwan and China

Elaine Liu, Juanjuan Meng and Joseph Wang

19614: Why ask Why? Forward Causal Inference and Reverse Causal Questions

Andrew Gelman and Guido Imbens

19613: Pass-through of Emissions Costs in Electricity Markets

Natalia Fabra and Mar Reguant

19612: Valuing Private Equity

Morten Sorensen, Neng Wang and Jinqiang Yang

19611: Option Prices in a Model with Stochastic Disaster Risk

Sang Byung Seo and Jessica Wachter