The Costs of Sovereign Default: Evidence from Argentina

Benjamin Hebert and Jesse Schreger

No 22270, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: We estimate the causal effect of sovereign default on the equity returns of Argentine firms. We identify this effect by exploiting changes in the probability of Argentine sovereign default induced by legal rulings in the case of Republic of Argentina v. NML Capital. We find that a 10% increase in the probability of default causes a 6% decline in the value of Argentine equities and a 1% depreciation of a measure of the exchange rate. We examine the channels through which a sovereign default may affect the economy.

JEL-codes: F3 F4 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016-05
Note: AP EFG IFM
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (14)

Published as Benjamin Hébert & Jesse Schreger, 2017. "The Costs of Sovereign Default: Evidence from Argentina," American Economic Review, vol 107(10), pages 3119-3145.

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Related works:
Journal Article: The Costs of Sovereign Default: Evidence from Argentina (2017)
Working Paper: The Costs of Sovereign Default: Evidence from Argentina (2016)
Working Paper: The Costs of Sovereign Default: Evidence from Argentina (2015)
Working Paper: The Costs of Sovereign Default: Evidence from Argentina (2014)
Working Paper: The Costs of Sovereign Default: Evidence from Argentina (2014)
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