NBER Working Papers

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18910: Advertising Expensive Mortgages

Umit Gurun, Gregor Matvos and Amit Seru

18909: Reaching for Yield in the Bond Market

Bo Becker and Victoria Ivashina

18908: A Spatial Approach to Energy Economics

Juan Moreno-Cruz and M. Scott Taylor

18907: Financial Education and Choice in State Public Pension Systems

Julie Agnew and Joshua Hurwitz

18906: Informational Frictions and Commodity Markets

Michael Sockin and Wei Xiong

18905: Bubbles, Crises, and Heterogeneous Beliefs

Wei Xiong

18904: Wall Street and the Housing Bubble

Ing-Haw Cheng, Sahil Raina and Wei Xiong

18903: Indirect Incentives of Hedge Fund Managers

Jongha Lim, Berk A. Sensoy and Michael Weisbach

18902: Retirement Plan Type and Employee Mobility: The Role of Selection and Incentive Effects

Gopi Goda, Damon Jones and Colleen Flaherty Manchester

18901: The Great Reversal in the Demand for Skill and Cognitive Tasks

Paul Beaudry, David Green and Benjamin Sand

18900: Rethinking Elderly Poverty: Time for a Health Inclusive Poverty Measure?

Sanders Korenman and Dahlia Remler

18899: Political Credit Cycles: The Case of the Euro Zone

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Luis Garicano and Tano Santos

18898: Leakage, Welfare, and Cost-Effectiveness of Carbon Policy

Kathy Baylis, Don Fullerton and Daniel H. Karney

18897: Can a Unilateral Carbon Tax Reduce Emissions Elsewhere?

Joshua Elliott and Don Fullerton

18896: Trade Theory with Numbers: Quantifying the Consequences of Globalization

Arnaud Costinot and Andres Rodriguez-Clare

18895: Does "Skin in the Game" Reduce Risk Taking? Leverage, Liability and the Long-Run Consequences of New Deal Banking Reforms

Kris James Mitchener and Gary Richardson

18894: Can Amputation Save the Hospital? The Impact of the Medicare Rural Flexibility Program on Demand and Welfare

Gautam Gowrisankaran, Claudio Lucarelli, Philipp Schmidt-Dengler and Robert Town

18893: Boy-Girl Differences in Parental Time Investments: Evidence from Three Countries

Michael Baker and Kevin Milligan

18892: Credit Lines as Monitored Liquidity Insurance: Theory and Evidence

Viral Acharya, Heitor Almeida, Filippo Ippolito and Ander Perez

18891: Seeking Alpha: Excess Risk Taking and Competition for Managerial Talent

Viral Acharya, Marco Pagano and Paolo Volpin

18890: How Much do Idiosyncratic Bank Shocks Affect Investment? Evidence from Matched Bank-Firm Loan Data

Mary Amiti and David Weinstein

18889: The Impact of Chicago's Small High School Initiative

Lisa Barrow, Amy Claessens and Diane Schanzenbach

18888: Shifting Mandates: The Federal Reserve's First Centennial

Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff

18887: Effects of Welfare Reform on Women's Crime

Hope Corman, Dhaval Dave and Nancy E. Reichman

18886: Smokescreen: How Managers Behave When They Have Something To Hide

Tanja Artiga Gonzalez, Markus Schmid and David Yermack

18885: Migration and Wage Effects of Taxing Top Earners: Evidence from the Foreigners' Tax Scheme in Denmark

Henrik Jacobsen Kleven, Camille Landais, Emmanuel Saez and Esben Anton Schultz

18884: The Impact of City Contracting Set-Asides on Black Self-Employment and Employment

Aaron K. Chatterji, Kenneth Chay and Robert Fairlie

18883: Trickle-Down Consumption

Marianne Bertrand and Adair Morse

18882: Learning about CEO Ability and Stock Return Volatility

Yihui Pan, Tracy Yue Wang and Michael Weisbach

18881: Sales Force and Competition in Financial Product Markets: The Case Of Mexico’s Social Security Privatization

Justine Hastings, Ali Hortacsu and Chad Syverson

18880: Unemloyment and Unobserved Credit Risk in the FHA Single Family Mortgage Insurance Fund

Joseph Gyourko and Joseph Tracy

18879: Why do emerging markets liberalize capital outflow controls? Fiscal versus net capital flow concerns

Joshua Aizenman and Gurnain Pasricha

18878: Uncertainty and Sentiment-Driven Equilibria

Jess Benhabib, Pengfei Wang and Yi Wen

18877: Fiscal Limits and Monetary Policy

Eric Leeper

18876: Something in the Water: Contaminated Drinking Water and Infant Health

Janet Currie, Joshua Graff Zivin, Katherine Meckel, Matthew Neidell and Wolfram Schlenker

18875: Mergers When Prices are Negotiated: Evidence from the Hospital Industry

Gautam Gowrisankaran, Aviv Nevo and Robert Town

18874: From Boom to Bust: A Typology of Real Commodity Prices in the Long Run

David Jacks

18873: Biofuels, Binding Constraints and Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility

Philip Abbott

18872: Incentivizing China's Urban Mayors to Mitigate Pollution Externalities: The Role of the Central Government and Public Environmentalism

Siqi Zheng, Matthew Kahn, Weizeng Sun and Danglun Luo

18871: Does Working from Home Work? Evidence from a Chinese Experiment

Nicholas Bloom, James Liang, John Roberts and Zhichun Jenny Ying

18870: Measuring Uncertainty about Long-Run Prediction

Ulrich Mueller and Mark Watson

18869: Disability, Earnings, Income and Consumption

Bruce Meyer and Wallace K C Mok

18868: House Prices, Collateral and Self-Employment

Manuel Adelino, Antoinette Schoar and Felipe Severino

18867: Financial Development and the Choice of Trade Partners

Man Lung Chan and Kalina Manova

18866: On Returns Differentials

Stephanie E. Curcuru, Charles Thomas and Francis Warnock

18865: How Elastic Are Preferences for Redistribution? Evidence from Randomized Survey Experiments

Ilyana Kuziemko, Michael I. Norton, Emmanuel Saez and Stefanie Stantcheva

18864: Speculative Runs on Interest Rate Pegs

Marco Bassetto and Christopher Phelan

18863: The Effect of Deceptive Advertising on Consumption of the Advertised Good and its Substitutes: The Case of Over-the-Counter Weight Loss Products

John Cawley, Rosemary Avery and Matthew Eisenberg

18862: When Is Prevention More Profitable than Cure? The Impact of Time-Varying Consumer Heterogeneity

Michael Kremer and Christopher Snyder

18861: What do we Really Know about Food Security?

Carlo Cafiero

18860: Are Sticky Prices Costly? Evidence From The Stock Market

Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber

18859: What Are We Weighting For?

Gary Solon, Steven Haider and Jeffrey Wooldridge

18858: Physical Activity and Health

Gregory Colman and Dhaval Dave

18857: Banks' Exposure to Interest Rate Risk and The Transmission of Monetary Policy

Augustin Landier, David Sraer and David Thesmar

18856: Aging and Pension Reform: Extending the Retirement Age and Human Capital Formation

Edgar Vogel, Alexander Ludwig and Axel Börsch-Supan

18855: Empirical Research on Sovereign Debt and Default

Michael Tomz and Mark Wright

18854: Patent Rights, Product Market Reforms, and Innovation

Philippe Aghion, Peter Howitt and Susanne Prantl

18853: How do Hospitals Respond to Negative Financial Shocks? The Impact of the 2008 Stock Market Crash

David Dranove, Craig Garthwaite and Christopher Ody

18852: The 1920s American Real Estate Boom and the Downturn of the Great Depression: Evidence from City Cross Sections

Michael Brocker and Christopher Hanes

18851: Domestic Institutions as a Source of Comparative Advantage

Nathan Nunn and Daniel Trefler

18850: A Dynamic Model of Subprime Mortgage Default: Estimation and Policy Implications

Patrick Bajari, Chenghuan Sean Chu, Denis Nekipelov and Minjung Park

18849: The Welfare Impact of Indirect Pigouvian Taxation: Evidence from Transportation

Christopher Knittel and Ryan Sandler

18848: Does Sorting Students Improve Scores? An Analysis of Class Composition

Courtney A. Collins and Li Gan

18847: Group Lending with Heterogeneous Types

Li Gan, Manuel Hernandez and Yanyan Liu

18846: The Effects of Poor Neonatal Health on Children's Cognitive Development

David Figlio, Jonathan Guryan, Krzysztof Karbownik and Jeffrey Roth

18845: 'Those Who Know Most': Insider Trading in 18th c. Amsterdam

Peter Koudijs

18844: Conditional Risk Premia in Currency Markets and Other Asset Classes

Martin Lettau, Matteo Maggiori and Michael Weber

18843: Asset Quality Misrepresentation by Financial Intermediaries: Evidence from RMBS Market

Tomasz Piskorski, Amit Seru and James Witkin

18842: Incomplete Contracts and the Internal Organization of Firms

Philippe Aghion, Nicholas Bloom and John van Reenen

18841: Firm Size Distortions and the Productivity Distribution: Evidence from France

Luis Garicano, Claire Lelarge and John van Reenen

18840: Do Acquisitions Relieve Target Firms' Financial Constraints?

Isil Erel, Yeejin Jang and Michael Weisbach

18839: Nation-Building and Education

Alberto Alesina, Paola Giuliano and Bryony Reich

18838: Bounding the Effects of Social Experiments: Accounting for Attrition in Administrative Data

Jeffrey Grogger

18837: Fire-sale FDI or Business as Usual?

Ron Alquist, Rahul Mukherjee and Linda Tesar

18836: Growth Options and Firm Valuation

Holger Kraft, Eduardo S. Schwartz and Farina Weiss

18835: Generalized Social Marginal Welfare Weights for Optimal Tax Theory

Emmanuel Saez and Stefanie Stantcheva

18834: Lawyers as Agents of the Devil in a Prisoner's Dilemma Game: Evidence from Long Run Play

Orley Ashenfelter, David Bloom and Gordon Dahl

18833: Estimating the Impact of Means-tested Subsidies under Treatment Externalities with Application to Anti-Malarial Bednets

Debopam Bhattacharya, Pascaline Dupas and Shin Kanaya

18832: Career Progression, Economic Downturns, and Skills

Jerome Adda, Christian Dustmann, Costas Meghir and Jean-Marc Robin

18831: The boats that did not sail: Asset Price Volatility and Market Efficiency in a Natural Experiment

Peter Koudijs

18830: Effects of Pharmaceutical Promotion: A Review and Assessment

Dhaval Dave

18829: International Prices and Exchange Rates

Ariel Burstein and Gita Gopinath

18828: Not Just the Great Contraction: Friedman and Schwartz's A Monetary History of the United States 1867 to 1960

Michael Bordo and Hugh Rockoff

18827: Immigrant Group Size and Political Mobilization: Evidence from European Migration to the United States

Allison Shertzer

18826: Aggregate Demand, Idle Time, and Unemployment

Pascal Michaillat and Emmanuel Saez

18825: A Nation Of Gamblers: Real Estate Speculation And American History

Edward Glaeser

18824: What Do We Learn From Schumpeterian Growth Theory?

Philippe Aghion, Ufuk Akcigit and Peter Howitt

18823: The Impact of Cartelization, Money, and Productivity Shocks on the International Great Depression

Harold Cole and Lee Ohanian

18822: In the Name of the Son (and the Daughter): Intergenerational Mobility in the United States, 1850-1930

Claudia Olivetti and M. Daniele Paserman

18821: Did Housing Policies Cause the Postwar Boom in Homeownership?

Matthew Chambers, Carlos Garriga and Don Schlagenhauf

18820: Estimating the Effect of Salience in Wholesale and Retail Car Markets

Meghan R. Busse, Nicola Lacetera, Devin Pope, Jorge Silva-Risso and Justin R. Sydnor

18819: Market Potential and the Rise of US Productivity Leadership

Dan Liu and Christopher Meissner

18818: Home Computers and Child Outcomes: Short-Term Impacts from a Randomized Experiment in Peru

Diether Beuermann, Julian Cristia, Yyannu Cruz-Aguayo, Santiago Cueto and Ofer Malamud

18817: Heterogeneous Economic Returns to Postsecondary Degrees: Evidence from Chile

Loreto Reyes, Jorge Rodríguez and Sergio Urzua

18816: Fluctuations in Weekly Hours and Total Hours Worked Over the Past 90 Years and the Importance of Changes in Federal Policy Toward Job Sharing

Todd Neumann, Jason Taylor and Price Fishback

18815: The Effect of Police on Crime: New Evidence from U.S. Cities, 1960-2010

Aaron Chalfin and Justin McCrary

18814: Capital Flows, Credit Booms, and Financial Crises in the Classical Gold Standard Era

Christopher Meissner

18813: Married to Intolerance: Attitudes towards Intermarriage in Germany, 1900-2006

Nico Voigtländer and Hans-Joachim Voth

18812: Estimating Benefits from University-Level Diversity

Barbara Wolfe and Jason Fletcher

18811: Understanding Long-run Price Dispersion

Mario Crucini and Hakan Yilmazkuday