NBER Working Papers

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19340: Optimal Primaries

Patrick Hummel and Richard Holden

19339: Global Imbalances and Structural Change in the United States

Timothy Kehoe, Kim Ruhl and Joseph Steinberg

19338: Carbon Taxes vs. Cap and Trade: A Critical Review

Lawrence H. Goulder and Andrew Schein

19337: The Impact of the Federal Reserve's Large-Scale Asset Purchase Programs on Corporate Credit Risk

Simon Gilchrist and Egon Zakrajšek

19336: Exchange Rates and Interest Parity

Charles Engel

19335: The Economic Impact of Non-Communicable Disease in China and India: Estimates, Projections, and Comparisons

David Bloom, Elizabeth T. Cafiero, Mark McGovern, Klaus Prettner, Anderson Stanciole, Jonathan Weiss, Samuel Bakkila and Larry Rosenberg

19334: Forecasting Profitability

Mark Rosenzweig and Christopher Udry

19333: Hospital Choices, Hospital Prices and Financial Incentives to Physicians

Kate Ho and Ariel Pakes

19332: To Give or Not to Give: The Price of Contributing and the Provision of Public Goods

Johannes Diederich and Timo Goeschl

19331: Leaving Boys Behind: Gender Disparities in High Academic Achievement

Nicole Fortin, Philip Oreopoulos and Shelley Phipps

19330: CEO Investment Cycles

Yihui Pan, Tracy Yue Wang and Michael Weisbach

19329: Happiness, Behavioral Economics, and Public Policy

Arik Levinson

19328: Making Do With Less: Working Harder During Recessions

Edward Lazear, Kathryn Shaw and Christopher Stanton

19327: Investment, Tobin's q, and Interest Rates

Xiaoji Lin, Chong Wang, Neng Wang and Jinqiang Yang

19326: Smolyak Method for Solving Dynamic Economic Models: Lagrange Interpolation, Anisotropic Grid and Adaptive Domain

Kenneth Judd, Lilia Maliar, Serguei Maliar and Rafael Valero

19325: Carry

Ralph Koijen, Tobias J. Moskowitz, Lasse Pedersen and Evert Vrugt

19324: Costly Labor Adjustment: General Equilibrium Effects of China's Employment Regulations

Russell Cooper, Guan Gong and Ping Yan

19323: Leverage and the Foreclosure Crisis

P. Dean Corbae and Erwan Quintin

19322: Shelter from the Storm: Upgrading Housing Infrastructure in Latin American Slums

Sebastian Galiani, Paul Gertler, Ryan Cooper, Sebastian Martinez, Adam Ross and Raimundo Undurraga

19321: Autocracy, Democracy and Trade Policy

Sebastian Galiani and Gustavo Torrens

19320: Physician Beliefs and Patient Preferences: A New Look at Regional Variation in Health Care Spending

David Cutler, Jonathan Skinner, Ariel Dora Stern and David Wennberg

19319: Optimal Consumption and Savings with Stochastic Income and Recursive Utility

Chong Wang, Neng Wang and Jinqiang Yang

19318: Behavioral Implications of Rational Inattention with Shannon Entropy

Andrew Caplin and Mark Dean

19317: Optimality and Equilibrium In a Competitive Insurance Market Under Adverse Selection and Moral Hazard

Joseph Stiglitz and Jungyoll Yun

19316: Measuring Investment in Human Capital Formation: An Experimental Analysis of Early Life Outcomes

Orla Doyle, Colm Harmon, James Heckman, Caitriona Logue and Seong Moon

19315: Immigrants' and Native Workers: New Analysis on Longitudinal Data

Mette Foged and Giovanni Peri

19314: Econometric Mediation Analyses: Identifying the Sources of Treatment Effects from Experimentally Estimated Production Technologies with Unmeasured and Mismeasured Inputs

James Heckman and Rodrigo Pinto

19313: A Theory of Macroprudential Policies in the Presence of Nominal Rigidities

Emmanuel Farhi and Iván Werning

19312: Keeping the Doctor Away: Experimental Evidence on Investment in Preventative Health Products

Jennifer M. Meredith, Jonathan Robinson, Sarah Walker and Bruce Wydick

19311: If My Blood Pressure Is High, Do I Take It To Heart? Behavioral Impacts of Biomarker Collection in the Health and Retirement Study

Ryan Edwards

19310: Do Firms Use Coupons and In-store Discounts to Strategically Market Experience Goods Over the Consumption Life-Cycle? The Case of Cigarettes

Andrew Sfekas and Dean R. Lillard

19309: Asset Pricing in the Dark: The Cross Section of OTC Stocks

Andrew Ang, Assaf A. Shtauber and Paul C. Tetlock

19308: Firm Performance in a Global Market

Jan De Loecker and Pinelopi Goldberg

19307: Oblivious Equilibrium for Concentrated Industries

C. Lanier Benkard, Przemyslaw Jeziorski and Gabriel Y. Weintraub

19306: Looking Beyond Enrollment: The Causal Effect of Need-Based Grants on College Access, Persistence, and Graduation

Ben Castleman and Bridget Long

19305: Cycling to School: Increasing Secondary School Enrollment for Girls in India

Karthik Muralidharan and Nishith Prakash

19304: The Inter-generational and Social Transmission of Cultural Traits: Theory and Evidence from Smoking Behavior

Rebekka Christopoulou, Ahmed Jaber and Dean R. Lillard

19303: The Incentive Effect of Scores: Randomized Evidence from Credit Committees

Daniel Paravisini and Antoinette Schoar

19302: Assessing the Effects of Medical Marijuana Laws on Marijuana and Alcohol Use: The Devil is in the Details

Rosalie Pacula, David Powell, Paul Heaton and Eric L. Sevigny

19301: One Ring to Rule Them All? Globalization of Knowledge and Knowledge Creation

Richard Freeman

19300: Combining Banking with Private Equity Investing

Lily Fang, Victoria Ivashina and Josh Lerner

19299: The Disintermediation of Financial Markets: Direct Investing in Private Equity

Lily Fang, Victoria Ivashina and Josh Lerner

19298: The U.S. Market for Higher Education: A General Equilibrium Analysis of State and Private Colleges and Public Funding Policies

Dennis Epple, Richard Romano, Sinan Sarpça and Holger Sieg

19297: Crunch Time: Fiscal Crises and the Role of Monetary Policy

David Greenlaw, James Hamilton, Peter Hooper and Frederic Mishkin

19296: Credit Crunches and Credit Allocation in a Model of Entrepreneurship

Marco Bassetto, Marco Cagetti and Mariacristina De Nardi

19295: Who Says Yes When the Headhunter Calls? Understanding Executive Job Search Behavior

Peter Cappelli and Monika Hamori

19294: State Incentives for Innovation, Star Scientists and Jobs: Evidence from Biotech

Enrico Moretti and Daniel Wilson

19293: Local Economic Development, Agglomeration Economies, and the Big Push: 100 Years of Evidence from the Tennessee Valley Authority

Patrick Kline and Enrico Moretti

19292: The Federal Reserve and Financial Regulation: The First Hundred Years

Gary Gorton and Andrew Metrick

19291: Roads and the Real Exchange Rate

Qingyuan Du, Shang-Jin Wei and Peichu Xie

19290: Regression Discontinuity and the Price Effects of Stock Market Indexing

Yen-Cheng Chang, Harrison Hong and Inessa Liskovich

19289: Using Field Experiments in Environmental and Resource Economics

John List and Michael Price

19288: The Portuguese Slump and Crash and the Euro Crisis

Ricardo Reis

19287: Recessions, Healthy No More?

Christopher Ruhm

19286: The Determinants of Mismatch Between Students and Colleges

Eleanor Dillon and Jeffrey Smith

19285: The Gravity Equation in International Trade: An Explanation

Thomas Chaney

19284: Time Varying Risk Aversion

Luigi Guiso, Paola Sapienza and Luigi Zingales

19283: New Evidence on Taxes and the Timing of Birth

Sara LaLumia, James Sallee and Nick Turner

19282: Migration and Fiscal Competition within a Union

Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka

19281: Early Retirement Incentives and Student Achievement

Maria Fitzpatrick and Michael Lovenheim

19280: International Health Economics

Mark Egan and Tomas Philipson

19279: You Get What You Pay For: Schooling Incentives and Child Labor

Eric Edmonds and Maheshwor Shrestha

19278: Government Debt and Banking Fragility: The Spreading of Strategic Uncertainty

Russell Cooper and Kalin Nikolov

19277: Are Women More Attracted to Cooperation Than Men?

Peter Kuhn and Marie Claire Villeval

19276: Smart and Illicit: Who Becomes an Entrepreneur and Do They Earn More?

Ross Levine and Yona Rubinstein

19275: Stand and Deliver: Effects of Boston's Charter High Schools on College Preparation, Entry, and Choice

Joshua Angrist, Sarah Cohodes, Susan Dynarski, Parag Pathak and Christopher Walters

19274: Spousal Effects in Smoking Cessation: Matching, Learning, or Bargaining?

Kerry Anne McGeary

19273: Allocative Efficiency, Mark-ups, and the Welfare Gains from Trade

Thomas Holmes, Wen-Tai Hsu and Sanghoon Lee

19272: Immigrants Equilibrate Local Labor Markets: Evidence from the Great Recession

Brian Cadena and Brian Kovak

19271: Distributional Effects of a School Voucher Program: Evidence from New York City

Marianne Bitler, Thurston Domina, Emily K. Penner and Hilary Hoynes

19270: Neural Activity Reveals Preferences Without Choices

Alec Smith, B. Douglas Bernheim, Colin Camerer and Antonio Rangel

19269: Non-Choice Evaluations Predict Behavioral Responses to Changes in Economic Conditions

B. Douglas Bernheim, Daniel Björkegren, Jeffrey Naecker and Antonio Rangel

19268: Evidence for Significant Compression of Morbidity In the Elderly U.S. Population

David Cutler, Kaushik Ghosh and Mary Beth Landrum

19267: The Natural Rate Hypothesis: An idea past its sell-by date

Roger Farmer

19266: Predation, Taxation, Investment and Violence: Evidence from the Philippines

Eli Berman, Joseph Felter, Ethan Kapstein and Erin Troland

19265: Unemployment and Business Cycles

Lawrence Christiano, Martin Eichenbaum and Mathias Trabandt

19264: Daily Needs, Income Targets and Labor Supply: Evidence from Kenya

Pascaline Dupas and Jonathan Robinson

19263: Barriers to Health and the Poverty Trap

Yin-Chi Wang and Ping Wang

19262: Effects of the Minimum Wage on Employment Dynamics

Jonathan Meer and Jeremy West

19261: Unethical Culture, Suspect CEOs and Corporate Misbehavior

Lee Biggerstaff, David C. Cicero and Andy Puckett

19260: High Frequency Identification of Monetary Non-Neutrality: The Information Effect

Emi Nakamura and Jon Steinsson

19259: Truth-telling by Third-party Auditors and the Response of Polluting Firms: Experimental Evidence from India

Esther Duflo, Michael Greenstone, Rohini Pande and Nicholas Ryan

19258: Environmental Protection, Rare Disasters, and Discount Rates

Robert Barro

19257: Regulatory reform and risk-taking: replacing ratings

Bo Becker and Marcus Opp

19256: How Important can the Non-Violation Clause be for the GATT/WTO?

Robert Staiger and Alan O. Sykes

19255: The Next Generation of the Penn World Table

Robert Feenstra, Robert Inklaar and Marcel Timmer

19254: How Does China's New Labor Contract Law Affect Floating Workers?

Richard Freeman and Xiaoying Li

19253: Off-Balance-Sheet Federal Liabilities

James Hamilton

19252: Patents in the University: Priming the Pump and Crowding Out

Suzanne Scotchmer

19251: Competition in the Audit Market: Policy Implications

Joseph J. Gerakos and Chad Syverson

19250: Overconfidence in Political Behavior

Pietro Ortoleva and Erik Snowberg

19249: Quid Pro Quo: Technology Capital Transfers for Market Access in China

Thomas Holmes, Ellen McGrattan and Edward Prescott

19248: Macroeconomic Dynamics Near the ZLB: A Tale of Two Countries

S. Boragan Aruoba, Pablo Cuba-Borda and Frank Schorfheide

19247: Physician Agency and Competition: Evidence from a Major Change to Medicare Chemotherapy Reimbursement Policy

Mireille Jacobson, Tom Y. Chang, Joseph Newhouse and M.D. Craig C. Earle

19246: Waves in Ship Prices and Investment

Robin Greenwood and Samuel Hanson

19245: Disease Control, Demographic Change and Institutional Development in Africa

Margaret McMillan, William Masters and Harounan Kazianga

19244: Climate Change Policy: What Do the Models Tell Us?

Robert Pindyck

19243: The Black-White Education-Scaled Test-Score Gap in Grades K-7

Timothy Bond and Kevin Lang

19242: Physicians Treating Physicians: Information and Incentives in Childbirth

Erin M. Johnson and M. Rehavi

19241: Are Some Degrees Worth More than Others? Evidence from college admission cutoffs in Chile

Justine Hastings, Christopher Neilson and Seth Zimmerman