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NBER Working Papers

From National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A..
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27262: Simplified Electricity Market Models with Significant Intermittent Renewable Capacity: Evidence from Italy Downloads
Christoph Graf, Federico Quaglia and Frank A. Wolak
27261: Building Better Retirement Systems in the Wake of the Global Pandemic Downloads
Olivia Mitchell
27260: An Experimental Comparison of Carbon Pricing Under Uncertainty in Electricity Markets Downloads
Trevor L. Davis, Mark C. Thurber and Frank A. Wolak
27259: Measuring the Spatial Distribution of Health Rankings in the United States Downloads
Will Davis, Zander Gordan and Rusty Tchernis
27258: Bank Market Power and Monetary Policy Transmission: Evidence from a Structural Estimation Downloads
Yifei Wang, Toni Whited, Yufeng Wu and Kairong Xiao
27257: Robust Identification of Investor Beliefs Downloads
Xiaohong Chen, Lars Hansen and Peter G. Hansen
27256: Banks as Lenders of First Resort: Evidence from the COVID-19 Crisis Downloads
Lei Li, Philip E. Strahan and Song Zhang
27255: Retaliatory Use of Public Standards in Trade Downloads
Kjersti Nes and K Aleks Schaefer
27254: Transportation Infrastructure in the US Downloads
Gilles Duranton, Geetika Nagpal and Matthew Turner
27253: Competition Laws and Corporate Innovation Downloads
Ross Levine, Chen Lin, Lai Wei and Wensi Xie
27252: Are Trade Agreements Good For You? Downloads
Giovanni Maggi and Ralph Ossa
27251: Cost Saving and the Freezing of Corporate Pension Plans Downloads
Joshua Rauh, Irina Stefanescu and Stephen Zeldes
27250: Research Registries: Facts, Myths, and Possible Improvements Downloads
Eliot Abrams, Jonathan Libgober and John List
27249: COVID-19 and Implications for Automation Downloads
Alex Chernoff and Casey Warman
27248: Panel Forecasts of Country-Level Covid-19 Infections Downloads
Laura Liu, Hyungsik Roger Moon and Frank Schorfheide
27247: A Unifying Approach to Measuring Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Downloads
Antonio Bento, Noah S. Miller, Mehreen Mookerjee and Edson Severnini
27246: The Impacts of COVID-19 on Minority Unemployment: First Evidence from April 2020 CPS Microdata Downloads
Robert Fairlie, Kenneth Couch and Huanan Xu
27245: Fatalism, Beliefs, and Behaviors During the COVID-19 Pandemic Downloads
Jesper Akesson, Sam Ashworth-Hayes, Robert Hahn, Robert Metcalfe and Itzhak Rasooly
27244: Reopening Scenarios Downloads
David Baqaee, Emmanuel Farhi, Michael J. Mina and James Stock
27243: The Adverse Effect of the COVID-19 Labor Market Shock on Immigrant Employment Downloads
George Borjas and Hugh Cassidy
27242: Sufficient Statistics Revisited Downloads
Henrik Kleven
27241: Human Capital Investment in the Presence of Child Labor Downloads
Natalie Bau, Martin Rotemberg, Manisha Shah and Bryce Steinberg
27240: Persistent Effects of Violent Media Content Downloads
Jason Lindo, Isaac D. Swensen and Glen Waddell
27239: DEglobalizaion and Social Safety Nets in Post-Covid-19 Era: Textbook Macroeconomic Analysis Downloads
Assaf Razin, Efraim Sadka and Alexander Schwemmer
27238: The Seeds of Ideology: Historical Immigration and Political Preferences in the United States Downloads
Paola Giuliano and Marco Tabellini
27237: The Persuasive Effect of Fox News: Non-Compliance with Social Distancing During the Covid-19 Pandemic Downloads
Andrey Simonov, Szymon Sacher, Jean-Pierre H. Dubé and Shirsho Biswas
27236: Mobility Zones Downloads
Ferdinando Monte
27235: Impacts of State Reopening Policy on Human Mobility Downloads
Thuy D. Nguyen, Sumedha Gupta, Martin Andersen, Ana Bento, Kosali Simon and Coady Wing
27234: Why Has the US Economy Recovered So Consistently from Every Recession in the Past 70 Years? Downloads
Robert Hall and Marianna Kudlyak
27233: Three Myths about Federal Regulation Downloads
Patrick A. McLaughlin and Casey Mulligan
27232: The Hammer and the Scalpel: On the Economics of Indiscriminate versus Targeted Isolation Policies during Pandemics Downloads
Varadarajan Chari, Rishabh Kirpalani and Christopher Phelan
27231: The Term Structure of Covered Interest Rate Parity Violations Downloads
Patrick Augustin, Mikhail Chernov, Lukas Schmid and Dongho Song
27230: Spatial Misallocation in Chinese Housing and Land Markets Downloads
Yongheng Deng, Yang Tang, Ping Wang and Jing Wu
27229: Were Urban Cowboys Enough to Control COVID-19? Local Shelter-in-Place Orders and Coronavirus Case Growth Downloads
Dhaval Dave, Andrew Friedson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, Joseph J. Sabia and Samuel Safford
27228: The Macroeconomics of a Pandemic: A Minimalist Model Downloads
Luis Cespedes, Roberto Chang and Andrés Velasco
27227: Necessary Evidence For A Risk Factor’s Relevance Downloads
Alexander M. Chinco, Samuel M. Hartzmark and Abigail B. Sussman
27226: Bounding the Predictive Values of COVID-19 Antibody Tests Downloads
Charles Manski
27225: Deputization Downloads
Bruce I. Carlin, Tarik Umar and Hanyi Yi
27224: Global Supply Chains in the Pandemic Downloads
Barthélémy Bonadio, Zhen Huo, Andrei Levchenko and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar
27223: Voluntary Regulation: Evidence from Medicare Payment Reform Downloads
Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, Yunan Ji and Neale Mahoney
27222: Tokenomics: Dynamic Adoption and Valuation Downloads
Lin Cong, Ye Li and Neng Wang
27221: When is Debt Odious? A Theory of Repression and Growth Traps Downloads
Viral Acharya, Raghuram Rajan and Jack Shim
27220: The Cost of Privacy: Welfare Effects of the Disclosure of COVID-19 Cases Downloads
David Argente, Chang-Tai Hsieh and Munseob Lee
27219: Global Comparatives Statics in General Equilibrium: Model Building from Theoretical Foundations Downloads
James Markusen
27218: Implications of Stochastic Transmission Rates for Managing Pandemic Risks Downloads
Harrison Hong, Neng Wang and Jinqiang Yang
27217: The Long-Term Cognitive and Schooling Effects of Childhood Vaccinations in China Downloads
Hamid R. Oskorouchi, Alfonso Sousa-Poza and David Bloom
27216: US Unemployment Insurance Replacement Rates During the Pandemic Downloads
Peter Ganong, Pascal J. Noel and Joseph Vavra
27215: The Economics of Urban Density Downloads
Gilles Duranton and Diego Puga
27214: Cyclical Lending Standards: A Structural Analysis Downloads
Kaiji Chen, Patrick Higgins and Tao Zha
27213: In Search of Distress Risk in Emerging Markets Downloads
Gonzalo Asis, Anusha Chari and Adam Haas
27212: Financing Vaccines for Global Health Security Downloads
Jonathan T. Vu, Benjamin K. Kaplan, Shomesh Chaudhuri, Monique K. Mansoura and Andrew Lo
27211: Heterogeneous Actions, Beliefs, Constraints and Risk Tolerance During the COVID-19 Pandemic Downloads
Ying Fan, Yesim Orhun and Dana Turjeman
27210: Collateralized Marriage Downloads
Jeanne Lafortune and Corinne Low
27209: Housing Search Frictions: Evidence from Detailed Search Data and a Field Experiment Downloads
Peter Bergman, Eric W. Chan and Adam Kapor
27208: Corporate Hiring under COVID-19: Labor Market Concentration, Downskilling, and Income Inequality Downloads
Murillo Campello, Gaurav Kankanhalli and Pradeep Muthukrishnan
27207: Can the Covid Bailouts Save the Economy? Downloads
Vadim Elenev, Tim Landvoigt and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh
27206: Innovation, Growth and Structural Change in American Agriculture Downloads
Julian Alston and Philip Pardey
27205: Do Environmental Markets Cause Environmental Injustice? Evidence from California's Carbon Market Downloads
Danae Hernandez-Cortes and Kyle Meng
27204: Cigarette Taxes and Smoking in the Long Run Downloads
Andrew Friedson and Daniel Rees
27203: Patents, Innovation, and Development Downloads
Bronwyn Hall
27202: Modeling the Impacts of Agricultural Support Policies on Emissions from Agriculture Downloads
David Laborde Debucquet, Abdullah Mamun, Will Martin, Valeria Pineiro and Robert Vos
27201: Urbanization in the Developing World: Too Early or Too Slow? Downloads
J. Vernon Henderson and Matthew Turner
27200: Can the World’s Poor Protect Themselves from the New Coronavirus? Downloads
Caitlin Brown, Martin Ravallion and Dominique van de Walle
27199: Foreign Exchange Order Flow as a Risk Factor Downloads
Craig Burnside, Mario Cerrato and Zhekai Zhang
27198: Identification of Time-Inconsistent Models: The Case of Insecticide Treated Nets Downloads
Aprajit Mahajan, Christian Michel and Alessandro Tarozzi
27197: Correcting Estimates of Electric Vehicle Emissions Abatement: Implications for Climate Policy Downloads
Erich Muehlegger and David Rapson
27196: Males at the Tails: How Socioeconomic Status Shapes the Gender Gap Downloads
David Autor, David Figlio, Krzysztof Karbownik, Jeffrey Roth and Melanie Wasserman
27195: Interest Rates and the Design of Financial Contracts Downloads
Michael Roberts and Michael Schwert
27194: Issue Salience and Political Stereotypes Downloads
Pedro Bordalo, Marco Tabellini and David Yang
27193: The Declining Worker Power Hypothesis: An explanation for the recent evolution of the American economy Downloads
Anna Stansbury and Lawrence Summers
27192: Language Barriers, Technology Adoption and Productivity: Evidence from Agriculture in India Downloads
Apoorv Gupta, Jacopo Ponticelli and Andrea Tesei
27191: COVID-19 and Emerging Markets: A SIR Model, Demand Shocks and Capital Flows Downloads
Cem Çakmaklı, Selva Demiralp, Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, Sevcan Yesiltas and Muhammed A. Yildirim
27190: How Sticky is Retirement Behavior in the U.S.? Responses to Changes in the Full Retirement Age Downloads
ManasI Deshpande, Itzik Fadlon and Colin Gray
27189: Trust and Insurance Contracts Downloads
Nicola Gennaioli, Rafael La Porta, Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shleifer
27188: Public Procurement in Law and Practice Downloads
Erica Bosio, Simeon Djankov, Edward Glaeser and Andrei Shleifer
27187: The Relationship between In-Person Voting and COVID-19: Evidence from the Wisconsin Primary Downloads
Chad Cotti, Bryan Engelhardt, Joshua Foster, Erik Nesson and Paul S. Niekamp
27186: Confidence Management in Tournaments Downloads
Shanglyu Deng, Hanming Fang, Qiang Fu and Zenan Wu
27185: Accounting for Global COVID-19 Diffusion Patterns, January-April 2020 Downloads
Yothin Jinjarak, Rashad Ahmed, Sameer Nair-Desai, Weining Xin and Joshua Aizenman
27184: The Size and Life-cycle Growth of Plants: The Role of Productivity, Demand and Wedges Downloads
Marcela Eslava and John Haltiwanger
27183: Launching with a Parachute: The Gig Economy and New Business Formation Downloads
John Barrios, Yael V. Hochberg and Hanyi Yi
27182: Latent Dirichlet Analysis of Categorical Survey Expectations Downloads
Evan M. Munro and Serena Ng
27181: Innovation in the U.S. Government Downloads
Joshua R. Bruce and John M. de Figueiredo
27180: The Incidence of Foreign Market Accessibility on Farmland Rental Rates Downloads
Jisang Yu, Nelson Villoria and Nathan Hendricks
27179: Savings and Saving Rates: Up or Down? Downloads
Guillermo Ordonez and Facundo Piguillem
27178: Deliberate Surrender? The Impact of Interwar Indian Protection Downloads
Vellore Arthi, Markus Lampe, Ashwin R Nair and Kevin O'Rourke
27177: The Economic Impact of Access to Public Four-Year Colleges Downloads
Jonathan Smith, Joshua Goodman and Michael Hurwitz
27176: Estimating Probabilities of Success of Vaccine and Other Anti-Infective Therapeutic Development Programs Downloads
Andrew Lo, Kien Wei Siah and Chi Heem Wong
27175: Bayesian Adaptive Clinical Trials for Anti‐Infective Therapeutics during Epidemic Outbreaks Downloads
Shomesh Chaudhuri, Andrew Lo, Danying Xiao and Qingyang Xu
27174: The Influence of Early Life Health Conditions on Life Course Health Downloads
Manuel Flores and Barbara Wolfe
27173: Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Outpatient Providers in the US Downloads
Pinka Chatterji and Yue Li
27172: Optimal Contracting with Altruistic Agents: A Structural Model of Medicare Payments for Dialysis Drugs Downloads
Martin Gaynor, Nirav Mehta and Seth Richards-Shubik
27171: China's Model of Managing the Financial System Downloads
Markus Brunnermeier, Michael Sockin and Wei Xiong
27170: The Accumulation of Human and Market Capital in the United States: The Long View, 1948–2013 Downloads
Barbara M. Fraumeni, Michael S. Christian and Jon D. Samuels
27169: The Contribution of Chinese Diaspora Researchers to Global Science and China's Catching Up in Scientific Research Downloads
Qingnan Xie and Richard Freeman
27168: When Selling Becomes Viral: Disruptions in Debt Markets in the COVID-19 Crisis and the Fed’s Response Downloads
Valentin Haddad, Alan Moreira and Tyler Muir
27167: Using Disasters to Estimate the Impact of Uncertainty Downloads
Scott Baker, Nicholas Bloom and Stephen Terry
27166: Reopening Under COVID-19: What to Watch For Downloads
Jeffrey E. Harris
27165: The Economics of Time-Limited Development Options: The Case of Oil and Gas Leases Downloads
Evan M. Herrnstadt, Ryan Kellogg and Eric Lewis
27164: The Marginal Net Taxation of Americans’ Labor Supply Downloads
David Altig, Alan Auerbach, Laurence Kotlikoff, Elias Ilin and Victor Ye
27163: Robbing Peter to Pay Paul: Understanding How State Tax Credits Impact Charitable Giving Downloads
Chandrayee Chatterjee, James Cox, Michael Price and Florian Rundhammer
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