NBER Working Papers

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33080: Tyranny of the Personal Network: The Limits of Arm’s Length Fundraising in Venture Capital

Sabrina T. Howell, Dean Parker and Ting Xu

33079: Rethinking Short-Term Real Interest Rates and Term Spreads Using Very Long-Run Data

Kenneth Rogoff, Barbara Rossi and Paul Schmelzing

33078: The Distaste for Housing Density

Joseph Gyourko and Sean McCulloch

33077: Ridesharing and Substance Use Disorder Treatment

Conor Lennon, Johanna Maclean and Keith F. Teltser

33076: AI and Finance

Andrea Eisfeldt and Gregor Schubert

33075: Nonbinary and Transgender Identities and Earnings: Evidence from a National Census

Christopher Carpenter, Donna Feir, Krishna Pendakur and Casey Warman

33074: Targeting the Gender Placement Gap: Marks versus Money

Pelin Akyol, Kala Krishna and Sergey Lychagin

33073: Are Community College Students Increasingly Choosing High-Paying Fields of Study? Evidence from Massachusetts

Richard Murnane, John B. Willett, Aubrey McDonough, John P. Papay and Ann Mantil

33072: The Health and Employment Effects of Employer Vaccination Mandates

Ashvin Gandhi, Ian Larkin, Brian McGarry, Katherine Wen, Huizi Yu, Sarah Berry, Vincent Mor, Maggie Syme and Elizabeth White

33071: Perceived Political Bias of the Federal Reserve

Pei Kuang, Michael Weber and Shihan Xie

33070: The Statistical Limit of Arbitrage

Rui Da, Stefan Nagel and Dacheng Xiu

33069: Retirement Incentives and Decisions across the Income Distribution: Evidence in Canada

Kevin Milligan and Tammy Schirle

33068: How Do Electoral Votes, Presidential Approval, and Consumer Sentiment Respond to Economic Indicators?

Robert Gordon

33067: Information Externalities, Free Riding, and Optimal Exploration in the UK Oil Industry

Charles Hodgson

33066: The Time of Your Life: The Mortality and Longevity of Canadians

Kevin Milligan

33065: Overcoming Discrimination: Harassment and Discrimination Dynamics

Yi Chen, Adam Dearing and Michael Waldman

33064: Generation and Impact of Novel Articles in Physics

Jacques Mairesse, Michele Pezzoni and Frederique Sachwald

33063: Inequality in Science: Who Becomes a Star?

Anna Airoldi and Petra Moser

33062: Feeding the Tigers: Remittances and Conflict in Sri Lanka

Barthélémy Bonadio, Andrei Levchenko, Dominic Rohner and Mathias Thoenig

33061: Labor Market Anatomy of a Macroeconomic Crisis

Kevin Donovan, Will Jianyu Lu, Joseph H. Pedtke and Todd Schoellman

33060: Estimating Peer Effects among College Students: Evidence from a Field Experiment of One-to-One Pairings in STEM

Robert Fairlie, Daniel M. Oliver, Glenn Millhauser and Randa Roland

33059: How Do Income-Driven Repayment Plans Benefit Student Debt Borrowers?

Sylvain Catherine, Mehran Ebrahimian and Constantine Yannelis

33058: Optimal Dynamic Asset Allocation with Transaction Costs: The Role of Hedging Demands

Pierre Collin-Dufresne, Kent Daniel and Mehmet Sağlam

33057: The Impact of United States Assimilation and Allotment Policy on American Indian Mortality

Grant Miller, Jack Shane and C. Matthew Snipp

33056: Revisiting the Private Value of Scientific Inventions

Ashish Arora, Sharon Belenzon, Elia Ferracuti and Jay Prakash Nagar

33055: Slack and Economic Development

Michael Walker, Nachiket Shah, Edward Miguel, Dennis Egger, Felix Samy Soliman and Tilman Graff

33054: Digital Distractions with Peer Influence: The Impact of Mobile App Usage on Academic and Labor Market Outcomes

Panle Barwick, Siyu Chen, Chao Fu and Teng Li

33053: Bucky, Becky, and Student Financial Aid Policy Design

Elise A. Marifian, Jeffrey Smith and Sarah Turner

33052: Poverty, Hardship, and Government Transfers

Bruce Meyer, Jeehoon Han and James Sullivan

33051: Long-Term Contracts, Commitment, and Optimal Information Disclosure

Alessandro Dovis and Paolo Martellini

33050: Income, Wealth, and Environmental Inequality in the United States

Jonathan Colmer, Suvy Qin, John L. Voorheis and Reed Walker

33049: Financial Sophistication and Bank Market Power

Matthias Fleckenstein and Francis Longstaff

33048: Platform Power Struggle: Spotify and the Major Record Labels

Luis Aguiar, Joel Waldfogel and Axel Zeijen

33047: Modeling Migration-Induced Unemployment

Pascal Michaillat

33046: Health Insurance and Part-Time Employment: The Influence of the Affordable Care Act

Katharine Abraham and Henry S. Farber

33045: Transitional Market Dynamics in Complex Environments

C. Lanier Benkard, Przemyslaw Jeziorski and Gabriel Weintraub

33044: Does Unconventional Monetary and Fiscal Policy Contribute to the COVID Inflation Surge?

Jing Cynthia Wu, Yinxi Xie and Ji Zhang

33043: Industrial Policy: Lessons from Shipbuilding

Panle Barwick, Myrto Kalouptsidi and Nahim Bin Zahur

33042: Job Search, Wages, and Inflation

Laura Pilossoph and Jane Ryngaert

33041: Why Didn't the U.S. Unemployment Rate Rise at the End of WWII?

Shigeru Fujita, Valerie Ramey and Tal Roded

33040: New Evidence on the Economics of Climate and Conflict

Marshall Burke, Joel Ferguson, Solomon M. Hsiang and Edward Miguel

33039: Early-Life Local Labor Market Conditions and Old-Age Male Mortality: Evidence from Deindustrialization of New England Textile Sector

Hamid Noghanibehambari and Jason Fletcher

33038: Parents' Earnings and the Returns to Universal Pre-Kindergarten

John Humphries, Christopher Neilson, Xiaoyang Ye and Seth Zimmerman

33037: Trading Volume Alpha

Ruslan Goyenko, Bryan T. Kelly, Tobias J. Moskowitz, Yinan Su and Chao Zhang

33036: Decarbonizing Heat: The Impact of Heat Pumps and a Time-of-Use Heat Pump Tariff on Energy Demand

Louise Bernard, Andy Hackett, Robert Metcalfe and Andrew Schein

33035: Understanding the Heterogeneity of Intergenerational Mobility across Neighborhoods

Neil A. Cholli, Steven Durlauf, Rasmus Landersø and Salvador Navarro

33034: On the Optimal Allocation of Policy-Making

Alessandro Dovis, Rishabh Kirpalani and Guillaume Sublet

33033: Theorizing with Large Language Models

Matteo Tranchero, Cecil-Francis Brenninkmeijer, Arul Murugan and Abhishek Nagaraj

33032: The Effects of “Buy American”: Electric Vehicles and the Inflation Reduction Act

Hunt Allcott, Reigner Kane, Maximilian S. Maydanchik, Joseph Shapiro and Felix Tintelnot

33031: Do Workers Undervalue COVID-19 Risk? Evidence from Wages and Death Certificate Data

Cong T. Gian, Sumedha Gupta, Kosali Simon, Ryan Sullivan and Coady Wing

33030: Old and Connected versus Young and Creative: Networks and the Diffusion of New Scientific Ideas

Wei Cheng and Bruce Weinberg

33029: Cross-Country Analysis of Labor Markets during the COVID-19 Pandemic

Robert Breunig, Wei Cheng, Laura Montenovo, Kyoung Hoon Lee, Bruce Weinberg and Yinjunjie (Jacquelyn Zhang

33028: The Economic Impacts of Clean Power

Costas Arkolakis and Conor Walsh

33027: Here Today, Gone Tomorrow? Toward an Understanding of Fade-out in Early Childhood Education Programs

John List and Haruka Uchida

33026: A Flexible, Heterogeneous Treatment Effects Difference-in-Differences Estimator for Repeated Cross-Sections

Partha Deb, Edward Norton, Jeffrey Wooldridge and Jeffrey Zabel

33025: 12 Best Practices for Leveraging Generative AI in Experimental Research

Samuel Chang, Andrew Kennedy, Aaron Leonard and John List

33024: Carbon Tariffs 101

Claire Brunel and Arik Levinson

33023: Transmission of Family Influence

Sadegh S.M. Eshaghnia, James Heckman, Rasmus Landersø and Rafeh Qureshi

33022: Is Distance from Innovation a Barrier to the Adoption of Artificial Intelligence?

Jennifer Hunt, Iain Cockburn and James Bessen

33021: The ABC’s of Who Benefits from Working with AI: Ability, Beliefs, and Calibration

Andrew Caplin, David Deming, Shangwen Li, Daniel Martin, Philip Marx, Ben Weidmann and Kadachi Jiada Ye

33020: Describing Deferred Acceptance and Strategyproofness to Participants: Experimental Analysis

Yannai A. Gonczarowski, Ori Heffetz, Guy Ishai and Clayton Thomas

33019: The Impact of the Chinese Exclusion Act on the Economic Development of the Western U.S

Joe Long, Carlo Medici, Nancy Qian and Marco Tabellini

33018: Misperceptions and Demand for Democracy under Authoritarianism

Daron Acemoglu, Cevat Giray Aksoy, Ceren Baysan, Carlos Molina and Gamze Zeki

33017: Online Business Models, Digital Ads, and User Welfare

Daron Acemoglu, Daniel Huttenlocher, Asuman Ozdaglar and James Siderius

33016: Pitfalls of Demographic Forecasts of US Elections

Richard Calvo, Vincent Pons and Jesse Shapiro

33015: The Impact of Intergenerational Transfers on the Distribution of Wealth: An International Comparison

Charles Horioka

33014: The Causal Effects of Inflation Uncertainty on Households' Beliefs and Actions

Dimitris Georgarakos, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Olivier Coibion and Geoff Kenny

33013: Dynamically Optimized Sequential Experimentation (DOSE) for Estimating Economic Preference Parameters

Jonathan Chapman, Erik Snowberg, Stephanie W. Wang and Colin Camerer

33012: APT or “AIPT”? The Surprising Dominance of Large Factor Models

Antoine Didisheim, Shikun (Barry) Ke, Bryan T. Kelly and Semyon Malamud

33011: Fear and Dreams: Understanding the Non-Institutional sources of Leader Strategy

Maria Angélica Bautista, Juan Galán, James Robinson, Rafael F. Torres and Ragnar Torvik

33010: Social Interactions, Information, and Preferences for Schools: Experimental Evidence from Los Angeles

Christopher Campos

33009: Intergenerational Transmission of Occupation: Lessons from the United States Army

Kyle Greenberg, Matthew Gudgeon, Adam Isen, Corbin L. Miller and Richard Patterson

33008: The Unintended Consequences of Merit-based Teacher Selection: Evidence from Large-scale Reform in Colombia

Matias Busso, Sebastián Montaño, Juan Munoz-Morales and Nolan G. Pope

33007: Estimating the Regional Welfare Impact of Tariff Changes: Application to the United States

Robert Feenstra and Chang Hong

33006: Cross-Border Shopping: Evidence and Welfare Implications for Switzerland

Ariel Burstein, Sarah Lein and Jonathan Vogel

33005: Do Elite Universities Overpay Their Faculty?

César Garro-Marín, Shulamit Kahn and Kevin Lang

33004: Finance Without Exotic Risk

Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli, Rafael La Porta and Andrei Shleifer

33003: Currency Centrality in Equity Markets, Exchange Rates and Global Financial Cycles

Helene Rey, Vania Stavrakeva and Jenny Tang

33002: Child Penalties and Parental Role Models: Classroom Exposure Effects

Henrik Kleven, Giulia Olivero and Eleonora Patacchini

33001: Financial Advice and Investor Beliefs: Experimental Evidence on Active vs. Passive Strategies

Antoinette Schoar and Yang Sun

33000: Capital-Skill Complementarity in Firms and in the Aggregate Economy

Giuseppe Berlingieri, Filippo Boeri, Danial Lashkari and Jonathan Vogel

32999: Welfare in the Volunteer’s Dilemma

Marco Battaglini and Thomas Palfrey

32998: Interdealer Price Dispersion and Intermediary Capacity

Andrea Eisfeldt, Bernard Herskovic and Shuo Liu

32997: Hours Worked and Lifetime Earnings Inequality

Alexander Bick, Adam Blandin and Richard Rogerson

32996: Bridging the Gaps: The Impact of Interregional Transmission on Emissions and Reliability

Audun Botterud, Christopher Knittel, John Parsons, Juan Ramon Senga and Drew Story

32995: The Efficiency of Dynamic Electricity Prices

Andrew J. Hinchberger, Mark R. Jacobsen, Christopher Knittel, James Sallee and Arthur A. van Benthem

32994: Nonparametric Estimation of Demand with Switching Costs: the Case of Habitual Brand Loyalty

Xinyao Kong, Jean-Pierre H. Dubé and Øystein Daljord

32993: China: Autocracy 2.0

David Yang

32992: Equity and Efficiency in Technology Adoption: Evidence from Digital Health

Itzik Fadlon, Parag Agnihotri, Christopher Longhurst and Ming Tai-Seale

32991: Fiscal and Monetary Policy with Heterogeneous Agents

Adrien Auclert, Matthew Rognlie and Ludwig Straub

32990: Cultural Remittances and Modern Fertility

Mickael Melki, Hillel Rapoport, Enrico Spolaore and Romain Wacziarg

32989: Privacy Protection and Accuracy: What Do We Know? Do We Know Things?? Let's Find Out!

Evan Totty and Thor Watson

32988: Evaluating Monetary Policy Counterfactuals: (When) Do We Need Structural Models?

Tomás E. Caravello, Alisdair McKay and Christian Wolf

32987: Theodore Roosevelt, the Election of 1912, and the Founding of the Federal Reserve

Matthew Jaremski and David Wheelock

32986: Do Investor Differences Impact Monetary Policy Spillovers to Emerging Markets?

Ester Faia, Karen Lewis and Haonan Zhou

32985: Are We Adapting to Climate Change?

Marshall Burke, Mustafa Zahid, Mariana C. M. Martins, Christopher W. Callahan, Richard Lee, Tumenkhusel Avirmed, Sam Heft-Neal, Mathew Kiang, Solomon M. Hsiang and David Lobell

32984: Investing in Vaccines to Mitigate Harm from COVID-19 and Future Pandemics

Rachel Glennerster, Catherine Che, Sarrin M. Chethik, Claire T. McMahon and Christopher Snyder

32983: On the Identifying Power of Generalized Monotonicity for Average Treatment Effects

Yuehao Bai, Shunzhuang Huang, Sarah Moon, Azeem Shaikh and Edward Vytlacil

32982: Mining Chinese Historical Sources At Scale: A Machine Learning-Approach to Qing State Capacity

Wolfgang Keller, Carol H. Shiue and Sen Yan

32981: The Economics of Recycling Heterogeneity

Don Fullerton and Thomas Kinnaman