NBER Working Papers

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16940: Exports and Credit Constraints Under Incomplete Information: Theory and Evidence from China

Robert Feenstra, Zhiyuan Li and Miaojie Yu

16939: Education as Liberation?

Willa Friedman, Michael Kremer, Edward Miguel and Rebecca Thornton

16938: An Overview of The Changing Body: Health, Nutrition, and Human Development in the Western World Since 1700

Robert Fogel and Nathaniel Grotte

16937: Broadening Focus: Spillovers, Complementarities and Specialization in the Hospital Industry

Jonathan R. Clark and Robert Huckman

16936: An Elementary Theory of Global Supply Chains

Arnaud Costinot, Jonathan Vogel and Su Wang

16935: Inference with Imperfect Randomization: The Case of the Perry Preschool Program

James Heckman, Rodrigo Pinto, Azeem Shaikh and Adam Yavitz

16934: Cities, Skills, and Regional Change

Edward Glaeser, Giacomo Ponzetto and Kristina Tobio

16933: Happiness on Tap: Piped Water Adoption in Urban Morocco

Florencia Devoto, Esther Duflo, Pascaline Dupas, William Parienté and Vincent Pons

16932: Fiscal Zoning and Sales Taxes: Do Higher Sales Taxes Lead to More Retailing and Less Manufacturing?

Daria Burnes, David Neumark and Michelle White

16931: Testable Implications of Affine Term Structure Models

James Hamilton and Jing Cynthia Wu

16930: Information Shocks and Social Networks

David Figlio, Sarah Hamersma and Jeffrey Roth

16929: Noncontractible Investments and Reference Points

Oliver Hart

16928: Efficient Estimation of Data Combination Models by the Method of Auxiliary-to-Study Tilting (AST)

Bryan Graham, Cristine Pinto and Daniel Egel

16927: The Psychological Costs of War: Military Combat and Mental Health

Resul Cesur, Joseph J. Sabia and Erdal Tekin

16926: Rural Hospital Ownership: Medical Service Provision, Market Mix, and Spillover Effects

Jill R. Horwitz and Austin Nichols

16925: Trade, Exchange Rate Regimes and Output Co-Movement: Evidence from the Great Depression

Gabriel Mathy and Christopher Meissner

16924: Intergenerational Redistribution in the Great Recession

Andy Glover, Jonathan Heathcote, Dirk Krueger and José-Víctor Ríos-Rull

16923: The Importance of Trust for Investment: Evidence from Venture Capital

Laura Bottazzi, Marco Da Rin and Thomas Hellmann

16922: The First Deal: The Division of Founder Equity in New Ventures

Thomas Hellmann and Noam Wasserman

16921: Capping Individual Tax Expenditure Benefits

Martin Feldstein, Daniel Feenberg and Maya MacGuineas

16920: Innovation and Diffusion of Clean/Green Technology: Can Patent Commons Help?

Bronwyn Hall and Christian Helmers

16919: When Fast Growing Economies Slow Down: International Evidence and Implications for China

Barry Eichengreen, Donghyun Park and Kwanho Shin

16918: With a Little Help from My (Random) Friends: Success and Failure in Post-Business School Entrepreneurship

Josh Lerner and Ulrike Malmendier

16917: Identification Problems in Personality Psychology

Lex Borghans, Bart Golsteyn, James Heckman and John Humphries

16916: The U.S. Left Behind: The Rise of IPO Activity Around the World

Craig Doidge, G. Karolyi and René Stulz

16915: The Effects of Alcohol Policies in Reducing Entry Rates and Time Spent in Foster Care

Sara Markowitz, Alison Evans Cuellar, Ryan M. Conrad and Michael Grossman

16914: School Tracking and Access to Higher Education Among Disadvantaged Groups

Ofer Malamud and Cristian Pop-Eleches

16913: Estimating the Social Cost of Carbon for Use in U.S. Federal Rulemakings: A Summary and Interpretation

Michael Greenstone, Elizabeth Kopits and Ann Wolverton

16912: The Selection of Migrants and Returnees: Evidence from Romania and Implications

J. William Ambrosini, Karin Mayr-Dorn, Giovanni Peri and Dragos Radu

16911: A Sparsity-Based Model of Bounded Rationality

Xavier Gabaix

16910: The Great Inflation: Did the Shadow Know Better?

William Poole, Robert Rasche and David Wheelock

16909: Physician Response to Pay-for-Performance: Evidence from a Natural Experiment

Jinhu Li, Jeremiah Hurley, Philip DeCicca and Gioia Buckley

16908: Does Market Experience Eliminate Market Anomalies? The Case of Exogenous Market Experience

John List

16907: The Promise of Beijing: Evaluating the Impact of the 2008 Olympic Games on Air Quality

Yuyu Chen, Ginger Zhe Jin, Naresh Kumar and Guang Shi

16906: Generalized Transform Analysis of Affine Processes and Applications in Finance

Hui Chen and Scott Joslin

16905: Firm Exports and Multinational Activity Under Credit Constraints

Kalina Manova, Shang-Jin Wei and Zhiwei Zhang

16904: Factor Prices and International Trade: A Unifying Perspective

Ariel Burstein and Jonathan Vogel

16903: Inflation-Indexed Bonds and the Expectations Hypothesis

Carolin Pflueger and Luis Viceira

16902: Comparing Economic and Social Interventions to Reduce Intimate Partner Violence: Evidence from Central and Southern Africa

Radha Iyengar and Giulia Ferrari

16901: HIV Status and Labor Market Participation in South Africa

James Levinsohn, Zoë McLaren, Olive Shisana and Khangelani Zuma

16900: Economics of Individualization in Comparative Effectiveness Research and a Basis for a Patient-Centered Health Care

Anirban Basu

16899: Sovereign Default Risk and Bank Fragility in Financially Integrated Economies

Patrick Bolton and Olivier Jeanne

16898: The Short of It: Investor Sentiment and Anomalies

Robert Stambaugh, Jianfeng Yu and Yu Yuan

16897: Workday, Holiday and Calendar Adjustment with 21st Century Data: Monthly Aggregates from Daily Diesel Fuel Purchases

Edward Leamer

16896: Dividends and Bank Capital in the Financial Crisis of 2007-2009

Viral Acharya, Irvind Gujral, Nirupama Kulkarni and Hyun Song Shin

16895: Human Capital Accounts: Choice of Rates and Construction of Volume Indices

Barbara M. Fraumeni

16894: Identification and Estimation in Discrete Choice Demand Models when Endogenous Variables Interact with the Error

Amit Gandhi, Kyoo il Kim and Amil Petrin

16893: The Liquidation of Government Debt

Carmen Reinhart and M. Belen Sbrancia

16892: Return Predictability in the Treasury Market: Real Rates, Inflation, and Liquidity

Carolin Pflueger and Luis Viceira

16891: Trust in Public Institutions over the Business Cycle

Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers

16890: Were the Nigerian Banking Reforms of 2005 A Success... And for the Poor?

Lisa Cook

16889: What Explains the Lagged Investment Effect?

Janice Eberly, Sergio Rebelo and Nicolas Vincent

16888: Testing for the Role of Prejudice in Emergency Departments Using Bounceback Rates

Shamena Anwar and Hanming Fang

16887: When a Nudge Isn't Enough: Defaults and Saving Among Low-Income Tax Filers

Erin Bronchetti, Thomas Dee, David Huffman and Ellen Magenheim

16886: Going to a Better School: Effects and Behavioral Responses

Cristian Pop-Eleches and Miguel Urquiola

16885: What Makes an Effective Teacher? Quasi-Experimental Evidence

Victor Lavy

16884: Simple Variance Swaps

Ian Martin

16883: Monetary Policy as Financial-Stability Regulation

Jeremy Stein

16882: Bye, Bye, Miss American Pie? The Supply of New Recorded Music Since Napster

Joel Waldfogel

16881: The Effects of Student Coaching in College: An Evaluation of a Randomized Experiment in Student Mentoring

Eric Bettinger and Rachel Baker

16880: A Roy Model of Social Interactions

Steve Cicala, Roland Fryer and Jörg Spenkuch

16879: A Primer on the Economics of Prescription Pharmaceutical Pricing in Health Insurance Markets

Ernst R. Berndt, Thomas G. McGuire and Joseph Newhouse

16878: The Possibilities For Global Poverty Reduction Using Revenues From Global Carbon Pricing

James Davies, Xiaojun Shi and John Whalley

16877: The Effect of Evaluation on Performance: Evidence from Longitudinal Student Achievement Data of Mid-career Teachers

Eric S. Taylor and John Tyler

16876: Intergeneration Transfer of Human Capital: Results from a Natural Experiment in Taiwan

Wehn-Jyuan Tsai, Jin-Tan Liu, Shin-Yi Chou and Michael Grossman

16875: Limits to Arbitrage and Hedging: Evidence from Commodity Markets

Viral Acharya, Lars A. Lochstoer and Tarun Ramadorai

16874: Adoptive Expectations: Rising Sons in Japanese Family Firms

Vikas Mehrotra, Randall Morck, Jungwook Shim and Yupana Wiwattanakantang

16873: Adequate (or Adipose?) Yearly Progress: Assessing the Effect of "No Child Left Behind" on Children's Obesity

Patricia Anderson, Kristin Butcher and Diane Schanzenbach

16872: Business Failures by Industry in the United States, 1895 to 1939: A Statistical History

Gary Richardson and Michael Gou

16871: Monetary and Fiscal Stimuli, Ownership Structure, and China's Housing Market

Yongheng Deng, Randall Morck, Jing Wu and Bernard Yeung

16870: Finance and Governance in Developing Economies

Randall Morck

16869: Math or Science? Using Longitudinal Expectations Data to Examine the Process of Choosing a College Major

Todd Stinebrickner and Ralph Stinebrickner

16868: Does Aggregated Returns Disclosure Increase Portfolio Risk-Taking?

John Beshears, James Choi, David Laibson and Brigitte Madrian

16867: Global Liquidity Trap

Ippei Fujiwara, Tomoyuki Nakajima, Nao Sudo and Yuki Teranishi

16866: Spurring Job Creation in Response to Severe Recessions: Reconsidering Hiring Credits

David Neumark

16865: From Natural Variation to Optimal Policy? The Lucas Critique Meets Peer Effects

Scott Carrell, Bruce Sacerdote and James West

16864: Spillovers, Linkages, and Productivity Growth in the US Economy, 1958 to 2007

Edward Wolff

16863: Fuel Tax Incidence and Supply Conditions

Justin Marion and Erich Muehlegger

16862: Uncertainty Business Cycles - Really?

Ruediger Bachmann and Christian Bayer

16861: Investment Dispersion and the Business Cycle

Ruediger Bachmann and Christian Bayer

16860: The Effect of Allowing Pollution Offsets With Imperfect Enforcement

Hilary Sigman and Howard F. Chang

16859: The Long-term Impact of Medicare Payment Reductions on Patient Outcomes

Vivian Y. Wu and Yu-Chu Shen

16858: Exposure to Food Advertising On Television: Associations With Children's Fast Food and Soft Drink Consumption and Obesity

Tatiana Andreyeva, Inas Kelly and Jennifer L. Harris

16857: Health Shocks, Insurance Status and Net Worth: Intra- and Inter-Generational Effects

Dalton Conley and Jason Alan Thompson

16856: Mother's Schooling and Fertility under Low Female Labor Force Participation: Evidence from a Natural Experiment

Victor Lavy and Alexander Zablotsky

16855: Learning by Doing with Asymmetric Information: Evidence from Prosper.com

Seth Freedman and Ginger Zhe Jin

16854: Does Price Reveal Poor-Quality Drugs? Evidence from 17 Countries

Roger Bate, Ginger Zhe Jin and Aparna Mathur

16853: Does Input Quality Drive Measured Differences in Firm Productivity?

Jeremy Fox and Valerie Smeets

16852: The Economics of Internet Markets

Jonathan Levin

16851: Set-Asides and Subsidies in Auctions

Susan Athey, Dominic Coey and Jonathan Levin

16850: Teacher Incentives and Student Achievement: Evidence from New York City Public Schools

Roland Fryer

16849: Did Securitization Affect the Cost of Corporate Debt?

Taylor D. Nadauld and Michael Weisbach

16848: Wealth Effects Revisited 1978-2009

Karl Case, John Quigley and Robert Shiller

16847: Pegs and Pain

Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe and Martín Uribe

16846: Industrial Actions in Schools: Strikes and Student Achievement

Michael Baker

16845: Asset Prices, Credit Growth, Monetary and Other Policies: An Australian Case Study

Paul Bloxham, Christopher Kent and Michael Robson

16844: Superfund Cleanups and Infant Health

Janet Currie, Michael Greenstone and Enrico Moretti

16843: A Unified Model of Entrepreneurship Dynamics

Chong Wang, Neng Wang and Jinqiang Yang

16842: The Economics of Hedge Funds: Alpha, Fees, Leverage, and Valuation

Yingcong Lan, Neng Wang and Jinqiang Yang

16841: The American Family in Black and White: A Post-Racial Strategy for Improving Skills to Promote Equality

James Heckman