Capital Flow Types, External Financing Needs, and Industrial Growth: 99 countries, 1991-2007

Joshua Aizenman and Vladyslav Sushko

No 17228, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: We examine the differential impact of portfolio debt, portfolio equity, and FDI inflows on 37 manufacturing industries, 99 countries, 1991-2007, extending Rajan-Zingales (1998). We utilize external finance dependence measures in a series of cross-sectional regressions of manufacturing industries' growth rates covering 17 years. Net portfolio debt inflows are negatively associated with growth during the mid 1990s. The magnitudes of the negative effect of surges in portfolio debt inflows on growth are substantial in the late 1990s for a number of countries. The effect of debt inflows on growth in the 2000s is rather muted. Surges in portfolio equity inflows also exhibit a negative association with aggregate growth in the manufacturing sector. For instance, the inflow surge during the financial liberalization period, 1993-1994, is associated with a sharp decline in aggregate manufacturing sector growth, but a rise in the growth of relatively more financially constrained industries. Equity inflows exhibited economically significant positive impact on the growth of financially constrained industries, unlike their negative impact on the average manufacturing growth rate. FDI inflows exhibit a positive association with aggregate manufacturing growth during most of the sample period, both at the aggregate level and specifically for the industries in need of external financing.

JEL-codes: F15 F21 F36 F43 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011-07
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-fdg and nep-ifn
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Working Paper: Capital Flow Types, External Financing Needs, and Industrial Growth: 99 countries, 1991-2007 (2011)
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