NBER Working Papers

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16981: A Test of Racial Bias in Capital Sentencing

Alberto Alesina and Eliana La Ferrara

16980: Funding Scientific Knowledge: Selection, Disclosure and the Public-Private Portfolio

Joshua Gans and Fiona E. Murray

16979: Bank Finance Versus Bond Finance

Fiorella De Fiore and Harald Uhlig

16978: The Demand for Health Insurance Among Uninsured Americans: Results of a Survey Experiment and Implications for Policy

Alan Krueger and Ilyana Kuziemko

16977: How does Risk Selection Respond to Risk Adjustment? Evidence from the Medicare Advantage Program

Jason Brown, Mark Duggan, Ilyana Kuziemko and William Woolston

16976: Stock Volatility During the Recent Financial Crisis

G. Schwert

16975: Dissecting the Effect of Credit Supply on Trade: Evidence from Matched Credit-Export Data

Daniel Paravisini, Veronica Rappoport, Philipp Schnabl and Daniel Wolfenzon

16974: What Do Consumers Believe About Future Gasoline Prices?

Soren Anderson, Ryan Kellogg and James Sallee

16973: The Effect of Education on Religion: Evidence from Compulsory Schooling Laws

Daniel Hungerman

16972: Discount Rates

John Cochrane

16971: Valuing Mortality Risk Reductions: Progress and Challenges

Maureen Cropper, James Hammitt and Lisa Robinson

16970: On the Relationship Between Mobility, Population Growth, and Capital Spending in the United States

Marco Bassetto and Leslie McGranahan

16969: Selection on Moral Hazard in Health Insurance

Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, Stephen Ryan, Paul Schrimpf and Mark R. Cullen

16968: What Do Business Climate Indexes Teach Us About State Policy and Economic Growth?

Jed Kolko, David Neumark and Marisol Cuellar Mejia

16967: Global retail lending in the aftermath of the US financial crisis: Distinguishing between supply and demand effects

Manju Puri, Jörg Rocholl and Sascha Steffen

16966: Hither Thou Shalt Come, But No Further: Reply to "The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Empirical Investigation: Comment"

Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson and James Robinson

16965: Household Leverage and the Recession

Callum Jones, Virgiliu Midrigan and Thomas Philippon

16964: Exporting Christianity: Governance and Doctrine in the Globalization of US Denominations

Gordon Hanson and Chong Xiang

16963: Contracting for Impure Public Goods: Carbon Offsets and Additionality

Charles Mason and Andrew Plantinga

16962: Market-specific and Currency-specific Risk During the Global Financial Crisis: Evidence from the Interbank Markets in Tokyo and London

Shin-ichi Fukuda

16961: Sentencing Guidelines and Judicial Discretion: Quasi-experimental Evidence from Human Calculation Errors

Shawn Bushway, Emily Owens and Anne Piehl

16960: Trade Liberalization and Firm Dynamics

Ariel Burstein and Marc Melitz

16959: Market Size, Competition, and the Product Mix of Exporters

Thierry Mayer, Marc Melitz and Gianmarco Ottaviano

16958: Trade Adjustment and Productivity in Large Crises

Gita Gopinath and Brent Neiman

16957: Consumption Smoothing and Portfolio Rebalancing: The Effects of Adjustment Costs

Yosef Bonaparte, Russell Cooper and Guozhong Zhu

16956: The Effectiveness of Alternative Monetary Policy Tools in a Zero Lower Bound Environment

James Hamilton and Jing Cynthia Wu

16955: Learning During a Crisis: the SARS Epidemic in Taiwan

Daniel Bennett, Chun-Fang Chiang and Anup Malani

16954: Tipping Climate Negotiations

Geoffrey Heal and Howard Kunreuther

16953: Technology Growth and Expenditure Growth in Health Care

Amitabh Chandra and Jonathan Skinner

16952: Coups, Corporations, and Classified Information

Arindrajit Dube, Ethan Kaplan and Suresh Naidu

16951: Foresight and Information Flows

Eric Leeper, Todd Walker and Shu-Chun Yang

16950: Why Surplus Consumption in the Habit Model May be Less Persistent than You Think

Anthony W. Lynch and Oliver Randall

16949: How Prediction Markets Can Save Event Studies

Erik Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz

16948: Do Local Elections in Non-Democracies Increase Accountability? Evidence from Rural China

Monica Martinez-Bravo, Gerard Padró i Miquel, Nancy Qian and Yang Yao

16947: Lifting the Domestic Veil: The Challenges of Exporting Differentiated Goods Across the Development Divide

Alejandro Artopoulos, Daniel Friel and Juan Hallak

16946: U.S. Intervention During the Bretton Woods Era: 1962-1973

Michael Bordo, Owen Humpage and Anna Schwartz

16945: A Solution to Fiscal Procyclicality: The Structural Budget Institutions Pioneered by Chile

Jeffrey Frankel

16944: Fighting Procrastination in the Workplace: An Experiment

Ximena Cadena, Antoinette Schoar, Alexandra Cristea and Héber M. Delgado-Medrano

16943: The Circulation of Ideas in Firms and Markets

Thomas Hellmann and Enrico Perotti

16942: Carry Trade and Momentum in Currency Markets

Craig Burnside, Martin Eichenbaum and Sergio Rebelo

16941: Macroeconomic Conditions and Capital Raising

Isil Erel, Brandon Julio, Woojin Kim and Michael Weisbach

16940: Exports and Credit Constraints Under Incomplete Information: Theory and Evidence from China

Robert Feenstra, Zhiyuan Li and Miaojie Yu

16939: Education as Liberation?

Willa Friedman, Michael Kremer, Edward Miguel and Rebecca Thornton

16938: An Overview of The Changing Body: Health, Nutrition, and Human Development in the Western World Since 1700

Robert Fogel and Nathaniel Grotte

16937: Broadening Focus: Spillovers, Complementarities and Specialization in the Hospital Industry

Jonathan R. Clark and Robert Huckman

16936: An Elementary Theory of Global Supply Chains

Arnaud Costinot, Jonathan Vogel and Su Wang

16935: Inference with Imperfect Randomization: The Case of the Perry Preschool Program

James Heckman, Rodrigo Pinto, Azeem Shaikh and Adam Yavitz

16934: Cities, Skills, and Regional Change

Edward Glaeser, Giacomo Ponzetto and Kristina Tobio

16933: Happiness on Tap: Piped Water Adoption in Urban Morocco

Florencia Devoto, Esther Duflo, Pascaline Dupas, William Parienté and Vincent Pons

16932: Fiscal Zoning and Sales Taxes: Do Higher Sales Taxes Lead to More Retailing and Less Manufacturing?

Daria Burnes, David Neumark and Michelle White

16931: Testable Implications of Affine Term Structure Models

James Hamilton and Jing Cynthia Wu

16930: Information Shocks and Social Networks

David Figlio, Sarah Hamersma and Jeffrey Roth

16929: Noncontractible Investments and Reference Points

Oliver Hart

16928: Efficient Estimation of Data Combination Models by the Method of Auxiliary-to-Study Tilting (AST)

Bryan Graham, Cristine Pinto and Daniel Egel

16927: The Psychological Costs of War: Military Combat and Mental Health

Resul Cesur, Joseph J. Sabia and Erdal Tekin

16926: Rural Hospital Ownership: Medical Service Provision, Market Mix, and Spillover Effects

Jill R. Horwitz and Austin Nichols

16925: Trade, Exchange Rate Regimes and Output Co-Movement: Evidence from the Great Depression

Gabriel Mathy and Christopher Meissner

16924: Intergenerational Redistribution in the Great Recession

Andy Glover, Jonathan Heathcote, Dirk Krueger and José-Víctor Ríos-Rull

16923: The Importance of Trust for Investment: Evidence from Venture Capital

Laura Bottazzi, Marco Da Rin and Thomas Hellmann

16922: The First Deal: The Division of Founder Equity in New Ventures

Thomas Hellmann and Noam Wasserman

16921: Capping Individual Tax Expenditure Benefits

Martin Feldstein, Daniel Feenberg and Maya MacGuineas

16920: Innovation and Diffusion of Clean/Green Technology: Can Patent Commons Help?

Bronwyn Hall and Christian Helmers

16919: When Fast Growing Economies Slow Down: International Evidence and Implications for China

Barry Eichengreen, Donghyun Park and Kwanho Shin

16918: With a Little Help from My (Random) Friends: Success and Failure in Post-Business School Entrepreneurship

Josh Lerner and Ulrike Malmendier

16917: Identification Problems in Personality Psychology

Lex Borghans, Bart Golsteyn, James Heckman and John Humphries

16916: The U.S. Left Behind: The Rise of IPO Activity Around the World

Craig Doidge, G. Karolyi and René Stulz

16915: The Effects of Alcohol Policies in Reducing Entry Rates and Time Spent in Foster Care

Sara Markowitz, Alison Evans Cuellar, Ryan M. Conrad and Michael Grossman

16914: School Tracking and Access to Higher Education Among Disadvantaged Groups

Ofer Malamud and Cristian Pop-Eleches

16913: Estimating the Social Cost of Carbon for Use in U.S. Federal Rulemakings: A Summary and Interpretation

Michael Greenstone, Elizabeth Kopits and Ann Wolverton

16912: The Selection of Migrants and Returnees: Evidence from Romania and Implications

J. William Ambrosini, Karin Mayr-Dorn, Giovanni Peri and Dragos Radu

16911: A Sparsity-Based Model of Bounded Rationality

Xavier Gabaix

16910: The Great Inflation: Did the Shadow Know Better?

William Poole, Robert Rasche and David Wheelock

16909: Physician Response to Pay-for-Performance: Evidence from a Natural Experiment

Jinhu Li, Jeremiah Hurley, Philip DeCicca and Gioia Buckley

16908: Does Market Experience Eliminate Market Anomalies? The Case of Exogenous Market Experience

John List

16907: The Promise of Beijing: Evaluating the Impact of the 2008 Olympic Games on Air Quality

Yuyu Chen, Ginger Zhe Jin, Naresh Kumar and Guang Shi

16906: Generalized Transform Analysis of Affine Processes and Applications in Finance

Hui Chen and Scott Joslin

16905: Firm Exports and Multinational Activity Under Credit Constraints

Kalina Manova, Shang-Jin Wei and Zhiwei Zhang

16904: Factor Prices and International Trade: A Unifying Perspective

Ariel Burstein and Jonathan Vogel

16903: Inflation-Indexed Bonds and the Expectations Hypothesis

Carolin Pflueger and Luis Viceira

16902: Comparing Economic and Social Interventions to Reduce Intimate Partner Violence: Evidence from Central and Southern Africa

Radha Iyengar and Giulia Ferrari

16901: HIV Status and Labor Market Participation in South Africa

James Levinsohn, Zoë McLaren, Olive Shisana and Khangelani Zuma

16900: Economics of Individualization in Comparative Effectiveness Research and a Basis for a Patient-Centered Health Care

Anirban Basu

16899: Sovereign Default Risk and Bank Fragility in Financially Integrated Economies

Patrick Bolton and Olivier Jeanne

16898: The Short of It: Investor Sentiment and Anomalies

Robert Stambaugh, Jianfeng Yu and Yu Yuan

16897: Workday, Holiday and Calendar Adjustment with 21st Century Data: Monthly Aggregates from Daily Diesel Fuel Purchases

Edward Leamer

16896: Dividends and Bank Capital in the Financial Crisis of 2007-2009

Viral Acharya, Irvind Gujral, Nirupama Kulkarni and Hyun Song Shin

16895: Human Capital Accounts: Choice of Rates and Construction of Volume Indices

Barbara M. Fraumeni

16894: Identification and Estimation in Discrete Choice Demand Models when Endogenous Variables Interact with the Error

Amit Gandhi, Kyoo il Kim and Amil Petrin

16893: The Liquidation of Government Debt

Carmen Reinhart and M. Belen Sbrancia

16892: Return Predictability in the Treasury Market: Real Rates, Inflation, and Liquidity

Carolin Pflueger and Luis Viceira

16891: Trust in Public Institutions over the Business Cycle

Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers

16890: Were the Nigerian Banking Reforms of 2005 A Success... And for the Poor?

Lisa Cook

16889: What Explains the Lagged Investment Effect?

Janice Eberly, Sergio Rebelo and Nicolas Vincent

16888: Testing for the Role of Prejudice in Emergency Departments Using Bounceback Rates

Shamena Anwar and Hanming Fang

16887: When a Nudge Isn't Enough: Defaults and Saving Among Low-Income Tax Filers

Erin Bronchetti, Thomas Dee, David Huffman and Ellen Magenheim

16886: Going to a Better School: Effects and Behavioral Responses

Cristian Pop-Eleches and Miguel Urquiola

16885: What Makes an Effective Teacher? Quasi-Experimental Evidence

Victor Lavy

16884: Simple Variance Swaps

Ian Martin

16883: Monetary Policy as Financial-Stability Regulation

Jeremy Stein

16882: Bye, Bye, Miss American Pie? The Supply of New Recorded Music Since Napster

Joel Waldfogel