NBER Working Papers

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28011: Five-Year Impacts of Group-Based Financial Education and Savings Promotion for Ugandan Youth

Samantha Horn, Julian Jamison, Dean Karlan and Jonathan Zinman

28010: The Persistence of Miscalibration

Michael Boutros, Itzhak Ben-David, John R. Graham, Campbell R. Harvey and John W. Payne

28009: Product Recalls and Firm Reputation

Boyan Jovanovic

28008: A New Measure of Utilization-adjusted TFP Growth for Europe and the United States

Diego Comin, Javier Quintana González, Tom Schmitz and Antonella Trigari

28007: Reconsidering Risk Aversion

Daniel Benjamin, Mark Alan Fontana and Miles Kimball

28006: How Should Tax Progressivity Respond to Rising Income Inequality?

Jonathan Heathcote, Kjetil Storesletten and Giovanni Violante

28005: The Slope of the Phillips Curve: Evidence from U.S. States

Jonathon Hazell, Juan Herreño, Emi Nakamura and Jón Steinsson

28004: Macroeconomic Outcomes and COVID-19: A Progress Report

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde and Charles Jones

28003: Impact of Consequence Information on Insurance Choice

Anya Samek and Justin R. Sydnor

28002: r Minus g

Robert Barro

28001: Searching for the Equity Premium

Hang Bai and Lu Zhang

28000: Industrial Clusters, Networks and Resilience to the Covid-19 Shock in China

Ruochen Dai, Dilip Mookherjee, Yingyue Quan and Xiaobo Zhang

27999: The Long-Run Effects of the Affordable Care Act: A Pre-Committed Research Design Over the COVID-19 Recession and Recovery

Jeffrey Clemens, Drew McNichols and Joseph J. Sabia

27998: Does Context Outweigh Individual Characteristics in Driving Voting Behavior? Evidence from Relocations within the U.S

Enrico Cantoni and Vincent Pons

27997: An Executive Order Worth $100 Billion: The Impact of an Immigration Ban’s Announcement on Fortune 500 Firms’ Valuation

Dany Bahar, Prithwiraj Choudhury and Britta Glennon

27996: Lead in Drinking Water and Birth Outcomes: A Tale of Two Water Treatment Plants

Dhaval Dave and Muzhe Yang

27995: Disentangling Motivation and Study Productivity as Drivers of Adolescent Human Capital Formation: Evidence from a Field Experiment and Structural Analysis

Christopher Cotton, Brent R. Hickman, John List, Joseph Price and Sutanuka Roy

27994: Granular Credit Risk

Sigurd Galaasen, Rustam Jamilov, Ragnar Juelsrud and Helene Rey

27993: The Risk of Narrow, Disputable Results in the U.S. Electoral College: 1836-2020

Michael Geruso and Dean Spears

27992: The Pandemic Economic Crisis, Precautionary Behavior, and Mobility Constraints: An Application of the Dynamic Disequilibrium Model with Randomness

Joseph Stiglitz

27991: Piecewise-Linear Approximations and Filtering for DSGE Models with Occasionally Binding Constraints

S. Boragan Aruoba, Pablo Cuba-Borda, Kenji Higa-Flores, Frank Schorfheide and Sergio Villalvazo

27990: The ESG-Innovation Disconnect: Evidence from Green Patenting

Lauren Cohen, Umit Gurun and Quoc H. Nguyen

27989: Partisan Residential Sorting on Climate Change Risk

Asaf Bernstein, Stephen Billings, Matthew Gustafson and Ryan Lewis

27988: Expectations, Infections, and Economic Activity

Martin Eichenbaum, Miguel Godinho de Matos, Francisco Lima, Sergio Rebelo and Mathias Trabandt

27987: Reliance on Science by Inventors: Hybrid Extraction of In-text Patent-to-Article Citations

Matt Marx and Aaron Fuegi

27986: The Dynamic Impact of Exporting on Firm R&D Investment

Florin Maican, Matilda Orth, Mark Roberts and Vuong Van Anh

27985: Some Facts about Dominant Firms

German Gutierrez and Thomas Philippon

27984: Communication and Bargaining Breakdown: An Empirical Analysis

Matthew Backus, Thomas Blake, Jett Pettus and Steven Tadelis

27983: Input-Output Networks and Misallocation

Jing Hang, Pravin Krishna and Heiwai Tang

27982: When Externalities Collide: Influenza and Pollution

Joshua Graff Zivin, Matthew Neidell, Nicholas J. Sanders and Gregor Singer

27981: Personal Power Dynamics in Bargaining

T. Renee Bowen, Ilwoo Hwang and Stefan Krasa

27980: Children and the Remaining Gender Gaps in the Labor Market

Patricia Cortés and Jessica Pan

27979: The Value of Social Status

Alexander Butler, Bruce I. Carlin, Alan D. Crane, Boyang Liu and James P. Weston

27978: Valuing Rare Pediatric Drugs: An Economics Perspective

Rena Conti, Jonathan Gruber, Daniel A. Ollendorf and Peter J. Neumann

27977: The Liquidity Sensitivity of Healthcare Consumption: Evidence from Social Security Payments

Tal Gross, Timothy Layton and Daniel Prinz

27976: The (Missing) Relation Between Announcement Returns and Value Creation

Itzhak Ben-David, Utpal Bhattacharya and Stacey E. Jacobsen

27975: Milton Friedman and Exchange Rates in Developing Countries

Sebastian Edwards

27974: Socioeconomic Status and the Experience of Pain: An Example from Knees

David Cutler, Ellen Meara and Susan Stewart

27973: Social Finance

Theresa Kuchler and Johannes Stroebel

27972: Civil Liberties in Times of Crisis

Marcella Alsan, Luca Braghieri, Sarah Eichmeyer, Minjeong Joyce Kim, Stefanie Stantcheva and David Yang

27971: An Analysis of the Performance of Target Date Funds

John B. Shoven and Daniel B. Walton

27970: Imposing Policy on Reluctant Actors: The Hospital Desegregation Campaign and Black Postneonatal Mortality in the Deep South

D. Mark Anderson, Kerwin Kofi Charles and Daniel Rees

27969: Millionaires Speak: What Drives Their Personal Investment Decisions?

Svetlana Bender, James Choi, Danielle Dyson and Adriana Z. Robertson

27968: Wealth Mobility in the 1860s

Brandon Dupont and Joshua Rosenbloom

27967: Historical Data: Where to Find Them, How to Use Them

Paola Giuliano and Andrea Matranga

27966: Post COVID-19 Exit Strategies and Emerging Markets Economic Challenges

Joshua Aizenman and Hiro Ito

27965: What Explains Temporal and Geographic Variation in the Early US Coronavirus Pandemic?

Hunt Allcott, Levi Boxell, Jacob Conway, Billy A. Ferguson, Matthew Gentzkow and Benjamin Goldman

27964: How Did Depositors Respond to COVID-19?

Ross Levine, Chen Lin, Mingzhu Tai and Wensi Xie

27963: The Economic Case for Protecting Biodiversity

Geoffrey Heal

27962: Sparse Network Asymptotics for Logistic Regression under Possible Misspecification

Bryan Graham

27961: Elections, Political Polarization, and Economic Uncertainty

Scott Baker, Aniket Baksy, Nicholas Bloom, Steven Davis and Jonathan A. Rodden

27960: Efficiency Wages, Unemployment, and Environmental Policy

Garth Heutel and Xin Zhang

27959: Liquidity and Volatility

Itamar Drechsler, Alan Moreira and Alexi Savov

27958: Bottom-up Markup Fluctuations

Ariel Burstein, Vasco Carvalho and Basile Grassi

27957: Offshoring and Inflation

Diego Comin and Robert Johnson

27956: (S)Cars and the Great Recession

Orazio Attanasio, Kieran Larkin, Morten Ravn and Mario Padula

27955: Misallocation and Capital Market Integration: Evidence From India

Natalie Bau and Adrien Matray

27954: Economic Adjustment during the Great Recession: The Role of Managerial Quality

Gilbert Cette, Jimmy Lopez, Jacques Mairesse and Giuseppe Nicoletti

27953: Externalities as Arbitrage

Benjamin M. Hébert

27952: How Do CEOs Make Strategy?

Mu-Jeung Yang, Michael Christensen, Nicholas Bloom, Raffaella Sadun and Jan Rivkin

27951: Uncertainty, Wages, and the Business Cycle

Matteo Cacciatore and Federico Ravenna

27950: How to Talk When a Machine is Listening?: Corporate Disclosure in the Age of AI

Sean Cao, Wei Jiang, Baozhong Yang and Alan Zhang

27949: The Political Economics of Non-democracy

Georgy Egorov and Konstantin Sonin

27948: Moneyball in Medicare: Heterogeneous Treatment Effects

Edward Norton, Emily J. Lawton and Jun Li

27947: Overreaction and Working Memory

Hassan Afrouzi, Spencer Yongwook Kwon, Augustin Landier, Yueran Ma and David Thesmar

27946: Estimating the Costs of Filing Tax Returns and the Potential Savings from Policies Aimed at Reducing These Costs

Youssef Benzarti

27945: Bank Liquidity Provision Across the Firm Size Distribution

Gabriel Chodorow-Reich, Olivier Darmouni, Stephan Luck and Matthew Plosser

27944: Temptation and Commitment: A Model of Hand-to-Mouth Behavior

Orazio Attanasio, Agnes Kovacs and Patrick Moran

27943: Medical Research and Health Care Finance: Evidence from Academic Medical Centers

Pierre Azoulay, Misty L. Heggeness and Jennifer L. Kao

27942: Have Exchange-Listed Firms Become Less Important for the Economy?

Frederik P. Schlingemann and René M. Stulz

27941: A Theory of Voluntary Testing and Self-isolation in an Ongoing Pandemic

Thomas F. Hellmann and Veikko Thiele

27940: Who Benefits From the Child Tax Credit?

Jacob Goldin and Katherine Michelmore

27939: Corporate Taxation and the Distribution of Income

James R. Hines

27938: Highways and Globalization

Taylor Jaworski, Carl Kitchens and Sergey Nigai

27937: Powering Work from Home

Steve Cicala

27936: The Effects of the Affordable Care Act on the Near-Elderly: Evidence for Health Insurance Coverage and Labor Market Outcomes

Mark Duggan, Gopi Goda and Gina Li

27935: A Q-Theory of Banks

Juliane Begenau, Saki Bigio, Jeremy Majerovitz and Matias Vieyra

27934: Firm Dynamics and Trade

George Alessandria, Costas Arkolakis and Kim Ruhl

27933: Teenage Driving, Mortality, and Risky Behaviors

Jason U. Huh and Julian Reif

27932: Did COVID-19 Market Disruptions Disrupt Food Security? Evidence from Households in Rural Liberia and Malawi

Shilpa Aggarwal, Dahyeon Jeong, Naresh Kumar, David Sungho Park, Jonathan Robinson and Alan Spearot

27931: A q Theory of Internal Capital Markets

Min Dai, Xavier Giroud, Wei Jiang and Neng Wang

27930: Neglected No More: Housing Markets, Mortgage Lending, and Sea Level Rise

Benjamin Keys and Philip Mulder

27929: De-globalization: Driven by Global Crises?

Assaf Razin

27928: City Limits: What do Local-Area Minimum Wages Do?

Arindrajit Dube and Attila S. Lindner

27927: Capital Flows in Risky Times: Risk-on/Risk-off and Emerging Market Tail Risk

Anusha Chari, Karlye Dilts Stedman and Christian Lundblad

27926: Dominant Currencies: How Firms Choose Currency Invoicing and Why it Matters

Mary Amiti, Oleg Itskhoki and Jozef Konings

27925: Human Capital Depreciation and Returns to Experience

Michael Dinerstein, Rigissa Megalokonomou and Constantine Yannelis

27924: Temporary Unemployment and Labor Market Dynamics During the COVID-19 Recession

Jessica Gallant, Kory Kroft, Fabian Lange and Matthew Notowidigdo

27923: Optimal Foreign Reserves and Central Bank Policy Under Financial Stress

Luis Cespedes and Roberto Chang

27922: The Rise of Income and Wealth Inequality in America: Evidence from Distributional Macroeconomic Accounts

Emmanuel Saez and Gabriel Zucman

27921: Trends in US Income and Wealth Inequality: Revising After the Revisionists

Emmanuel Saez and Gabriel Zucman

27920: Anxiety or Pain? The Impact of Tariffs and Uncertainty on Chinese Firms in the Trade War

Felipe Benguria, Jaerim Choi, Deborah L. Swenson and Mingzhi (Jimmy) Xu

27919: The Rise and Fall of Import Substitution

Douglas Irwin

27918: Ethnographic and Field Data in Historical Economics

Sara Lowes

27917: The Micro Anatomy of Macro Consumption Adjustments

Rafael Guntin, Pablo Ottonello and Diego Perez

27916: Research Funding and Collaboration

Benjamin Davies, Jason Gush, Shaun C. Hendy and Adam Jaffe

27915: Firm-Embedded Productivity and Cross-Country Income Differences

Vanessa Alviarez, Javier Cravino and Natalia Ramondo

27914: The Domestic Political-Economy of the WTO Crisis: Lessons for Preserving Multilateralism

T. Renee Bowen and J. Lawrence Broz

27913: Introducing CogX: A New Preschool Education Program Combining Parent and Child Interventions

Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List and Anya Samek

27912: Liquidity Requirements, Free-Riding, and the Implications for Financial Stability Evidence from the early 1900s

Mark Carlson and Matthew Jaremski