NBER Working Papers

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28562: Uncertainty and Risk-Taking in Science: Meaning, Measurement and Management in Peer Review of Research Proposals

Chiara Franzoni and Paula Stephan

28561: Big Push in Distorted Economies

Francisco Buera, Hugo Hopenhayn, Yongseok Shin and Nicholas Trachter

28560: The Diffusion of Health Care Fraud: A Network Analysis

A. James O'Malley, Thomas A. Bubolz and Jonathan Skinner

28559: Why Did Bank Stocks Crash During COVID-19?

Viral Acharya, Robert Engle, Maximilian Jager and Sascha Steffen

28558: Migration and Redistribution: Federal Governance of an Economic Union Matters

Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka

28557: Discount Rates, Mortality Projections, and Money's Worth Calculations for US Individual Annuities

James Poterba and Adam Solomon

28556: The Effects of Child Tax Benefits on Poverty and Labor Supply: Evidence from the Canada Child Benefit and Universal Child Care Benefit

Michael Baker, Derek Messacar and Mark Stabile

28555: Effects of Recent Minimum Wage Policies in California and Nationwide: Results from a Pre-specified Analysis Plan

David Neumark and Maysen Yen

28554: A Soul's View of the Optimal Population Problem

David de la Croix and Matthias Doepke

28553: Government Policies in a Granular Global Economy

Cecile Gaubert, Oleg Itskhoki and Maximilian Vogler

28552: Student Learning in Online College Programs

Stephanie Riegg Cellini and Hernando Grueso

28551: Growing Like India: The Unequal Effects of Service-Led Growth

Tianyu Fan, Michael Peters and Fabrizio Zilibotti

28550: CEO Stress, Aging, and Death

Mark Borgschulte, Marius Guenzel, Canyao Liu and Ulrike Malmendier

28549: Global Value Chains

Pol Antras and Davin Chor

28548: Minimax Risk and Uniform Convergence Rates for Nonparametric Dyadic Regression

Bryan Graham, Fengshi Niu and James Powell

28547: Doing Business in China: Parental Background and Government Intervention Determine Who Owns Businesses

Ruixue Jia, Xiaohuan Lan and Gerard Padró I Miquel

28546: On the Distribution of Estates and the Distribution of Wealth: Evidence from the Dead

Yonatan Berman and Salvatore Morelli

28545: Licensing Life-Saving Drugs for Developing Countries: Evidence from the Medicines Patent Pool

Alberto Galasso and Mark Schankerman

28544: Education and Innovation

Barbara Biasi, David Deming and Petra Moser

28543: Lessons from Denmark about Inequality and Social Mobility

James Heckman and Rasmus Landersø

28542: Tax Evasion at the Top of the Income Distribution: Theory and Evidence

John Guyton, Patrick Langetieg, Daniel Reck, Max Risch and Gabriel Zucman

28541: Does Mobility Explain Why Slums Were Hit Harder by COVID-19 in Mumbai, India?

Jaymee Sheng, Anup Malani, Ashish Goel and Purushotham Botla

28540: A Model of Credit, Money, Interest, and Prices

Saki Bigio and Yuliy Sannikov

28539: The Value of Privacy in Cartels: An Analysis of the Inner Workings of a Bidding Ring

Kei Kawai, Jun Nakabayashi and Juan Ortner

28538: Market Power in Neoclassical Growth Models

Laurence Ball and N. Gregory Mankiw

28537: ‘You Will:’ A Macroeconomic Analysis of Digital Advertising

Jeremy Greenwood, Yueyuan Ma and Mehmet Yorukoglu

28536: Do Monetary Policy Frameworks Matter in Low Income Countries?

Alina Carare, Carlos de Resende, Andrew Levin and Chelsea Zhang

28535: Artificial Intelligence and Pricing: The Impact of Algorithm Design

John Asker, Chaim Fershtman and Ariel Pakes

28534: Science and the Market for Technology

Ashish Arora, Sharon Belenzon and Jungkyu Suh

28533: First-mover Advantage and the Private Value of Public Science

Ashish Arora, Sharon Belenzon and Bernardo Dionisi

28532: Deterrence and Compellence in the Parliament

Duha Altindag, Naci Mocan and Jie Zhang

28531: Not Too Late: Improving Academic Outcomes Among Adolescents

Jonathan Guryan, Jens Ludwig, Monica P. Bhatt, Philip J Cook, Jonathan Davis, Kenneth Dodge, George Farkas, Roland Fryer, Susan Mayer, Harold Pollack and Laurence Steinberg

28530: Equilibrium in the Market for Public School Teachers: District Wage Strategies and Teacher Comparative Advantage

Barbara Biasi, Chao Fu and John Stromme

28529: Sharing the Burden of Subsidization: Evidence on Pass-Through from a Subsidy Revision in Medicare Part D

Colleen Carey

28528: Replicating the Dow Jones Industrial Average

Jacky Lin, Genevieve C. Selden, John B. Shoven and Clemens Sialm

28527: Income Dynamics of Immigrants and Natives in Sweden 1985-2016

Benjamin Friedrich, Lisa Laun and Costas Meghir

28526: A New Spatial Hedonic Equilibrium in the Emerging Work-from-Home Economy?

Jan Brueckner, Matthew Kahn and Gary C. Lin

28525: Climate Policy, Financial Frictions, and Transition Risk

Stefano Carattini, Garth Heutel and Givi Melkadze

28524: The World Management Survey at 18: lessons and the way forward

Daniela Scur, Raffaella Sadun, John van Reenen, Renata Lemos and Nicholas Bloom

28523: COVID-19 Has Strengthened the Relationship Between Alcohol Consumption and Domestic Violence

Aaron Chalfin, Shooshan Danagoulian and Monica Deza

28522: Voice at Work

Jarkko Harju, Simon Jäger and Benjamin Schoefer

28521: Can Automatic Government Spending Be Procyclical?

Luciana Galeano, Alejandro Izquierdo, Jorge Puig, Carlos Vegh and Guillermo Vuletin

28520: Exchange Rate Pass-Through, Monetary Policy, and Real Exchange Rates: Iceland and the 2008 Crisis

Sebastian Edwards and Luis Cabezas

28519: The Trade-off Between Prioritization and Vaccination Speed Depends on Mitigation Measures

Nikhil Agarwal, Andrew Komo, Chetan A. Patel, Parag Pathak and Utku Unver

28518: Limited-Tenure Concessions for Collective Goods

Nicolas Querou, Agnes Tomini and Christopher Costello

28517: The Distribution of School Spending Impacts

C. Kirabo Jackson and Claire Mackevicius

28516: Measuring Commuting and Economic Activity inside Cities with Cell Phone Records

Gabriel E. Kreindler and Yuhei Miyauchi

28515: Financial Regulation, Clientele Segmentation, and Stock Exchange Order Types

Sida Li, Mao Ye and Miles Zheng

28514: Permanent and Transitory Responses to Capital Gains Taxes: Evidence from a Lifetime Exemption in Canada

Adam Lavecchia and Alisa Tazhitdinova

28513: Portfolios for Long-Term Investors

John Cochrane

28512: School Assignment by Match Quality

Atila Abdulkadiroglu, Umut Dur and Aram Grigoryan

28511: Estimating Students' Valuation for College Experiences

Esteban Aucejo, Jacob F. French and Basit Zafar

28510: Global Pricing of Carbon-Transition Risk

Patrick Bolton and Marcin Kacperczyk

28509: Whose Job Is It Anyway? Co-Ethnic Hiring in New U.S. Ventures

Sari Pekkala Kerr and William Kerr

28508: Neighborhood Effects and Housing Vouchers

Morris Davis, Jesse M. Gregory, Daniel Hartley and Kegon Tan

28507: In-Kind Transfers as Insurance

Lucie Gadenne, Samuel Norris, Monica Singhal and Sandip Sukhtankar

28506: Wages, Minimum Wages, and Price Pass-Through: The Case of McDonald’s Restaurants

Orley Ashenfelter and Stepan Jurajda

28505: The Gendered Impact of the COVID-19 Recession on the US Labor Market

Stefania Albanesi and Jiyeon Kim

28504: Endogenous Immigration, Human and Physical Capital Formation, and the Immigration Surplus

Isaac Ehrlich and Yun Pei

28503: What Marginal Outcome Tests Can Tell Us About Racially Biased Decision-Making

Peter Hull

28502: A Simple but Powerful Simulated Certainty Equivalent Approximation Method for Dynamic Stochastic Problems

Yongyang Cai and Kenneth Judd

28501: Financial Regulation in a Quantitative Model of the Modern Banking System

Juliane Begenau and Tim Landvoigt

28500: Kidney Exchange: An Operations Perspective

Itai Ashlagi and Alvin Roth

28499: Skipping the Bag: The Intended and Unintended Consequences of Disposable Bag Regulation

Tatiana Homonoff, Lee-Sien Kao, Javiera Selman and Christina Seybolt

28498: Social and Genetic Effects on Educational Performance in Early Adolescence

Martin A. Isungset, Dalton Conley, Henrik D. Zachrisson, Eivind Ystrøm, Alexandra Havdahl, Pål R. Njølstad and Torkild H. Lyngstad

28497: The Economics of Spatial Mobility: Theory and Evidence Using Smartphone Data

Yuhei Miyauchi, Kentaro Nakajima and Stephen Redding

28496: Intellectual Property Infringement by Foreign Firms: Import Protection through the ITC or Court

James Brander and Barbara Spencer

28495: The “Matthew Effect” and Market Concentration: Search Complementarities and Monopsony Power

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Federico Mandelman, Yang Yu and Francesco Zanetti

28494: Gender and the Dynamics of Economics Seminars

Pascaline Dupas, Alicia Modestino, Muriel Niederle, Justin Wolfers and The Seminar Dynamics Collective

28493: What Explains Differences in Finance Research Productivity During the Pandemic?

Brad Barber, Wei Jiang, Adair Morse, Manju Puri, Heather Tookes and Ingrid M. Werner

28492: Preparing for a Pandemic: Accelerating Vaccine Availability

Amrita Ahuja, Susan Athey, Arthur Baker, Eric Budish, Juan Castillo, Rachel Glennerster, Scott Kominers, Michael Kremer, Jean Lee, Canice Prendergast, Christopher Snyder, Alexander Tabarrok, Brandon Tan and Witold Więcek

28491: Contractual Rigidity and Political Contestability: Revisiting Public Contract Renegotiations

Jean Beuve, Marian Moszoro and Pablo Spiller

28490: Do Required Minimum Distribution 401(k) Rules Matter, and For Whom? Insights from a Lifecycle Model

Vanya Horneff, Raimond Maurer and Olivia Mitchell

28489: The Two Faces of Information

Gaetano Gaballo and Guillermo Ordonez

28488: Culture, Institutions & the Long Divergence

Alberto Bisin, Jared Rubin, Avner Seror and Thierry Verdier

28487: Kinks as Goals: Accelerating Commissions and the Performance of Sales Teams

Peter Kuhn and Lizi Yu

28486: Aggregate Implications of Barriers to Female Entrepreneurship

Gaurav Chiplunkar and Pinelopi Goldberg

28485: Fiscal Policy and Households’ Inflation Expectations: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber

28484: Biases in Information Selection and Processing: Survey Evidence from the Pandemic

Ester Faia, Andreas Fuster, Vincenzo Pezone and Basit Zafar

28483: Housing Consumption and the Cost of Remote Work

Christopher T. Stanton and Pratyush Tiwari

28482: Competition Policy in a Simple General Equilibrium Model

Louis Kaplow

28481: Searching for Job Security and the Consequences of Job Loss

Gregor Jarosch

28480: Cross-sectoral Externalities Related to Natural Resources and Ecosystem Services

Manuel Bellanger, Robert Fonner, Daniel S. Holland, Gary Libecap, Douglas Lipton, Pierre Scemama, Cameron Speir and Olivier Thébaud

28479: The Effect of Stock Ownership on Individual Spending and Loyalty

Paolina C. Medina, Vrinda Mittal and Michaela Pagel

28478: Vertical Integration and Production Inefficiency in the Presence of a Gross Receipts Tax

Benjamin Hansen, Keaton S. Miller and Caroline Weber

28477: Charter Schools’ Effectiveness, Mechanisms, and Competitive Influence

Sarah Cohodes and Katharine S. Parham

28476: Urban Growth Shadows

David Cuberes, Klaus Desmet and Jordan Rappaport

28475: Wage Inequality and Labor Rights Violations

Ioana Marinescu, Yue Qiu and Aaron Sojourner

28474: Owner Incentives and Performance in Healthcare: Private Equity Investment in Nursing Homes

Atul Gupta, Sabrina T. Howell, Constantine Yannelis and Abhinav Gupta

28473: Stochastic Earnings Growth and Equilibrium Wealth Distributions

Thomas Sargent, Neng Wang and Jinqiang Yang

28472: The Economics of Immense Risk, Urgent Action and Radical Change: Towards New Approaches to the Economics of Climate Change

Nicholas Stern, Joseph Stiglitz and Charlotte Taylor

28471: Does Marijuana Legalization Affect Work Capacity? Evidence from Workers’ Compensation Benefits

Rahi Abouk, Keshar Ghimire, Johanna Maclean and David Powell

28470: Aggregate Employment Effects of Unemployment Benefits During Deep Downturns: Evidence from the Expiration of the Federal Pandemic Unemployment Compensation

Arindrajit Dube

28469: Auto-Enrollment Retirement Plans for the People: Choices and Outcomes in OregonSaves

John Chalmers, Olivia Mitchell, Jonathan Reuter and Mingli Zhong

28468: Reparations and Persistent Racial Wealth Gaps

Job Boerma and Loukas Karabarbounis

28467: China’s War on Pollution: Evidence from the First Five Years

Michael Greenstone, Guojun He, Shanjun Li and Eric Zou

28466: The Economic Geography of Global Warming

José-Luis Cruz and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg

28465: Learning from Shared News: When Abundant Information Leads to Belief Polarization

T. Renee Bowen, Danil Dmitriev and Simone Galperti

28464: The Analytic Theory of a Monetary Shock

Fernando E. Alvarez and Francesco Lippi

28463: Gender Quotas and Support for Women in Board Elections

Marina Gertsberg, Johanna Mollerstrom and Michaela Pagel