NBER Working Papers

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31611: Psychosocial Constraints, Impact Heterogeneity and Spillovers in a Multifaceted Graduation Program in Kenya

Geyi Zheng, Michael Carter, Nathan Jensen and Laurel Krovetz

31610: Firm Export Dynamics in Interdependent Markets

Alonso Alfaro-Ureña, Juanma Castro-Vincenzi, Sebastian Fanelli and Eduardo Morales

31609: From Addiction to Aggression: The Spillover Effects of Opioid Policies on Intimate Partner Violence

Dhaval Dave, Bilge Erten, Pinar Keskin and Shuo Zhang

31608: Distributional Equity in the Employment and Wage Impacts of Energy Transitions

Ben Gilbert, Hannah Gagarin and Ben Hoen

31607: Biased Surveys

Luca Gemmi and Rosen Valchev

31606: Market Response to Racial Uprisings

Bocar A. Ba, Roman Rivera and Alexander Whitefield

31605: Incorporating Micro Data into Differentiated Products Demand Estimation with PyBLP

Christopher Conlon and Jeff Gortmaker

31604: Who (Actually) Gets the Farm? Intergenerational Farm Succession in the United States

Adrian Haws, David Just and Joseph Price

31603: The Macroeconomic Effects of the Federal Reserve's Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies

Eric T. Swanson

31602: Supply Chain Adjustments to Tariff Shocks: Evidence from Firm Trade Linkages in the 2018-2019 U.S. Trade War

Kyle Handley, Fariha Kamal and Ryan Monarch

31601: Automatic Enrollment with a 12% Default Contribution Rate

John Beshears, Ruofei Guo, David Laibson, Brigitte Madrian and James Choi

31600: An Import(ant) Price of Brexit Uncertainty

Alejandro Graziano, Kyle Handley and Nuno Limão

31599: Global Capital Allocation

Sergio Florez-Orrego, Matteo Maggiori, Jesse Schreger, Ziwen Sun and Serdil Tinda

31598: Women and the Econometrics of Family Trees

José-Antonio Espín-Sánchez, Joseph P. Ferrie and Christopher Vickers

31597: Antitrust Enforcement Increases Economic Activity

Tania Babina, Simcha Barkai, Jessica Jeffers, Ezra Karger and Ekaterina Volkova

31596: The Zero-Beta Interest Rate

Sebastian Di Tella, Benjamin M. Hébert, Pablo Kurlat and Qitong Wang

31595: The Impact of Bretton Woods International Capital Controls on the Global Economy and the Value of Geopolitical Stability: A General Equilibrium Analysis

Lee Ohanian, Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria, Diana Van Patten and Mark Wright

31594: Do Cops Know Who to Stop? Assessing Optimizing Models of Police Behavior with a Natural Experiment

David Abrams, Hanming Fang and Priyanka Goonetilleke

31593: “Invisible Killer”: Seasonal Allergies and Accidents

Mika Akesaka and Hitoshi Shigeoka

31592: Inventor Gender and Patent Undercitation: Evidence from Causal Text Estimation

Yael Hochberg, Ali Kakhbod, Peiyao Li and Kunal Sachdeva

31591: State Capacity as an Organizational Problem. Evidence from the Growth of the U.S. State Over 100 Years

Nicola Mastrorocco and Edoardo Teso

31590: Infrastructure and Finance: Evidence from India's GQ Highway Network

Abhiman Das, Ejaz Ghani, Arti Grover, William Kerr and Ramana Nanda

31589: Domino Secessions: Evidence from the U.S

Jean Lacroix, Kris James Mitchener and Kim Oosterlinck

31588: Industry Wage Differentials: A Firm-Based Approach

David Card, Jesse Rothstein and Moises Yi

31587: Location, Location, Location

David Card, Jesse Rothstein and Moises Yi

31586: Plata y Plomo: How Higher Wages Expose Politicians to Criminal Violence

Massimo Pulejo and Pablo Querubin

31585: Population Aging and Economic Growth: From Demographic Dividend to Demographic Drag?

Rainer Kotschy and David Bloom

31584: Micro MPCs and Macro Counterfactuals: The Case of the 2008 Rebates

Jacob Orchard, Valerie Ramey and Johannes Wieland

31583: Machine Forecast Disagreement

Turan G. Bali, Bryan T. Kelly, Mathis Mörke and Jamil Rahman

31582: Organizational Responses to Product Cycles

Achyuta Adhvaryu, Vittorio Bassi, Anant Nyshadham, Jorge A. Tamayo and Nicolas Torres

31581: The Impact of Criminal Financial Sanctions: A Multi-State Analysis of Survey and Administrative Data

Keith Finlay, Matthew Gross, Carl Lieberman, Elizabeth Luh and Michael G. Mueller-Smith

31580: Roots of Inequality

Oded Galor, Marc Klemp and Daniel Wainstock

31579: Broadband Internet Access and Health Outcomes: Patient and Provider Responses in Medicare

Jessica Van Parys and Zach Brown

31578: Long Term Expectations and Aggregate Fluctuations

Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli, Rafael La Porta, Matthew O'Brien and Andrei Shleifer

31577: Did the U.S. Really Grow Out of Its World War II Debt?

Julien Acalin and Laurence Ball

31576: The Changing Skill Content of Private Sector Union Coverage

Samuel Dodini, Michael Lovenheim and Alexander Willén

31575: The Value of Intermediaries for GSE Loans

Joshua Bosshardt, Ali Kakhbod and Amir Kermani

31574: Accounting for Environmental Activity: Measuring Public Environmental Expenditures and the Environmental Goods and Services Sector in the US

Dennis Fixler, Julie L. Hass, Tina Highfill, Kelly M. Wentland and Scott A. Wentland

31573: On the Source and Instability of Probability Weighting

Cary Frydman and Lawrence Jin

31572: Skills, Majors, and Jobs: Does Higher Education Respond?

Johnathan G. Conzelmann, Steven W. Hemelt, Brad Hershbein, Shawn M. Martin, Andrew Simon and Kevin M. Stange

31571: How to Fund Unemployment Insurance with Informality and False Claims: Evidence From Senegal

Abdoulaye Ndiaye, Kyle F. Herkenhoff, Abdoulaye Cisse, Alessandro Dell'Acqua and Ahmadou Aly Mbaye

31570: The Search for Good Jobs: Evidence from a Six-year Field Experiment in Uganda

Oriana Bandiera, Vittorio Bassi, Robin Burgess, Imran Rasul, Munshi Sulaiman and Anna Vitali

31569: Productivity Variation and Input Misallocation: Evidence from Hospitals

Amitabh Chandra, Carrie Colla and Jonathan S. Skinner

31568: Causal Effects of Renewable Portfolio Standards on Renewable Investments and Generation: The Role of Heterogeneity and Dynamics

Olivier Deschenes, Christopher Malloy and Gavin G. McDonald

31567: Drinking Water Contaminant Concentrations and Birth Outcomes

Richard DiSalvo and Elaine L. Hill

31566: The Summer Drop in Female Employment

Brendan M. Price and Melanie Wasserman

31565: Author Country of Origin and Attention on Open Science Platforms: Evidence from COVID-19 Preprints

Caroline Fry and Megan MacGarvie

31564: Testing Above the Limit: Drinking Water Contamination and Test Scores

Michelle M. Marcus

31563: Seniority

DongIk Kang and Miles Kimball

31562: Who Benefits From The Export-Import Bank Aid?

Efraim Benmelech and Joao Monteiro

31561: Strategic Money and Credit Ledgers

Markus Brunnermeier and Jonathan Payne

31560: The Effect of Child Endowment on Fertility Choices

Victor Lavy and Yeshaya Nussbaum

31559: Monitoring for Waste: Evidence from Medicare Audits

Maggie Shi

31558: Artificial Intelligence and Scientific Discovery: A Model of Prioritized Search

Ajay Agrawal, John McHale and Alexander Oettl

31557: The Effect of Medicaid Expansion on the Take-up of Disability Benefits by Race and Ethnicity

Becky Staiger, Madeline S. Helfer and Jessica Van Parys

31556: School Accountability, Long-Run Criminal Activity, and Self-Sufficiency

Ozkan Eren, David Figlio, Naci Mocan and Orgul Ozturk

31555: The Dynastic Benefits of Early Childhood Education: Participant Benefits and Family Spillovers

Jorge Luis Garcia, Frederik Bennhoff and Duncan Ermini Leaf

31554: Urban Forests: Environmental Health Values and Risks

Jianwei Xing, Zhiren Hu, Fan Xia, Jintao Xu and Eric Zou

31553: The Impact of Public School Choice: Evidence from Los Angeles' Zones of Choice

Christopher Campos and Caitlin Kearns

31552: Trends in Social Security Incentives in Belgium

Anne-Lore Fraikin, Alain Jousten and Mathieu Lefebvre

31551: Market Access and Migration: Evidence from the Panama Canal Opening during the First Great Migration

Sebastian Galiani, Luis F. Jaramillo and Mateo Uribe-Castro

31550: Estimating the Spatial Amplification of Damage Caused by Degradation in the Amazon

Rafael Araujo, Juliano Assuncao, Marina Hirota and José A. Scheinkman

31549: Micro vs Macro Labor Supply Elasticities: The Role of Dynamic Returns to Effort

Henrik Kleven, Claus Kreiner, Kristian Larsen and Jakob Egholt Søgaard

31548: Unpacking P-Hacking and Publication Bias

Abel Brodeur, Scott Carrell, David Figlio and Lester Lusher

31547: Selling Subscriptions

Liran Einav, Benjamin Klopack and Neale Mahoney

31546: The Effects of Social Insurance Benefits on Leaving Employment at Older Ages in the Netherlands

Adriaan Kalwij and Arie Kapteyn

31545: Divorce and Property Division Laws Shape Human Capital Investment

Peter Q. Blair and Elijah Neilson

31544: Why Global and Local Solutions of Open-Economy Models with Incomplete Markets Differ and Why it Matters

Oliver de Groot, C. Bora Durdu and Enrique Mendoza

31543: Managing an Energy Shock: Fiscal and Monetary Policy

Adrien Auclert, Hugo Monnery, Matthew Rognlie and Ludwig Straub

31542: Who Benefits from Remote Schooling? Self-Selection and Match Effects

Jesse M. Bruhn, Christopher Campos, Eric Chyn and Anh Tran

31541: Accelerating Innovation Ecosystems: The Promise and Challenges of Regional Innovation Engines

Jorge Guzman, Fiona Murray, Scott Stern and Heidi Williams

31540: Raising State Minimum Wages, Lowering Community College Enrollment

Diane Schanzenbach, Julia A. Turner and Sarah Turner

31539: Workers and the Green-Energy Transition: Evidence from 300 Million Job Transitions

E Curtis, Layla O'Kane and R. Jisung Park

31538: The New Economics of Industrial Policy

Réka Juhász, Nathaniel Lane and Dani Rodrik

31537: How do Financial Crises Redistribute Risk?

Kris James Mitchener and Angela Vossmeyer

31536: Disadvantaging Rivals: Vertical Integration in the Pharmaceutical Market

Charles Gray, Abby E. Alpert and Neeraj Sood

31535: Youth Labor Force Participation, Education, and Human Capital in Asia, by Gender, 1990-2019

Barbara M. Fraumeni

31534: Fear or Knowledge The Impact of Graphic Cigarette Warnings on Tobacco Product Choices

Donald Kenkel, Alan Mathios, Grace N. Phillips, Revathy Suryanarayana, Hua Wang and Sen Zeng

31533: Temperature, Adaptation, and Local Industry Concentration

Jacopo Ponticelli, Qiping Xu and Stefan Zeume

31532: Trends in the Retirement Preparedness of Black and Hispanic Households in the US

Edward N. Wolff

31531: The Impact of Violence during the Mexican Revolution on Migration to the United States

David Escamilla-Guerrero, Edward Kosack and Zachary Ward

31530: Converting Brown Offices to Green Apartments

Arpit Gupta, Candy Martinez and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

31529: Using Lotteries to Attract Deposits

Paul Gertler, Sean Higgins, Aisling Scott and Enrique Seira

31528: Sticky Wages on the Layoff Margin

Steven Davis and Pawel Krolikowski

31527: The Disparate Impacts of College Admissions Policies on Asian American Applicants

Joshua Grossman, Sabina Tomkins, Lindsay C. Page and Sharad Goel

31526: The Shadow Price of Capital: Accounting for Capital Displacement in Cost Benefit Analysis

Richard Newell, William Pizer and Brian Prest

31525: The Impact of Vaccines and Behavior on U.S. Cumulative Deaths from COVID-19

Andrew Atkeson

31524: Risk Preferences Over Health: Empirical Estimates and Implications for Healthcare Decision-Making

Karen Mulligan, Drishti Baid, Jason Doctor, Charles E. Phelps and Darius Lakdawalla

31523: Estimating the Impact of the Age of Criminal Majority: Decomposing Multiple Treatments in a Regression Discontinuity Framework

Michael G. Mueller-Smith, Benjamin Pyle and Caroline Walker

31522: Temperature and Maltreatment of Young Children

Mary Evans, Ludovica Gazze and Jessamyn Schaller

31521: Research and/or Development? Financial Frictions and Innovation Investment

Filippo Mezzanotti and Timothy Simcoe

31520: US Monetary Policy and the Return to Price Stability

Richard Clarida

31519: Currency Areas, Labor Markets, and Regional Cyclical Sensitivity

Katheryn Russ, Jay Shambaugh and Sanjay R. Singh

31518: Is This Time Different? The Safety Net Response to the Pandemic Recession

Erik A. Hembre, Robert Moffitt and James Ziliak

31517: Measuring Economic Growth with a Fully Identified Three-Signal Model

Andrea Civelli, Arya Gaduh and Ahmed Yousuf

31516: Understanding Rationality and Disagreement in House Price Expectations

Zigang Li, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh and Wang Renxuan

31515: Working from Home, Worker Sorting and Development

David Atkin, Antoinette Schoar and Sumit Shinde

31514: Information Dynamics and Macro Fluctuations

Kyriakos T. Chousakos, Gary Gorton and Guillermo Ordonez

31513: Global Transportation Decarbonization

David Rapson and Erich Muehlegger

31512: The (Lack of) Anticipatory Effects of the Social Safety Net on Human Capital Investment

ManasI Deshpande and Rebecca Dizon-Ross