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NBER Working Papers

From National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A..
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32162: English Language Requirement and Educational Inequality: Evidence from 16 Million College Applicants in China Downloads
Hongbin Li, Lingsheng Meng, Kai Mu and Shaoda Wang
32161: ChatGPT and Corporate Policies Downloads
Manish Jha, Jialin Qian, Michael Weber and Baozhong Yang
32160: The Long-term Effects of Inflation on Inflation Expectations Downloads
Fabio Braggion, Felix von Meyerinck, Nic Schaub and Michael Weber
32159: On Digital Currencies Downloads
Harald Uhlig
32158: How Do Voters Respond to Welfare Vis-a-Vis Public Good Programs? Theory and Evidence of Political Clientelism Downloads
Pranab Bardhan, Sandip Mitra, Dilip Mookherjee and Anusha Nath
32157: Declining Clientelism of Welfare Benefits? Targeting and Political Competition based Evidence from an Indian state Downloads
Pushkar Maitra, Sandip Mitra, Dilip Mookherjee and Sujata Visaria
32156: Content Moderation with Opaque Policies Downloads
Scott Kominers and Jesse Shapiro
32155: Information-Based Pricing in Specialized Lending Downloads
Kristian Blickle, Zhiguo He, Jing Huang and Cecilia Parlatore
32154: Gender Differences in Negotiations and Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from an Information Intervention with College Students Downloads
Patricia Cortes, Jacob French, Jessica Pan and Basit Zafar
32153: Taxing Top Wealth: Migration Responses and their Aggregate Economic Implications Downloads
Katrine Jakobsen, Henrik Kleven, Jonas Kolsrud, Camille Landais and Mathilde Muñoz
32152: Smooth Diagnostic Expectations Downloads
Francesco Bianchi, Cosmin Ilut and Hikaru Saijo
32151: The Essential Role of Altruism in Medical Decision Making Downloads
Paul Gertler and Ada Kwan
32150: Trade War and Peace: U.S.-China Trade and Tariff Risk from 2015–2050 Downloads
George Alessandria, Shafaat Khan, Armen Khederlarian, Kim Ruhl and Joseph Steinberg
32149: A Cognitive Foundation for Perceiving Uncertainty Downloads
Aislinn Bohren, Josh Hascher, Alex Imas, Michael Ungeheuer and Martin Weber
32148: Understanding the Demand-Side of an Illegal Market: Prohibition of Menthol Cigarettes Downloads
Donald Kenkel, Alan Mathios, Grace N. Phillips, Revathy Suryanarayana, Hua Wang and Sen Zeng
32147: Misallocation and Asset Prices Downloads
Winston Dou, Yan Ji, Di Tian and Pengfei Wang
32146: Data, Privacy Laws and Firm Production: Evidence from the GDPR Downloads
Mert Demirer, Diego J. Jiménez Hernández, Dean Li and Sida Peng
32145: Climate Change, Population Growth, and Population Pressure Downloads
J. Vernon Henderson, Bo Yeon Jang, Adam Storeygard and David Weil
32144: Labor Migration, Capital Accumulation, and the Structure of Rural Labor Markets Downloads
Taryn Dinkelman, Grace Kumchulesi and Martine Mariotti
32143: Technology Regulation Reconsidered: The Effects of Certificate of Need Policies on the Quantity and Quality of Diagnostic Imaging Downloads
Jill Horwitz, Austin Nichols, Carrie Colla and David Cutler
32142: Invoice Currency Choice in Intra-Firm Trade: A Transaction-Level Analysis of Japanese Automobile Exports Downloads
Taiyo Yoshimi, Uraku Yoshimoto, Kiyotaka Sato, Takatoshi Ito, Junko Shimizu and Yushi Yoshida
32141: How Managers Can Use Purchaser Performance Information to Improve Procurement Efficiency Downloads
Pablo Celhay, Paul Gertler, Marcelo Olivares and Raimundo Undurraga
32140: Applying AI to Rebuild Middle Class Jobs Downloads
David Autor
32139: Out-group Penalties in Refugee Assistance: A Survey Experiment Downloads
Cristina Cattaneo, Daniela Grieco, Nicola Lacetera and Mario Macis
32138: Tariff Rate Uncertainty and the Structure of Supply Chains Downloads
Sebastian Heise, Justin Pierce, Georg Schaur and Peter Schott
32137: Monetary Policy Wedges and the Long-term Liabilities of Households and Firms Downloads
Jules van Binsbergen and Marco Grotteria
32136: The Government Patent Register: A New Resource for Measuring U.S. Government-Funded Patenting Downloads
Daniel Gross and Bhaven Sampat
32135: Discrete Choice, Complete Markets, and Equilibrium Downloads
Simon Mongey and Michael Waugh
32134: Behavioral Responses to Wealth Taxation: Evidence from Colombia Downloads
Juliana Londoño-Vélez and Javier Avila-Mahecha
32133: What Drives U.S. Import Price Inflation? Downloads
Mary Amiti, Oleg Itskhoki and David Weinstein
32132: Making a Song and Dance About It: The Effectiveness of Teaching Children Vocabulary with Animated Music Videos Downloads
Ariel Kalil, Susan Mayer, Philip Oreopoulos and Rohen Shah
32131: Populism, Polarization and Green Investment Downloads
Anders Anderson and David Robinson
32130: Declining Responsiveness at the Establishment Level: Sources and Productivity Implications Downloads
Russell Cooper, John Haltiwanger and Jonathan Willis
32129: Exorbitant Privilege and the Sustainability of US Public Debt Downloads
Jason Choi, Duong Q. Dang, Rishabh Kirpalani and Diego J. Perez
32128: The Role of International Financial Integration in Monetary Policy Transmission Downloads
Jing Cynthia Wu, Yinxi Xie and Ji Zhang
32127: The Role of Non-Pecuniary Considerations: Location Decisions of College Graduates from Low Income Backgrounds Downloads
Yifan Gong, Todd Stinebrickner, Ralph Stinebrickner and Yuxi Yao
32126: Education Inequalities in Latin America and the Caribbean Downloads
Raquel Fernandez, Carmen Pages, Miguel Szekely and Ivonne Acevedo
32125: The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Algorithms Downloads
Jens Ludwig, Sendhil Mullainathan and Ashesh Rambachan
32124: Credible Numbers: A Procedure for Reporting Statistical Precision in Parameter Estimates Downloads
Nicolas Astier and Frank A. Wolak
32123: The Determinants of Declining Internal Migration Downloads
William Olney and Owen Thompson
32122: Experimental Estimates of College Coaching on Postsecondary Re-enrollment Downloads
Lesley Turner and Oded Gurantz
32121: Did Violence Against Asian-Americans Rise in 2020? Evidence from a Novel Approach to Measuring Potentially Racially-Motivated Attacks Downloads
Aleksei Knorre, Britte Van Tiem and Aaron Chalfin
32120: Competitive Effects of Charter Schools Downloads
David Figlio, Cassandra Hart and Krzysztof Karbownik
32119: The Consequences of Abuse, Neglect and Cyber-bullying on the Wellbeing of the Young Downloads
David Blanchflower and Alex Bryson
32118: Event-Studies with a Continuous Treatment Downloads
Brantly Callaway, Andrew Goodman-Bacon and Pedro Sant'Anna
32117: Difference-in-differences with a Continuous Treatment Downloads
Brantly Callaway, Andrew Goodman-Bacon and Pedro Sant'Anna
32116: How Do Surrogates Make Treatment Decisions for Patients with Dementia? An Experimental Survey Study Downloads
Lauren Nicholas, Kenneth M. Langa, Scott D. Halpern and Mario Macis
32115: Whatever-It-Takes Policymaking during the Pandemic Downloads
Kathryn Dominguez and Andrea Foschi
32114: Evolution of Debt Financing toward Less-Regulated Financial Intermediaries in the United States Downloads
Isil Erel and Eduard Inozemtsev
32113: Information-Constrained Coordination of Economic Behavior Downloads
Guy Aridor, Rava Azeredo da Silveira and Michael Woodford
32112: Campaigning Against Populism Emotions and Information in Real Election Campaigns Downloads
Cesi Cruz, Julien Labonne and Francesco Trebbi
32111: Difference-in-Differences in the Marketplace Downloads
Robert Minton and Casey Mulligan
32110: Lives vs. Livelihoods: The Impact of the Great Recession on Mortality and Welfare Downloads
Amy Finkelstein, Matthew Notowidigdo, Frank Schilbach and Jonathan Zhang
32109: Immigration Enforcement and Public Safety Downloads
Felipe M. Gonçalves, Elisa Jácome and Emily K. Weisburst
32108: Does Defensive Gun Use Deter Crime? Downloads
John Donohue, Alex Oktay, Amy L. Zhang and Matthew Benavides
32107: Keeping Up with the Jansens: Causal Peer Effects on Household Spending, Beliefs and Happiness Downloads
Maarten van Rooij, Olivier Coibion, Dimitris Georgarakos, Bernardo Candia and Yuriy Gorodnichenko
32106: Copyright Policy Options for Generative Artificial Intelligence Downloads
Joshua Gans
32105: How Learning About Harms Impacts the Optimal Rate of Artificial Intelligence Adoption Downloads
Joshua Gans
32104: Gender Inequality in Latin America and the Caribbean Downloads
Inés Berniell, Raquel Fernandez and Sonya Krutikova
32103: Effects of Childhood Cognitive and Behavioral Disabilities on Adult Economic Outcomes Downloads
Hope Corman, Kelly Noonan and Nancy Reichman
32102: Protective Behavior and Life Insurance Downloads
Abigail Hurwitz, Olivia Mitchell and Orly Sade
32101: CEO Compensation and Cash-Flow Shocks: Evidence from Changes in Environmental Regulations Downloads
Seungho Choi, Ross Levine, Raphael Jonghyeon Park and Simon Xu
32100: Does Pension Automatic Enrollment Increase Debt? Evidence from a Large-Scale Natural Experiment Downloads
John Beshears, Matthew Blakstad, James Choi, Christopher Firth, John Gathergood, David Laibson, Richard Notley, Jesal D. Sheth, Will Sandbrook and Neil Stewart
32099: Platform Information Provision and Consumer Search: A Field Experiment Downloads
Lu Fang, Yanyou Chen, Chiara Farronato, Zhe Yuan and Yitong Wang
32098: The Causal Effects of Global Supply Chain Disruptions on Macroeconomic Outcomes: Evidence and Theory Downloads
Xiwen Bai, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Yiliang Li and Francesco Zanetti
32097: Optimal Trade Policy with International Technology Diffusion Downloads
Yan Bai, Keyu Jin, Dan Lu and Hanxi Wang
32096: Intra-Household Insurance and the Intergenerational Transmission of Income Risk Downloads
Francesco Agostinelli, Domenico Ferraro, Xincheng Qiu and Giuseppe Sorrenti
32095: Do Double Majors Face Less Risk? An Analysis of Human Capital Diversification Downloads
Andrew Hanks, Shengjun Jiang, Xuechao Qian, Bo Wang and Bruce Weinberg
32094: Non-Linear Inflation Dynamics in Menu Cost Economies Downloads
Andres Blanco, Corina Boar, Callum Jones and Virgiliu Midrigan
32093: Cash Transfers for Child Development: Experimental Evidence from India Downloads
Jeffrey Weaver, Sandip Sukhtankar, Paul Niehaus and Karthik Muralidharan
32092: Convenience Yields and Exchange Rate Puzzles Downloads
Zhengyang Jiang, Arvind Krishnamurthy, Hanno Lustig and Jialu Sun
32091: Power Flows: Transmission Lines, Allocative Efficiency, and Corporate Profits Downloads
Catherine Hausman
32090: Policy Responses to Tax Competition: An Introduction Downloads
David Agrawal, James Poterba and Owen Zidar
32089: Customer Data Access and Fintech Entry: Early Evidence from Open Banking Downloads
Tania Babina, Saleem Bahaj, Greg Buchak, Filippo De Marco, Angus Foulis, Will Gornall, Francesco Mazzola and Tong Yu
32088: Energy Transitions in Regulated Markets Downloads
Gautam Gowrisankaran, Ashley Langer and Mar Reguant
32087: Constructing Quarterly Chinese Time Series Usable for Macroeconomic Analysis Downloads
Kaiji Chen, Patrick Higgins and Tao Zha
32086: The Economic Impact of Heritable Physical Traits: Hot Parents, Rich Kid? Downloads
Daniel Hamermesh and Anwen Zhang
32085: Value Chain Microfinance Downloads
Lorenzo Casaburi and Jack Willis
32084: The Predictive Power of the Term Spread and Financial Variables for Economic Activity across Countries Downloads
Menzie Chinn and Laurent Ferrara
32083: The Effects of Immigration in a Developing Country: Brazil in the Age of Mass Migration Downloads
David Escamilla-Guerrero, Andrea Papadia and Ariell Zimran
32082: Help for the Heartland? The Employment and Electoral Effects of the Trump Tariffs in the United States Downloads
David Autor, Anne Beck, David Dorn and Gordon Hanson
32081: Export-Platform FDI: Cannibalization or Complementarity? Downloads
Pol Antras, Evgenii Fadeev, Teresa Fort and Felix Tintelnot
32080: Durables and Size-Dependence in the Marginal Propensity to Spend Downloads
Martin Beraja and Nathan Zorzi
32079: User Rights for Ocean Ecosystem Conservation Downloads
Gary Libecap
32078: Happiness Dynamics, Reference Dependence, and Motivated Beliefs in U.S. Presidential Elections Downloads
Miles Kimball, Collin B. Raymond, Jiannan Zhou, Junya Zhou, Fumio Ohtake and Yoshiro Tsutsui
32077: Diminishing Marginal Utility Revisited Downloads
Miles Kimball, Daniel Reck, Fudong Zhang, Fumio Ohtake and Yoshiro Tsutsui
32076: Human Capital by Gender: a G20 and Selected Geographies Perspective Downloads
Barbara M. Fraumeni, Gang Liu and Shunsuke Managi
32075: Do Patients Value High-Quality Medical Care? Experimental Evidence from Malaria Diagnosis and Treatment Downloads
Carolina Lopez, Anja Sautmann and Simone Schaner
32074: Employer-Based Short-Term Savings Accounts Downloads
Sarah Holmes Berk, John Beshears, Jay Garg, James Choi and David Laibson
32073: Ends versus Means: Kantians, Utilitarians, and Moral Decisions Downloads
Roland Benabou, Armin Falk and Luca Henkel
32072: Import Constraints Downloads
Diego Comin, Robert Johnson and Callum Jones
32071: UI Benefit Generosity and Labor Supply from 2002-2020 Downloads
Alex Bell, Hedin Tj, Geoffrey Schnorr and Till von Wachter
32070: Money Isn’t Everything: Estimating the Prestige Value of Winning Cutthroat Kitchen from Overbidding in Sabotage Auctions Downloads
Meg Snyder, Daniel Bragen, Matthew Rousu and Christopher Snyder
32069: The Wandering Scholars: Understanding the Heterogeneity of University Commercialization Downloads
Josh Lerner, Henry J. Manley, Carolyn Stein and Heidi Williams
32068: Principal Component Analysis for a Mix of Stationary and Nonstationary Variables Downloads
James Hamilton, Xinwei Ma and Jin Xi
32067: Age at Immigrant Arrival and Career Mobility: Evidence from Vietnamese Refugee Migration and the Amerasian Homecoming Act Downloads
Sari Pekkala Kerr, William Kerr and Kendall E. Smith
32066: Deadlines Versus Continuous Incentives: Evidence from the Patent Office Downloads
Michael D. Frakes and Melissa F. Wasserman
32065: Regularization from Economic Constraints: A New Estimator for Marginal Emissions Downloads
Stephen Holland, Erin Mansur, Valentin Verdier and Andrew Yates
32064: What Do Shareholders Want? Consumer Welfare and the Objective of the Firm Downloads
Keith Ericson
32063: Cool cities: The value of urban trees Downloads
Lu Han, Stephan Heblich, Christopher Timmins and Yanos Zylberberg
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