NBER Working Papers

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19740: Business Literacy and Development: Evidence from a Randomized Controlled Trial in Rural Mexico

Gabriela Calderón, Jesse Cunha and Giacomo De Giorgi

19739: China's Growth, Stability, and Use of International Reserves

Joshua Aizenman, Yothin Jinjarak and Nancy Marion

19738: Risk and Return in Village Economies

Krislert Samphantharak and Robert Townsend

19737: Private Politics and Public Regulation

Georgy Egorov and Bard Harstad

19736: The Economic Cost of Global Fuel Subsidies

Lucas Davis

19735: The Impacts of Expanding Access to High-Quality Preschool Education

Elizabeth Cascio and Diane Schanzenbach

19734: Endogenous Property Rights

Daniel Diermeier, Georgy Egorov and Konstantin Sonin

19733: Economic Transition and Private-Sector Labor Demand: Evidence from Urban China

Lakshmi Iyer, Xin Meng, Nancy Qian and Xiaoxue Zhao

19732: Time is Money: Life Cycle Rational Inertia and Delegation of Investment Management

Hugh Hoikwang Kim, Raimond Maurer and Olivia Mitchell

19731: Bid Takers or Market Makers? The Effect of Auctioneers on Auction Outcomes

Nicola Lacetera, Bradley Larsen, Devin Pope and Justin R. Sydnor

19730: Does the Use of Worker Flows Improve the Analysis of Establishment Turnover? Evidence from German Administrative Data

Tanja Hethey-Maier and Johannes Schmieder

19729: The Economics of Energy Security

Gilbert Metcalf

19728: Have Financial Markets Become More Informative?

Jennie Bai, Thomas Philippon and Alexi Savov

19727: Employee Spinouts, Social Networks, and Family Firms

James Rauch

19726: The Effect of Patient Cost Sharing on Utilization, Health, and Risk Protection

Hitoshi Shigeoka

19725: Feeling the Heat: Temperature, Physiology & the Wealth of Nations

Geoffrey Heal and Jisung Park

19724: The Social Security Windfall Elimination and Government Pension Offset Provisions for Public Employees in the Health and Retirement Study

Alan Gustman, Thomas L. Steinmeier and Nahid Tabatabai

19723: Can Non-Interest Rate Policies Stabilize Housing Markets? Evidence from a Panel of 57 Economies

Kenneth Kuttner and Ilhyock Shim

19722: Managing the Family Firm: Evidence from CEOs at Work

Oriana Bandiera, Renata Lemos, Andrea Prat and Raffaella Sadun

19721: Estimating Habit Formation in Voting

Thomas Fujiwara, Kyle Meng and Tom Vogl

19720: Calculating Disease-Based Medical Care Expenditure Indexes for Medicare Beneficiaries: A Comparison of Method and Data Choices

Anne E. Hall and Tina Highfill

19719: Going into the Affordable Care Act: Measuring the Size, Structure and Performance of the Individual and Small Group Markets for Health Insurance

Pinar Karaca-Mandic, Jean M. Abraham, Kosali Simon and Roger Feldman

19718: Exchange rate dynamics revisited

Jorge Braga de Macedo and Urho Lempinen

19717: Take the Short Route: How to Repay and Restructure Sovereign Debt with Multiple Maturities

Mark Aguiar and Manuel Amador

19716: The Importance of Financial Resources for Student Loan Repayment

Lance Lochner, Todd Stinebrickner and Utku Suleymanoglu

19715: Capital Reallocation and the Cyclicality of Aggregate Productivity

Russell Cooper and Immo Schott

19714: Fluctuations in Uncertainty

Nicholas Bloom

19713: The Lightbulb Paradox: Evidence from Two Randomized Experiments

Hunt Allcott and Dmitry Taubinsky

19712: Real-Time Forecasting with a Mixed-Frequency VAR

Frank Schorfheide and Dongho Song

19711: Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy with Endogenous Collateral Constraints

Aloisio Araujo, Susan Schommer and Michael Woodford

19710: Colonial New Jersey's Paper Money Regime, 1709-1775: A Forensic Accounting Reconstruction of the Data

Farley Grubb

19709: Efficiency and Foreclosure Effects of Vertical Rebates: Empirical Evidence

Christopher Conlon and Julie Mortimer

19708: Financial Dependence and Innovation: The Case of Public versus Private Firms

Viral Acharya and Zhaoxia Xu

19707: Bank Capital and Dividend Externalities

Viral Acharya, Hanh Le and Hyun Song Shin

19706: Are Commodity Futures Prices Barometers of the Global Economy?

Conghui Hu and Wei Xiong

19705: Parameter Learning in General Equilibrium: The Asset Pricing Implications

Pierre Collin-Dufresne, Michael Johannes and Lars A. Lochstoer

19704: Optimal Time-Consistent Macroprudential Policy

Javier Bianchi and Enrique Mendoza

19703: An Experimental Approach to Merger Evaluation

Christopher Conlon and Julie Mortimer

19702: After the Drought: The Impact of Microinsurance on Consumption Smoothing and Asset Protection

Sarah Janzen and Michael Carter

19701: The Value of Connections in Turbulent Times: Evidence from the United States

Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson, Amir Kermani, James Kwak and Todd Mitton

19700: Is This Time Different? The Slowdown in Healthcare Spending

Amitabh Chandra, Jonathan Holmes and Jonathan Skinner

19699: Accounting for Income Changes over the Great Recession (2007-2010) Relative to Previous Recessions: The Importance of Taxes and Transfers

Jeff Larrimore, Richard Burkhauser and Philip Armour

19698: Advancing the Empirical Research on Lobbying

John M. de Figueiredo and Brian Kelleher Richter

19697: Internal Geography, International Trade, and Regional Specialization

A. Kerem Coşar and Pablo Fajgelbaum

19696: Follow the Money: Methods for Identifying Consumption and Investment Responses to a Liquidity Shock

Dean Karlan, Adam Osman and Jonathan Zinman

19695: Salience Theory of Judicial Decisions

Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli and Andrei Shleifer

19694: Does Knowledge Accumulation Increase the Returns to Collaboration?

Ajay Agrawal, Avi Goldfarb and Florenta Teodoridis

19693: Assessing DSGE Model Nonlinearities

S. Boragan Aruoba, Luigi Bocola and Frank Schorfheide

19692: Using the New Products Margin to Predict the Industry-Level Impact of Trade Reform

Timothy Kehoe, Jack Rossbach and Kim Ruhl

19691: The Great Pyramids of America: A Revised History of US Business Groups, Corporate Ownership and Regulation, 1930-1950

Eugene Kandel, Konstantin Kosenko, Randall Morck and Yishay Yafeh

19690: School, what is it good for? Useful Human Capital and the History of Public Education in Central Europe

Tomas Cvrcek and Miroslav Zajicek

19689: Comparative Advantage and Optimal Trade Policy

Arnaud Costinot, Dave Donaldson, Jonathan Vogel and Iván Werning

19688: Corporate Cash Holding in Asia

Charles Horioka and Akiko Hagiwara

19687: The Endless Frontier: Reaping what Bush Sowed?

Paula Stephan

19686: Inflation's Role in Optimal Monetary-Fiscal Policy

Eric Leeper and Xuan Zhou

19685: Health and the Economy in the United States, from 1750 to the Present

Dora Costa

19684: Maximum likelihood estimation of the equity premium

Efstathios Avdis and Jessica Wachter

19683: Jobless Recoveries During Financial Crises: Is Inflation the Way Out?

Guillermo Calvo, Fabrizio Coricelli and Pablo Ottonello

19682: Consumer Credit: Too Much or Too Little (or Just Right)?

Jonathan Zinman

19681: Buffett's Alpha

Andrea Frazzini, David Kabiller and Lasse Pedersen

19680: Housing Collateral and Entrepreneurship

Martin Schmalz, David Sraer and David Thesmar

19679: Deals Not Done: Sources of Failure in the Market for Ideas

Ajay Agrawal, Iain Cockburn and Laurina Zhang

19678: The Cyclicality of the Opportunity Cost of Employment

Gabriel Chodorow-Reich and Loukas Karabarbounis

19677: Quantifying International Production Sharing at the Bilateral and Sector Levels

Zhi Wang, Shang-Jin Wei and Kunfu Zhu

19676: Sovereign Debt Markets in Turbulent Times: Creditor Discrimination and Crowding-Out Effects

Fernando Broner, Aitor Erce, Alberto Martin and Jaume Ventura

19675: Ideology and Online News

Matthew Gentzkow and Jesse Shapiro

19674: Learning by Doing in a Multi-Product Manufacturing Environment: Product Variety, Customizations, and Overlapping Product Generations

Carolyn D. Egelman, Dennis Epple, Linda Argote and Erica R.H. Fuchs

19673: Reinventing the Wheel: The Economic Benefits of Wheeled Transportation in Early British Colonial West Africa

Isaías N. Chaves, Stanley L. Engerman and James Robinson

19672: Unemployment Insurance and Disability Insurance in the Great Recession

Andreas Mueller, Jesse Rothstein and Till von Wachter

19671: Are Capital Controls Prudential? An Empirical Investigation

Andrés Fernández Martin, Alessandro Rebucci and Martín Uribe

19670: Why Do Hedgers Trade So Much?

Ing-Haw Cheng and Wei Xiong

19669: Liquidity and Governance

Kerry Back, Tao Li and Alexander Ljungqvist

19668: Distributional Effects of Macroeconomic Policy Choices in Emerging Market Economies

Eswar Prasad

19667: Idea Flows, Economic Growth, and Trade

Fernando E. Alvarez, Francisco Buera and Robert Lucas

19666: On the Generalizability of Experimental Results in Economics: With A Response To Camerer

Omar Al-Ubaydli and John List

19665: Toward an Understanding of why Suggestions Work in Charitable Fundraising: Theory and Evidence from a Natural Field Experiment

James T. Edwards and John List

19664: Standard-Essential Patents

Josh Lerner and Jean Tirole

19663: Better Luck Next Time: Learning Through Retaking

Veronica Frisancho, Kala Krishna, Sergey Lychagin and Cemile Yavas

19662: China: An Institutional View of an Unusual Macroeconomy

David Dollar and Benjamin Jones

19661: Human Capital and Fertility in Chinese Clans Before Modern Growth

Carol Shiue

19660: Testing the Theory of Multitasking: Evidence from a Natural Field Experiment in Chinese Factories

Fuhai Hong, Tanjim Hossain, John List and Migiwa Tanaka

19659: People, Places and Public Policy: Some Simple Welfare Economics of Local Economic Development Programs

Patrick Kline and Enrico Moretti

19658: Skilled Immigration and the Employment Structures of U.S. Firms

Sari Pekkala Kerr, William Kerr and William Lincoln

19657: Heterogeneous Technology Diffusion and Ricardian Trade Patterns

William Kerr

19656: Fostering and Measuring Skills: Interventions That Improve Character and Cognition

James Heckman and Tim Kautz

19655: Asia Chartbook: Crises, Credit and Debt, 1835-2013

Carmen Reinhart

19654: Making Nutritional Information Digestible: Effects of a Receipt-Based Intervention on Restaurant Purchases

Kelly Bedard and Peter Kuhn

19653: Collaboration, Stars, and the Changing Organization of Science: Evidence from Evolutionary Biology

Ajay Agrawal, John McHale and Alexander Oettl

19652: Crowding Out Redefined: The Role of Reserve Accumulation

Carmen Reinhart and Takeshi Tashiro

19651: Volatility and Pass-through

David Berger and Joseph Vavra

19650: Distilling the Macroeconomic News Flow

Alessandro Beber, Michael W. Brandt and Maurizio Luisi

19649: Dishonesty and Selection into Public Service

Rema Hanna and Shing-Yi Wang

19648: The Economics of China: Successes and Challenges

Shenggen Fan, Ravi Kanbur, Shang-Jin Wei and Xiaobo Zhang

19647: Patent Value and Citations: Creative Destruction or Strategic Disruption?

David Abrams, Ufuk Akcigit and Jillian Grennan

19646: Targeting ultra-poor households in Honduras and Peru

Dean Karlan and Bram Thuysbaert

19645: Reducing Moral Hazard in Employment Relationships: Experimental Evidence on Managerial Control and Performance Pay

C. Kirabo Jackson and Henry Schneider

19644: Can Negotiating a Uniform Carbon Price Help to Internalize the Global Warming Externality?

Martin Weitzman

19643: The Cost of Capital for Alternative Investments

Jakub W. Jurek and Erik Stafford

19642: The Financialization of Commodity Markets

Ing-Haw Cheng and Wei Xiong

19641: Ricardian Productivity Differences and the Gains from Trade

Andrei Levchenko and Jing Zhang